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In order to slow the spread of the CoViD-19 pandemic, governments around the world have enacted a wide set of policies limiting the transmission of the disease. Initially, these focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions; more recently, vaccinations and large-scale rapid testing have started to play a major role. The objective of this study is to explain the quantitative effects of these policies on determining the course of the pandemic, allowing for factors like seasonality or virus strains with different transmission profiles. To do so, the study develops an agent-based simulation model, which explicitly takes into account test demand and behavioral changes following positive tests. The model is estimated using data for the second and the third wave of the CoViD-19 pandemic in Germany. The paper finds that during a period where vaccination rates rose from 5 to 40%, seasonality and rapid testing had the largest effect on reducing infection numbers. Frequent large-scale rapid testing should remain part of strategies to contain CoViD-19; it can substitute for many non-pharmaceutical interventions that come at a much larger cost to individuals, society, and the economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Our lives (and deaths) have by now been dominated for two years by COVID-19, a pandemic that has caused hundreds of millions of disease cases, millions of deaths, trillions in economic costs, and major restrictions on our freedom. Here we suggest a novel tool for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. The key element is a method for a population-scale PCR-based testing, applied on a systematic and repeated basis. For this we have developed a low cost, highly sensitive virus-genome-based test. Using Germany as an example, we demonstrate by using a mathematical model, how useful this strategy could have been in controlling the pandemic. We show using real-world examples how this might be implemented on a mass scale and discuss the feasibility of this approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]