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Analysis and prediction of urban ecological risk are crucial means for resolving the dichotomy between ecological preservation and economic development, thereby enhancing regional ecological security and fostering sustainable development. This study uses Nanning, a Chinese landscape garden city, as an example. Based on spatial granularity and extent perspectives, using 30 m land use data, the optimal scale for an ecological risk assessment (ERA) and prediction is confirmed. This study also explores the patterns of spatial and temporal changes in ecological risk in Nanning on the optimal scale. At the same time, the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation model is used to predict Nanning's ecological risk in 2036 under two scenarios and to propose ecological conservation recommendations in light of the study results. The study results show that: a spatial granularity of 120 m and a spatial extent of 7 km are the best scales for ERA and prediction in Nanning. Although the spatial distribution of ecological risk levels is obviously different, the overall ecological risk is relatively low, and under the scenario of ecological protection in 2036, the area of high ecological risk in Nanning is small. The results can provide theoretical support for ERA and the prediction of landscape cities and ecological civilization construction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fractional vegetation cover (FVC) products provide essential data support for ecological environmental monitoring and simulation studies. However, the lack of validation efforts of FVC products limits their applications. Based on Sentinel-2 data and intensive multi-scale measured FVC data, the accuracies of two FVC products (GEOV3 and MuSyQ) in alpine grassland ecosystems were validated through direct validation and multi-scale validation. Based on the heterogeneity of the underlying surface (HUS) of the monitoring plots, the impact of the HUS of the monitoring plots on the product validation was analyzed. The results showed that: (1) the measured data directly validated that the GEOV3 FVC product performed better than the MuSyQ FVC product; (2) the multi-scale validation method based on high-resolution reference FVC map of Sentienl-2 satellite images validated the accuracy of these two FVC products, which was higher than the accuracy directly validated by FVC measured data, leading to overestimation of the validation results; and (3) the HUS of the monitored plots has a significant impact on the FVC product validation. By quantifying the HUS of the monitored plots and removing the heterogeneous monitoring plots, the uncertainty of the validation results can be reduced. It is necessary to consider the impact of validation methods and the HUS on the validation results in future product validation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Long-time series global fractional vegetation cover (FVC) products have received widespread international publication, and they supply the essential data required for eco-monitoring and simulation study, assisting in the understanding of global warming and preservation of ecosystem stability. However, due to the insufficiency of high-precision FVC ground-measured data, the accuracy of these FVC products in some regions (such as the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau) is still unknown, which brings a certain impact on eco-environment monitoring and simulation. Here, based on current international mainstream FVC products (including GEOV1 and GEOV2 at Copernicus Global Land Services, GLASS from Beijing Normal University, and MuSyQ from National Earth System Science Data Center), the study of the dynamic change of vegetation cover and its influence factors were conducted in the three-rivers source region, one of the core regions on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, via the methods of trend analysis and partial correlation analysis, respectively. Our results found that: (1) The discrepancy in the eco-environment assessment results caused by the inconsistency of FVC products is reflected in the statistical value and the spatial distribution. (2) About 70% of alpine grassland in the three-rivers source region changing trend is controversial. (3) The limiting or driving factors of the alpine grassland change explained via different FVC products were significantly discrepant. Thus, before conducting these studies in the future, the uncertainties of the FVC products utilized should be validated first to acquire the fitness of the FVC products if the accuracy information of these products is unavailable within the study area. In addition, more high-precision FVC ground-measured data should be collected, helping us to validate FVC product uncertainty. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Dust storms have occurred frequently in northwest China and can dramatically reduce visibility and exacerbate air quality in downwind regions through long-range transport. In order to study the distribution characteristics of dust particles sizes, structures and concentrations in the process of dust storm, especially for the vertical distributions, the multi-observation platform composed of six Lidars and nine aerosol analytical instruments is first used to detect a severe dust storm event, which occurred in Northwest China on 3 May 2020. As a strong weather system process, the dust storm has achieved high intensity and wide range. When the intensity of a dust storm is at its strongest, the ratios of PM2.5 (particulate matter with diameter < 2.5 µm) and PM10 (particulate matter with diameter < 10 µm) (PM2.5/PM10) in cities examined were less than 0.2 and the extinction coefficients became greater than 1 km−1 based on Lidar observations. In addition, the growth rates of PM2.5 were higher than that of PM10. The dust particles mainly concentrated at heights of 2 km, after being transported about 200–300 km, vertical height increased by 1–2 km. Meanwhile, the dust concentration decreased markedly. Furthermore, the depolarization ratio showed that dust in the Tengger Desert was dominated by spherical particles. The linear relationships between 532 nm extinction coefficient and the concentration of PM2.5 and PM10 were found firstly and their R2 were 0.706 to 0.987. Our results could give more information for the physical schemes to simulate dust storms in specific models, which could improve the forecast of dust storms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]