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This paper presents an analysis of regional terrestrial water storage (TWS) changes and drought characteristics in Southwest China, encompassing Sichuan Province, Chongqing Municipality, Yunnan Province, and Guizhou Province. Existing geodetic datasets, such as those from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its successor satellites (GRACE Follow-On), as well as Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data, face significant challenges related to limited spatial resolution and insufficient station distribution. To address these issues, we propose a novel inversion method that integrates GNSS and GRACE/GFO data by establishing virtual stations for GRACE/GFO data and determining the weight values between GNSS and GRACE/GFO using the Akaike Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC). This method allows for estimating the TWS changes from December 2010 to June 2023 and monitoring drought conditions in conjunction with hydrometeorological data (precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff). The results show strong correlations between TWS changes from the joint inversion and GNSS (0.98) and GRACE/GFO (0.69). The Joint Drought Severity Index (Joint-DSI) indicates five major drought events, with the most severe occurring from July 2022 to June 2023, with an average deficit of 86.133 km³. Extreme drought primarily impacts Sichuan and Yunnan, driven by abnormal precipitation deficits. The joint inversion methodology presented in this study provides a practical approach for monitoring TWS changes and assessing drought characteristics in Southwest China. This paper leverages the complementary strengths of GNSS and GRACE/GFO data and offers new insights into regional water resource management and drought detection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) threaten lake ecosystems and public health. Early HAB detection is possible by monitoring chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration. Ground-based Chl-a data have limited spatial and temporal coverage but can be geo-registered with temporally coincident satellite imagery to calibrate a remote sensing-based predictive model for regional mapping over time. When matching ground and satellite data, positional and temporal discrepancies are unavoidable due particularly to dynamic lake surfaces, thereby biasing the model calibration. This limitation has long been recognized but so far has not been addressed explicitly. To mitigate such effects of data mismatching, we proposed an Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)-like weighted regression algorithm that relies on an error-based heuristic to automatically favor "good" data points and downplay "bad" points. We evaluated the algorithm for estimating Chl-a over inland lakes in Ohio using Harmonized Landsat Sentinel-2. The AIC-like weighted regression estimates showed superior performance with an R2 of 0.91 and an error variance ( σ E 2 ) of 0.29 μg/L, outperforming linear regression (R2 = 0.34, σ E 2 = 2.34 μg/L) and random forest (R2 = 0.82, σ E 2 = 0.92 μg/L). We also noticed the poorest performance occurred in the spring due to low reflectance variation in clear water and low Chl-a concentration. Our weighted regression scheme is adaptive and generically applicable. Future studies may adopt our scheme to tackle other remote sensing estimation problems (e.g., terrestrial applications) for alleviating the adverse effects of geolocation errors and temporal discrepancies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anthocyanins are severity indicators for apple mosaic disease and can be used to monitor tree health. However, most of the current studies have focused on healthy leaves, and few studies have estimated the anthocyanin content in diseased leaves. In this study, we obtained the hyperspectral data of apple leaves with mosaic disease, analyzed the spectral characteristics of leaves with different degrees of Mosaic disease, constructed and screened the spectral index sensitive to anthocyanin content, and improved the estimation model. To improve the conciseness of the model, we integrated Variable Importance in Projection (VIP), Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR), and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to select the optimal PLSR model and its independent variables. Sparrow Search Algorithm-Random Forest (SSA-RF) was used to improve accuracy. Results showed the following: (1) anthocyanin content increased gradually with the aggravation of disease. The reflectance of the blade spectrum in the visible band increased, the red edge moved to short wave, and the phenomenon of "blue shift of spectrum" occurred. (2) The VIP-PLSR-AIC selected 17 independent variables from 21 spectral indices. (3) Variables were used to construct PLSR, Back Propagation (BP), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and SSA-RF to estimate anthocyanin content. Results showed the estimation accuracy and stability of the SSA-RF model were better than other models. The model set determination coefficient ( R 2 ) was up to 0.955, which is 0.047 higher than that of the RF model and 0.138 higher than that of the SVM model with the lowest accuracy. The model was constructed at the leaf scale and can provide a reference for other scale studies, including a theoretical basis for large-area, high-efficiency, high-precision anthocyanin estimation and monitoring of apple mosaics using