6 results on '"Tummon, F."'
Search Results
2. Machine learning methods for low-cost pollen monitoring - Model optimisation and interpretability.
- Author
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Mills SA, Maya-Manzano JM, Tummon F, MacKenzie AR, and Pope FD
- Abstract
Pollen is a major issue globally, causing as much as 40 % of the population to suffer from hay fever and other allergic conditions. Current techniques for monitoring pollen are either laborious and slow, or expensive, thus alternative methods are needed to provide timely and more localised information on airborne pollen concentrations. We have demonstrated previously that low-cost Optical Particle Counter (OPC) sensors can be used to estimate pollen concentrations when machine learning methods are used to process the data and learn the relationships between OPC output data and conventionally measured pollen concentrations. This study demonstrates how methodical hyperparameter tuning can be employed to significantly improve model performance. We present the results of a range of models based on tuned hyperparameter configurations trained to predict Poaceae (Barnhart), Quercus (L.), Betula (L.), Pinus (L.) and total pollen concentrations. The results achieved here are a significant improvement on results we previously reported: the average R2 scores for the total pollen models have at least doubled compared to using previous parameter settings. Furthermore, we employ the explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) technique, SHAP, to interpret the models and understand how each of the input features (i.e. particle sizes) affect the estimated output concentration for each pollen type. In particular, we found that Quercus pollen has a strong positive correlation with particles of optical diameter 1.7-2.3 μm, which distinguishes it from other pollen types such as Poaceae and may suggest that type-specific subpollen particles are present in this size range. There is much further work to be done, especially in training and testing models on data obtained across different environments to evaluate the extent of generalisability. Nevertheless, this work demonstrates the potential this method can offer for low-cost monitoring of pollen and the valuable insight we can gain from what the model has learned., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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3. Designing an automatic pollen monitoring network for direct usage of observations to reconstruct the concentration fields.
- Author
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Sofiev M, Buters J, Tummon F, Fatahi Y, Sozinova O, Adams-Groom B, Bergmann KC, Dahl Å, Gehrig R, Gilge S, Seliger AK, Kouznetsov R, Lieberherr G, O'Connor D, Oteros J, Palamarchuk J, Ribeiro H, Werchan B, Werchan M, and Clot B
- Abstract
We consider several approaches to a design of a regional-to-continent-scale automatic pollen monitoring network in Europe. Practical challenges related to the arrangement of such a network limit the range of possible solutions. A hierarchical network is discussed, highlighting the necessity of a few reference sites that follow an extended observations protocol and have corresponding capabilities. Several theoretically rigorous approaches to a network design have been developed so far. However, before starting the process, a network purpose, a criterion of its performance, and a concept of the data usage should be formalized. For atmospheric composition monitoring, developments follow one of the two concepts: a network for direct representation of concentration fields and a network for model-based data assimilation, inverse problem solution, and forecasting. The current paper demonstrates the first approach, whereas the inverse problems are considered in a follow-up paper. We discuss the approaches for the network design from theoretical and practical standpoints, formulate criteria for the network optimality, and consider practical constraints for an automatic pollen network. An application of the methodology is demonstrated for a prominent example of Germany's pollen monitoring network. The multi-step method includes (i) the network representativeness and (ii) redundancy evaluation followed by (iii) fidelity evaluation and improvement using synthetic data., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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4. Constructing a pollen proxy from low-cost Optical Particle Counter (OPC) data processed with Neural Networks and Random Forests.
