32 results on '"Balsa, A."'
Search Results
2. Scale, context, and heterogeneity: the complexity of the social space
- Author
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José Balsa-Barreiro, Mónica Menendez, and Alfredo J. Morales
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract The social space refers to physical or virtual places where people interact with one another. It decisively influences the emergence of human behaviors. However, little is known about the nature and complexity of the social space, nor its relationship to context and spatial scale. Recently, the science of complex systems has bridged between fields of knowledge to provide quantitative responses to fundamental sociological questions. In this paper, we analyze the shifting behavior of social space in terms of human interactions and wealth distribution across multiple scales using fine-grained data collected from both official (US Census Bureau) and unofficial data sources (social media). We use these data to unveil how patterns strongly depend upon the observation scale. Therefore, it is crucial for any analysis to be framed within the appropriate context to avoid biased results and/or misleading conclusions. Biased data analysis may lead to the adoption of fragile and poor decisions. Including context and a proper understanding of the spatial scale are essential nowadays, especially with the pervasive role of data-driven tools in decision-making processes.
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Risk evaluation at municipality level of a COVID-19 outbreak incorporating relevant geographic data: the study case of Galicia
- Author
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Alejandro Carballosa, José Balsa-Barreiro, Adrián Garea, David García-Selfa, Ángel Miramontes, and Alberto P. Muñuzuri
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic was an inevitable outcome of a globalized world in which a highly infective disease is able to reach every country in a matter of weeks. While lockdowns and strong mobility restrictions have proven to be efficient to contain the exponential transmission of the virus, its pervasiveness has made it impossible for economies to maintain this kind of measures in time. Understanding precisely how the spread of the virus occurs from a territorial perspective is crucial not only to prevent further infections but also to help with policy design regarding human mobility. From the large spatial differences in the behavior of the virus spread we can unveil which areas have been more vulnerable to it and why, and with this information try to assess the risk that each community has to suffer a future outbreak of infection. In this work we have analyzed the geographical distribution of the cumulative incidence during the first wave of the pandemic in the region of Galicia (north western part of Spain), and developed a mathematical approach that assigns a risk factor for each of the different municipalities that compose the region. This risk factor is independent of the actual evolution of the pandemic and incorporates geographic and demographic information. The comparison with empirical information from the first pandemic wave demonstrates the validity of the method. Our results can potentially be used to design appropriate preventive policies that help to contain the virus.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Healthcare-related impact of gout in hospitalized patients in Spain
- Author
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Diego Benavent, Diana Peiteado, María Ángeles Martinez-Huedo, María Hernandez-Hurtado, Alejandro Balsa, and Eugenio de Miguel
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract To analyze the epidemiology, clinical features and costs of hospitalized patients with gout during the last decade in Spain. Retrospective observational study based on data from the Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) from the Spanish National Health Service database. Patients ≥ 18 years with any gout diagnosis at discharge who had been admitted to public or private hospitals between 2005 and 2015 were included. Patients were divided in two periods: p1 (2005–2010) and p2 (2011–2015) to compare the number of hospitalizations, mean costs and mortality rates. Data from 192,037 patients with gout was analyzed. There was an increase in the number of hospitalized patients with gout (p
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. BAFF predicts immunogenicity in older patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with TNF inhibitors
- Author
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Borja Hernández-Breijo, Victoria Navarro-Compán, Chamaida Plasencia-Rodríguez, Ioannis Parodis, Johanna E. Gehin, Ana Martínez-Feito, Marta Novella-Navarro, Araceli Mezcua, David J. Warren, Pilar Nozal, Dora Pascual-Salcedo, and Alejandro Balsa
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract Immunogenicity related to treatment with TNF inhibitors (TNFi) is one of the causes for the decreased attainment of clinical response in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The B-cell activating factor (BAFF) may be playing a role in the development of immunogenicity. The objective of this study was to analyse the association of baseline concentration of serum B-cell activating factor (BAFF) with immunogenicity after 6 months of TNFi treatment. A total of 127 patients with RA starting a TNFi (infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab pegol or golimumab) were followed-up for 6 months. Serum samples were obtained at baseline and at 6 months and anti-drug antibody (ADA) and BAFF concentrations were measured. Logistic regression models were employed in order to analyse the association between BAFF concentrations and immunogenicity. