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Nowadays, political parties have widely adopted social media for their party promotions and election campaigns. During the election, Twitter and other social media platforms are used for political coverage to promote the party and its candidates. This research discusses and estimates the stability of many volumetric social media approaches to forecast election results from social media activities. Numerous machine learning approaches are applied to opinions shared on social media for predicting election results. This paper presents a machine learning model based on sentiment analysis to predict Pakistan's general election results. In a general election, voters vote for their favorite party or candidate based on their personal interests. Social media has been extensively used for the campaign in Pakistan general election 2018. Using a machine learning technique, we provide a five-step process to analyze the overall election results, whether fair or unfair. The work is concluded with detailed experimental results along with discussion on the outcomes of sentiment analysis for real-world forecasting and approval of general elections in Pakistan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Stock market trends can be affected by external factors such as public sentiment and political events. The goal of this research is to find whether or not public sentiment and political situation on a given day can affect stock market trends of individual companies or the overall market. For this purpose, the sentiment and situation features are used in a machine learning model to find the effect of public sentiment and political situation on the prediction accuracy of algorithms for 7 days in future. Besides, interdependencies among companies and stock markets are also studied. For the sake of experimentation, stock market historical data are downloaded from Yahoo! Finance and public sentiments are obtained from Twitter. Important political events data of Pakistan are crawled from Wikipedia. The raw text data are then pre-processed, and the sentiment and situation features are generated to create the final data sets. Ten machine learning algorithms are applied to the final data sets to predict the stock market future trend. The experimental results show that the sentiment feature improves the prediction accuracy of machine learning algorithms by 0–3%, and political situation feature improves the prediction accuracy of algorithms by about 20%. Furthermore, the sentiment attribute is most effective on day 7, while the political situation attribute is most effective on day 5. SMO algorithm is found to show the best performance, while ASC and Bagging show poor performance. The interdependency results indicate that stock markets in the same industry show a medium positive correlation with each other. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]