remote sensing technology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Under external load excitation, damage such as breathing cracks and bolt loosening will cause structural time domain acceleration to have nonlinear features. To solve the problem of time domain nonlinear damage identification, a damage identification method based on the Kullback–Leibler (KL) distance of time domain model residuals is proposed in this paper. First, an autoregressive (AR) model order was selected using the autocorrelation function (ACF) and Akaike information criterion (AIC). Then, an AR model was obtained based on the structural acceleration response time series, and the AR model residual was extracted. Finally, the KL distance was used as a damage indicator to judge the structural damage source location. The effectiveness of the proposed method was verified by using a multi-story, multi-span stand model experiment and a simulated eight-story shear structure. The results show that the proposed structural nonlinear damage identification method can effectively distinguish the structural damage location of multi-degree-of-freedom shear structures and complex stand structures, and it is robust enough to detect environmental noise and small damage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study evaluated the vertical distribution of immature albacore tuna (Thunnus alalunga) in the Indian Ocean as a function of various environmental parameters. Albacore tuna fishing data were gathered from the logbooks of large-sized Taiwanese longline vessels. Fishery and environmental data for the period from 1998 to 2016 were collected. In addition to the surface variable, the most influential vertical temperature, dissolved oxygen (OXY), chlorophyll, and salinity layers were found at various depths (i.e., 5, 26, and 53 m for SST; 200, 244, and 147 m for OXY; 508, 628, and 411 for SSCI; and 411, 508, and 773 m for SSS) among 20 vertical layers based on Akaike criterion information value of generalized linear model. Relative to the 20 vertical layers base models, these layers had the lowest Akaike information criteria. For the correlation between the standardized and predicted catch per unit effort (CPUE), the correlation values for the generalized linear model (GLM), generalized additive model (GAM), boosted regression tree (BRT), and random forest (RF) model were 0.798, 0.832, 0.841, and 0.856, respectively. The GAM-, BRT-, and RF-derived full models were selected, whereas the GLM-derived full model was excluded because its correlation value was the lowest among the four models. From March to September, a higher immature albacore standardized CPUE was mainly observed from 30°S to 40°S. A northward shift was observed after September, and the standardized CPUE was mainly concentrated at the south coast of Madagascar from November to January. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The environmental characteristics of the Taiwan Strait (TS) have been linked to variations in the abundance and distribution of greater amberjack (Seriola dumerili) populations. Greater amberjack is a commercially and ecologically valuable species in ecosystems, and its spatial distribution patterns are pivotal to fisheries management and conservation. However, the relationship between the catch rates of S. dumerili and the environmental changes and their impact on fish communities remains undetermined in the TS. The goal of this study was to determine the spatiotemporal distribution pattern of S. dumerili with environmental characteristics in the TS from south to north (20°N–29°N and 115°E–127°E), applying generalized additive models (GAMs) and spatiotemporal fisheries data from logbooks and voyage data recorders from Taiwanese fishing vessels (2014–2017) as well as satellite-derived remote sensing environmental data. We used the generalized linear model (GLM) and GAM to analyze the effect of environmental factors and catch rates. The predictive performance of the two statistical models was quantitatively assessed by using the root mean square difference. Results reveal that the GAM outperforms the GLM model in terms of the functional relationship of the GAM for generating a reliable predictive tool. The model selection process was based on the significance of model terms, increase in deviance explained, decrease in residual factor, and reduction in Akaike's information criterion. We then developed a species distribution model based on the best GAMs. The deviance explained indicated that sea surface temperature, linked to high catch rates, was the key factor influencing S. dumerili distributions, whereas mixed layer depth was the least relevant factor. The model predicted a relatively high S. dumerili catch rate in the northwestern region of the TS in summer, with the area extending to the East China Sea. The target species is strongly influenced by biophysical environmental conditions, and potential fishing areas are located throughout the waters of the TS. The findings of this study showed how S. dumerili populations respond to environmental variables and predict species distributions. Data on the habitat preferences and distribution patterns of S. dumerili are essential for understanding the environmental conditions of the TS, which can inform future priorities for conservation planning and management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Continuous Global Positioning Systems (GPS) coordinate time series with a high spatiotemporal resolution, and