209 results
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2. Carbon dioxide emission characteristics and peak trend analysis of countries along the Belt and Road
- Author
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Chou, Jieming, Li, Yuanmeng, Xu, Yuan, Zhao, Weixing, Li, Jiangnan, and Hao, Yidan
- Published
- 2023
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3. CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE EU: ANALYSIS BY CLUSTERING AND REGRESSION.
- Author
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Krstić, Miloš
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REGRESSION analysis ,INDUSTRIAL clusters ,CLUSTER analysis (Statistics) ,GREENHOUSE gases ,CLIMATE change ,EXTREME weather - Abstract
Copyright of Serbian Journal of Management is the property of Serbian Journal of Management and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
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4. Towards a circular economy: Implications for emission reduction and environmental sustainability.
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Hailemariam, Abebe and Erdiaw‐Kwasie, Michael Odei
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CIRCULAR economy ,SUSTAINABILITY ,GREENHOUSE gas mitigation ,CARBON emissions ,ENVIRONMENTAL quality ,FOSSIL fuels ,WASTE recycling - Abstract
Governments and policymakers worldwide have been setting targets to achieve an ambitious net‐zero emission target by 2050 to tackle the pressing issue of climate change. However, achieving the net‐zero emission target by 2050 depends on the factors determining the transition from traditional fossil fuel energy sources to renewables. In connection with this, policymakers have emphasised the need to transition from a linear to a circular economy. In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of the progress towards a circular economy in reducing CO2 emissions and promoting environmental sustainability. To do so, we use annual historical data for a panel of 29 European countries from 2000 to 2020. Using an identification strategy that adopts heteroscedastic‐based instrumental variables and addresses endogeneity issues, we find that progress towards a circular economy significantly improves environmental quality via reducing CO2 emissions. Our findings suggest that business strategies promoting recycling and circular economy practices play an important role in environmental sustainability by reducing emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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5. The effect of directed technical change on carbon dioxide emissions: evidence from China’s industrial sector at the provincial level
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Liu, Liang and Li, Lianshui
- Published
- 2021
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6. The impact of shadow banking activities on carbon dioxide emissions: empirical evidence from China
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Zheng, Hanghang
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- 2023
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7. Impacts of high-technology product exports on climate change mitigation in Belt and Road countries: the mediating role of renewable energy source and human capital accumulation
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Han, Miao, Zhou, Yan, and De Mendonca, Taryn
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- 2024
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8. Comparative Study of Induction Motors of IE2, IE3 and IE4 Efficiency Classes in Pump Applications Taking into Account CO 2 Emission Intensity.
- Author
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Goman, Victor, Prakht, Vladimir, Kazakbaev, Vadim, and Dmitrievskii, Vladimir
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CARBON dioxide ,CLIMATE change ,ENERGY consumption ,CARBON emissions ,PAYBACK periods ,VARIABLE speed drives ,ELECTRIC motors ,INDUCTION motors - Abstract
Featured Application: The presented results can be used to evaluate the energy-saving potential and ecological impact of electric motors of various energy efficiency classes in various applications of electric drive. The high energy intensity of the modern industry and the threat of climate change determine the high urgency of increasing the energy efficiency of electric motors. In this paper, energy consumption, energy costs, payback periods, and CO
2 emissions of 75 kW, 4 pole induction motors with direct grid supply in a fixed-speed pump unit are evaluated. Motors of the IE2, IE3, and IE4 efficiency classes according to IEC 60034-30-1 standard are compared in terms of life-time energy savings, payback period, and CO2 emissions. To carry out the analysis, polynomial interpolation of the data from the available manufacturer datasheets of the motors is used. It concluded that even though the initial investment cost of the IE4-motor is higher than that of IE3-motor, the IE4-motor is more profitable if more than 3 years of operation are considered and also provides significant reductions of CO2 emissions. The paper presents a calculation method of the aforementioned indicators which can be useful for companies, researchers, and engineers for quick assessment and selection of technical solutions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
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9. Extreme Weather Influence on Carbon Emissions in Chinese Urban Traffic Environments.
- Author
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Wang, Chao, Gu, Yongheng, Ma, Fei, and Li, Yongping
- Subjects
CARBON emissions ,CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,ENVIRONMENTAL protection ,URBAN transportation - Abstract
As concerns around climate change and global warming intensify, extreme weather events such as heavy rain, blizzards, and smog-induced haze have greatly impacted the commuting travel mode selection of urban residents. Such behavioral shifts have in turn led to changes of the carbon emissions generated from these residents. This paper constructs a "extreme weather (W)–travel behavior (B)–carbon emissions (C)" research framework. Using a multiple logistic regression model, the transportation mode shift model, and the econometric model of urban resident's travel behavior under the influence of extreme weather conditions were constructed. The marginal effects of weather on residents' commuter behavior, through the use of transportation type and distance of travel were also obtained. The study found that the overall carbon dioxide emission levels of daily commuting has gradually decreased due to the influence of extreme weather. However, as some travelers still adopted high-emission commuting modes through the use of taxis or ride-sharing services, there was still a slight increase in CCDE levels in certain extreme weather contexts. In particular, when haze was prevalent, vehicle restriction policies only reduced CCDE by 2.18%, while the remaining 77.83% of total CCDE remaining unchanged. This research provides a key reference point for governmental departments in urban transportation management and environmental protection to formulate policies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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10. Revisiting the CO2 emission-induced EKC hypothesis in South Asia: the role of Export Quality Improvement.
