1. A Tale of Two Cities: What's Driving the Firearm Mortality Difference in Two Large Urban Centers?
- Author
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Jessica Friedman, Elizabeth Mytty, Ben Horwitz, Tara Reza, Chrissy Guidry, Sharven Taghavi, Scott Ninokawa, Shariq S. Raza, Elinore J. Kaufman, Jeff Asher, and Juan Duchesne
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Time Factors ,Psychological intervention ,Trauma registry ,Logistic regression ,Continuous variable ,Injury Severity Score ,Case fatality rate ,medicine ,Humans ,Registries ,Retrospective Studies ,Philadelphia ,Univariate analysis ,business.industry ,Head injury ,New Orleans ,General Medicine ,medicine.disease ,Police ,Transportation of Patients ,Female ,Wounds, Gunshot ,business ,Demography - Abstract
Introduction Per police data, the case fatality rate (CFR) of firearm assault in New Orleans (NO) over the last several years ranged between 27% and 35%, compared with 18%-22% in Philadelphia. The reasons for this disparity are unknown, and potentially reflect important system differences with broader implications for the reduction of firearm mortality. Methods A retrospective analysis of police and city-specific trauma databases between 2012 and 2017 was performed. Victims of firearm assaults within city limits were included. Univariate analysis was performed using chi-square for categorical and t-test for continuous variables. Bivariate analysis was conducted using logistic regression. Results Per police data, the CFR of firearm assault was 31% in NO and 20% in Philadelphia. However, per trauma registry data, the CFR of firearm assault was 14% in NO and 25% in Philadelphia. Patients in Philadelphia were older, had higher injury severity score, and lower blood pressure. Patients in NO had higher rates of head injury. 51% of patients in Philadelphia arrived via police compared to Conclusions Our findings suggest that the major driver of increased mortality following firearm assault in NO compared with Philadelphia is death prior to the arrival of first responders. Interventions that shorten prehospital time will likely have the greatest impact on mortality in NO. This should include the consideration of police transport.
- Published
- 2021