provide a great opportunity to study their noise models and common mode errors (CMEs), thus making it possible to detect and analyse spatiotemporal characteristics of tectonic and non-tectonic signals in time series, and further to estimate a reliable and accurate velocity field of crustal movement in a region by removing CMEs and using the optimal noise model. In this paper, we used GPS coordinate time series from the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) with an approximate decadal period from 2010 to 2020, to construct optimal noise models by fitting them with several noise combinations according to the Akaike information criterion (AIC). We further adopted independent component analysis (ICA) to extract CMEs and analysed their spatiotemporal characteristics, and then evaluated their effects on noise models and velocity uncertainties, and finally estimated a decennial velocity field of crustal movement with a higher signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) by applying the CME filtering and considering the optimal noise model in Mainland China. Our results show that optimal noise models are dominated by white noise (WN) plus flicker noise (FN) for both east and north components, and WN plus power law noise (PN) with spectral index close to −1 for up component, respectively. ICA filtering can remove the highly spatially correlated CMEs and decrease the mean RMSEs of the residual time series by about 40–60%, providing a more accurate velocity field with a higher SNR in Mainland China, accordingly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Large uncertainties exist in the available hydrology loading prediction models, and currently no consensus is reached on which loading model is superior or appears to represent nature in a more satisfactory way. This study discusses the noise characterization and combination of the vertical loadings predicted by different hydrology reanalysis (e.g., MERRA, GLDAS/Noah, GEOS-FPIT, and ERA interim). We focused on the hydrology loading predictions in the time span from 2011 to 2014 for the 70 Global Positioning System (GPS) sites, which are located close to the great rivers, lakes, and reservoirs. The maximum likelihood estimate with Akaike information criteria (AIC) showed that the auto-regressive (AR) model with an order from 2 to 5 is a good description of the temporal correlation that exists in the hydrology loading predictions. Moreover, significant discrepancy exists in the root mean square (RMS) of different hydrology loading predictions, and none of them have the lowest noise level for the all-time domain. Principal component analysis (PCA) was therefore used to create a combined loading-induced time series. Statistical indices (e.g., mean overlapping Hadamard variance, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, and variance reduction) showed that our proposed algorithm had an overall good performance and seemed to be potentially feasible for performing corrections on geodetic GPS heights. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, we exploited large DInSAR and GPS datasets to create a 4D image of the magma transfer processes at Mauna Loa Volcano (Island of Hawai’i) from 2005 to 2015. The datasets consist of 23 continuous GPS time series and 307 SAR images acquired from ascending and descending orbits by ENVISAT (ENV) and COSMO-SkyMed (CSK) satellites. Our results highlight how the joint use of SAR data acquired from different orbits (thus with different look angles and wavelengths), together with deformation data from GPS networks and geological information can significantly improve the constraints on the geometry and location of the sources responsible for the observed deformation. The analysis of these datasets has been performed by using an innovative method that allows building a complex source configuration. The results suggest that the deformation pattern observed from 2005 to 2015 has been controlled by three deformation sources: the ascent of magma along a conduit, the opening of a dike and the slip along the basal decollement. This confirms that the intrusion of the magma within a tabular system (rift dikes) may trigger the sliding of the SE portion of the volcanic edifice along the basal decollement. This case study confirms that it is now possible to exploit large geodetic datasets to improve our knowledge of volcano dynamics. The same approach could also be easily applied in other geodynamical contexts such as geothermal reservoirs and regions with complex tectonics.

Past redistributions of the Earth's mass resulting from the Earth's viscoelastic response to the cycle of deglaciation and glaciation reflect the process known as glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). GPS data are effective at constraining GIA velocities, provided that these data are accurate, have adequate spatial coverage, and account for competing geophysical processes, including the elastic loading of ice/snow ablation/accumulation. GPS solutions are significantly affected by common mode errors (CMEs) and the choice of optimal noise model, and they are contaminated by other geophysical signals due primarily to the Earth's elastic response. Here, independent component analysis is used to remove the CMEs, and the Akaike information criterion is used to determine the optimal noise model for 79 GPS stations in Antarctica, primarily distributed across West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula. Next, a high-resolution surface mass variation model is used to correct for elastic deformation. Finally, we use the improved GPS solution to assess the accuracy of seven contemporary GIA forward models in Antarctica. The results show that the maximal GPS crustal displacement velocity deviations reach 4.0 mm yr−1, and the mean variation is 0.4 mm yr−1 after removing CMEs and implementing the noise analysis. All GIA model-predicted velocities are found to systematically underestimate the GPS-observed velocities in the Amundsen Sea Embayment. Additionally, the GPS vertical velocities on the North Antarctic Peninsula are larger than those on the South Antarctic Peninsula, and most of the forward models underestimate the GIA impact on the Antarctic Peninsula. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spatially heterogeneous nature and geographical scale of surface urban heat island (SUHI) driving mechanisms remain largely unknown, as most previous studies have focused solely on their global performance and impact strength. This paper analyzes diurnal and nocturnal SUHIs in China based on the multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model for 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2018. Compared to results obtained using the ordinary least square (OLS) model, the MGWR model has a lower corrected Akaike information criterion value and significantly improves the model's coefficient of determination (OLS: 0.087–0.666, MGWR: 0.616–0.894). The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and nighttime light (NTL) are the most critical drivers of daytime and nighttime SUHIs, respectively. In terms of model bandwidth, population and Δfine particulate matter are typically global variables, while ΔNDVI, intercept (i.e., spatial context), and NTL are local variables. The nighttime coefficient of ΔNDVI is significantly negative in the more economically developed southern coastal region, while it is significantly positive in northwestern China. Our study not only improves the understanding of the complex drivers of SUHIs from a multiscale perspective but also provides a basis for urban heat island mitigation by more precisely identifying the heterogeneity of drivers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change and its impact on agriculture are challenging issues regarding food production and food security. Many researchers have been trying to show the direct and indirect impacts of climate change on agriculture using different methods. In this study, we used linear regression models to assess the impact of climate on crop yield spatially and temporally by managing irrigated and non-irrigated crop fields. The climate data used in this study are Tmax (maximum temperature), Tmean (mean temperature), Tmin (minimum temperature), precipitation, and soybean annual yields, at county scale for Mississippi, USA, from 1980 to 2019. We fit a series of linear models that were evaluated based on statistical measurements of adjusted R-square, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). According to the statistical model evaluation, the 1980–1992 model Y[Tmax,Tmin,Precipitation]92i (BIC = 120.2) for irrigated zones and the 1993–2002 model Y[Tmax,Tmean,Precipitation]02ni (BIC = 1128.9) for non-irrigated zones showed the best fit for the 10-year period of climatic impacts on crop yields. These models showed about 2 to 7% significant negative impact of Tmax increase on the crop yield for irrigated and non-irrigated regions. Besides, the models for different agricultural districts also explained the changes of Tmax, Tmean, Tmin, and precipitation in the irrigated (adjusted R-square: 13–28%) and non-irrigated zones (adjusted R-square: 8–73%). About 2–10% negative impact of Tmax was estimated across different agricultural districts, whereas about −2 to +17% impacts of precipitation were observed for different districts. The modeling of 40-year periods of the whole state of Mississippi estimated a negative impact of Tmax (about 2.7 to 8.34%) but a positive impact of Tmean (+8.9%) on crop yield during the crop growing season, for both irrigated and non-irrigated regions. Overall, we assessed that crop yields were negatively affected (about 2–8%) by the increase of Tmax during the growing season, for both irrigated and non-irrigated zones. Both positive and negative impacts on crop yields were observed for the increases of Tmean, Tmin, and precipitation, respectively, for irrigated and non-irrigated zones. This study showed the pattern and extent of Tmax, Tmean, Tmin, and precipitation and their impacts on soybean yield at local and regional scales. The methods and the models proposed in this study could be helpful to quantify the climate change impacts on crop yields by considering irrigation conditions for different regions and periods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