- Author
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Murshed, Muntasir and Dao, Nhung Thi Tuyet
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CARBON emissions ,CLIMATE change ,ECONOMIC conditions in Asia ,KUZNETS curve ,PANEL analysis ,NEPAL Earthquake, 2015 - Abstract
Global climate change adversities have particularly sparked the urgency in mitigating carbon dioxide emissions across the world. Against this backdrop, the paper attempts to investigate the validity of the carbon dioxide emission-induced Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis controlling for the impacts of export quality on the economic growth-carbon dioxide emission nexus in the context of selected South Asian economies: Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Nepal. Using annual data from 1972 to 2014, the results from the panel data econometric analyses provide statistical validity to the EKC hypothesis while the country-specific results depict heterogeneity of the findings in this regard. The EKC hypothesis is validated only for Bangladesh and India while in the context of Pakistan the economic growth-carbon dioxide emission nexus portrays a U-shaped association. In contrast, economic growth is found to monotonically decrease carbon dioxide emissions in Sri Lanka and Nepal. Besides, the results from both the panel and time-series analyses suggest that improvement in export quality lead to lower levels of carbon dioxide emissions. Moreover, the statistical significance of the interaction term between economic growth and export quality implies that the overall impacts of economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions are conditional on the quality of the exports. Thus, enhancing the quality of the export products is pertinent with respect to ensuring environmental sustainability across South Asia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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11. Predicting future global temperature and greenhouse gas emissions via LSTM model
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Hamdan, Ahmad, Al-Salaymeh, Ahmed, AlHamad, Issah M., Ikemba, Samuel, and Ewim, Daniel Raphael Ejike
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- 2023
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12. Sustainable economic activities, climate change, and carbon risk: an international evidence
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Khan, Muhammad Kamran, Trinh, Hai Hong, Khan, Ikram Ullah, and Ullah, Subhan
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- 2022
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13. The role of liquefied petroleum gas in decarbonizing India: fresh evidence from wavelet–partial wavelet coherence approach
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Rej, Soumen, Bandyopadhyay, Arunava, Mahmood, Haider, Murshed, Muntasir, and Mahmud, Sakib
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- 2022
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14. Probabilistic approach to the sustainability assessment of reinforced concrete structures in conditions of climate change.
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Malami, Salim Idris, Val, Dimitri V., Suryanto, Benny, Salman, Husham A., and Wang, Xiao-Hui
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SOIL corrosion , *REINFORCED concrete , *LIFE cycle costing , *REINFORCED concrete corrosion , *CARBON emissions , *CLIMATE change , *CONSTRUCTION materials - Abstract
• A novel probabilistic method for evaluating the sustainability performance of reinforced concrete (RC) structures made with conventional and green concretes and subjected to carbonation is presented. • The method is based on the combination of life cycle assessment (LCA) and life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) methodologies. • The method takes into account the impact of climate change, which is illustrated for three locations with different types of climate. • It is shown that green concretes demonstrate superior sustainability performance compared to conventional concrete, both in terms of CO 2 emissions and costs, and that climate change does not affect that. The paper presents a probabilistic method based on two methodologies – Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA), for evaluating the sustainability of reinforced concrete (RC) structures in terms of their costs and CO 2 emissions. The method considers the whole life of a RC structure by taking into account CO 2 initially embodied in its construction materials, the absorption of CO 2 by concrete due to carbonation during the service life of the structure, potential damage to the structure due to carbonation-induced corrosion of reinforcing steel that may require repairs, and relevant costs. Since there are numerous uncertainties associated with the calculation of CO 2 emissions and costs, a probabilistic approach is beneficial. The emphasis is made on RC structures made of the so-called "green concretes", in which Portland cement is partially replaced with supplementary cementitious materials such as fly ash and ground granulated blast-furnace slag. The issue of a changing climate is also addressed. The method is illustrated by assessing the sustainability of a multi-story RC carpark made of different concrete types at three different locations (London, Paris and Marseille) for present and future climate conditions. This assessment's results show that using green concretes leads to a major reduction in CO 2 emissions and a small decrease in the life-cycle cost of the carpark RC elements. The relative sustainability performance of green concretes slightly improves compared to Portland cement concrete for future climate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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15. Climate Change Paradox: The Least Responsible for It Encounters the Most of Its Implications.
- Author
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Allafta, Hadi and Opp, Christian
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CLIMATE change ,MIDDLE-income countries ,LITERATURE reviews ,HIGH-income countries ,CARBON emissions ,CARBON dioxide ,NATIONAL income - Abstract
Carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emissions are a major cause of climate change. However, CO2 emissions data for 178 countries from 1960 to 2018 revealed inequality in global CO2 emissions. For example, we found that 50% of the world's population (ca. 3.75 billion people) was responsible for just 8.9% of the global cumulative carbon emissions. These people are concentrated in low- and middle-income countries. Conversely, 10% of the world's population (ca. 757 million people), concentrated in high-income countries, were responsible for 46.8% of the global emissions. Furthermore, the literature review disclosed evolution of CO2 emission inequalities within countries. A significant (p < 0.001) negative (r2 = −0.52) correlation was detected between carbon emissions and climate change impacts on national incomes. Such correlation indicated that countries most likely to experience the greatest effects of climate change are also those who make the smallest contributions to its underlying causes. Similar disparities were observed within countries where low-income groups who make the smallest contributions to climate change are subjected to its worst implications. Evaluations of the data from the literature showed that migration could be the result of climate change, though such migration does not happen in isolation. In other words, this kind of migration is frequently linked to other issues such as the fragility and lack of adaptability of the communities. Furthermore, reviews showed that climate change catalyzes instability and conflict. On the other hand, conflict damages the environment and climate in multiple ways. Therefore, it is necessary to collaborate to resolve these two issues concurrently. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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16. Global Climate Change in the Wider Context of Sustainability
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Stahel, Walter R.