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to determine the BAFF concentrations with a greater likelihood of showing immunogenicity association. At 6 months, 31 patients (24%) developed ADA. A significant interaction between the age and baseline BAFF concentration was found for the development of ADA (Wald chi-square value = 5.30; p = 0.02); therefore, subsequent results were stratified according to mean age (≤ / > 55 years). Baseline serum BAFF concentration was independently associated with ADA development only in patients over 55 years (OR = 1.51; 95% CI 1.03–2.21). Baseline serum BAFF ≥ 1034 pg/mL predicted the presence of ADA at 6 months (AUC = 0.81; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.93; p = 0.001; positive likelihood ratio = 3.7). In conclusion, our results suggest that the association of BAFF concentration and immunogenicity depends on the patient’s age. Baseline serum BAFF concentration predicts the presence of ADA within 6 months of TNFi therapy in older patients with RA.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Increased disease activity in early arthritis patients with anti-carbamylated protein antibodies
- Author
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Cristina Regueiro, Laura Nuño, Ana Triguero-Martinez, Ana M. Ortiz, Alejandro Villalba, María Dolores Bóveda, Ana Martínez-Feito, Carmen Conde, Alejandro Balsa, Isidoro González-Alvaro, and Antonio Gonzalez
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract The initial management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has a high impact on disease prognosis. Therefore, we need to select the most appropriate treatment as soon as possible. This goal requires biomarkers of disease severity and prognosis. One such biomarker may be the presence of anti-carbamylated protein antibodies (ACarPA) because it is associated with adverse long term outcomes as radiographic damage and mortality. Here, we have assessed the ACarPA as short-term prognostic biomarkers. The study was conducted in 978 prospective early arthritis (EA) patients that were followed for two years. Our results show the association of ACarPA with increased levels of all the disease activity measures in the first visit after arthritis onset. However, the associations were more significant with the high levels in local measures of inflammation and physician assessment than with the increases in systemic inflammation and patient-reported outcomes. More notably, disease activity was persistently increased in the ACarPA positive patients during the two years of follow-up. These differences were significant even after accounting for the presence of other RA autoantibodies. Therefore, the ACarPA could be considered short-term prognostic biomarkers of increased disease activity in the EA patients.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Relationship between dental and periodontal health status and the salivary microbiome: bacterial diversity, co-occurrence networks and predictive models
- Author
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M. Relvas, A. Regueira-Iglesias, C. Balsa-Castro, F. Salazar, J. J. Pacheco, C. Cabral, C. Henriques, and I. Tomás
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract The present study used 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing to assess the impact on salivary microbiome of different grades of dental and periodontal disease and the combination of both (hereinafter referred to as oral disease), in terms of bacterial diversity, co-occurrence network patterns and predictive models. Our scale of overall oral health was used to produce a convenience sample of 81 patients from 270 who were initially recruited. Saliva samples were collected from each participant. Sequencing was performed in Illumina MiSeq with 2 × 300 bp reads, while the raw reads were processed according to the Mothur pipeline. The statistical analysis of the 16S rDNA sequencing data at the species level was conducted using the phyloseq, DESeq2, Microbiome, SpiecEasi, igraph, MixOmics packages. The simultaneous presence of dental and periodontal pathology has a potentiating effect on the richness and diversity of the salivary microbiota. The structure of the bacterial community in oral health differs from that present in dental, periodontal or oral disease, especially in high grades. Supragingival dental parameters influence the microbiota’s abundance more than subgingival periodontal parameters, with the former making a greater contribution to the impact that oral health has on the salivary microbiome. The possible keystone OTUs are different in the oral health and disease, and even these vary between dental and periodontal disease: half of them belongs to the core microbiome and are independent of the abundance parameters. The salivary microbiome, involving a considerable number of OTUs, shows an excellent discriminatory potential for distinguishing different grades of dental, periodontal or oral disease; considering the number of predictive OTUs, the best model is that which predicts the combined dental and periodontal status.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Healthcare-related impact of gout in hospitalized patients in Spain
- Author
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Benavent, Diego, Peiteado, Diana, Martinez-Huedo, María Ángeles, Hernandez-Hurtado, María, Balsa, Alejandro, and de Miguel, Eugenio
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- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Relationship between dental and periodontal health status and the salivary microbiome: bacterial diversity, co-occurrence networks and predictive models
- Author
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Relvas, M., Regueira-Iglesias, A., Balsa-Castro, C., Salazar, F., Pacheco, J. J., Cabral, C., Henriques, C., and Tomás, I.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. BAFF predicts immunogenicity in older patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with TNF inhibitors
- Author
