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Abstract: Background: Both temperature and particulate air pollution are associated with increased death risk. However, whether the effect of particulate air pollution on mortality is modified by temperature remains unsettled. Methods: A stratified time-series analysis was conducted to examine whether the effects of particulate matter less than 10μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10) on mortality was modified by temperature in eight Chinese cities. Poisson regression models incorporating natural spline smoothing functions were used to adjust for long-term and seasonal trends of mortality, as well as other time-varying covariates. The bivariate response surface model was applied to visually examine the potential interacting effect. The associations between PM10 and mortality were stratified by temperature to examine effect modification. Results: The averaged daily concentrations of PM10 in the eight Chinese cities ranged from 65μg/m3 to 124μg/m3, which were much higher than in Western countries. We found evidence that the effects of PM10 on mortality may depend on temperature. The eight-city combined analysis showed that on “normal” (5th–95th percentile) temperature days, a 10-μg/m3 increment in PM10 corresponded to a 0.54% (95% CI, 0.39 to 0.69) increase of total mortality, 0.56% (95% CI, 0.36 to 0.76) increase of cardiovascular mortality, and 0.80% (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.96) increase of respiratory mortality. On high temperature (>95th percentile) days, the estimates increased to 1.35% (95% CI, 0.80 to 1.91) for total mortality, 1.57% (95% CI, 0.69 to 2.46) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.79% (95% CI, 0.75 to 2.83) for respiratory mortality. We did not observe significant effect modification by extreme low temperature. Conclusions: Extreme high temperature increased the associations of PM10 with daily mortality. These findings may have implication for the health impact associated with both air pollution and global climate change. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Controversy remains regarding the relationship between various metrics of ozone (O3) and mortality. In China, the largest developing country, there have been few studies investigating the acute effect of O3 on death. We used three exposure metrics of O3 (1-hour maximum, maximum 8-hour average and 24-hour average) to examine its short-term association with daily mortality in Suzhou, China. We used a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) with penalized splines to analyze the mortality, O3, and covariate data. We examined the association by season, age group, sex and educational level. We found that the current level of O3 in Suzhou is associated with death rates from all causes and cardiovascular diseases. Among various metrics of O3, maximum 8-hour average and 1-hour maximum concentrations seem to be more strongly associated with increased mortality rate compared to 24-hour average concentrations. Using maximum 8-hour average, an inter-quartile range increase of 2-day average O3 (lag 01) corresponds to 2.15% (95%CI, 0.36 to 3.93), 4.47% (95%CI, 1.43 to 7.51), −1.85% (95%CI, −6.91 to 3.22) increase in all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, respectively. The associations between O3 and daily mortality appeared to be more evident in the cool season than in the warm season. In conclusion, maximum 8-hour average and 1-hour maximum concentrations of O3 are associated with daily mortality in Suzhou. Our analyses strengthen the rationale for further limiting levels of O3 pollution in the city. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Few case-crossover studies were conducted in China to investigate the acute health effects of air pollution. We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover analysis to examine the association between air pollution and daily mortality in Anshan, a heavily-polluted industrial city in northeastern China. Daily mortality, air pollution, and weather data in 2004–2006 in Anshan were collected. Time-stratified case-crossover approach was used to estimate the effect of air pollutants (PM10, SO2, NO2 and CO) on total and cardiopulmonary mortality. Controls were selected as matched days of the week in the same month. Potential effect modifiers, such as gender and age, were also examined. We found significant associations between air pollution and daily mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Anshan. A 10μg/m3 elevation of 2-day moving average (lag 01) concentration in PM10, SO2, NO2 and CO corresponded to 0.67% (95% CI: 0.29%, 1.04%), 0.38% (95% CI: −0.06%, 0.83%), 2.11% (95% CI: 0.22%, 4.00%) and 0.04% (95% CI: 0.01%, 0.07%) increase of cardiovascular mortality. The associations for total and respiratory mortality were generally positive but statistically insignificant. The air pollution health effects were significantly modified by age, but not by gender. Conclusively, our study showed that short-term exposure to air pollution was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in Anshan. These findings may have implications for local environmental and social policies. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]