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The author discusses the stock market prediction methods of investment firm Vanguard Group founder John C. Bogle, particularly the simplicity of Bogle's calculations and their elements including starting yield, earnings growth, and speculative return.

The article notes that some investment strategists have issued forecasts calling for modest gains in the Standard & Poor's 500 index during 2015, and considers why that could be reason for optimism. Seth Masters of Bernstein Global Wealth Management says people will build feasible investment plans if their expectations are reasonable. Savita Subramanian of securities firm Bank of America Merrill Lynch says strategist forecasts can be a contrarian indicator for the stock market.

The author discusses investment in the Internet retailer Alibaba Group Holdings in anticipation of the company's planned initial public offering (IPO), focusing on the suggestion that share prices will be volatile. Topics include analysis of the risk and rewards facing the company, the general performance of Chinese companies going public in the U.S., and examination of the long-term performance of companies with high-profile IPOs.

The article discusses former pessimists about the U.S. stock market who have turned more optimistic amid an ongoing bull market in stocks. Gina Martin of Wells Fargo Securities has issued a forecast calling for a 5.8% gain in the Standard & Poor's 500 index over a 12-month period. Adam Parker of Morgan Stanley says that index could rise over 50% during a five-year period.

The article discusses speculation on U.S. stock market performance, highlighting a historical trend of decline in stock prices during the month of September. Topics include concerns from investment strategists over plans by the U.S. Federal Reserve to potentially raise interest rates, changes in bond and U.S. treasury note yields, and investing in foreign stocks.

The article discusses a decline in European stock market indexes, such as the Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, despite positive forecasts from investors at the beginning of 2014. The decline in European stocks is due to investor concerns related to the slowing of the economy in European countries such as Italy and Germany, conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and investor disappointment with the European Central Bank for its lack of more aggressive easing efforts.

The article discusses how a 7% rise in the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) index during 2014 through July 27 has confounded the forecasts of several stock strategists. David Kostin of financial firm Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has revised upward his 2014 forecast for the index to see a 2.8% gain. Gina Martin Adams of Wells Fargo Securities still believes the S&P 500 will end 2014 little changed.

The article discusses the benefits of international diversification of stock portfolios as of July 26, 2014 and offers tips for investing in foreign stocks. Topics include the preference of investors for stocks in their home countries, known as home bias, the cost and risk of investing in emerging or frontier markets, and forecasts from chief investment officer Joachim Klement that inexpensive foreign stocks will generate higher returns than domestic stocks in the near future.

The article looks at stock investing as of April 2014, focusing on high technology stocks. It notes the Nasdaq Composite stock price index rose strongly between 2009 and March 2014 but has fallen off since then, discussing whether the drop portends longer-term trends. Topics include initial public offerings (IPOs) and specific high-technology sectors including the biotechnology (biotech) and Internet industries.

The article looks at stock investing, as of March 2014. It outlines the history of stock prices over the past several years, noting they fell sharply in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis and then rebounded between 2009 and 2014. It offers recommendations for individual investors on deciding how much of their portfolios should be allocated to stocks, citing factors including capacity to handle risk. Stock price forecasting is discussed.

The article profiles financial analyst Sam Eisenstadt, as of 2013. It discusses his long career at research firm Value Line, saying he was involved in creating the firm's stock ranking algorithm in the 1960s, which it notes has a successful record of forecasting stock price increases. It notes he continues to analyze the stock market in retirement, at age 91. The Value Line system's ratings of stocks including AK Steel and oil company BP are cited.

The article discusses caution among stock-market strategists in their forecasts for stock prices in 2014. The average prediction among nine analysts calls for stock prices to rise 4.1% in 2014, considerably below average forecasts since 2000 calling for 10% gains. Unlike the case in 2013, in 2014 many analysts don't expect the price-to-earnings ratios for stocks to increase.

The article discusses the value of corporate news related to spinoffs, stock buybacks, insider trading, and stock splitting in investor decision making, arguing that these activities indicate corporate board attitudes about share prices. Topics include the link between a 2013 share repurchase by Apple Inc. and an increase in its stock price, a successful 2912 spinoff of forklift manufacturer Hyster-Yale Halding by Nacco Industries, and legal insider purchasing as a predictor of share price.

The article discusses investing in the U.S. as of June 10, 2013, with a focus on economic forecasts for volatility in prices for stocks, currencies, and commodities. Topics include asset-price gains and central-bank liquidity, swings on the stock market index Dow Jones Industrial Average, and bond purchases by the Federal Reserve.

The article discusses the mathematical analysis of stock exchanges in the U.S. in order to predict stock prices, with information on the mathematical theories of market analysis. Topics include methodology for market forecasting like the Elliott Wave Theory, predictions by technical analysts on the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the variable which accounts for unpredictability in investors.

The article discusses March 2013 U.S. stock prices, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Standard & Poor (S&P) 500-stock index. The U.S. labor market, the history of high Dow industrials since World War II, and financial forecasts are discussed, as well as investors' attitudes. A chart of previous Dow surges is presented from 1996-2013.