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Hernández-Breijo, Borja, Navarro-Compán, Victoria, Plasencia-Rodríguez, Chamaida, Parodis, Ioannis, Gehin, Johanna E., Martínez-Feito, Ana, Novella-Navarro, Marta, Mezcua, Araceli, Warren, David J., Nozal, Pilar, Pascual-Salcedo, Dora, and Balsa, Alejandro
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- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Increased disease activity in early arthritis patients with anti-carbamylated protein antibodies
- Author
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Regueiro, Cristina, Nuño, Laura, Triguero-Martinez, Ana, Ortiz, Ana M., Villalba, Alejandro, Bóveda, María Dolores, Martínez-Feito, Ana, Conde, Carmen, Balsa, Alejandro, González-Alvaro, Isidoro, and Gonzalez, Antonio
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Improved classification of rheumatoid arthritis with a score including anti-acetylated ornithine antibodies
- Author
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Rodriguez-Martínez, Lorena, Bang, Holger, Regueiro, Cristina, Nuño, Laura, Triguero-Martinez, Ana, Peiteado, Diana, Ortiz, Ana M., Villalba, Alejandro, Martinez-Feito, Ana, Balsa, Alejandro, Gonzalez-Alvaro, Isidoro, and Gonzalez, Antonio
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Publisher Correction: A predominant involvement of the triple seropositive patients and others with rheumatoid factor in the association of smoking with rheumatoid arthritis
- Author
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Regueiro, Cristina, Rodriguez-Rodriguez, Luis, Lopez-Mejias, Raquel, Nuño, Laura, Triguero-Martinez, Ana, Perez-Pampin, Eva, Corrales, Alfonso, Villalba, Alejandro, Lopez-Golan, Yolanda, Abasolo, Lydia, Remuzgo-Martínez, Sara, Ortiz, Ana M., Herranz, Eva, Martínez-Feito, Ana, Conde, Carmen, Mera-Varela, Antonio, Balsa, Alejandro, Gonzalez-Alvaro, Isidoro, González-Gay, Miguel Ángel, Fernandez-Gutierrez, Benjamín, and Gonzalez, Antonio
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. A predominant involvement of the triple seropositive patients and others with rheumatoid factor in the association of smoking with rheumatoid arthritis
- Author
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Regueiro, Cristina, Rodriguez-Rodriguez, Luis, Lopez-Mejias, Raquel, Nuño, Laura, Triguero-Martinez, Ana, Perez-Pampin, Eva, Corrales, Alfonso, Villalba, Alejandro, Lopez-Golan, Yolanda, Abasolo, Lydia, Remuzgo-Martínez, Sara, Ortiz, Ana M., Herranz, Eva, Martínez-Feito, Ana, Conde, Carmen, Mera-Varela, Antonio, Balsa, Alejandro, Gonzalez-Alvaro, Isidoro, González-Gay, Miguel Ángel, Fernandez-Gutierrez, Benjamín, and Gonzalez, Antonio
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Influence of MUC5B gene on antisynthetase syndrome
- Author
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López-Mejías, Raquel, Remuzgo-Martínez, Sara, Genre, Fernanda, Pulito-Cueto, Verónica, Rozas, Sonia M. Fernández, Llorca, Javier, Fernández, David Iturbe, Cuesta, Víctor M. Mora, Ortego-Centeno, Norberto, Gómez, Nair Pérez, Mera-Varela, Antonio, Martínez-Barrio, Julia, López-Longo, Francisco Javier, Mijares, Verónica, Lera-Gómez, Leticia, Usetti, María Piedad, Laporta, Rosalía, Pérez, Virginia, Gafas, Alicia De Pablo, González, María Aránzazu Alfranca, Calvo-Alén, Jaime, Romero-Bueno, Fredeswinda, Sanchez-Pernaute, Olga, Nuno, Laura, Bonilla, Gema, Balsa, Alejandro, Hernández-González, Fernanda, Grafia, Ignacio, Prieto-González, Sergio, Narvaez, Javier, Trallero-Araguas, Ernesto, Selva-O’Callaghan, Albert, Gualillo, Oreste, Castañeda, Santos, Cavagna, Lorenzo, Cifrian, José M., and González-Gay, Miguel A.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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16. Value of Measuring Anti-Carbamylated Protein Antibodies for Classification on Early Arthritis Patients
- Author
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Cristina Regueiro, Laura Nuño, Ana M. Ortiz, Diana Peiteado, Alejandro Villalba, Dora Pascual-Salcedo, Ana Martínez-Feito, Isidoro González-Alvaro, Alejandro Balsa, and Antonio González
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract Classification of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) as quickly as possible improves their prognosis. This reason motivates specially dedicated early arthritis (EA) clinics. Here, we have used 1062 EA patients with two years of follow-up to explore the value of anti-carbamylated protein (anti-CarP) antibodies, a new type of RA specific autoantibodies, for classification. Specifically, we aimed to determine whether the addition of anti-CarP antibodies to IgM rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies, which are helpful in RA classification, improves it or not. Our analysis showed that incorporation of the anti-CarP antibodies to combinations of the other two antibodies (all joint by the OR Boolean operator) produces a modest increase in sensitivity (2.2% higher), at the cost of decreased specificity (8.1% lower). The cost-benefit ratio was more favorable in the patients lacking the other autoantibodies. However, it did not improve by considering different titer levels of the anti-CarP antibodies, or after exhaustively exploring other antibody combinations. Therefore, the place in RA classification of these antibodies is questionable in the context of current treatments and biomarkers. This conclusion does not exclude their potential value for stratifying patients in joint damage, disease activity, disability, or mortality categories.
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- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Cytokine Thresholds in Gingival Crevicular Fluid with Potential Diagnosis of Chronic Periodontitis Differentiating by Smoking Status
- Author
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Arias-Bujanda, N., Regueira-Iglesias, A., Alonso-Sampedro, M., González-Peteiro, M. M., Mira, A., Balsa-Castro, C., and Tomás, I.
