Search

On May 22nd, 2021, an MS7.4 earthquake occurred near the Maduo county of the Qinghai Province, China, within the Bayan Har Block. Seismic activities have been intense in this block, thus whether the Maduo Earthquake will bring subsequent seismic hazards to its surrounding regions raises wide concerns. In this paper, we first calculated the Coulomb failure stress changes caused by the Maduo Earthquake on nearby faults, and estimated how much these faults are brought closer or further from their next failures based on their stressing rates. Next, we combined the Coulomb failure stress changes with the rate-state fictional law to estimate the seismicity rate in the study region in the next decade. A declustered catalogue before the Maduo Earthquake was adopted to calculate background seismicity rate, and rate-state parameters are constrained by fault slip rates. Our results show that the Maduo Earthquake increases stress accumulations in the northwestern portion of the Qingshuihe fault (0.02 MPa at maximum), the two ends of the Kunlun Mountain Pass-Jiangcuo fault (0.01 MPa at maximum), and the northwestern portion of the Maduo-Gande fault (on average ∼0.09 MPa), and seismicity rates are expected to increase near these faults. What is especially worth noting is the seismic hazard in the region extending from the eastern end of the Kunlun Mountain Pass-Jiangcuo fault to the Maqin-Maqu seismic gap on the Eastern Kunlun fault, which is calculated to have experienced a maximum stress increase of 0.67 MPa after the Maduo Earthquake. On the other hand, stress accumulations are reduced in the southern end of the Elashan fault, the Eastern Kunlun fault segment to the west of Maduo, and the northwestern portion of the Dari fault. Seismic hazards are expected to be low in these regions. For the study region as a whole, the probability of an M≥6 earthquake taking place in the next decade is estimated to be 59%, about twice the value calculated for the time period before the Maduo Earthquake. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

On 22nd May 2021 (local time), an earthquake of Ms7.4 struck Maduo county in Qinghai Province, China. This was the largest earthquake in China since the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. In this study, ascending/descending Sentinel-1 and advanced land observation satellite-2 (ALOS-2) synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images were used to derive the three-dimensional (3-D) coseismic displacements of this earthquake. We used the differential interferometric SAR (InSAR, DInSAR), pixel offset-tracking (POT), multiple aperture InSAR (MAI), and burst overlap interferometry (BOI) methods to derive the displacement observations along the line-of-sight (LOS) and azimuth directions. To accurately mitigate the effect of ionospheric delay on the ALOS-2 DInSAR observations, a polynomial fitting method was proposed to optimize range-spectrum-split-derived ionospheric phases. In addition, the 3-D displacement field was obtained by a strain model and variance component estimation (SM-VCE) method based on the high-quality SAR displacement observations. Results indicated that a left-lateral fault slip with the largest horizontal displacement of up to 2.4 m dominated this earthquake, and the small-magnitude vertical displacement with an alternating uplift/subsidence pattern along the fault trace was more concentrated in the near-fault regions. Comparison with the global navigation satellite system data indicated that the SM-VCE method can significantly improve the accuracy of the displacements compared to the classical weighted least squares method, and the incorporation of the BOI displacements can substantially benefit the accuracy of north-south displacement. In addition to the displacements, three coseismic strain invariants calculated based on the strain model parameters were also investigated. It was found that the eastern and western parts of the faults suffered more significant strains compared with the epicenter region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]