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This study assesses the possibilities of the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG-GPM) to estimate extreme rainfall anomalies. A web application, the IMERG Precipitation Extractor (IPE), was developed which allows for the querying, visualization, and downloading of time-series satellite precipitation data for points, watersheds, country extents, and digitized areas. The tool supports different temporal resolutions ranging from 30 min to 1 week and facilitates advanced analyses such as anomaly detection and storm tracking, an important component for climate change study. To validate the IMERG precipitation data for anomaly estimation over a 22-year period (2001 to 2022), the Rainfall Anomaly Index (RAI) was calculated and compared with RAI data from 2360 NOAA stations across the conterminous United States (CONUS), considering both dry and wet climate regions. In the dry region, the results showed an average correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.94, a percentage relative bias (PRB) of −22.32%, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.96, a mean bias ratio (MBR) of 0.74, a Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.80, and a Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) of 0.52. In the wet region, the average CC of 0.93, PRB of 24.82%, RMSE of 0.96, MBR of 0.79, NSE of 0.80, and KGE of 0.18 were computed. Median RAI indices from both the IMERG and NOAA indicated an increase in rainfall intensity and frequency since 2010, highlighting growing concerns about climate change. The study suggests that IMERG data can serve as a valuable alternative for modeling extreme rainfall anomalies in data-scarce areas, noting its possibilities, limitations, and uncertainties. The IPE web application also offers a platform for extending research beyond CONUS and advocating for further global climate change studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study assesses the possibilities of the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG-GPM) to estimate extreme rainfall anomalies. A web application, the IMERG Precipitation Extractor (IPE), was developed which allows for the querying, visualization, and downloading of time-series satellite precipitation data for points, watersheds, country extents, and digitized areas. The tool supports different temporal resolutions ranging from 30 min to 1 week and facilitates advanced analyses such as anomaly detection and storm tracking, an important component for climate change study. To validate the IMERG precipitation data for anomaly estimation over a 22-year period (2001 to 2022), the Rainfall Anomaly Index (RAI) was calculated and compared with RAI data from 2360 NOAA stations across the conterminous United States (CONUS), considering both dry and wet climate regions. In the dry region, the results showed an average correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.94, a percentage relative bias (PRB) of −22.32%, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.96, a mean bias ratio (MBR) of 0.74, a Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.80, and a Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) of 0.52. In the wet region, the average CC of 0.93, PRB of 24.82%, RMSE of 0.96, MBR of 0.79, NSE of 0.80, and KGE of 0.18 were computed. Median RAI indices from both the IMERG and NOAA indicated an increase in rainfall intensity and frequency since 2010, highlighting growing concerns about climate change. The study suggests that IMERG data can serve as a valuable alternative for modeling extreme rainfall anomalies in data-scarce areas, noting its possibilities, limitations, and uncertainties. The IPE web application also offers a platform for extending research beyond CONUS and advocating for further global climate change studies.

Recent years have witnessed contrasting trends in summer total rainfall (STR) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), with an increase in the northern and a decrease in the southern TP. This study identifies four significant centers of rainfall trends: eastern TP ("region A"), Qiangtang Plateau ("B"), Qaidam Basin ("C"), and the northern foothills of the Himalayas ("D"). Heavy rainfall dominates STR trends in regions A and D, accounting for 55.6% and 52.0%, respectively. In region B, moderate and light rainfall contribute almost equally, accounting for 37.3% and 44.8% of the STR trend, respectively. Region C is primarily influenced by light rainfall, explaining 71.2% of the STR trend. Notably, the contributions of different rainfall intensities to STR in each region vary annually, with region A experiencing more heavy rainfall, region B having moderate dominance but less light rainfall, and region C and D showing reduced and increased light rainfall contributions, respectively. Mechanistically, the strengthening of the upper-level westerly jet and the South Asian High, coupled with changes in moisture transport and convective available potential energy, collectively cause variations in rainfall intensity, characterizing the spatial heterogeneity in STR in the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation is a major component of the water cycle. Accurate and reliable estimation of precipitation is essential for various applications. Generally, there are three main types of precipitation products: satellite based, reanalysis, and ground measurements from rain gauge stations. Each type has its advantages and disadvantages. Recent efforts have been made to develop various merging methods to improve precipitation estimates by combining multiple precipitation products. This study evaluated for the first time the performance of the random forest-based merging procedure (RF-MEP) method in enhancing the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates in Chongqing city, China with a complex terrain and sparse observational data. The RF-MEP method was used to merge three widely used gridded precipitation products (CHIRPS, ERA5-Land, and GPM IMERG) with ground measurements from a limited number of rain gauge stations to produce the merged precipitation dataset. Eight stations (approximately 70% of the available stations) were used to train the RF-MEP approach, while four stations (30%) were used for independent testing. Various statistical metrics were employed to assess the performance of the merged precipitation dataset and the three existing precipitation products against the ground measurements. Our results demonstrated that the RF-MEP approach significantly enhances the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates, surpassing the performance of the individual precipitation products and two other merging methods (the simple linear regression model and the simple averaging). Among the three existing products, ERA5-Land exhibited the best performance in capturing daily precipitation, followed by GPM IMERG, while CHIRPS performed the worst. Regarding precipitation intensity, all three existing products and the RF-MEP merged dataset performed well in capturing light precipitation events with an intensity of less than 1 mm/day, which accounts for the majority (more than 70%) of occurrences. However, all datasets showed rather poor capability in capturing precipitation events beyond 1 mm/day, with the worst performance observed for extreme heavy precipitation events exceeding 50 mm/day. The RF-MEP approach significantly improves the detection ability for all precipitation intensities, except for the most extreme intensity (>50 mm/day), where only marginal improvement is observed. Analysis of the spatial pattern of precipitation estimates and the temporal bias of daily precipitation estimates further confirms the superior performance of the RF-MEP merged precipitation dataset over the three existing products. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent years have witnessed contrasting trends in summer total rainfall (STR) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), with an increase in the northern and a decrease in the southern TP. This study identifies four significant centers of rainfall trends: eastern TP (“region A”), Qiangtang Plateau (“B”), Qaidam Basin (“C”), and the northern foothills of the Himalayas (“D”). Heavy rainfall dominates STR trends in regions A and D, accounting for 55.6% and 52.0%, respectively. In region B, moderate and light rainfall contribute almost equally, accounting for 37.3% and 44.8% of the STR trend, respectively. Region C is primarily influenced by light rainfall, explaining 71.2% of the STR trend. Notably, the contributions of different rainfall intensities to STR in each region vary annually, with region A experiencing more heavy rainfall, region B having moderate dominance but less light rainfall, and region C and D showing reduced and increased light rainfall contributions, respectively. Mechanistically, the strengthening of the upper-level westerly jet and the South Asian High, coupled with changes in moisture transport and convective available potential energy, collectively cause variations in rainfall intensity, characterizing the spatial heterogeneity in STR in the TP.

Calculating rainfall erosivity, which is the capacity of rainfall to dislodge soil particles and cause erosion, requires the measurement of the rainfall kinetic energy (KE). Direct measurement of KE has its own challenges, owing to the high cost and complexity of the measuring instruments involved. Consequently, the KE is often approximated using empirical equations derived from rainfall intensity (Ir) inputs in the absence of such instruments. However, the KE–Ir equations strongly depend on local climate patterns and measurement methods. Therefore, this study aims to compare and evaluate the efficacy of 27 KE–Ir equations with observed data. Based on a re-analysis, we also propose an exponential KE–Ir equation for the entire Korean site, and the spatial distribution of its parameter in the equation is also discussed. In this investigation, we used an optical disdrometer (OTT Parsivel2) to gather data in Sangju City (Korea) between June 2020 and December 2021. The outputs of this study are shown as follows: (1) The statistically most accurate estimates of KE expenditure and KE content in Sangju City are obtained using power-law equations given by Sanchez-Moreno et al. and exponential equations published by Lee and Won, respectively. (2) The suggested KE–Ir equation applied to the entire Korean site exhibits a comparable general correlation with the observed data. The parameter maps indicate a high variance in geography. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation is a major component of the water cycle. Accurate and reliable estimation of precipitation is essential for various applications. Generally, there are three main types of precipitation products: satellite based, reanalysis, and ground measurements from rain gauge stations. Each type has its advantages and disadvantages. Recent efforts have been made to develop various merging methods to improve precipitation estimates by combining multiple precipitation products. This study evaluated for the first time the performance of the random forest-based merging procedure (RF-MEP) method in enhancing the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates in Chongqing city, China with a complex terrain and sparse observational data. The RF-MEP method was used to merge three widely used gridded precipitation products (CHIRPS, ERA5-Land, and GPM IMERG) with ground measurements from a limited number of rain gauge stations to produce the merged precipitation dataset. Eight stations (approximately 70% of the available stations) were used to train the RF-MEP approach, while four stations (30%) were used for independent testing. Various statistical metrics were employed to assess the performance of the merged precipitation dataset and the three existing precipitation products against the ground measurements. Our results demonstrated that the RF-MEP approach significantly enhances the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates, surpassing the performance of the individual precipitation products and two other merging methods (the simple linear regression model and the simple averaging). Among the three existing products, ERA5-Land exhibited the best performance in capturing daily precipitation, followed by GPM IMERG, while CHIRPS performed the worst. Regarding precipitation intensity, all three existing products and the RF-MEP merged dataset performed well in capturing light precipitation events with an intensity of less than 1 mm/day, which accounts for the majority (more than 70%) of occurrences. However, all datasets showed rather poor capability in capturing precipitation events beyond 1 mm/day, with the worst performance observed for extreme heavy precipitation events exceeding 50 mm/day. The RF-MEP approach significantly improves the detection ability for all precipitation intensities, except for the most extreme intensity (>50 mm/day), where only marginal improvement is observed. Analysis of the spatial pattern of precipitation estimates and the temporal bias of daily precipitation estimates further confirms the superior performance of the RF-MEP merged precipitation dataset over the three existing products.

Calculating rainfall erosivity, which is the capacity of rainfall to dislodge soil particles and cause erosion, requires the measurement of the rainfall kinetic energy (KE). Direct measurement of KE has its own challenges, owing to the high cost and complexity of the measuring instruments involved. Consequently, the KE is often approximated using empirical equations derived from rainfall intensity (Ir) inputs in the absence of such instruments. However, the KE–Ir equations strongly depend on local climate patterns and measurement methods. Therefore, this study aims to compare and evaluate the efficacy of 27 KE–Ir equations with observed data. Based on a re-analysis, we also propose an exponential KE–Ir equation for the entire Korean site, and the spatial distribution of its parameter in the equation is also discussed. In this investigation, we used an optical disdrometer (OTT Parsivel2) to gather data in Sangju City (Korea) between June 2020 and December 2021. The outputs of this study are shown as follows: (1) The statistically most accurate estimates of KE expenditure and KE content in Sangju City are obtained using power-law equations given by Sanchez-Moreno et al. and exponential equations published by Lee and Won, respectively. (2) The suggested KE–Ir equation applied to the entire Korean site exhibits a comparable general correlation with the observed data. The parameter maps indicate a high variance in geography.

Commercial microwave link (MWL) used by mobile telecom operators for data transmission can provide hydro-meteorologically valid rainfall estimates according to studies in the past decade. For the first time, this study investigated a new method, the MSG technique, that uses Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite data to improve MWL rainfall estimates. The investigation, conducted during daytime, used MSG optical (VIS0.6) and near IR (NIR1.6) data to estimate rain areas along a 15 GHz, 9.88 km MWL for classifying the MWL signal into wet–dry periods and estimate the baseline level. Additionally, the MSG technique estimated a new parameter, wet path length, representing the length of the MWL that was wet during wet periods. Finally, MWL rainfall intensity estimates from this new MSG and conventional techniques were compared to rain gauge estimates. The results show that the MSG technique is robust and can estimate gauge comparable rainfall estimates. The evaluation scores every three hours of RMSD, relative bias, and r2 based on the entire evaluation period results of the MSG technique were 2.61 mm h−1, 0.47, and 0.81, compared to 2.09 mm h−1, 0.04, and 0.84 of the conventional technique, respectively. For convective rain events with high intensity spatially varying rainfall, the results show that the MSG technique may approximate the actual mean rainfall estimates better than the conventional technique.