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- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Healthcare-related impact of gout in hospitalized patients in Spain
- Author
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Maria A. Martinez-Huedo, D. Benavent, María Hernandez-Hurtado, Alejandro Balsa, Eugenio de Miguel, and Diana Peiteado
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Pediatrics ,Gout ,Epidemiology ,Science ,Lower risk ,Article ,03 medical and health sciences ,Sex Factors ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,Diabetes mellitus ,medicine ,Humans ,Dementia ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,030203 arthritis & rheumatology ,Multidisciplinary ,business.industry ,Mortality rate ,Age Factors ,Retrospective cohort study ,Health Care Costs ,Middle Aged ,Health care economics ,medicine.disease ,Hospitalization ,Spain ,Medicine ,Female ,business ,Crystal deposition arthropathies ,Kidney disease - Abstract
To analyze the epidemiology, clinical features and costs of hospitalized patients with gout during the last decade in Spain. Retrospective observational study based on data from the Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) from the Spanish National Health Service database. Patients ≥ 18 years with any gout diagnosis at discharge who had been admitted to public or private hospitals between 2005 and 2015 were included. Patients were divided in two periods: p1 (2005–2010) and p2 (2011–2015) to compare the number of hospitalizations, mean costs and mortality rates. Data from 192,037 patients with gout was analyzed. There was an increase in the number of hospitalized patients with gout (p
- Published
- 2021
19. Association of a rare variant of the TNFSF13B gene with susceptibility to Rheumatoid Arthritis and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus
- Author
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González-Serna, David, Ortiz-Fernández, Lourdes, Vargas, Sofía, García, Antonio, Raya, Enrique, Fernández-Gutierrez, Benjamín, López-Longo, Francisco Javier, Balsa, Alejandro, González-Álvaro, Isidoro, Narvaez, Javier, Gómez-Vaquero, Carmen, Sabio, José Mario, García-Portales, Rosa, González-Escribano, María Francisca, Tolosa, Carles, Carreira, Patricia, Kiemeney, Lambertus, Coenen, Marieke J. H., Witte, Torsten, Schneider, Matthias, González-Gay, Miguel Ángel, and Martín, Javier
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- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Improved classification of rheumatoid arthritis with a score including anti-acetylated ornithine antibodies
- Author
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Alejandro Balsa, Ana M. Ortiz, Laura Nuño, Cristina Regueiro, Ana Martínez-Feito, Diana Peiteado, Ana Triguero-Martinez, Isidoro González-Álvaro, Alejandro Villalba, Holger Bang, L Rodriguez-Martinez, Antonio Gonzalez, UAM. Departamento de Medicina, and Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Hospital Universitario de La Paz (IdiPAZ)
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Adult ,Male ,Ornithine ,rheumatoid arthritis ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Medicina ,Concordance ,lcsh:Medicine ,Antibody level ,Gastroenterology ,Peptides, Cyclic ,Article ,Arthritis, Rheumatoid ,03 medical and health sciences ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,0302 clinical medicine ,Rheumatic diseases ,Rheumatology ,Internal medicine ,Medicine ,Rheumatoid factor ,Humans ,antibodies ,Rheumatoid arthritis ,lcsh:Science ,Aged ,Autoantibodies ,030203 arthritis & rheumatology ,Multidisciplinary ,anti‑acetylated ornithine ,biology ,business.industry ,lcsh:R ,Autoantibody ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,030104 developmental biology ,chemistry ,biology.protein ,classification criteria ,Female ,lcsh:Q ,Antibody ,business ,Early arthritis - Abstract
The presence of rheumatoid factor (RF) or anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) autoantibodies contributes to the current rheumatoid arthritis (RA) classification criteria. These criteria involve stratification on antibody levels, which limits reproducibility, and underperform in the RA patients without RF and anti-CCP. Here, we have explored if two anti-acetylated peptide antibodies (AAPA), anti-acetylated lysine (AcLys) and anti-acetylated ornithine (AcOrn), could improve the performance of the current criteria. The analysis was done in 1062 prospectively-followed early arthritis (EA) patients. The anti-AcOrn were more informative than the anti-AcLys, the conventional RA antibodies and the anti-carbamylated protein antibodies. The anti-AcOrn produced a classification that did not require antibody levels and showed improved specificity (77.6% vs. 72.6%, p = 0.003) and accuracy (79.0% vs. 75.8%, p = 0.002) over the current criteria. These improvements were obtained with a scoring system that values concordance between anti-AcOrn, RF and anti-CCP. No significant gain was obtained in sensitivity (80.2% vs. 78.8%, p = 0.25) or in improving the classification of the RA patients lacking RF and anti-CCP, although the anti-AcOrn ranked first among the analysed new antibodies. Therefore, the anti-AcOrn antibodies could contribute to the improvement of RA classification criteria by exploiting antibody concordance., This work was supported by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Spain) through grants [RD16/0012/0014 and PI17/01606 to AG; RD16/0012/0012 to AB; PI14/00442 and RD16/0012/0011 to IG-A]. These grants are partially financed by the European Regional Development Fund of the EU (FEDER). LRM was supported by Xunta de Galicia (Spain) through a Gain pre-doctoral fellowship. CR was supported by Ministerio de Educacion Cultura y Deporte (Spain) through a FPU pre-doctoral fellowship [FPU15/03434].