- Published
- 2008
17. The Impact of Surplus Sharing on the Stability of International Climate Agreements
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Weikard, Hans-Peter, Finus, Michael, and Altamirano-Cabrera, Juan-Carlos
- Published
- 2006
18. An Analysis of China's Carbon Dioxide Mitigation Target.
- Author
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Xu, Bo, Sun, Qie, Wennersten, Ronald, and Brandt, Nils
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CARBON dioxide mitigation ,SUSTAINABLE development ,GROSS domestic product ,POLLUTION prevention ,CARBON offsetting ,CARBON sequestration - Abstract
ABSTRACT The Chinese government has announced a national mitigation target towards sustainable development of reducing carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emissions per unit GDP (CO2 /GDP) by 40-45% by 2020 compared with the 2005 level. This paper analyses China's CO2 strategic mitigation target and suggests possible ways to reduce CO2 /GDP. The mitigation target of reducing CO2 intensity in terms of GDP is ambitious and would greatly reduce CO2 emissions compared with business as usual (BAU) in China. However, it would not prevent an increase in absolute CO2 emissions and therefore a more ambitious target, e.g. a larger reduction goal for CO2 /GDP, is still needed. Promoting energy structure by more ambitious economic instruments to increase the proportion of renewable energy and replace coal consumption with oil and gas, and improving energy efficiency by applied advanced technologies, are both necessary measures. Special attention should be given to improving technologies in the manufacturing sector owing to its high energy consumption and low energy use efficiency. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and ERP Environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2014
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19. Education and the environment: an international study.
- Author
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Mayer, Adam
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ENVIRONMENTAL education ,FOREIGN study ,ENVIRONMENTAL engineering ,FOSSIL fuels ,CARBON dioxide mitigation ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
More educated people typically care more about the environment and are more willing to support environmental policy than people with less formal education. However, the relationship between education and environmental outcomes at the population level has been less studied. Using international data and panel regression techniques, this paper shows that increases in national investment in education and access to education increase fossil fuel usage and greater access to education increases carbon dioxide emissions per person. This finding is net of the effects of economic development, democratic institutions, and export intensity. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2013
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20. Modeling Carbon Release of Brazilian Highest Economic Pole and Major Urban Emitter: Comparing Classical Methods and Artificial Neural Networks.
- Author
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Debone, Daniela, Martins, Tiago Dias, and Miraglia, Simone Georges El Khouri
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ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,GROSS national product ,MICROIRRIGATION ,ENERGY consumption ,INNER cities ,CARBON emissions - Abstract
Despite the concern about climate change and the associated negative impacts, fossil fuels continue to prevail in the global energy consumption. This paper aimed to propose the first model that relates CO
2 emissions of Sao Paulo, the main urban center emitter in Brazil, with gross national product and energy consumption. Thus, we investigated the accuracy of three different methods: multivariate linear regression, elastic-net regression, and multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks. Comparing the results, we clearly demonstrated the superiority of artificial neural networks when compared with the other models. They presented better results of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE = 0.76%) and the highest possible coefficient of determination (R2 = 1.00). This investigation provides an innovative integrated climate-economic approach for the accurate prediction of carbon emissions. Therefore, it can be considered as a potential valuable decision-support tool for policymakers to design and implement effective environmental policies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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21. Techno-economic comparative study of grid-connected PV power systems in five climate zones, China.
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Li, Chong, Zhou, Dequn, and Zheng, Yuan
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ENERGY economics , *PLUG-in hybrid electric vehicles , *PHOTOVOLTAIC power systems , *CLIMATE change - Abstract
Abstract The aim of this paper is to evaluate and compare the techno-economic performance of grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) power systems for a rooftop solar PV building containing 14 families in five climate zones in China. The techno-economic performance of grid-connected PV system in the five regions was evaluated using the HOMER software. Monthly average electric production, economic and environmental considerations, and sensitivity analyses were all considered. The results show that the pollutants from grid-only, grid/PV, and grid/PV/battery systems come mainly in the form of CO 2 emissions. In addition, this study concludes that grid/PV systems are technically, economically and environmentally feasible for all five climate zones. The excess electricity, NPC, and COE values of the grid/PV systems for all five climate zones increased with PV penetration increased, whereas the CO 2 emissions for these climate zones decreased due to the increasing PV sizes. For the grid/PV systems of five climate zones, Kunming is the most economical with the least NPC ($113,382) and COE ($0.073/kWh). The lowest CO 2 (38,975 kg/yr), SO 2 (35.4 kg/yr), and NO x (165 kg/yr) emissions of grid/PV systems occurred in Kunming. From an economic and environmental perspective, Kunming, with its mild climate conditions, may be especially suitable for grid/PV power generation. Highlights • The techno-economic performance of grid/PV system is evaluated using HOMER in five climate zones. • The grid/PV systems are feasible in five climate zones, China. • Kunming is the most economical with the least NPC ($113,382) and COE ($0.073/kWh). • Kunming may be especially suitable for grid/PV power generation. • The grid/PV system is a better choice for all five regions than the other studied systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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22. The contribution of CO2 emissions to environmental stress in the Middle East: challenges and potential solutions.
- Author
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Sengul, M., Francis, C.G., Elkadi, M., and Pillay, A.E.
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SUSTAINABLE development & the environment ,ENVIRONMENTAL impact analysis ,SALINE water conversion ,FOSSIL fuels & the environment ,INDUSTRIAL pollution ,POWER plants - Abstract
The increasing demand for water and electricity in the Middle East causes environmental stress. Along with the industrial sector, desalination and power plants are linked to fossil fuel combustion, which is chiefly responsible for increased carbon dioxide emissions. The magnitude of certain sustainable development indicators (such as the ecological footprint) has led to growing concern. This paper presents some of the challenges facing the transition to sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
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23. Change in CO2 emission and its transmissions between Korea and Japan using international input–output analysis
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Rhee, Hae-Chun and Chung, Hyun-Sik
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INTERNATIONAL trade , *CLIMATE change , *COMMERCIAL policy , *INTERNATIONAL markets - Abstract
Abstract: This paper is intended to analyze CO2 transmission between Japan and South Korea through international trade based on 1990 and 1995 international input–output data. It applied a residual-free structural decomposition method proposed by Chung and Rhee [Chung, H.S., Rhee, H.C., 2001. A residual-free decomposition of the sources of carbon dioxide emissions: a case of the Korean industries. Energy 26 (1), 15–30] to emission-related international input–output analysis for the first time in the decomposition studies. This paper is a case study regarding the manner and the extent to which CO2 emissions are influenced by international trade between Japan (an Annex I country) and South Korea (a non-Annex I country), which is of particular interest for the carbon leakage issue. In this paper, we attempted to show which factors contributed to the changes in emission of the major greenhouse gas in South Korea and Japan. The changes in emission are analyzed in terms of emission intensity, input techniques, demand composition, and trade structures. According to our analysis, South Korea, a non-Annex I country, has more energy-intensive production structures than Japan, an Annex I country. South Korea''s trade pattern with Japan reflects these production features, resulting in the Korea''s comparative advantage in emission intensive products, though the degree has somewhat mitigated in 1995 compared to 1990. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2006
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24. A multi-factor efficiency perspective to the relationships among world GDP, energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions.
- Author
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Ramanathan, Ramakrishnan
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GROSS domestic product ,ENERGY consumption ,CARBON dioxide ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
Abstract: Most of the research articles on climate change study the relationships between economic growth, and, carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emission or energy consumption separately for analyzing the impacts of economic growth and energy consumption on global carbon dioxide emissions. In this paper, the linkages among CO2 emissions, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and energy consumption are studied simultaneously using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). The time period considered for the study is 1980–2001. The results show that world in the year 1980 was the most efficient in achieving the highest economic growth, emitting least carbon dioxide for a given level of energy consumption for that year. The efficiency index reduced in the next 8 years, fluctuated with a declining trend for the next 7 years, and began to rise from 1996 till 2001. The model is further extended in this paper for technology forecasting to identify the links between energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions for achieving projected levels of GDP under two different assumptions on efficiency index. It has been identified using the forecasting model that, when the carbon dioxide emissions are restricted to the levels emitted in the year 1990 and when the efficiency index for the year 2025 is assumed to be at the level registered for the year 1980 (highest value), the non-fossil energy consumption needed to meet the GDP level projected for 2025 will be much smaller (35.46 quadrillion Btu for the reference GDP) than the values actually recorded in the year 1990 (44.59). However, the non-fossil energy consumption in 2025 (118.8) increases much more than the actual recorded in the year 1990 when the efficiency index in 2025 is assumed to be at the level registered for the year 1990. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]- Published
- 2006
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25. International tourism, exchange rate, and renewable energy: Do they boost or burden efforts towards a low carbon economy in selected African countries?
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Adjei-Mantey, Kwame, Adusah-Poku, Frank, and Kwakwa, Paul Adjei
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FOREIGN exchange rates ,RENEWABLE energy sources ,INTERNATIONAL tourism ,CARBON emissions ,TOURIST attractions ,ENERGY industries ,ENERGY development - Abstract
Africa continues to suffer from the effects of climate change in many ways. Records show that the continent's carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emissions have seen tremendous upward adjustments over the past decades. While international tourism and renewable energy have been touted as sources of reducing CO2 emissions, the empirical evidence has been mixed, and it is also unclear how exchange rates moderate the effect of tourism on CO2 emissions. With the recent pace of tourism and renewable energy development, as well as exchange rate fluctuations in Africa, the study assesses the impact of international tourism, exchange rate, and renewable energy on CO2 emissions of seven most visited countries in Africa. Carbon dioxide emission was modelled within the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. Regression analyses were performed using the quantile regression and fully modified OLS. Regression analysis from the fully modified OLS method shows that the EKC hypothesis holds for the selected countries; renewable energy and international tourism reduce carbon dioxide emissions; and exchange rate interacts with international tourism to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. The quantile regression shows variations in the impacts across the various quantiles. Countries in this study can rely on economic expansion, international tourism, and renewable energy to curb carbon dioxide emissions. It is recommended, among other things, that there should be the development of additional tourism locations and renewable energy adoption be scaled up as a means of reducing heavy polluting energy sources to reduce emissions emanating from the energy sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. A Comprehensive Model Assessment of China's Forestry and Climate Change.
- Author
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Zhang, Ying, Obuobi, Bright, Hwarari, Delight, and Zhang, Zhiguang
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CLIMATE change models ,FORESTS & forestry ,ECONOMIC models ,FOREIGN investments ,ECOLOGICAL impact ,FOSSIL fuels ,CLIMATE change ,FOREST policy - Abstract
The relationship between maximizing forest revenue and reducing environmental pollution has been a challenging one. It is every country's responsibility to protect its forest reserves and mitigate climate change. Studies on the relationship between forest economic models and climate change are limited, and most of them focus on maximizing forestry products. This study aims at filling the gaps and makes scientific contributions by providing a detailed account of various economic models and their correlations with climate change, as well as identifying the ecological footprint of forest products, fossil fuel consumption, forest cover, foreign direct investment, economic growth, and population in terms of carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emissions. In this study, we observed that most forest economic models focus on forest profit maximization and disregard climate impact. The empirical results suggest that the ecological footprint of forest products increases CO2 emissions. In addition, forest cover helps to reduce CO2 emissions. A case study of China's tremendous growth and the associated CO2 emissions levels reported a recent decrease in such levels, largely due to an increase in forest cover. Although these findings are not exhaustive, they provide new insights into forestry economic models and the impact of climate change, offering theoretical and practical implications for future reference and forest governance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
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27. Forecasting China's Carbon Intensity: Is China on Track to Comply with Its Copenhagen Commitment?
- Author
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Yuan Yang, Junjie Zhang, and Can Wang
- Subjects
CARBON dioxide ,ENERGY consumption ,EUROPEAN currency unit - Abstract
In the 2009 Copenhagen Accord, China agreed to slash its carbon intensity (carbon dioxide emissions/GDP) by 40% to 45% from the 2005 level by 2020. We assess whether China can achieve the target under the business-as-usual scenario by forecasting its emissions from energy consumption. Our preferred model shows that China's carbon intensity is projected to decline by only 33%. The results imply that China needs additional mitigation effort to comply with the Copenhagen commitment. The emission growth is more than triple the emission reductions that the European Union and the United States have committed to in the same period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. China’s energy revolution strategy into 2030.
