1. Does the Ideological Proximity Between Candidates and Voters Affect Voting in U.S. House Elections?
- Author
-
Christopher Warshaw and Chris Tausanovitch
- Subjects
Sociology and Political Science ,Disapproval voting ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,Ranked voting system ,Public administration ,0506 political science ,Cardinal voting systems ,Straight-ticket voting ,Political science ,Political economy ,Voting ,0502 economics and business ,050602 political science & public administration ,Bullet voting ,Voting behavior ,050207 economics ,First-past-the-post voting ,media_common - Abstract
Do citizens hold congressional candidates accountable for their policy positions? Recent studies reach different conclusions on this important question. In line with the predictions of spatial voting theory, a number of recent survey-based studies have found reassuring evidence that voters choose the candidate with the most spatially proximate policy positions. In contrast, most electoral studies find that candidates’ ideological moderation has only a small association with vote margins, especially in the modern, polarized Congress. We bring clarity to these discordant findings using the largest dataset to date of voting behavior in congressional elections. We find that the ideological positions of congressional candidates have only a small association with citizens’ voting behavior. Instead, citizens cast their votes “as if” based on proximity to parties rather than individual candidates. The modest degree of candidate-centered spatial voting in recent Congressional elections may help explain the polarization and lack of responsiveness in the contemporary Congress.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF