1. Predictive Factors of Mortality From Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage: A Multicenter Study
- Author
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Lisa Girardi, Elena S. Torre, Angelo Dezi, Alfredo Pastorelli, Paola Romagnoli, Giampiero Bagnalasta, Marco Martorano, Giovanni Di Matteo, Lucio Capurso, Andrea Nucci, Mariano Amuso, Claudio Leoci, Maria Tebaldi, Anna Tanzilli, G. Imperiali, Paolo Michetti, Rodolfo Rocca, Luciano Allegretta, Claudio Cortini, Renzo Cestari, Giovanni Aragona, Giuseppe Chianese, Domenico Della Casa, Giorgio Minoli, F. Barberani, A. Buzzi, W. Piubello, Paolo Giorgio, Sergio Brunati, Angelo Pera, Livio Cipolletta, Sergio Segato, Fabrizio Bonfante, Omero Triossi, Salvatore Tronci, F. Giangregorio, Gianluca Rotondano, Ivano Lorenzini, Renato Fasoli, Maurizio Koch, Maria A. Bianco, Giorgio Chiozzini, Alessandro Casadei, S. Boschetto, U. Germani, G. Gatto, Francesca Rogai, Riccardo Marmo, Mario Salvagnini, and Massimo Proietti
- Subjects
Male ,Gastrointestinal bleeding ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Health Status ,MEDLINE ,Comorbidity ,Hemoglobins ,Recurrence ,Internal medicine ,Epidemiology ,medicine ,Humans ,Upper gastrointestinal ,Endoscopy, Digestive System ,Prospective Studies ,Prospective cohort study ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,Hepatology ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,business.industry ,Age Factors ,Gastroenterology ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Surgery ,Endoscopy ,Italy ,Multicenter study ,Regression Analysis ,Female ,Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage ,business - Abstract
From an Italian Registry of patients with upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage (UGIH), we assessed the clinical outcomes and explored the roles of clinical, endoscopic, and therapeutic factors on 30-day mortality in a real life setting.Prospective analysis of consecutive patients endoscoped for UGIH at 23 community and tertiary care institutions from 2003 to 2004. Covariates and outcomes were defined a priori and 30-day follow-up obtained. Logistic regression analysis identified predictors of mortality.One thousand and twenty patients were included. A total of 46 patients died for an overall 4.5% mortality rate. In all, 85% of deaths were associated with one or more major comorbidity. Sixteen of 46 patients (35%) died within the first 24 h of the onset of bleeding. Of these, eight had been categorized as ASA class 1 or 2 and none of them was operated upon, despite a failure of endoscopic intention to treatment in four. Regression analysis showed advanced age, presence of severe comorbidity, low hemoglobin levels at presentation, and worsening health status as the only independent predictors of 30-day mortality (P0.001). The acute use of a PPI exerted a protective effect (OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.09-0.73). Recurrent bleeding was low (3.2%). Rebleeders accounted for only 11% of the total patients deceased (OR 3.27, 95% CI 1.5-11.2).These results indicate that 30-day mortality for nonvariceal bleeding is low. Deaths occurred predominantly in elderly patients with severe comorbidities or those with failure of endoscopic intention to treatment.
- Published
- 2008
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