- Published
- 2020
21. Risk evaluation at municipality level of a COVID-19 outbreak incorporating relevant geographic data: the study case of Galicia
- Author
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Carballosa, Alejandro, primary, Balsa-Barreiro, José, additional, Garea, Adrián, additional, García-Selfa, David, additional, Miramontes, Ángel, additional, and Muñuzuri, Alberto P., additional
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Increased disease activity in early arthritis patients with anti-carbamylated protein antibodies
- Author
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Carmen Conde, Ana Martínez-Feito, Cristina Regueiro, Alejandro Villalba, Isidoro González-Álvaro, Alejandro Balsa, Maria Dolores Boveda, Ana M. Ortiz, Antonio Gonzalez, Laura Nuño, and Ana Triguero-Martinez
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Science ,Arthritis ,Inflammation ,Systemic inflammation ,Peptides, Cyclic ,Severity of Illness Index ,Anti-Citrullinated Protein Antibodies ,Antibodies ,Article ,Arthritis, Rheumatoid ,03 medical and health sciences ,Prognostic markers ,0302 clinical medicine ,Rheumatoid Factor ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,Rheumatoid arthritis ,Autoantibodies ,030203 arthritis & rheumatology ,Multidisciplinary ,Protein Carbamylation ,biology ,business.industry ,Autoantibody ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Prognosis ,030104 developmental biology ,Spain ,biology.protein ,Biomarker (medicine) ,Medicine ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,Antibody ,business ,Early arthritis ,Biomarkers - Abstract
The initial management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has a high impact on disease prognosis. Therefore, we need to select the most appropriate treatment as soon as possible. This goal requires biomarkers of disease severity and prognosis. One such biomarker may be the presence of anti-carbamylated protein antibodies (ACarPA) because it is associated with adverse long term outcomes as radiographic damage and mortality. Here, we have assessed the ACarPA as short-term prognostic biomarkers. The study was conducted in 978 prospective early arthritis (EA) patients that were followed for two years. Our results show the association of ACarPA with increased levels of all the disease activity measures in the first visit after arthritis onset. However, the associations were more significant with the high levels in local measures of inflammation and physician assessment than with the increases in systemic inflammation and patient-reported outcomes. More notably, disease activity was persistently increased in the ACarPA positive patients during the two years of follow-up. These differences were significant even after accounting for the presence of other RA autoantibodies. Therefore, the ACarPA could be considered short-term prognostic biomarkers of increased disease activity in the EA patients.
- Published
- 2021
23. Risk evaluation at municipality level of a COVID-19 outbreak incorporating relevant geographic data: the study case of Galicia
- Author
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David García-Selfa, Adrián Garea, Alejandro Carballosa, Ángel Miramontes, Alberto P. Muñuzuri, and José Balsa-Barreiro
- Subjects
Dynamic networks ,Science ,Distribution (economics) ,Disease ,Article ,law.invention ,law ,Risk Factors ,Pandemic ,Dynamical systems ,Regional science ,Humans ,Computer Simulation ,Pandemics ,Demography ,Multidisciplinary ,Models, Statistical ,business.industry ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Incidence ,Linear model ,Outbreak ,COVID-19 ,Nonlinear phenomena ,Risk factor (computing) ,Transmission (mechanics) ,Geography ,Work (electrical) ,Spain ,Linear Models ,Medicine ,business - Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic was an inevitable outcome of a globalized world in which a highly infective disease is able to reach every country in a matter of weeks. While lockdowns and strong mobility restrictions have proven to be efficient to contain the exponential transmission of the virus, its pervasiveness has made it impossible for economies to maintain this kind of measures in time. Understanding precisely how the spread of the virus occurs from a territorial perspective is crucial not only to prevent further infections but also to help with policy design regarding human mobility. From the large spatial differences in the behavior of the virus spread we can unveil which areas have been more vulnerable to it and why, and with this information try to assess the risk that each community has to suffer a future outbreak of infection. In this work we have analyzed the geographical distribution of the cumulative incidence during the first wave of the pandemic in the region of Galicia (north western part of Spain), and developed a mathematical approach that assigns a risk factor for each of the different municipalities that compose the region. This risk factor is independent of the actual evolution of the pandemic and incorporates geographic and demographic information. The comparison with empirical information from the first pandemic wave demonstrates the validity of the method. Our results can potentially be used to design appropriate preventive policies that help to contain the virus.
