1. A Stochastic Process for Determinig Migration Probability.
- Author
-
Rogers, Tommy W.
- Subjects
STOCHASTIC processes ,PROBABILITY theory ,EMIGRATION & immigration ,POPULATION ,POPULATION geography ,MATHEMATICS - Abstract
The article describes a process for determining migration probability. A stochastic process may be defined as a process which develops over time and where events at time 2 are not independent of events at time 1. This lack of independence may be viewed in probabilistic terms. Since the application of stochastic probability processes to problems of predicting individual behavior requires data obtained from case studies where each individual can be classified with respect to a given set of categories at successive points in time, the projected analysis required a set of individual longitudinal migration histories. Consequences of the basic mechanism of the model utilized in the paper are also detailed.
- Published
- 1968
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