- Author
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Liu, Qilin, Lei, Qi, Xu, Huiming, and Yuan, Jiahai
- Subjects
CARBON dioxide ,POWER resources ,CLIMATE change ,ENERGY consumption - Abstract
The Chinese Government just released its Energy Revolution Strategy (2016–2030) as an official policy response to President Xi Jinping’s urge. Withdraw of the US from Paris Climate Agreement has turned the global focus on if China can comply with its climate change commitments. The purpose of this paper is to conduct a comprehensive assessment on this utterly important question. We find that the 2030 Strategy is consistent with the GDP CO 2 intensity target but cannot deliver CO 2 peak earlier than 2030. We also explore the possibility for China to realize leapfrog in energy efficiency and contribute more to global society in CO 2 emissions abatement. Given China’s economic restructuring potential, continuous efforts in energy efficiency could lead to much lower primary energy demand than the Strategy proposed and thus peak energy-related CO 2 emissions around 2020. It can also make China a new champion in the world with highest energy efficiency level at comparable income level during the economic development process. A much lower primary energy demand can also facilitate China’s non-fossil primary energy share target and the low-carbon power system transition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Climate change mitigation with Eurobonds: an Environmental Kuznets Curve analysis
- Author
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Richard Fosu Amankwa, Eric B. Yiadom, Evans Acheampong, and John K. M. Mawutor
- Subjects
Eurobonds ,climate change ,carbon dioxide emissions ,Environmental Kuznets Curve ,Eurobond Environmental Kuznets Curve ,random effect regression model ,Finance ,HG1-9999 ,Economic theory. Demography ,HB1-3840 - Abstract
AbstractThis study examines the impact of Eurobonds on carbon dioxide emissions in Africa using a panel dataset. The paper reconsidered the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) and integrated it into Eurobond Environmental Kuznets Curve (EEKC). This study modelled a panel dataset spanning from 2007 to 2018 using all 17 sovereign African countries that have issued Eurobonds. The findings highlight a significant scientific value in exploring Eurobonds as a financing option to reduce carbon dioxide emissions in Africa. Specifically, the study reveals a positive relationship between Eurobond issuance and carbon dioxide emissions at the initial stage of the EEKC. By including the square term of Eurobond, the research identifies the existence of the EEKC in Africa, which supports the EKC theory. These results contribute to the growing body of literature on climate change mitigation and financing strategies in the context of African economies. Moreover, this study fills a critical void in the literature by introducing Eurobonds into the climate financing debate, emphasizing their potential role in financing climate-resilient activities. The study recommends that the issuing of Eurobonds should be linked to climate resilient activities, enabling funds to be directly invested in green sectors of the economy. This novel perspective on Eurobonds as a tool for environmentally sustainable projects adds scientific significance to the discourse on climate finance and sustainable development in Africa.
- Published
- 2024
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30. Environmental crisis overcoming as a factor for achieving economic sustainability in the context of the European green course.
- Author
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Voronkova, Valentyna, Nikitenko, Vìtalina, Oleksenko, Roman, Andriukaitiene, Regina, and Polysaiev, Olexsander
- Abstract
Copyright of Cuestiones Políticas is the property of Revista Cuestiones Politicas and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. How much does increasing non-fossil fuels in electricity generation reduce carbon dioxide emissions?
- Author
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Liddle, Brantley and Sadorsky, Perry
- Subjects
- *
ELECTRIC power production , *FOSSIL fuels , *CARBON dioxide mitigation , *RENEWABLE energy sources , *CLIMATE change - Abstract
Many international organizations have called for an increased usage of renewable energy as a means to reduce CO 2 emissions and address climate change. This paper uses a large panel data set of 93 countries and recently developed panel estimation techniques to answer the question by how much does increasing non-fossil fuels in electricity generation reduce the subsequent carbon dioxide emissions. For the full sample, we find long-run displacement elasticities for non-fossil fuel consumption per capita of approximately −0.38; however, for the share of non-fossil fuels used in electricity generation, those long-run displacement elasticities are −0.82. Thus, a one percent increase of the share of non-fossil fuel electricity generation reduces CO 2 emissions per capita from electricity generation by about 0.82%. Long-run share displacement elasticities for non-OECD countries are substantially higher than those for OECD countries (approximately −0.98 to −0.54). These results have a number of policy implications. Our results are important in establishing that a very rapid increase in the share of non-fossil fuels used in electricity generation is needed in order to have a meaningful impact on per capita CO 2 emissions from electricity generation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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32. Change of Human Footprint in China and Its Implications for Carbon Dioxide (CO 2) Emissions.
- Author
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Li, Yuan, Mi, Wujuan, Zhang, Yuheng, Ji, Li, He, Qiusheng, Wang, Yuanzhu, and Bi, Yonghong
- Subjects
CARBON dioxide ,CLIMATE change ,ECOLOGICAL impact ,GREENHOUSE gas mitigation ,CARBON emissions - Abstract
Humans have altered the earth in unprecedented ways, and these changes have profound implications for global climate change. However, the impacts of human pressures on carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emissions over long time scales have not yet been clarified. Here, we used the human footprint index (HF), which estimates the ecological footprint of humans in a given location, to explore the impacts of human pressures on CO2 emissions in China from 2000 to 2017. Human pressures (+13.6%) and CO2 emissions (+198.3%) in China are still on the rise during 2000–2017 and are unevenly distributed spatially. There was a significant positive correlation between human pressures and CO2 emissions in China, and northern China is the main driver of this correlation. The increase of CO2 emissions in China slowed down after 2011. Although human pressures on the environment are increasing, high-quality development measures have already had noticeable effects on CO2 emission reductions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Assessing the synergies and trade-offs of development projects in response to climate change in an urban region.
