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Background: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio has been proposed as a marker of systemic inflammation in major trauma patients that is associated with in-hospital mortality. However, the initial neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio does not appear to be predictive of in-hospital mortality. The aim of this study is to determine the discriminative ability of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio profile over 48 h as a predictor of in-hospital mortality following major trauma. Methods: This was a case-control study involving all major trauma patients meeting the criteria for inclusion into the Alfred Health Trauma Registry who presented directly from the scene of injury over a 24-month period. Patients were then divided into two groups, cases being major trauma patients who died at hospital discharge and controls being patients who survived. We extracted data for Day 0, Day 1 and Day 2 neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio values for each patient. The primary outcome was mortality at hospital discharge. Results: Data were extracted for 1689 major trauma patients, of which 72% were male, the median age was 49 years (IQR 31–68) and most (90%) patients presented after a blunt mechanism of injury. There were 165 cases that were compared to 1524 controls. Patients who died were older (p < 0.001), and had higher injury severity scores (p < 0.001) and lower revised trauma scores (p < 0.001). Analysis of response profiles demonstrated a significant difference between the trajectories of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio over time (p < 0.001). Conclusions: The profile of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio over 48 h after injury shows promise as a prognostic tool in trauma and warrants further investigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a marker of systemic inflammation in major trauma patients that is associated with in-hospital mortality. We aimed to determine the discriminative ability of initial NLR as a predictor of outcomes following major trauma. Methods: This was a registry-based cohort study involving all major trauma patients meeting criteria for inclusion into the Alfred Health Trauma Registry who presented directly from the scene of injury over a 24-month period (January 2018 to December 2019). The initial NLR was calculated for each patient and was compared against the Shock Index (SI), lactate and Revised Trauma Score (RTS). Outcomes observed were mortality at hospital discharge and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. We assessed the predictive capacity of each test using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and performed area under the ROC curve (AUROC) analysis to compare their performance. Results: Data were extracted for 1687 major trauma patients, of which 72% were male, the median age was 49 years (IQR 31–68) and most (90%) of patients presented after a blunt mechanism of injury. In-hospital mortality occurred in 165 (9.77%) patients, and 725 (42.92%) patients required ICU admission. The median NLR was 6.84 (IQR 3.89–11.52). Initial NLR performed poorly with an AUROC of 0.46 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40–0.52) for prediction of mortality and AUROC of 0.53 (95% CI: 0.50–0.56) for prediction of ICU admission. The AUROCs of initial NLR for both mortality at hospital discharge and ICU admission were significantly lower than SI, lactate and RTS. Conclusion: Initial NLR was not predictive of outcomes in major trauma. NLR at other time-points may provide better predictive capacity for outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]