Black soil areas are strongly affected by rill erosion due to the geomorphic characteristics of flood plains and heavy rainfall. To study the problem of rill erosion in black soil areas and achieve ecological restoration, based on the method of artificially simulated rainfall, the effects of rainfall intensity and slope on the characteristics of flow and sand production on the slope surface of black soil areas were studied, and the erosion pattern of the slope surface after rainfall was monitored by a 3D laser scanner to analyze the erosion of the soil on the slope surface. The slope erosion model was constructed on the basis of the cellular automata (CA) method, and the results of the model’s operation were compared with actual rainfall measurement results to deepen research on the slope erosion mechanism in black soil areas. By analyzing the slope erosion pattern after rainfall, it was found that the surface area and erosion volume of serious slope erosion areas increased with increases in slope gradient. Based on the physical model test results combined with the CA model to simulate flow and sand production on bare slopes under different rainfall intensities, comparison showed that the CA model can accurately simulate flow and sand production on a slope where the Ens coefficient of the flow production rate is between 0.70 and 0.97, thus theoretically verifying the reliability of the model, and on this basis, the erosion pattern of the slope after rainfall was predicted to explore the evolution and development law of erosion.

Commercial microwave link (MWL) used by mobile telecom operators for data transmission can provide hydro-meteorologically valid rainfall estimates according to studies in the past decade. For the first time, this study investigated a new method, the MSG technique, that uses Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite data to improve MWL rainfall estimates. The investigation, conducted during daytime, used MSG optical (VIS0.6) and near IR (NIR1.6) data to estimate rain areas along a 15 GHz, 9.88 km MWL for classifying the MWL signal into wet–dry periods and estimate the baseline level. Additionally, the MSG technique estimated a new parameter, wet path length, representing the length of the MWL that was wet during wet periods. Finally, MWL rainfall intensity estimates from this new MSG and conventional techniques were compared to rain gauge estimates. The results show that the MSG technique is robust and can estimate gauge comparable rainfall estimates. The evaluation scores every three hours of RMSD, relative bias, and r2 based on the entire evaluation period results of the MSG technique were 2.61 mm h−1, 0.47, and 0.81, compared to 2.09 mm h−1, 0.04, and 0.84 of the conventional technique, respectively. For convective rain events with high intensity spatially varying rainfall, the results show that the MSG technique may approximate the actual mean rainfall estimates better than the conventional technique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Black soil areas are strongly affected by rill erosion due to the geomorphic characteristics of flood plains and heavy rainfall. To study the problem of rill erosion in black soil areas and achieve ecological restoration, based on the method of artificially simulated rainfall, the effects of rainfall intensity and slope on the characteristics of flow and sand production on the slope surface of black soil areas were studied, and the erosion pattern of the slope surface after rainfall was monitored by a 3D laser scanner to analyze the erosion of the soil on the slope surface. The slope erosion model was constructed on the basis of the cellular automata (CA) method, and the results of the model's operation were compared with actual rainfall measurement results to deepen research on the slope erosion mechanism in black soil areas. By analyzing the slope erosion pattern after rainfall, it was found that the surface area and erosion volume of serious slope erosion areas increased with increases in slope gradient. Based on the physical model test results combined with the CA model to simulate flow and sand production on bare slopes under different rainfall intensities, comparison showed that the CA model can accurately simulate flow and sand production on a slope where the Ens coefficient of the flow production rate is between 0.70 and 0.97, thus theoretically verifying the reliability of the model, and on this basis, the erosion pattern of the slope after rainfall was predicted to explore the evolution and development law of erosion. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]