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Why do attitudes to refugees vary? An original panel is used in five EU states – France, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Poland – to explain European attitudes towards three groups of refugees following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It is shown that European attitudes to Ukrainian refugees are determined by predispositions to immigration and perceptions of the war and actors involved, with European identity and contact with refugees being relatively unimportant. These findings are validated with dynamic panel models and attitudes towards the Temporary Protection Directive. A 'spill-over' effect is further demonstrated, whereby attitudes to Ukrainian refugees positively affect attitudes to Afghan and Somali refugees, and a declining 'rally-around-the-flag' effect over time. These findings contribute to the literature on attitudinal formation, showing the relative malleability of attitudes to refugees as a function of their embeddedness in broader attitudinal patterns (particularly to immigration and geopolitics), changing context (the different stages of the war), and spill-over from views towards other refugee groups. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Immigration has become an increasingly politicised issue in many European countries. While prior research emphasises the role of party cues and education in shaping public attitudes to immigration, we know less about the impact of these two factors when they place individuals under cross-pressures. This study explores how exposure to cross-pressures arising from the incongruence between party cues and the values one is expected to hold as a function of educational attainment affects immigration attitudes. The empirical analysis relies on cross-sectional analyses of public preferences in ten European countries and longitudinal analyses of public attitudes in the Netherlands. The results point to attitudinal moderation among party supporters with lower levels of education due to exposure to incongruent party cues. Highly educated party supporters appear to be insensitive to such incongruent cues. Supplemental data for this article can be accessed online at: https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2021.1975447. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]