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The results of ultrasonic duplex scanning combined with spectral analysis are compared with the results of contrast angiography in patients after endarterectomy in which recurrence of carotid arterial disease was suspected. Thirty-six patients underwent a duplex scan study within 3 months of their post-operative angiogram, performed at their physician's discretion (44 studies). The overall accuracy of the method was 80%. Our ability to predict a greater than 50% diameter reduction along with total occlusion was 94%. The measure of agreement corrected for chance between arteriography and duplex scanning as expressed by the Kappa statistic was 0.675 +/- SE (K) 0.096. This level of agreement compared favorably to that of inter- and intra-observer variability in reading cerebral angiograms. The accuracy reported justifies the clinical use of ultrasonic duplex scanning in the detection of recurrent stenosis after carotid endarterectomy.

The results of ultrasonic pulsed Doppler duplex scanning with spectral analysis and computer pattern recognition are compared with the results of contrast arteriography in patients screened for extracranial carotid artery disease. The intraangiographer variability (one radiologist reading the same films twice) and the interangiographer variability (two radiologists reading the same film independently) were also studied. To calculate degrees of agreement corrected for chance, the Kappa statistic was computed for all the evaluation methods employed. At the present time, the concordance between spectral analysis and cerebral contrast angiography reaches a Kappa value of 0.682 +/- 0.064. This level of agreement compares favorably with the interangiographer agreement level (K = 0.568 +/- 0.058) and the intraangiographer agreement (K = 0.711 +/- 0.054). The computer pattern recognition program predicted the degree of stenosis by angiography with an agreement of K = 0.721 +/- 0.059. This concordance compares favorably to that observed when the radiologists are compared with themselves and is greater than that reached by two different radiologists. The continuous improvement in precision and accuracy of duplex scanning offers the promise of its usefulness in clinical and epidemiological studies.