- Author
-
Huang, Shu-Li, Lee, Ying-Chieh, and Chiang, Li-Yang
- Subjects
- *
URBAN climatology , *CLIMATE change mitigation , *PHYSIOLOGICAL adaptation , *URBAN growth , *URBAN planning , *FLOOD control , *CLIMATE change - Abstract
A synthesis of the complex relationships, including synergies and trade-offs, between urban development projects and climate change mitigation and adaptation objectives can ensure that all these relationships are taken into consideration. We used a systems approach and applied an impact matrix and chain effect analysis methods to projects in the highly urbanized Taipei metropolitan region to identify the influences and effects between urban development projects and climate change objectives. Three types of urban plans and projects were analyzed: flood control, transportation, and urban planning. The magnitudes of the influences and effects between these projects and plans were derived through interviews with experts familiar with Taipei's urban development. This pilot study found no synergy in the response to climate change mitigation and adaptation for the urban development projects analyzed. The current standalone policies and plans related to urbanization in Taipei have resulted in trade-offs for flood control and public transit projects because they contribute positively toward one climate objective but negatively impact another. A high-level policymaking mechanism that ensures coordination and collaboration between different sectors is needed to supervise sectoral policies. Prior to the approval and implementation of a plan, policymakers should request the assessment of synergies and trade-offs between plans and projects to ensure a synergistic effect to climate change issues. This study confirms that the strategy from individual sector in a metropolitan region will result in trade-off between climate change issues is a global problem. This paper also strengthens the concept that the assessment of synergy/trade-offs between policy and plans should be conducted using systemic approach. • A systems approach can assess synergy/trade-offs between mitigation and adaptation. • Synergy doesn't exist due to a lack of comprehensive urban climate policy in Taipei. • There are trade-offs between analyzed mitigation and adaptation projects. • Minimizing trade-offs is an immediate concern for urban climate policies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Market incentives, carbon quota allocation and carbon emission reduction: Evidence from China's carbon trading pilot policy.
- Author
-
Shi, Beibei, Li, Nan, Gao, Qiang, and Li, Guangqin
- Subjects
- *
CARBON offsetting , *CARBON emissions , *GREENHOUSE gas mitigation , *ENVIRONMENTAL management , *COMMERCIAL policy , *CLIMATE change , *ABATEMENT (Atmospheric chemistry) - Abstract
As a major carbon dioxide-emitting country, China set carbon trading market to reduce enterprise carbon emissions through the rational allocation of carbon quotas among different enterprises and regions. The market has also conducted a preliminary exploration for the country to achieve carbon dioxide emissions peak in 2030 and carbon neutrality in 2060 while actively addressing the challenges of global climate change. This study analysed the emission reduction effect of China's carbon trading pilot policy, especially the role of carbon quota and carbon trading price. The analysis used county-level panel data from 1997 to 2017, regarded the implementation of the carbon trading pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment, and used the difference-in-differences method. The results showed that, first, the policy implementation not only reduced regional carbon emissions but also inhibited carbon dioxide emissions per capita, with long-term effects. Second, the carbon emission reduction effect brought by the carbon pilot policy showed significant heterogeneous results with the different degrees of regional carbon emissions and environmental supervision. The effect was greater in areas with higher carbon emission density and stronger legal supervision. Third, the difference in carbon quota allocations resulted in different emission reduction effects, among which the historical method had the strongest effect. The carbon quota price and number of enterprises participating carbon trading market were the key factors affecting carbon emission reduction. • This paper investigates the impact of carbon emission trading market on the carbon reduction. • China provides an excellent "Quasi-natural Experiment" for assessing the role of carbon emission trading market in environmental management. • It is found that policy implementation has significantly reduced various types of carbon emissions, and this reduction effect is long-term. • Stimulating the vitality of the carbon market and expanding the supply and demand of carbon quotas are the main ways to achieve carbon emission reduction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Climate justice for the southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh
- Author
-
Md Ashrafuzzaman, Carla Gomes, and João Guerra
- Subjects
climate change ,climate justice ,capability-based approach ,carbon dioxide emissions ,risk assessment and disaster management ,southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Climate change is considered a moral, ethical and social issue, which makes it different from other developmental issues. The foremost instance of lack of justice regarding climate change is that the worst impacted areas are the ones with the lowest contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, such as the southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh (SWCRB). Climate change is principally triggered by the presence and eventual spread of industrialization. This study employed the mixed method, combining qualitative and quantitative methods of data collection and analysis for development of a framework for climate justice. Data and information were obtained from both primary and secondary sources. In primary sources, quantitative data were collected from climate vulnerable community households using a structured close ended questionnaire and interactive sessions such as focus group discussions, in-depth interviews, key informant interviews, workshops, and case studies. This study explored the perceptions of people in the SWCRB, currently experiencing devastating effects of climate change and sea level rise including extreme natural disasters, seasonal changes, flooding, salinization, riverbank erosion, and waterlogging. These climate-induced changes are causing loss of housing, livelihoods, and land to the natives, in addition to a lack of access to proper nutrition, potable water, and healthcare thus exacerbating social injustice. A capability-based approach to climate justice is introduced in this paper, which allows for residents of this region to prepare and rebuild their own communities and create adaptive mechanisms based on their specific capabilities. This approach requires compensation (funding) from the global community, in addition to organizational connection between local people and other stakeholders. The people in the SWCRB are increasingly opting for community-based disaster management and inclusion in policy making. Persistent issues faced by these communities require sustainable development of embankments and infrastructure, as well as affordable and sustainable access to potable water. Industrialized nations should provide this compensation for climate change, in addition to acting promptly to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and opt for renewable energy to avoid worst-case scenario. Lastly, involuntarily displaced climate refugees must be provided rights, compensation, and relocation assistance.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Land-use transport models for climate change mitigation and adaptation planning
- Author
-
Ford, Alistair, Dawson, Richard, Blythe, Phil, and Barr, Stuart
- Published
- 2018
37. Equity and Social Justice in a Finite Carbon World
- Author
-
ADVE, NAGRAJ and ENGINEER, MEHER
- Published
- 2010
38. Analysis and Prediction Model of Fuel Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emissions of Light-Duty Vehicles.