PM 2.5 severely affects human health. Remotely sensed (RS) data can be used to estimate PM 2.5 concentrations and population exposure, and therefore to explain acute respiratory disorders. However, available global PM 2.5 concentration forecast products derived from models assimilating RS data have not yet been exploited to generate early alerts for respiratory problems in Brazil. We investigated the feasibility of building such an early warning system. For this, PM 2.5 concentrations on a 4-day horizon forecast were provided by the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) and compared with the number of severe acute respiratory disease (SARD) cases. Confounding effects of the meteorological conditions were considered by selecting the best linear regression models in terms of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), with meteorological features and their two-way interactions as explanatory variables and PM 2.5 concentrations and SARD cases, taken separately, as response variables. Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficients were then computed between the residuals of the models for PM 2.5 concentration and SARD cases. The results show a clear tendency to positive correlations between PM 2.5 and SARD in all regions of Brazil but the South one, with Spearman's correlation coefficient reaching 0.52 (p < 0.01). Positive significant correlations were also found in the South region by previously correcting the effects of viral infections on the SARD case dynamics. The possibility of using CAMS global PM 2.5 concentration forecast products to build an early warning system for pollution-related effects on human health in Brazil was therefore established. Further investigations should be performed to determine alert threshold(s) and possibly build combined risk indicators involving other risk factors for human respiratory diseases. This is of particular interest in Brazil, where the COVID-19 pandemic and biomass burning are occurring concomitantly, to help minimize the effects of PM emissions and implement mitigation actions within populations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Many studies have achieved efficient and accurate methods for identifying crop lodging under homogeneous field surroundings. However, under complex field conditions, such as diverse fertilization methods, different crop growth stages, and various sowing periods, the accuracy of lodging identification must be improved. Therefore, a maize plot featuring different growth stages was selected in this study to explore an applicable and accurate lodging extraction method. Based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC), we propose an effective and rapid feature screening method (AIC method) and compare its performance using indexed methods (i.e., variation coefficient and relative difference). Seven feature sets extracted from unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) images of lodging and nonlodging maize were established using a canopy height model (CHM) and the multispectral imagery acquired from the UAV. In addition to accuracy parameters (i.e., Kappa coefficient and overall accuracy), the difference index (DI) was applied to search for the optimal window size of texture features. After screening all feature sets by applying the AIC method, binary logistic regression classification (BLRC), maximum likelihood classification (MLC), and random forest classification (RFC) were utilized to discriminate among lodging and nonlodging maize based on the selected features. The results revealed that the optimal window sizes of the gray-level cooccurrence matrix (GLCM) and the gray-level difference histogram statistical (GLDM) texture information were 17 × 17 and 21 × 21, respectively. The AIC method incorporating GLCM texture yielded satisfactory results, obtaining an average accuracy of 82.84% and an average Kappa value of 0.66 and outperforming the index screening method (59.64%, 0.19). Furthermore, the canopy structure feature (CSF) was more beneficial than other features for identifying maize lodging areas at the plot scale. Based on the AIC method, we achieved a positive maize lodging recognition result using the CSFs and BLRC. This study provides a highly robust and novel method for monitoring maize lodging in complicated plot environments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Shrub proliferation across the Arctic from climate warming is expanding herbivore habitat but may also alter forage quality. Dietary fibers—an important component of forage quality—influence shrub palatability, and changes in dietary fiber concentrations may have broad ecological implications. While airborne hyperspectral instruments may effectively estimate dietary fibers, such data captures a limited portion of landscapes. Satellite data such as the multispectral WorldView-3 (WV-3) instrument may enable dietary fiber estimation to be extrapolated across larger areas. We assessed how variation in dietary fibers of Salix alaxensis (Andersson), a palatable northern shrub, could be estimated using hyperspectral and multispectral WV-3 spectral vegetation indices (SVIs) in a greenhouse setting, and whether including structural information (i.e., leaf area) would improve predictions. We collected canopy-level hyperspectral reflectance readings, which we convolved to the band equivalent reflectance of WV-3. We calculated every possible SVI combination using hyperspectral and convolved WV-3 bands. We identified the best performing SVIs for both sensors using the coefficient of determination (adjusted R2) and the root mean square error (RMSE) using simple linear regression. Next, we assessed the importance of plant structure by adding shade leaf area, sun leaf area, and total leaf area to models individually. We evaluated model fits using Akaike's information criterion for small sample sizes and conducted leave-one-out cross validation. We compared cross validation slopes and predictive power (Spearman rank coefficients ρ) between models. Hyperspectral SVIs (R2 = 0.48–0.68; RMSE = 0.04–0.91%) outperformed WV-3 SVIs (R2 = 0.13–0.35; RMSE = 0.05–1.18%) for estimating dietary fibers, suggesting hyperspectral remote sensing is best suited for estimating dietary fibers in a palatable northern shrub. Three dietary fibers showed improved predictive power when leaf area metrics were included (cross validation ρ = +2–8%), suggesting plant structure and the light environment may augment our ability to estimate some dietary fibers in northern landscapes. Monitoring dietary fibers in northern ecosystems may benefit from upcoming hyperspectral satellites such as the environmental mapping and analysis program (EnMAP). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Leaf photosynthetic parameters are important in understanding the role of photosynthesis in the carbon cycle. Conventional approaches to obtain information on the parameters usually involve long-term field work, even for one leaf sample, and are, thus, only applicable to a small area. The utilization of hyperspectral remote sensing especially of various vegetation indices is a promising approach that has been attracting increasing attention recently. However, most hyperspectral indices are only applicable to a specific area and specific forest stands, depending heavily on the conditions from which the indices are developed. In this study, we tried to develop new hyperspectral indices for tracing the two critical photosynthetic parameters (the maximum rate of carboxylation, Vcmax and the maximum rate of electron transport, Jmax) that are at least generally applicable for alpine deciduous forests, based on original hyperspectral reflectance, first-order derivatives, and apparent absorption spectra. In total, ten types of hyperspectral indices were screened to identify the best indices, and their robustness was determined using the ratio of performance to deviation (RPD) and Akaike's Information Criterion corrected (AICc). The result revealed that the double differences (DDn) type of indices using the short-wave infrared (SWIR) region based on the first-order derivatives spectra performed best among all indices. The specific DDn type of indices obtained the RPD values of 1.43 (R2 = 0.51) for Vcmax and 1.68 (R2 = 0.64) for Jmax, respectively. These indices have also been tested using the downscaled dataset to examine the possibilities of using hyperspectral data derived from satellite-based information. These findings highlight the possibilities of tracing photosynthetic capacity using hyperspectral indices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Nighttime light (NTL) data derived from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), carried by the Suomi National Polar Orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite, has been widely used to evaluate gross domestic product (GDP). Nevertheless, due to the monthly VIIRS data fluctuation and missing data (excluded by producers) over high-latitude regions, the suitability of VIIRS data for longitudinal city-level economic estimation needs to be examined. While GDP distribution in China is always accompanied by regional disparity, previous studies have hardly considered the spatial autocorrelation of the GDP distribution when using NTL imagery. Thus, this paper aims to enhance the precision of the longitudinal GDP estimation using spatial methods. The NTL images are used with road networks and permanent resident population data to estimate the 2013, 2015, and 2017 3-year prefecture-level (342 regions) GDP in mainland China, based on eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) regression (mean R2 = 0.98). The ordinary least squares (OLS) (mean R2 = 0.86) and spatial error model (SEM) (mean pseudo R2 = 0.89) were chosen as reference models. The ESF regression exhibits better performance for root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute relative error (MARE), and Akaike information criterion (AIC) than the reference models and effectively eliminated the spatial autocorrelation in the residuals in all 3 years. The results indicate that the spatial economic disparity, as well as population distribution across China's prefectures, is decreasing. The ESF regression also demonstrates that the population is crucial to the local economy and that the contribution of urbanization is growing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The alpine treeline, as an ecological transition zone between montane coniferous forests and alpine meadows (two ecosystem states), is a research hotspot of global ecology and climate change. Quantitative identification of its elevation range can efficiently capture the results of the interaction between climate change and vegetation. Digital extraction and extensive analysis in such a critical elevation range crucially depend on the ability of monitoring ecosystem variables and the suitability of the experimental model, which are often restricted by the weak intersection of disciplines and the spatial-temporal continuity of the data. In this study, the existence of two states was confirmed by frequency analysis and the Akaike information criterion (AIC) as well as the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) indices. The elevation range of a transition for the two ecosystem states on the northern slope of the Bogda was identified by the potential analysis. The results showed that the elevation range of co-occurrence for the two ecosystem states was 2690–2744 m. At the elevation of 2714 m, the high land surface temperature (LST) state started to exhibit more attraction than the low LST state. This elevation value was considered as a demarcation where abrupt shifts between the two states occurred with the increase of elevation. The identification results were validated by a field survey and unmanned aerial vehicle data. Progress has been made in the transition identification for the ecosystem states along the elevation gradient in mountainous areas by combining the remotely-sensed index with a potential analysis. This study also provided a reference for obtaining the elevation of the alpine tree line quickly and accurately. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Coastal salt marshes are biologically productive ecosystems that generate and sequester significant quantities of organic matter. Plant biomass varies spatially within a salt marsh and it is tedious and often logistically impractical to quantify biomass from field measurements across an entire landscape. Satellite data are useful for estimating aboveground biomass, however, high-resolution data are needed to resolve the spatial details within a salt marsh. This study used 3-m resolution multispectral data provided by Planet to estimate aboveground biomass within two salt marshes, North Inlet-Winyah Bay (North Inlet) National Estuary Research Reserve, and Plum Island Ecosystems (PIE) Long-Term Ecological Research site. The Akaike information criterion analysis was performed to test the fidelity of several alternative models. A combination of the modified soil vegetation index 2 (MSAVI2) and the visible difference vegetation index (VDVI) gave the best fit to the square root-normalized biomass data collected in the field at North Inlet (Willmott's index of agreement d = 0.74, RMSE = 223.38 g/m2, AICw = 0.3848). An acceptable model was not found among all models tested for PIE data, possibly because the sample size at PIE was too small, samples were collected over a limited vertical range, in a different season, and from areas with variable canopy architecture. For North Inlet, a model-derived landscape scale biomass map showed differences in biomass density among sites, years, and showed a robust relationship between elevation and biomass. The growth curve established in this study is particularly useful as an input for biogeomorphic models of marsh development. This study showed that, used in an appropriate model with calibration, Planet data are suitable for computing and mapping aboveground biomass at high resolution on a landscape scale, which is needed to better understand spatial and temporal trends in salt marsh primary production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Previous research has recognized the importance of edges to crime. Various scholars have explored how one specific type of edges such as physical edges or social edges affect crime, but rarely investigated the importance of the composite edge effect. To address this gap, this study introduces nightlight data from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite sensor on the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership Satellite (NPP-VIIRS) to measure composite edges. This study defines edges as nightlight gradients—the maximum change of nightlight from a pixel to its neighbors. Using nightlight gradients and other control variables at the tract level, this study applies negative binomial regression models to investigate the effects of edges on the street robbery rate and the burglary rate in Cincinnati. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) of models show that nightlight gradients improve the fitness of models of street robbery and burglary. Also, nightlight gradients make a positive impact on the street robbery rate whilst a negative impact on the burglary rate, both of which are statistically significant under the alpha level of 0.05. The different impacts on these two types of crimes may be explained by the nature of crimes and the in-situ characteristics, including nightlight. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, we exploited large DInSAR and GPS datasets to create a 4D image of the magma transfer processes at Mauna Loa Volcano (Island of Hawai’i) from 2005 to 2015. The datasets consist of 23 continuous GPS time series and 307 SAR images acquired from ascending and descending orbits by ENVISAT (ENV) and COSMO-SkyMed (CSK) satellites. Our results highlight how the joint use of SAR data acquired from different orbits (thus with different look angles and wavelengths), together with deformation data from GPS networks and geological information can significantly improve the constraints on the geometry and location of the sources responsible for the observed deformation. The analysis of these datasets has been performed by using an innovative method that allows building a complex source configuration. The results suggest that the deformation pattern observed from 2005 to 2015 has been controlled by three deformation sources: the ascent of magma along a conduit, the opening of a dike and the slip along the basal decollement. This confirms that the intrusion of the magma within a tabular system (rift dikes) may trigger the sliding of the SE portion of the volcanic edifice along the basal decollement. This case study confirms that it is now possible to exploit large geodetic datasets to improve our knowledge of volcano dynamics. The same approach could also be easily applied in other geodynamical contexts such as geothermal reservoirs and regions with complex tectonics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]