The article reports that electronics company Apple surpassed computer company Microsoft as the U.S. company with the highest stock-market value in American history on August 20, 2012. Topics include how Apple's stock value has grown despite disappointing 2012 sales and the death of founder Steve Jobs, predictions that other stock market leaders like Internet companies Google and Amazon will surpass Apple's achievement, and a graph documenting the company's stock market value from 1985-2012.

The article considers U.S. stock prices in 2012. Concerns among financiers that prices will be unable to continue strong gains made during the first four months of that year are discussed including expectations that corporate profits will not increase sharply because of weak U.S. economic growth and a corresponding fear that the economy will not be weak enough to cause the Federal Reserve Board to enact another round of so-called quantitative easing monetary policy.

The article considers psychology research on capitalists and financiers. A study of small investors indicating that they tend to forecast that securities prices will rise or fall based on short-term trends in current market conditions is examined. A neuroscience study finding that improved short-term returns trigger releases of the neurotransmitter dopamine in the brain is discussed.

The article considers the initial public stock offering (IPO) of the Internet industry company Facebook Inc. A riddle known as the St. Petersburg Paradox is used to illustrate the difficulty faced by investors in attempting to forecast the future cash flow, earnings and growth of Facebook as well as the high market value of the firm as measured by the price of its IPO.

The article considers U.S. stock prices. Increases in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500 index on January 18, 2012 are discussed in terms of a rally in stock prices in the first two weeks of that year. It is noted that the rally was not forecast by many analysts, who had predicted disappointing corporate earnings for the fourth quarter of 2011.

The article considers U.S. stock price forecasting for 2012 made by Adam Parker, chief equity strategist of the investment bank Morgan Stanley. Parker's prediction that the Standard & Poor's 500 stock price index will decline by 8.7 percent in that year is examined, particularly Parker's contention that more optimistic forecasts by other analysts overestimate growth in profits of large banking and financial services industries firms.

The article discusses a sharp decline in copper prices. During September 2011 copper has fallen 23%. Owing to the wide variety of products copper is used in, some view copper as an indicator of future economic conditions. At times in the past copper has shown itself to be an accurate predictor of stock prices, a fact some investors find unsettling.

The article considers U.S. stock price forecasting by analysts employed by the financial services industry. A trend is considered in which many analysts, investment advisers and money managers for large financial firms are reducing their previously optimistic forecasts for U.S. stock prices in the second half of 2011 due to declines in prices in August, 2011 and continuing weakness in U.S. economic indicators.

The article discusses a long-term optimistic forecast for stocks from professor Richard Sylla of New York University's Stern School of Business. Based upon his analysis of historical market behavior, Sylla believes stock prices will reach their nadir within a few years then begin rise. He says that by the close of 202 the Dow Jones Industrial Average could be 84% higher than it was in September 2011.

The article examines financial analysts for financial services industry companies who issue stock price forecasting. A disparity is discussed between a decline in U.S. economic indicators in the second quarter of 2011 and a corresponding decline in stock prices, and the forecasts for earnings and prices of individual stocks issued by analysts, which remain notably optimistic.

The article examines U.S. stock prices and offers stock price forecasting for August, 2010. Widespread summer vacations in the U.S. and Europe in that month historically means it generates less news of concern to financiers, so on average prices rise on low volume in August. However, this low volume means that unexpected events such as a natural disaster or political crisis in a foreign country can create a severe if short decline in prices.

The article examines stock price evaluations and stock price forecasting by financial analysts. So-called technical analysts, who monitor internal stock market trends, cite indications that U.S. stock prices should continue to rise in 2010. One of the indicators discussed is that stocks which increase continue to be more numerous than those which decline in daily trading.

The article examines mutual funds which specialize in stocks in foreign countries, particularly in emerging markets, and offers forecasting for foreign stock prices in 2010. Mutual funds specializing in those stocks made large gains in 2009, and attracted more investment than funds devoted to U.S. stocks. Investment advisers forecast that foreign stocks are unlikely to increase as sharply in 2010.

The article discusses the accuracy of the stock market forecast known as the Super Bowl Predictor that was established by stock market analyst Robert H. Stovall.

The article discusses forecasts for the stock index the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 for 2016.

The article discusses U.S. stock prices and presents stock price forecasting. Many corporations will report their earnings for the third quarter of 2009 in October, 2009. Several investment advisers state that they expect corporate profits, while weak, to be stronger than previously forecast, which could result in a continuation of the rally in stock prices which began in March, 2009.

The article discusses U.S. stock prices and offers stock price forecasting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 46 percent since March, 2009, one of only six equivalent increases in 100 years. Several investment analysts note that the other five such rallies came in the 1930s and 1970s, periods of poor economic conditions, and that the rallies were not sustained. Parallels are drawn with economic conditions in 2009.