- Author
-
Hien, Ngo Le Huy and Kor, Ah-Lian
- Subjects
CARBON emissions ,ENERGY consumption ,CONSUMPTION (Economics) ,PREDICTION models ,CONVOLUTIONAL neural networks ,RECOMMENDER systems - Abstract
Due to the alarming rate of climate change, fuel consumption and emission estimates are critical in determining the effects of materials and stringent emission control strategies. In this research, an analytical and predictive study has been conducted using the Government of Canada dataset, containing 4973 light-duty vehicles observed from 2017 to 2021, delivering a comparative view of different brands and vehicle models by their fuel consumption and carbon dioxide emissions. Based on the findings of the statistical data analysis, this study makes evidence-based recommendations to both vehicle users and producers to reduce their environmental impacts. Additionally, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and various regression models have been built to estimate fuel consumption and carbon dioxide emissions for future vehicle designs. This study reveals that the Univariate Polynomial Regression model is the best model for predictions from one vehicle feature input, with up to 98.6% accuracy. Multiple Linear Regression and Multivariate Polynomial Regression are good models for predictions from multiple vehicle feature inputs, with approximately 75% accuracy. Convolutional Neural Network is also a promising method for prediction because of its stable and high accuracy of around 70%. The results contribute to the quantifying process of energy cost and air pollution caused by transportation, followed by proposing relevant recommendations for both vehicle users and producers. Future research should aim towards developing higher performance models and larger datasets for building APIs and applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. International trade related food miles – The case of Canada
- Author
-
Kissinger, Meidad
- Subjects
- *
TRADE regulation , *INTERNATIONAL trade , *IMPORTS , *CONSUMERS , *CLIMATE change , *CARBON dioxide mitigation , *VEGETABLES , *FRUIT - Abstract
Abstract: At the beginning of the 21st century imports of agricultural and food commodities have become a major part of many nations’ food baskets. Indeed the global food system has several merits for nations, businesses and individual consumers’ well-being. However, as increasing evidence suggests that we are approaching an era of climate change and scarcity of cheap energy sources the sustainability of that system must be examined. One part of any food commodity chain is its ‘food miles’ – the distance the commodity travels from point of production to point of consumption, the required energy and resulting emissions. This paper presents a 1 year ‘snapshot’ of Canada’s total import related food miles. It presents an analysis of the distance imported foods traveled from around the world to major points of consumption in Canada and documents the equivalent carbon dioxide emissions related to those imports. It presents both a macro scale picture of the equivalent emissions related to transportation of imported food and a micro scale picture which focuses on specific commodities consumed in various parts of the country. It then discusses policy implications for food sustainability. Overall the research highlights that about 30% of the agricultural and food commodities consumed in Canada are imported, resulting in ‘food miles’ of over 61billiontonneskm, leading to annual emissions of 3.3 million metric tonnes of CO2. Of the various agriculture and food commodities studied, fruits and vegetables had the highest food miles related emissions. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Spatial disaggregation of carbon dioxide emissions from road traffic based on multiple linear regression model
- Author
-
Shu, Yuqin and Lam, Nina S.N.
- Subjects
- *
CARBON dioxide , *EMISSION control , *TRAFFIC engineering , *REGRESSION analysis , *ESTIMATION theory , *DECISION making , *GLOBAL warming , *CLIMATE change , *POPULATION density - Abstract
Abstract: Detailed estimates of carbon dioxide emissions at fine spatial scales are critical to both modelers and decision makers dealing with global warming and climate change. Globally, traffic-related emissions of carbon dioxide are growing rapidly. This paper presents a new method based on a multiple linear regression model to disaggregate traffic-related CO2 emission estimates from the parish-level scale to a 1×1km grid scale. Considering the allocation factors (population density, urban area, income, road density) together, we used a correlation and regression analysis to determine the relationship between these factors and traffic-related CO2 emissions, and developed the best-fit model. The method was applied to downscale the traffic-related CO2 emission values by parish (i.e. county) for the State of Louisiana into 1-km2 grid cells. In the four highest parishes in traffic-related CO2 emissions, the biggest area that has above average CO2 emissions is found in East Baton Rouge, and the smallest area with no CO2 emissions is also in East Baton Rouge, but Orleans has the most CO2 emissions per unit area. The result reveals that high CO2 emissions are concentrated in dense road network of urban areas with high population density and low CO2 emissions are distributed in rural areas with low population density, sparse road network. The proposed method can be used to identify the emission “hot spots” at fine scale and is considered more accurate and less time-consuming than the previous methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. A multivariate causality test of carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in China
- Author
-
Chang, Ching-Chih
- Subjects
- *
CARBON dioxide , *EMISSIONS (Air pollution) , *ENERGY consumption , *ECONOMIC development , *CLIMATE change , *MULTIVARIATE analysis - Abstract
Abstract: This paper uses multivariate co-integration Granger causality tests to investigate the correlations between carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in China. Some researchers have argued that the adoption of a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption as a long term policy goal will result in a closed-form relationship, to the detriment of the economy. Therefore, a perspective that can make allowances for the fact that the exclusive pursuit of economic growth will increase energy consumption and CO2 emissions is required; to the extent that such growth will have adverse effects with regard to global climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Consistent and unbiased carbon dioxide emission multipliers: Performance of Danish emission reductions via external trade
- Author
-
Rueda-Cantuche, José M. and Amores, Antonio F.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *CLIMATE change , *INPUT-output analysis , *SUSTAINABLE development , *ECONOMETRIC models , *STATISTICAL hypothesis testing , *CONFIDENCE intervals , *ATMOSPHERIC carbon dioxide , *CARBON offsetting - Abstract
Climate change research is currently a topic of great interest for economic researchers. In particular, environmental input–output analysis increasingly plays an important role in measuring the economic and environmental effects of sustainable development policies in Europe. Other approaches also exist, such as econometric modelling, in which impacts are quantified on statistical grounds and with certain desirable properties (efficient estimates, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, etc.) that are not found in the input–output approach. Consequently, this paper merges the two approaches to address the calculation of unbiased and consistent carbon dioxide emission multipliers for Denmark and their respective confidence intervals. The use of the supply and use system instead of the symmetric input–output table also presents the opportunity to avoid the common problems associated with the construction of technical coefficients (technology assumptions, negatives, etc.). Moreover, a new policy-relevant application of these multipliers is introduced: the quantification of the performance of the carbon dioxide emission reductions carried out by industries via external trading. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Analysis of energy use in a sample of Chinese villages
- Author
-
Mortimer, Nigel D. and Grant, John F.
