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The rotation error is the most important quality characteristic index of a rotate vector (RV) reducer, and it is difficult to accurately optimize the design of a RV reducer, such as the Taguchi type, due to the many factors affecting the rotation error and the serious coupling effect among the factors. This paper analyzes the RV reducer rotation error and each factor based on the deep Gaussian processes (DeepGP) model and Sobol sensitivity analysis(SA) method. Firstly, using the optimal Latin hypercube sampling (OLHS) approach and the DeepGP model, a high-precision regression prediction model of the rotation error and each affecting factor was created. On the basis of the prediction model, the Sobol method was used to conduct a global SA of the factors influencing the rotation error and to compare the coupling relationship between the factors. The results show that the OLHS method and the DeepGP model are suitable for predicting the rotation error in this paper, and the accuracy of the prediction model constructed based on both of them is as high as 95%. The rotation error mainly depends on the influencing factors in the second stage cycloidal pinwheel drive part. The primary involute planetary part and planetary output carrier’s rotation error factors have little effect. The coupling effects between the matching clearance between the pin gear and needle gear hole (δJ) and the circular position error of the needle gear hole (δt) is noticeably stronger.

This paper proposes a new method for predicting rotation error based on improved grey wolf–optimized support vector regression (IGWO-SVR), because the existing rotation error research methods cannot meet the production beat and product quality requirements of enterprises, because of the disadvantages of its being time-consuming and having poor calculation accuracy. First, the grey wolf algorithm is improved based on the optimal Latin hypercube sampling initialization, nonlinear convergence factor, and dynamic weights to improve its accuracy in optimizing the parameters of the support vector regression (SVR) model. Then, the IGWO-SVR prediction model between the manufacturing error of critical parts and the rotation error is established with the RV-40E reducer as a case. The results show that the improved grey wolf algorithm shows better parameter optimization performance, and the IGWO-SVR method shows better prediction performance than the existing back propagation (BP) neural network and BP neural network optimized by the sparrow search algorithm rotation error prediction methods, as well as the SVR models optimized by particle swarm algorithm and grey wolf algorithm. The mean squared error of IGWO-SVR model is 0.026, the running time is 7.843 s, and the maximum relative error is 13.5%, which can meet the requirements of production beat and product quality. Therefore, the IGWO-SVR method can be well applied to the rotate vector (RV) reducer parts-matching model to improve product quality and reduce rework rate and cost.