1. Coastal Flood risk assessment using ensemble multi-criteria decision-making with machine learning approaches.
- Author
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Asiri, Mashael M., Aldehim, Ghadah, Alruwais, Nuha, Allafi, Randa, Alzahrani, Ibrahim, Nouri, Amal M., Assiri, Mohammed, and Ahmed, Noura Abdelaziz
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FLOOD risk , *ANALYTIC hierarchy process , *LANDSLIDE hazard analysis , *MACHINE learning , *FLOODS , *SUPPORT vector machines , *DECISION trees - Abstract
Coastal areas are at a higher risk of flooding, and novel changes in the climate are induced to raise the sea level. Flood acceleration and frequency have increased recently because of unplanned infrastructural conveniences and anthropogenic activities. Therefore, the assessment of flood susceptibility mapping is considered the most significant flood management model. In this paper, flood susceptibility identification is performed by applying the innovative Multi-criteria decision-making model (MCDM) called Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) by ensembles with Support vector machine (AHP-SVM) and Decision Tree (AHP-DT). This model combines two Representation concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios such as RCP 2.6 & RCP 8.5. The factors influencing the coastal flooding in Bandar Abbas, Iran, identified through Flood susceptibility mapping. Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) has been applied to evaluate the Coastal flood conditioning factors, and ensemble machine learning (ML) approaches are employed for Coastal risk factor (CRF) prediction and classification. The statistical variances are measured through Friedman and Wilcoxon signed rank tests and statistical metrics such as Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. Among the models, AHP-DT obtained an improved AUC value of ROC as 0.95. After applying the ML models, the northern and western park of Raidak Basin River recognises very low and low flood susceptibility because of their topographic characteristics. The eastern part of the middle section fell very high and high CFSM. Observed from this result analysis, the people living nearer to the coastline are distributed by the low to medium exposure in the region of the west and middle of the considered study area. The results of this study can help decision-makers take necessary risk reduction approaches in the high-risk flooding zones of the coastal system. • Coastal areas are facing an increased risk of flooding due to rising sea levels and the impact of climate change. • Floods increased due to unplanned infrastructure and human activities. • The AHP-SVM-DT combination for flood susceptibility mapping is a notable flood management model. • The study uses flood susceptibility mapping to examine Bandar Abbas, Iran, to identify factors impacting coastal flooding. • AHP-DT model achieved AUC 0.95, effectively predicting and classifying coastal flood risk factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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