- Subjects
- *
CARBON dioxide , *CLIMATE change , *ENERGY consumption , *ECONOMIC demand , *VILLAGES - Abstract
This paper summarises the methodology and results of work involved in the investigation of energy demand in six Chinese villages included in the SUCCESS Project. The procedures used to collect data associated with local energy demand are explained and the approach to data analysis is explained. Results are provided in terms for delivered energy consumption, as an indicator of energy demand; primary energy consumption, as an indicator of energy resource depletion; and carbon dioxide emissions, as an indicator of global climate change. Similarities and differences between results for this sample of villages are considered. The important causes of differences in results are investigated. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Limited provision of roads as a bottleneck on vehicle CO2 emissions in Asia: an international comparison of national trends.
- Author
-
Marcotullio, Peter J. and Williams, Eric
- Subjects
PHYSIOLOGICAL effects of carbon dioxide ,AIR pollution ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) ,POLLUTANTS ,ECONOMIC indicators ,GROSS domestic product ,TRAFFIC congestion - Abstract
This paper explores the relationship between road infrastructure, economic growth and road CO
2 emissions. The basic premise is that many developing nations have achieved sufficient wealth to generate substantial demand for road vehicles, but that actual use is constrained by limited provision of surfaced roads. Our main result is that for comparable levels of income (GDP/capita), CO2 emissions per length of paved road are far higher in rapidly developing Asia as compared to the USA. These findings suggest existence of an 'infrastructure bottleneck', that when relieved, may influence the future trajectory of road transport CO2 emissions in developing Asia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Energy Sustainability and Pope Francis’ Encyclical on Care for our Common Home : National Policies and Corporations as Change Agents
- Author
-
Arogyaswamy, Bernard
- Published
- 2017
46. International Environmental Agreements and CO2 Emissions: Fresh Evidence from 11 Polluting Countries.
- Author
-
Oikonomou, Aikaterina, Polemis, Michael, and Soursou, Symeoni-Eleni
- Subjects
TREATIES ,PANEL analysis ,RECESSIONS ,CARBON emissions ,ECOLOGICAL impact - Abstract
This study attempts to evaluate the energy and carbon footprint within the framework of international environmental treaties and the efforts made by 11 large polluting countries to mitigate climate change. The econometric methodology accounts for the presence of cross-sectional dependence while it employs second-generation panel unit root tests and cointegrated relationships. To secure the robustness of our findings, we conduct an ARDL approach employing dynamic panel data techniques. Dynamic OLS is also applied to verify the validity of the empirical results. The empirical analysis supports that the reduction in CO
2 emissions can be achieved without a slowdown in economic activity for the sample countries. The findings suggest insightful policy implications for policymakers and government officials. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Future Trends of Land-Use Emissions of Major Greenhouse Gases.
- Author
-
Alcamo, Joseph and Swart, Robert
- Subjects
GREENHOUSE gases ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) ,DEFORESTATION ,CARBON dioxide ,RISK assessment of climate change ,NITROUS oxide ,METHANE spectra - Abstract
Land-use emissions of greenhouse gases make up over one-third of current total anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases and about three-quarters of the total anthropogenic emissions of CH4 and N2O. Considering their contribution to global emissions, it is important to understand their future trends in order to anticipate and mitigate climate change. This paper reviews published scenarios of major categories of these emissions with the aim to provide background information for the development of new scenarios. These categories include CO2 from deforestation, CH4 from rice cultivation, CH4 from enteric fermentation of cattle, and N2O from fertilizer application. Base year estimates of all these categories varied greatly from reference to reference, and hence emissions of all scenarios were normalized relative to their 1990 value before being compared to one another. The range of published scenarios of CO2 emissions from deforestation is widest around the middle of the 21st century and then all scenarios converge to low values towards 2100. By contrast, the different scenarios of CH4 and N2O diverge with time, showing their widest range in 2100. Global emissions of CH4 from rice cultivation vary by a factor of three in 2100 and N2O from fertilized soils by a factor of 2.3. Emissions of CH4 from enteric fermentation of animals have the smallest range (factor of 2.0). The typical long-range trends of land-use emission scenarios vary greatly from region to region - they stabilize in industrialized regions after a few decades, but tend to stabilize later in developing regions or continue to grow throughout the 21st century. To improve the realism of the estimates of future trends of land-use emissions, it is especially important to improve the estimation of the future extent of agricultural land and the rate of deforestation, while taking into account significant driving forces such as the demand for agricultural commodities and crop yields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1998
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Decomposition for decarbonisation : evaluation of decarbonisation programmes
- Author
-
HARPER, PETER
- Published
- 2016
49. Modeling Carbon Release of Brazilian Highest Economic Pole and Major Urban Emitter: Comparing Classical Methods and Artificial Neural Networks
- Author
-
Daniela Debone, Tiago Dias Martins, and Simone Georges El Khouri Miraglia
- Subjects
climate change ,carbon dioxide emissions ,economic growth ,energy consumption ,artificial neural networks ,artificial intelligence ,Science - Abstract
Despite the concern about climate change and the associated negative impacts, fossil fuels continue to prevail in the global energy consumption. This paper aimed to propose the first model that relates CO2 emissions of Sao Paulo, the main urban center emitter in Brazil, with gross national product and energy consumption. Thus, we investigated the accuracy of three different methods: multivariate linear regression, elastic-net regression, and multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks. Comparing the results, we clearly demonstrated the superiority of artificial neural networks when compared with the other models. They presented better results of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE = 0.76%) and the highest possible coefficient of determination (R2 = 1.00). This investigation provides an innovative integrated climate-economic approach for the accurate prediction of carbon emissions. Therefore, it can be considered as a potential valuable decision-support tool for policymakers to design and implement effective environmental policies.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. The potential for green growth and structural transformation in China
- Author
-
Lin, Justin Y. and Xu, Jintao
- Published
- 2014
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