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In this paper, a scalable end-to-end tree boosting system called XGBoost has been applied for predicting the magnitude of an earthquake from the early part of earthquake waveform data. This model uses the features extracted from the early P wave phase of the records as an input. The model's effectiveness has been verified by using data on earthquakes occurring in the Eurasian plate of Japan Islands from 1996 to 2021. Feature engineering has given 29 new features identified from the early P wave phase of the record, which show a high correlation with the magnitude of an earthquake. The comparison of predicted and actual magnitude shows that a trained XGboost model, which uses a single input record for magnitude prediction, gives an average prediction error of 0.004 ± 0.57 for earthquakes in the test dataset. In contrast, the average prediction error of –1.1 ± 0.80 and –0.65 ± 0.69 has been obtained for the magnitude estimated from conventional τc and Pd methods using the same test dataset. It is further seen that the average predicted magnitude of a single earthquake of magnitude 4.5 and 6.1 (MJMA) obtained by using multiple nearfield records using XGBoost model is 4.58 ± 0.33 and 6.32 ± 0.29, which is close to the actual magnitude of the earthquake. The results presented in this paper clearly show that the structured data can be effectively used by complex machine learning or deep learning models to predict earthquake magnitude from single or multiple records. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precise charging time prediction can effectively mitigate the inconvenience to drivers induced by inevitable charging behavior throughout trips. Although the effectiveness of the machine learning (ML) algorithm in predicting future outcomes has been established in a variety of applications (transportation sector), the investigation into electric vehicle (EV) charging time prediction is almost new. This calls for the investigation of the ML algorithm to predict EV charging time. The study developed an EV charging time prediction model based on two years of charging event data collected from 500 EVs in Japan. To predict EV charging time, this paper employed three ML algorithms: extreme learning machine (ELM), feed-forward neural network (FFNN), and support vector regression (SVR). Furthermore, ML algorithms parameters are optimized by a metaheuristic techniques: the gray wolf optimizer (GWO), particle swarm optimizer (PSO), and genetic algorithm (GA) to achieve higher accuracy and robustness. The prediction results reveal that GWO-based ML models yielded better results compared to other models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper compares the machine learning algorithm‐based prediction methods for the traction characteristics in linear traction induction motors operating at common working conditions, i.e. different slip and running velocity, with a symmetric or asymmetric secondary. These models provide a method for obtaining the dynamic characteristics in the motor that considers nonlinear effects. First, some analytical results for the prototype machine under different working conditions is calculated. Second, classification and feature extraction of traction characteristics results including thrust, transversal and vertical forces is made according to the different slip, running speed and lateral secondary displacement, and the results set is divided into training sets and test sets. Third, the prediction model established by different machine learning algorithms are analyzed and compared in principle. These algorithms in this paper mainly contain: artificial neural networks (ANNs), linear regression (LR), symbolic regression using GP, k‐Nearest Neighbour (kNN), random forests (RFRs). The machine learning algorithm‐based prediction methods are trained with the training set, and then the verified with the test set. Finally, this paper discusses the most optimal model for predicting traction characteristics. © 2021 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Heave motion of ships is a complex nonlinear dynamic process and cannot be accurately forecasted using a single prediction model. In this paper, an effective combined forecasting method is proposed to perform ship's heave motion prediction. The proposed method combines back propagation neural network (BPNN), autoregressive model (AR) and extreme learning machine (ELM) through an induced ordered weighted averaging (IOWA) operator. The prediction accuracy is selected as the induced variable and the prediction results are sorted according to prediction accuracy and IOWA operator assigns larger weights to the position with the smallest prediction error. The optimal weights are determined by maximizing the B‐mode relational degree. Experimental results demonstrate its effectiveness of the proposed method. © 2022 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ground motion prediction is an important and complex research subject in earthquake engineering and traditional approaches based on statistical regression have much room for improvement in prediction accuracy. Utilizing the 67,164 ground motion records from KiK-net and K-Net for 777 shallow crustal earthquakes between 1997 and 2019 in Japan, this paper proposes a ground motion prediction model XGBoost-SC based on the machine learning algorithm of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for Japan. Magnitude, focal depth, hypo-central distance, V s30 , site altitude, and focal mechanism were used as the feature parameters, and XGBoost, Random Forest, and Deep Neural Networks (DNN) algorithms were selected for model training while Bayesian optimization was used to search for optimized hyperparameters to improve the prediction accuracy. XGBoost algorithm was selected for further study based on the comparison of results from the three algorithms. Residual change with magnitude and hypo-central distance, the probability distribution of residuals, residual standard deviation (σ), residual mean squared error (MSE), and Pearson correlation coefficient (R) were used as the evaluation parameters, and a comparison study was performed against the ground motion prediction equation based on traditional approaches. Actual earthquake events were selected to compare the prediction results against the observation records. To further validate and explain the proposed model, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was performed to explain the impact of selected feature parameters on the proposed model. The results demonstrate that the proposed XGBoost-SC model has good prediction stability for all periods, and its residual errors are smaller than those of other models. Therefore, the proposed model can better reflect the ground motion attenuation for shallow crustal earthquakes in Japan and can serve as a better model for ground motion prediction in future aseismic design and earthquake disaster mitigation efforts. • A Ground Motion Prediction Model was proposed for shallow crustal earthquakes. • The proposed model was more precise than traditional approaches. • Explained the effect of feature parameters on the prediction results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Storm surge is a genuine common fiasco coming from the ocean. Therefore, an exact forecast of surges is a vital assignment to dodge property misfortunes and to decrease a chance caused by tropical storm surge. Genetic Programming (GP) is an evolution-based model learning technique that can simultaneously find the functional form and the numeric coefficients for the model. Therefore, GP has been widely applied to build models for predictive problems. However, GP has seldom been applied to the problem of storm surge forecasting. In this paper, we propose a new method to use GP for evolving models for storm surge forecasting. Experimental results on datasets collected from the Tottori coast of Japan show that GP can evolve accurate storm surge forecasting models. Moreover, GP can automatically select relevant features when evolving storm surge forecasting models, and the models evolved by GP are interpretable. • The paper proposes a new approach to using Genetic Programming (GP) to evolve models for storm surge forecasting. • GP can evolve more accurate models for storm surge forecasting than other existing machine learning methods. • The model evolved by GP is more interpretable than models evolved by other (black-box) methods such as neural networks. • GP can automatically select relevant features when evolving storm surge forecasting models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]