- Author
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Mills SA, Bousiotis D, Maya-Manzano JM, Tummon F, MacKenzie AR, and Pope FD
- Subjects
- Neural Networks, Computer, Particulate Matter analysis, Particle Size, Poaceae, Allergens, Environmental Monitoring methods, Random Forest, Pollen chemistry
- Abstract
Pollen allergies affect a significant proportion of the global population, and this is expected to worsen in years to come. There is demand for the development of automated pollen monitoring systems. Low-cost Optical Particle Counters (OPCs) measure particulate matter and have attractive advantages of real-time high time resolution data and affordable costs. This study asks whether low-cost OPC sensors can be used for meaningful monitoring of airborne pollen. We employ a variety of methods, including supervised machine learning techniques, to construct pollen proxies from hourly-average OPC data and evaluate their performance, holding out 40 % of observations to test the proxies. The most successful methods are supervised machine learning Neural Network (NN) and Random Forest (RF) methods, trained from pollen concentrations collected from a Hirst-type sampler. These perform significantly better than using a simple particle size-filtered proxy or a Positive Matrix Factorisation (PMF) source apportionment pollen proxy. Twelve NN and RF models were developed to construct a pollen proxy, each varying by model type, input features and target variable. The results show that such models can construct useful information on pollen from OPC data. The best metrics achieved (Spearman correlation coefficient = 0.85, coefficient of determination = 0.67) were for the NN model constructing a Poaceae (grass) pollen proxy, based on particle size information, temperature, and relative humidity. Ability to distinguish high pollen events was evaluated using F1 Scores, a score reflecting the fraction of true positives with respect to false positives and false negatives, with promising results (F1 ≤ 0.83). Model-constructed proxies demonstrated the ability to follow monthly and diurnal trends in pollen. We discuss the suitability of OPCs for monitoring pollen and offer advice for future progress. We demonstrate an attractive alternative for automated pollen monitoring that could provide valuable and timely information to the benefit of pollen allergy sufferers., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier B.V.)
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- 2023
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5. Towards European automatic bioaerosol monitoring: Comparison of 9 automatic pollen observational instruments with classic Hirst-type traps.
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Maya-Manzano JM, Tummon F, Abt R, Allan N, Bunderson L, Clot B, Crouzy B, Daunys G, Erb S, Gonzalez-Alonso M, Graf E, Grewling Ł, Haus J, Kadantsev E, Kawashima S, Martinez-Bracero M, Matavulj P, Mills S, Niederberger E, Lieberherr G, Lucas RW, O'Connor DJ, Oteros J, Palamarchuk J, Pope FD, Rojo J, Šaulienė I, Schäfer S, Schmidt-Weber CB, Schnitzler M, Šikoparija B, Skjøth CA, Sofiev M, Stemmler T, Triviño M, Zeder Y, and Buters J
- Subjects
- Humans, Environmental Monitoring methods, Pollen, Seasons, Poaceae, Betula, Allergens, Hypersensitivity
- Abstract
To benefit allergy patients and the medical practitioners, pollen information should be available in both a reliable and timely manner; the latter is only recently possible due to automatic monitoring. To evaluate the performance of all currently available automatic instruments, an international intercomparison campaign was jointly organised by the EUMETNET AutoPollen Programme and the ADOPT COST Action in Munich, Germany (March-July 2021). The automatic systems (hardware plus identification algorithms) were compared with manual Hirst-type traps. Measurements were aggregated into 3-hourly or daily values to allow comparison across all devices. We report results for total pollen as well as for Betula, Fraxinus, Poaceae, and Quercus, for all instruments that provided these data. The results for daily averages compared better with Hirst observations than the 3-hourly values. For total pollen, there was a considerable spread among systems, with some reaching R
2 > 0.6 (3 h) and R2 > 0.75 (daily) compared with Hirst-type traps, whilst other systems were not suitable to sample total pollen efficiently (R2 < 0.3). For individual pollen types, results similar to the Hirst were frequently shown by a small group of systems. For Betula, almost all systems performed well (R2 > 0.75 for 9 systems for 3-hourly data). Results for Fraxinus and Quercus were not as good for most systems, while for Poaceae (with some exceptions), the performance was weakest. For all pollen types and for most measurement systems, false positive classifications were observed outside of the main pollen season. Different algorithms applied to the same device also showed different results, highlighting the importance of this aspect of the measurement system. Overall, given the 30 % error on daily concentrations that is currently accepted for Hirst-type traps, several automatic systems are currently capable of being used operationally to provide