- Published
- 2021
24. A predominant involvement of the triple seropositive patients and others with rheumatoid factor in the association of smoking with rheumatoid arthritis
- Author
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Sara Remuzgo-Martínez, Ana Triguero-Martinez, Ana Martínez-Feito, Laura Nuño, Antonio Gonzalez, Alejandro Balsa, Benjamín Fernández-Gutiérrez, Antonio Mera-Varela, Miguel A. González-Gay, Eva Herranz, Ana M. Ortiz, Eva Perez-Pampin, Cristina Regueiro, Raquel López-Mejías, Lydia Abasolo, Alfonso Corrales, Alejandro Villalba, Isidoro González-Álvaro, Carmen Conde, Yolanda Lopez-Golan, Luis Rodriguez-Rodriguez, and Universidad de Cantabria
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Male ,Patients ,Concordance ,Arthritis ,lcsh:Medicine ,Immunologic Tests ,Protein citrullination ,Peptides, Cyclic ,Article ,Anti-Citrullinated Protein Antibodies ,Arthritis, Rheumatoid ,03 medical and health sciences ,Epitopes ,0302 clinical medicine ,Rheumatoid Factor ,Risk Factors ,Seroepidemiologic Studies ,medicine ,Rheumatoid factor ,Humans ,Rheumatoid arthritis ,lcsh:Science ,Autoantibodies ,030203 arthritis & rheumatology ,Multidisciplinary ,Protein Carbamylation ,biology ,business.industry ,lcsh:R ,Smoking ,Autoantibody ,medicine.disease ,Publisher Correction ,030104 developmental biology ,Immunology ,biology.protein ,lcsh:Q ,Female ,Antibody ,business ,HLA-DRB1 Chains - Abstract
The major environmental risk factor for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is smoking, which according to a widely accepted model induces protein citrullination in the lungs, triggering the production of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) and RA development. Nevertheless, some research findings do not fit this model. Therefore, we obtained six independent cohorts with 2253 RA patients for a detailed analysis of the association between smoking and RA autoantibodies. Our results showed a predominant association of smoking with the concurrent presence of the three antibodies: rheumatoid factor (RF), ACPA and anti-carbamylated protein antibodies (ACarPA) (3 Ab vs. 0 Ab: OR = 1.99, p = 2.5 × 10–8). Meta-analysis with previous data (4491 patients) confirmed the predominant association with the concurrent presence of the three antibodies (3 Ab vs. 0 Ab: OR = 2.00, p = 4.4 ×10–16) and revealed that smoking was exclusively associated with the presence of RF in patients with one or two antibodies (RF+1+2vs. RF−0+1+2: OR = 1.32, p = 0.0002). In contrast, no specific association with ACPA or ACarPA was found. Therefore, these results showed the need to understand how smoking favors the concordance of RA specific antibodies and RF triggering, perhaps involving smoking-induced epitope spreading and other hypothesized mechanisms.
- Published
- 2019
25. Publisher Correction: A predominant involvement of the triple seropositive patients and others with rheumatoid factor in the association of smoking with rheumatoid arthritis
- Author
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Miguel A. González-Gay, Eva Herranz, Carmen Conde, Ana M. Ortiz, Lydia Abasolo, Raquel López-Mejías, Alfonso Corrales, Antonio González, Alejandro Villalba, Benjamín Fernández-Gutiérrez, Antonio Mera-Varela, Alejandro Balsa, Laura Nuño, Isidoro González-Álvaro, Cristina Regueiro, Ana Triguero-Martinez, Luis Rodriguez-Rodriguez, Yolanda Lopez-Golan, Eva Perez-Pampin, Ana Martínez-Feito, and Sara Remuzgo-Martínez
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Multidisciplinary ,business.industry ,lcsh:R ,MEDLINE ,lcsh:Medicine ,medicine.disease ,Internal medicine ,Rheumatoid arthritis ,medicine ,Rheumatoid factor ,lcsh:Q ,business ,lcsh:Science - Abstract
An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.
