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The presence of deep convective clouds is directly related to potential convective hazards, such as lightning strikes, hail, severe storms, flash floods, and tornadoes. On the other hand, Mexico has a limited and heterogeneous network of instruments that allow for efficient and reliable monitoring and forecasting of such events. In this study, a quasi-real-time framework for deep convective cloud identification and modeling based on machine learning (ML) models was developed. Eight different ML models and model assembly approaches were fed with Interest Fields estimated from Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) sensor data on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R Series (GOES-R) for one region in central Mexico and another in northeastern Mexico, both selected for their intense convective activity and high levels of vulnerability to severe weather. The results indicate that a simple approach such as Logistic Regression (LR) or Random Forest (RF) can be a good alternative for the identification and simulation of deep convective clouds in both study areas, with a probability of detection of (POD) ≈ 0.84 for Los Mochis and POD of ≈ 0.72 for Mexico City. Similarly, the false alarm ratio (FAR) ≈ 0.2 and FAR ≈ 0.4 values were obtained for Los Mochis and Mexico City, respectively. Finally, a post-processing filter based on lightning incidence (Lightning Filter) was applied with data from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) of the GOES-16 satellite, showed great potential to improve the probability of detection (POD) of the ML models. This work sets a precedent for the implementation of an early-warning system for hazards associated with intense convective activity in Mexico. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The mistletoe Phoradendron velutinum (P. velutinum) is a pest that spreads rapidly and uncontrollably in Mexican forests, becoming a serious problem since it is a cause of the decline of 23.3 million hectares of conifers and broadleaves in the country. The lack of adequate phytosanitary control has negative social, economic, and environmental impacts. However, pest management is a challenging task due to the difficulty of early detection for proper control of mistletoe infestations. Automating the detection of this pest is important due to its rapid spread and the high costs of field identification tasks. This paper presents a Genetic Programming (GP) approach for the automatic design of an algorithm to detect mistletoe using multispectral aerial images. Our study area is located in a conservation area of Mexico City, in the San Bartolo Ameyalco community. Images of 148 hectares were acquired by means of an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) carrying a sensor sensitive to the R, G, B, red edge, and near-infrared bands, and with an average spatial resolution of less than 10 cm per pixel. As a result, it was possible to obtain an algorithm capable of classifying mistletoe P. velutinum at its flowering stage for the specific case of the study area in conservation area with an Overall Accuracy (OA) of 96% and a value of fitness function based on weighted Cohen's Kappa ( k w ) equal to 0.45 in the test data set. Additionally, our method's performance was compared with two traditional image classification methods; in the first, a classical spectral index, named Intensive Pigment Index of Structure 2 (SIPI2), was considered for the detection of P. velutinum. The second method considers the well-known Support Vector Machine classification algorithm (SVM). We also compare the accuracy of the best GP individual with two additional indices obtained during the solution analysis. According to our experimental results, our GP-based algorithm outperforms the results obtained by the aforementioned methods for the identification of P. velutinum. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Large-scale infrastructure monitoring and vulnerability assessment are crucial for the preservation and maintenance of built environments. To ensure the safety of urban infrastructure against natural and man-made disasters, constant monitoring is crucial. To do so, satellite Earth observation (EO) is being proposed, particularly radar-based imaging, because it allows large-scale constant monitoring since radar signals are not blocked by clouds and can be collected during both day and night. The proposed methodology for large-scale infrastructure monitoring and vulnerability assessment is based on MT-InSAR time series analysis. The homogeneity of the year-to-year displacement trend between each point and its surrounding points is evaluated to determine whether the area is a stable or vulnerable zone. To validate the methodology, four case studies of recently collapsed infrastructures are analyzed. The results indicate the potential of the proposed methodology for predicting and preventing structural collapses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Large-scale optical sensing and precise, rapid assessment of seismic building damage in urban communities are increasingly demanded in disaster prevention and reduction. The common method is to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) in a pixel-level semantic segmentation approach and does not fully consider the characteristics of the assessment objectives. This study developed a machine-learning-derived two-stage method for post-earthquake building location and damage assessment considering the data characteristics of satellite remote sensing (SRS) optical images with dense distribution, small size, and imbalanced numbers. It included a modified You Only Look Once (YOLOv4) object detection module and a support vector machine (SVM) based classification module. In the primary step, the multiscale features were successfully extracted and fused from SRS images of densely distributed buildings by optimizing the YOLOv4 model toward the network structures, training hyperparameters, and anchor boxes. The fusion improved multi-channel features, optimization of network structure and hyperparameters have significantly enhanced the average location accuracy of post-earthquake buildings. Thereafter, three statistics (i.e., the angular second moment, dissimilarity, and inverse difference moment) were further discovered to effectively extract the characteristic value for earthquake damage from located buildings in SRS optical images based on the gray level co-occurrence matrix. They were used as the texture features to distinguish damage intensities of buildings, using the SVM model. The investigated dataset included 386 pre- and post-earthquake SRS optical images of the 2017 Mexico City earthquake, with a resolution of 1024 × 1024 pixels. Results show that the average location accuracy of post-earthquake buildings exceeds 95.7% and that the binary classification accuracy for damage assessment reaches 97.1%. The proposed two-stage method was validated by its extremely high precision in respect of densely distributed small buildings, indicating the promising potential of computer vision in large-scale disaster prevention and reduction using SRS datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]