real-time observations at high temporal resolutions. They provide distinct advantages compared to the manual Hirst-type measurements., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Jeroen Buters, Jose M. Maya Manzano, Carsten B. Schmidt-Weber and Marina Triviño report financial support, administrative support, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by Bayerisches Landesamt für Gesundheit und Lebensmittelsicherheit (LGL) and EUMETNET. Carsten Skjoth reports financial support, administrative support, article publishing charges, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by COST Action CA18226 ADOPT – New approaches in detection of pathogens and aeroallergens. Bernard Clot and Fiona Tummon report financial support, administrative support, article publishing charges, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by European Meteorological Society and the EUMETNET AutoPollen Programme. Branko Sikoparija and Predrag Matavulj report financial support, administrative support, article publishing charges, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by BREATHE project from the Science Fund of the Republic of Serbia PROMIS program, under grant agreement no. 6039613 and by the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (grant agreement number 451–03-68/2022–14/200358). Evgeny Kadantsev and Julia Palamarchuk report financial support, administrative support, article publishing charges, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by Academy of Finland PS4A (grant 318,194). Mikhail Sofiev reports financial support, administrative support, article publishing charges, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by Academy of Finland project ALL-Impress (grant 329,215). Mikhail Sofiev reports financial support, administrative support, article publishing charges, equipment, drugs, or supplies, and travel were provided by European Social Fund (project no. 09.3.3-LMT-K-712-01-0066) and Research Council of Lithuania (LMTLT). Nathan Allan, Landon Bunderson, Richard W. Lucas (Pollen science TM), Jorg Haus, Stefan Schaefer, Martin Schnitzler and Tom Stemmler (Helmut Hund Wetzlar), Reto Abt, Elias Graf, Erny Niederberger and Yanick Zeder (Swisens AG) report a relationship with Pollen science TM, Helmut Hund Wetzlar and Swisens AG respectively, that includes: board membership, employment, and travel reimbursement. The investigations were carried out in compliance with good scientific practices and the support provided by these companies in terms of instrumentation had no effect on the results presented., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2023
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6. Alternaria spore exposure in Bavaria, Germany, measured using artificial intelligence algorithms in a network of BAA500 automatic pollen monitors.
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González-Alonso M, Boldeanu M, Koritnik T, Gonçalves J, Belzner L, Stemmler T, Gebauer R, Grewling Ł, Tummon F, Maya-Manzano JM, Ariño AH, Schmidt-Weber C, and Buters J
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- Spores, Fungal, Pollen, Allergens, Algorithms, Alternaria, Artificial Intelligence
- Abstract
Although Alternaria spores are well-known allergenic fungal spores, automatic bioaerosol recognition systems have not been trained to recognize these particles until now. Here we report the development of a new algorithm able to classify Alternaria spores with BAA500 automatic bioaerosol monitors. The best validation score was obtained when the model was trained on both data from the original dataset and artificially generated images, with a validation unweighted mean Intersection over Union (IoU), also called Jaccard Index, of 0.95. Data augmentation techniques were applied to the training set. While some particles were not recognized (false negatives), false positives were few. The results correlated well with manual counts (mean of four Hirst-type traps), with R
2 = 0.78. Counts from BAA500 were 1.92 times lower than with Hirst-type traps. The algorithm was then used to re-analyze the historical automatic pollen monitoring network (ePIN) dataset (2018-2022), which lacked Alternaria spore counts. Re-analysis of past data showed that Alternaria spore exposure in Bavaria was very variable, with the highest counts in the North (Marktheidenfeld, 154 m a.s.l.), and the lowest values close to the mountains in the South (Garmisch-Partenkirchen, 735 m a.s.l.). This approach shows that in our network future algorithms can be run on past datasets. Over time, the use of different algorithms could lead to misinterpretations as stemming from climate change or other phenological causes. Our approach enables consistent, homogeneous treatment of long-term series, thus preventing variability in particle counts owing to changes in the algorithms., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors report no conflict of interest. Tom Stemmler is currently working at Helmut Hund Gmbh., however this had no effect on the results presented as the investigations were carried out in compliance with good scientific practices., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2023
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