- Published
- 2020
26. Cytokine Thresholds in Gingival Crevicular Fluid with Potential Diagnosis of Chronic Periodontitis Differentiating by Smoking Status
- Author
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Alex Mira, Inmaculada Tomás, M. Alonso-Sampedro, Carlos Balsa-Castro, Nora Arias-Bujanda, Mercedes González-Peteiro, Alba Regueira-Iglesias, and Universidade de Santiago de Compostela. Departamento de Cirurxía e Especialidades Médico-Cirúrxicas
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,medicine.medical_treatment ,lcsh:Medicine ,Logistic regression ,Gastroenterology ,Article ,Diagnosis, Differential ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Internal medicine ,Medicine ,Humans ,lcsh:Science ,Periodontitis ,Multidisciplinary ,business.industry ,lcsh:R ,Smoking ,Area under the curve ,Case-control study ,030206 dentistry ,Gingival Crevicular Fluid ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Chronic periodontitis ,030104 developmental biology ,Cytokine ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Predictive value of tests ,Case-Control Studies ,Chronic Periodontitis ,Cytokines ,lcsh:Q ,Female ,IL17A ,business - Abstract
The objective of the present study was to determine cytokine thresholds derived from predictive models for the diagnosis of chronic periodontitis, differentiating by smoking status. Seventy-five periodontally healthy controls and 75 subjects affected by chronic periodontitis were recruited. Sixteen mediators were measured in gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) using multiplexed bead immunoassays. The models were obtained using binary logistic regression, distinguishing between non-smokers and smokers. The area under the curve (AUC) and numerous classification measures were obtained. Model curves were constructed graphically and the cytokine thresholds calculated for the values of maximum accuracy (ACC). There were three cytokine-based models and three cytokine ratio-based models, which presented with a bias-corrected AUC > 0.91 and > 0.83, respectively. These models were (cytokine thresholds in pg/ml for the median ACC using bootstrapping for smokers and non-smokers): IL1alpha (46099 and 65644); IL1beta (4732 and 5827); IL17A (11.03 and 17.13); IL1alpha/IL2 (4210 and 7118); IL1beta/IL2 (260 and 628); and IL17A/IL2 (0.810 and 1.919). IL1alpha, IL1beta and IL17A, and their ratios with IL2, are excellent diagnostic biomarkers in GCF for distinguishing periodontitis patients from periodontally healthy individuals. Cytokine thresholds in GCF with diagnostic potential are defined, showing that smokers have lower threshold values than non-smokers. This work was supported by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (General Division of Evaluation and Research Promotion, Madrid, Spain) and co-financed by FEDER (“A way of making Europe”) under Grant ISCIII/PI17/01722, and the Consellería de Cultura, Educación e Ordenación Universitaria da Xunta de Galicia (Spain) under Grant ED431B 2017/029 and A. Regueira-Iglesias support ED481A-2017 SI
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- 2018
27. Cytokine-based Predictive Models to Estimate the Probability of Chronic Periodontitis: Development of Diagnostic Nomograms
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Carlos Balsa-Castro, Nora Arias-Bujanda, Inmaculada Tomás, M. A. Casares-de-Cal, M. Alonso-Sampedro, David Suárez-Quintanilla, César Sánchez-Sellero, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela. Departamento de Cirurxía e Especialidades Médico-Cirúrxicas, and Universidade de Santiago de Compostela. Departamento de Estatística, Análise Matemática e Optimización
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Male ,0301 basic medicine ,medicine.medical_treatment ,lcsh:Medicine ,Disease ,Predictive markers ,Logistic regression ,Article ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,medicine ,Humans ,lcsh:Science ,Interleukin 4 ,Immunoassay ,Multidisciplinary ,business.industry ,lcsh:R ,Diagnostic markers ,Gingival Crevicular Fluid ,030206 dentistry ,Nomogram ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Chronic periodontitis ,Nomograms ,Interleukin 10 ,030104 developmental biology ,Cytokine ,ROC Curve ,Area Under Curve ,Case-Control Studies ,Chronic Periodontitis ,Multivariate Analysis ,Immunology ,Cytokines ,Female ,lcsh:Q ,IL17A ,business ,Biomarkers - Abstract
Although a distinct cytokine profile has been described in the gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) of patients with chronic periodontitis, there is no evidence of GCF cytokine-based predictive models being used to diagnose the disease. Our objectives were: to obtain GCF cytokine-based predictive models; and develop nomograms derived from them. A sample of 150 participants was recruited: 75 periodontally healthy controls and 75 subjects affected by chronic periodontitis. Sixteen mediators were measured in GCF using the Luminex 100™ instrument: GMCSF, IFNgamma, IL1alpha, IL1beta, IL2, IL3, IL4, IL5, IL6, IL10, IL12p40, IL12p70, IL13, IL17A, IL17F and TNFalpha. Cytokine-based models were obtained using multivariate binary logistic regression. Models were selected for their ability to predict chronic periodontitis, considering the different role of the cytokines involved in the inflammatory process. The outstanding predictive accuracy of the resulting smoking-adjusted models showed that IL1alpha, IL1beta and IL17A in GCF are very good biomarkers for distinguishing patients with chronic periodontitis from periodontally healthy individuals. The predictive ability of these pro-inflammatory cytokines was increased by incorporating IFN gamma and IL10. The nomograms revealed the amount of periodontitis-associated imbalances between these cytokines with pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory effects in terms of a particular probability of having chronic periodontitis This work was supported by project EM2014/025 from Regional Ministry of Culture, Education and University (regional government of Galicia, Spain), which is integrated in Regional Plan of Research, Innovation and Development 2011–2015 SI
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- 2017
28. Value of Measuring Anti-Carbamylated Protein Antibodies for Classification on Early Arthritis Patients
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Diana Peiteado, Cristina Regueiro, Ana Martínez-Feito, Dora Pascual-Salcedo, Antonio Gonzalez, Alejandro Villalba, Alejandro Balsa, Isidoro González-Álvaro, Ana M. Ortiz, and Laura Nuño
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0301 basic medicine ,Male ,Science ,Context (language use) ,Peptides, Cyclic ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,Anti-Citrullinated Protein Antibodies ,Article ,Arthritis, Rheumatoid ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Rheumatoid Factor ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,Aged ,Autoantibodies ,030203 arthritis & rheumatology ,Multidisciplinary ,Protein Carbamylation ,biology ,business.industry ,Autoantibody ,Igm rheumatoid factor ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Titer ,030104 developmental biology ,Rheumatoid arthritis ,Joint damage ,Immunology ,biology.protein ,Medicine ,Female ,Carbamates ,Antibody ,business ,Early arthritis - Abstract
Classification of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) as quickly as possible improves their prognosis. This reason motivates specially dedicated early arthritis (EA) clinics. Here, we have used 1062 EA patients with two years of follow-up to explore the value of anti-carbamylated protein (anti-CarP) antibodies, a new type of RA specific autoantibodies, for classification. Specifically, we aimed to determine whether the addition of anti-CarP antibodies to IgM rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies, which are helpful in RA classification, improves it or not. Our analysis showed that incorporation of the anti-CarP antibodies to combinations of the other two antibodies (all joint by the OR Boolean operator) produces a modest increase in sensitivity (2.2% higher), at the cost of decreased specificity (8.1% lower). The cost-benefit ratio was more favorable in the patients lacking the other autoantibodies. However, it did not improve by considering different titer levels of the anti-CarP antibodies, or after exhaustively exploring other antibody combinations. Therefore, the place in RA classification of these antibodies is questionable in the context of current treatments and biomarkers. This conclusion does not exclude their potential value for stratifying patients in joint damage, disease activity, disability, or mortality categories.