The article presents an evaluation of U.S. stock prices and stock price forecasting for the fall of 2009. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 44 percent since March 9, 2009. Several financial analysts forecast that a stronger-than-expected recovery from the recession should allow the rally to continue. High unemployment and large public and consumer debt are acknowledged as a threat to that scenario.

The article presents discusses U.S. stock prices and offers stock price forecasting. The rally in U.S. stocks which began in March, 2009 has been largely generated by strong reports of corporate profits in the second quarter of the year. Investment analysts state that those profits were primarily the result of cost controls, and that the revenue increases needed for long-term profit growth have yet to materialize.

The article focuses on investment analysts who correctly forecast that U.S. stock prices would stage a rally after hitting lows in March, 2009. A number of these analysts believe that the subsequent rally has overshot what they consider to be fair value for stock prices and forecast modest if any price increases and considerable volatility for the rest of 2009 and several years beyond. Investment manager Jeremy Grantham foresees "seven lean years."

The article presents stock price evaluation and stock price forecasting. Major corporations will report earnings for the first quarter of 2009 in April of that year, and most economist predict the majority will be disappointing to investors. Research indicates most so-called "earnings seasons" are accompanied by a fall in stock prices. This could put an end to the March, 2009 rally.

The article presents research on stock prices as well as stock price forecasting. A study of bear markets conducted by Elroy Dimson of London Business School indicates that recoveries from bear markets takes far longer than is generally thought. Dimson estimates that it may take the Dow Jones Industrial Average nine years before there is a 50 percent chance it returns to its record high of October, 2007.

The article presents an evaluation of stock prices and stock price forecasting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 5.1 percent in the week of February 9-13, 2009 as investors feared that economic recovery plans proposed by the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama would not quickly restore growth. There are concerns prices could fall below their lows of November, 2008, the height of the financial crisis.

The article discusses the inability of mathematical models to predict stock movements amid an ongoing recession in the U.S. Whereas many models are based upon economic data over periods encompassing recessions of a typical duration, the current recession that began in December, 2007 could become the longest since 1933.

The article presents stock price forecasting for 2009. The historic decline in stock prices in 2008 due to the financial crisis and recession has led many investors to question the long-held belief that stocks always gain in value over the long run. Both institutional and individual investors remain skeptical of any investment which contains risk, meaning a rebound in prices, if any, is likely to be modest.

The article describes the status of energy investing at the end of 2008. The decline of oil prices to $33.87 a barrel on December 26, 2008 from a high of $145.29 in July 2008 is mentioned. Increases in energy stock prices in late 2008 are also noted, mentioning that investors are betting that oil prices will rise over the long term.

The article discusses optimism on the part of several notable investors that the stock market could be bottoming out. Bill Miller, Steve Leuthold, and Laszlo Birinyi are among those who believe the time has come to buy stocks again. However, expert opinion that an ongoing bear market was near an end has proven wrong in the past.

The article presents an evaluation of U.S. stock prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen by 11 percent since March 10, 2008. A study of past rallies indicates the latest one has some worrying anomalies. The stocks which have done best are those of heavy industry companies in fields such as petroleum and mining. Consumer product companies, which traditionally lead stocks into bull markets, have lagged.

The article evaluates U.S. stock prices. Overall corporate average earnings declined 15 percent in the first quarter of 2008, yet prices have risen sharply since mid-March, 2008, as investors anticipate dramatic profit increases in the second half of the year. Analysts warn these expectations appear to be grounded more in optimism than in economic indicators, which point to continued weakness.

The article presents stock price forecasting for the financial services industry. Stocks in the industry have risen steadily since March, 2008 as investors have hoped that the worst of the financial crisis caused by the collapse of the housing bubble is over. The announcements of stock sales and other means of raising capital by banks including Citigroup and Bank of America indicate that optimism may be misplaced.

The article evaluates stock prices in the hotel industry. Hotels suffer during recessions, and 250,000 new rooms will come on the market in the U.S. in 2008-2009, factors which indicate sluggish profits at best. Companies which manage hotels such as InterContinental Hotels and Wyndham Worldwide such perform better than the real estate investment trusts which build and own the actual properties.

The article presents an evaluation of U.S. stock prices and stock price forecasting for the rest of 2008. The disappointing earnings statement for the first quarter of 2008 from General Electric Co. indicate that the problems in the lending system created by the collapse of the housing bubble have created weakness throughout the economy and not just for financial services. This threatens the modest rise in stock prices which took place in the second half of March, 2008.

The article examines stock price forecasting on which sectors of the U.S. economy might be best poised to lead an eventual recovery from the 2008 recession. A consensus among stock market analysts is that both high-technology, a dismal performer in early 2008, and health care stocks would do well in a recovery, as should energy industry stocks.

The article reports that U.S. stock prices posted significant gains on the first day of the second quarter of 2008. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and other stock price indexes rose over 3 percent to reach their highest levels since February 27, 2008. Analysts disagreed if this signaled the end to the 2007-2008 bear market. This was the sixth time the Dow rose more than 300 points since September, 2007, which was the start of its overall decline.