5 results on '"Guillet, S"'
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2. 250 years of flood frequency and discharge in an ungauged Corsican mountain catchment: A dendrogeomorphic reconstruction.
- Author
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Zhong Y, Favillier A, Cánovas JAB, Qie J, Manchado AM, Guillet S, Huneau F, Corona C, and Stoffel M
- Abstract
The primary goal of paleoflood hydrology is to estimate the frequency and magnitude of past floods. Botanical evidence, and particularly scars on trees, has been used repeatedly as paleostage indicators to reconstruct peak discharges and flood height. Yet, these reconstructions depend on the presence of visible scars on tree stems which tend to be masked as trees grow older. Here, we estimated flood magnitude using an alternative approach based on growth disturbances in tree-ring series, tree positions and the minimal discharge necessary to submerge the root collar of a tree as estimated by hydraulic modeling. We tested the reliability of this newly developed approach by using the traditional scar-based reconstruction as a benchmark. To this end, we sampled 60 trees showing evidence of flood damage on their stems along a 787-m long segment of the Asco river (Corsica, France). Based on 440 growth disturbances dated in tree-ring series, we reconstructed 28 floods between 1759 and 2020 and 18 during the 20th century. Using the two-dimensional Iber hydraulic model and detailed topographic data of the study site obtained from UAV imagery, we estimated that peak discharges of the 28 reconstructed events ranged between 10 and 210 m
3 s-1 , with 200 m3 s-1 being considered as the threshold for extreme floods. Not only do the scar-based and root collar submersion approaches yield similar results, findings are also clearly in line with the sparse information available from historical archives and short gauge station records on past floods. The unprecedented length and depth of the record presented here opens new avenues for climate change and flood impact research., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Markus Stoffel reports financial support was provided by Chinese Scholarship Council., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2023
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3. Recent flood hazards in Kashmir put into context with millennium-long historical and tree-ring records.
- Author
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Ballesteros-Cánovas JA, Koul T, Bashir A, Del Pozo JMB, Allen S, Guillet S, Rashid I, Alamgir SH, Shah M, Bhat MS, Alam A, and Stoffel M
- Subjects
- Forecasting, Probability, Disasters, Floods
- Abstract
In September 2014, the Kashmir valley (north-west India) experienced a massive flood causing significant economic losses and fatalities. This disaster underlined the high vulnerability of the local population and raised questions regarding the resilience of Kashmiris to future floods. Although the magnitude of the 2014 flood has been considered unprecedented within the context of existing measurements, we argue that the short flow series may lead to spurious misinterpretation of the probability of such extreme events. Here we use a millennium-long record of past floods in Kashmir based on historical and tree-ring records to assess the probability of 2014-like flood events in the region. Our flood chronology (635 CE-nowadays) provides key insights into the recurrence of flood disasters and propels understanding of flood variability in this region over the last millennium, showing enhanced activity during the Little Ice Age. We find that high-impact floods have frequently disrupted the Kashmir valley in the past. Thus, the inclusion of historical records reveals large flood hazard levels in the region. The newly gained information also underlines the critical need to take immediate action in the region, so as to reduce the exposure of local populations and to increase their resilience, despite existing constraints in watershed management related to the Indus Water Treaty., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2020
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4. Imprisoned in the Cretan mountains: How relict Zelkova abelicea (Ulmaceae) trees cope with Mediterranean climate.
- Author
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Fazan L, Guillet S, Corona C, Kozlowski G, and Stoffel M
- Abstract
We investigate the sensitivity of the relict, endemic Cretan tree species Zelkova abelicea (Lam.) Boiss. (Ulmaceae) to several climate variables (temperature, precipitation and drought). For this purpose, we establish the first centennial tree-ring chronology for the species, and the first ever tree-ring chronology for a broadleaved species on Crete. We demonstrate the strong sensitivity of Z. abelicea towards precipitation and drought in late spring to early summer and the absence of a significant response to abundant precipitation occurring during winter or early spring. Whereas the late spring sensitivity is strong and consistent through time, the species seems to be experiencing a loss of signal towards early summer conditions since the 1970s, interpreted as an earlier cessation of cambial activity due to the increase in summer drought conditions on Crete. However, despite a reduced vegetative period, no significant decrease in radial growth of Z. abelicea was observed in the tree-ring series for the last decades, thus highlighting the capacity of Z. abelicea to withstand changing environmental conditions., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2017
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5. Impacts of regional climatic fluctuations on radial growth of Siberian and Scots pine at Mukhrino mire (central-western Siberia).
- Author
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Blanchet G, Guillet S, Calliari B, Corona C, Edvardsson J, Stoffel M, and Bragazza L
- Abstract
Ring width (TRW) chronologies from Siberian (Pinus sibirica) and Scots (Pinus sylvestris) pine trees were sampled at Mukhrino - a large mire complex in central-western Siberia - to evaluate the impacts of hydroclimatic variability on tree growth over the last three centuries. For this purpose, we compared climate-growth correlation profiles from trees growing on peat soils with those growing on adjacent mineral soils. Tree growth at both peat and mineral soils was positively correlated to air temperature during the vegetation period. This finding can be explained by (i) the positive influence of temperature on plant physiological processes (i.e. growth control) during the growing season and (ii) the indirect impact of air temperatures on water table fluctuations. We observe also a strong link between TRW and the winter Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), especially in Siberian pine, reflecting the isolating effect of snow and limited freezing damage in roots. Significant negative relations were, by contrast, observed between bog TRW chronologies and hydroclimatic indices during spring and summer; they are considered an expression of the negative impacts of high water levels and moist peat soils on root development. Some unusually old bog pines - exhibiting >500 growth rings - apparently colonized the site at the beginning of the Little Ice Age, and therefore seem to confirm that (i) peat conditions may have been drier in Siberia than in most other regions of western Europe during this period. At the same time, the bog trees also point to (ii) their strong dependence on surface conditions., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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