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- 2017
29. Value of Measuring Anti-Carbamylated Protein Antibodies for Classification on Early Arthritis Patients
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Regueiro, Cristina, primary, Nuño, Laura, additional, Ortiz, Ana M., additional, Peiteado, Diana, additional, Villalba, Alejandro, additional, Pascual-Salcedo, Dora, additional, Martínez-Feito, Ana, additional, González-Alvaro, Isidoro, additional, Balsa, Alejandro, additional, and González, Antonio, additional
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- 2017
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30. Cytokine-based Predictive Models to Estimate the Probability of Chronic Periodontitis: Development of Diagnostic Nomograms
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Tomás, I., primary, Arias-Bujanda, N., additional, Alonso-Sampedro, M., additional, Casares-de-Cal, M. A., additional, Sánchez-Sellero, C., additional, Suárez-Quintanilla, D., additional, and Balsa-Castro, C., additional
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- 2017
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31. Influence of coronary artery disease and subclinical atherosclerosis related polymorphisms on the risk of atherosclerosis in rheumatoid arthritis
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López-Mejías, Raquel, primary, Corrales, Alfonso, additional, Vicente, Esther, additional, Robustillo-Villarino, Montserrat, additional, González-Juanatey, Carlos, additional, Llorca, Javier, additional, Genre, Fernanda, additional, Remuzgo-Martínez, Sara, additional, Dierssen-Sotos, Trinidad, additional, Miranda-Filloy, José A., additional, Huaranga, Marco A. Ramírez, additional, Pina, Trinitario, additional, Blanco, Ricardo, additional, Alegre-Sancho, Juan J., additional, Raya, Enrique, additional, Mijares, Verónica, additional, Ubilla, Begoña, additional, Ferraz-Amaro, Iván, additional, Gómez-Vaquero, Carmen, additional, Balsa, Alejandro, additional, López-Longo, Francisco J., additional, Carreira, Patricia, additional, González-Álvaro, Isidoro, additional, Ocejo-Vinyals, J. Gonzalo, additional, Rodríguez-Rodríguez, Luis, additional, Fernández-Gutiérrez, Benjamín, additional, Castañeda, Santos, additional, Martín, Javier, additional, and González-Gay, Miguel A., additional
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- 2017
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32. Influence of elevated-CRP level-related polymorphisms in non-rheumatic Caucasians on the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease in rheumatoid arthritis
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López-Mejías, Raquel, primary, Genre, Fernanda, additional, Remuzgo-Martínez, Sara, additional, González-Juanatey, Carlos, additional, Robustillo-Villarino, Montserrat, additional, Llorca, Javier, additional, Corrales, Alfonso, additional, Vicente, Esther, additional, Miranda-Filloy, José A., additional, Magro, César, additional, Tejera-Segura, Beatriz, additional, Ramírez Huaranga, Marco A., additional, Pina, Trinitario, additional, Blanco, Ricardo, additional, Alegre-Sancho, Juan J., additional, Raya, Enrique, additional, Mijares, Verónica, additional, Ubilla, Begoña, additional, Mínguez Sánchez, María D., additional, Gómez-Vaquero, Carmen, additional, Balsa, Alejandro, additional, Pascual-Salcedo, Dora, additional, López-Longo, Francisco J., additional, Carreira, Patricia, additional, González-Álvaro, Isidoro, additional, Rodríguez-Rodríguez, Luis, additional, Fernández-Gutiérrez, Benjamín, additional, Ferraz-Amaro, Iván, additional, Castañeda, Santos, additional, Martín, Javier, additional, and González-Gay, Miguel A., additional
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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