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This paper employs machine learning algorithms to detect tax evasion and analyzes tax data. With the development of commercial businesses, traditional algorithms are not appropriate for solving the tax evasion detection problem. Hence, other algorithms with acceptable speed, precision, analysis, and data decisions must be used. In the case of assets and tax assessment, the integration of machine learning models with meta-heuristic algorithms increases accuracy due to optimal parameters. In this paper, intelligent machine learning algorithms are used to solve tax evasion detection. This research uses an improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) algorithm to improve the multilayer perceptron neural network by finding the optimal weight and improving support vector machine (SVM) classifiers with optimal parameters. The IPSO-MLP and IPSO-SVM models using the IPSO algorithm are used as new models for tax evasion detection. Our proposed system applies the dataset collected from the general administration of tax affairs of West Azerbaijan province of Iran with 1500 samples for the tax evasion detection problem. The evaluations show that the IPSO-MLP model has a higher accuracy rate than the IPSO-SVM model and logistic regression. Moreover, the IPSO-MLP model has higher accuracy than SVM, Naive Bayes, k-nearest neighbor, C5.0 decision tree, and AdaBoost. The accuracy of IPSO-MLP and IPSO-SVM models is 93.68% and 92.24%, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Featured Application: The presented paper conducted a comparative analysis based on well-known MLP, SVM, DT, and RF learning methods to assess/predict the safety factor (F.S) of earthslopes. Earth slopes' stability analysis is a key task in geotechnical engineering that provides a detailed view of the slope conditions used to implement appropriate stabilizations. In the stability analysis process, calculating the safety factor (F.S) plays an essential part in the stability assessment, which guarantees operations' success. Providing accurate and reliable F.S can be used to improve the stability analysis procedure as well as stabilizations. In this regard, researchers used computational intelligent methodologies to reach highly accurate F.S calculations. The presented study focused on the F.S estimation process and attempted to provide a comparative analysis based on computational intelligence and machine learning methods. In this regard, the well-known multilayer perceptron (MLP), decision tree (DT), support vector machines (SVM), and random forest (RF) learning algorithms were used to predict/calculate F.S for the earth slopes. These machine learning classifiers have a strong capability predict the F.S under certain conditions for slope failures and uncertainties. These models were implemented on a dataset containing 100 earth slopes' stabilities, recorded based on F.S from various locations in the provinces of Fars, Isfahan, and Tehran in Iran, which were randomly divided into the training and testing datasets. These predictive models were validated by Janbu's limit equilibrium analysis method (LEM) and GeoStudio commercial software. Regarding the study's results, MLP (accuracy = 0.901/precision = 0.90) provides more accurate results to predict the F.S than other classifiers, with good agreement with LEM results. The SVM algorithm follows MLP (accuracy = 0.873/precision = 0.85). Regarding the estimated loss function, MLP obtained a 0.29 average loss in the F.S prediction process, which is the lowest rate. The SVM, DT, and RF obtained 0.41, 0.62, and 0.45 losses, respectively. This article tried to fill the gap in traditional analysis procedures based on advanced procedures in slope stability assessments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

By accurate predicting of pipe bursts, it is possible to schedule pipe maintenance, rehabilitation and improve level of services in Water Distribution Networks (WDNs). In recent years, artificial intelligence techniques have been used vastly in pipe burst prediction. These techniques need big input dataset for deep learning but big dataset might not be available in old WDNs. This paper aimed to compare the performance of multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and regressive convolution neural network with least square support vector regression (RCNN-LSSVR) for predicting of Pipe Burst Rate (PBR) with limited dataset. Pipes age, diameter, depth of installation, length, average and maximum hydraulic pressure are considered as effective parameters of PBR. Data collected from real-case study in Iran include 158 cases for polyethylene and 124 cases for asbestos cement pipes during 2012–2019. The results indicate that RCNN-LSSVR model has a great performance of PBR prediction on limited dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Machine learning approaches are increasingly being employed to forecast the key characteristics of strong ground motions, including the challenging classification of Pulse-Like (PL) ground motions. The PL ground motions are characterized by their impulsive nature and have the potential to cause significant damage to structures. The classification of PL ground motions continues to be a significant challenge due to the absence of consensus on their definition and categorization. This paper investigates the potential benefits of several Machine Learning Classifiers (MLCs) algorithms such as decision tree, random forest, logistic regression, naive Bayes, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbor, ensemble model, and artificial neural network models for predicting PL and Non-Pulse-Like (NPL) ground motions. In this regard, a dataset comprising 200 near-fault ground motions records compiled from active tectonic regions like Taiwan, Turkey, Iran, and Japan, was divided into 2 portions, with 75% used to train the model and the remaining 25% used for testing. Plots of performance metrics, confusion matrix, and receiver operating curve indicate that the ensemble classifier outperforms the other classifier with 86.2% accuracy and the lowest misclassification of PL and NPL ground motions. Additionally, the trained MLC has been compared with the existing ground motion classification models to further assess the accuracy of the different classifiers in the present study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper aims to apply and compare the performance of the three machine learning algorithms–support vector machine (SVM), bayesian logistic regression (BLR), and alternating decision tree (ADTree)–to map landslide susceptibility along the mountainous road of the Salavat Abad saddle, Kurdistan province, Iran. We identified 66 shallow landslide locations, based on field surveys, by recording the locations of the landslides by a global position System (GPS), Google Earth imagery and black-and-white aerial photographs (scale 1: 20,000) and 19 landslide conditioning factors, then tested these factors using the information gain ratio (IGR) technique. We checked the validity of the models using statistical metrics, including sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, kappa, root mean square error (RMSE), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We found that, although all three machine learning algorithms yielded excellent performance, the SVM algorithm (AUC = 0.984) slightly outperformed the BLR (AUC = 0.980), and ADTree (AUC = 0.977) algorithms. We observed that not only all three algorithms are useful and effective tools for identifying shallow landslide-prone areas but also the BLR algorithm can be used such as the SVM algorithm as a soft computing benchmark algorithm to check the performance of the models in future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Previous research studies have revealed human susceptibility to tropospheric ozone and consequently huge amount of investments allocating to monitor and research about this pollutant. High expenditures of monitoring the air contaminants and needing for spacious facilities can be decreased by applying the soft computing approaches and new technologies. In this paper, support vector machine, a powerful approach with reliable results in previous studies, is applied to predict the tropospheric ozone for Tehran, Iran, metropolitan area. Four photochemical precursors and three meteorological parameters are assumed as predictors. The impact of all parameters is scrutinized, and the best model of input combinations is depicted: RMSE = 0.0774 and R = 0.8459. Trying to find out each parameter impact, the datasets are divided into different groups and are used as input combinations where the outcomes depicted that particulate matters (PM2.5 and PM10), ambient air temperature (T), CO and NO2 are the most effective parameters on the O3 value tolerances. Kernel trick as a crucial function for support vector machines is analyzed in the current study, and the radial basis function is illustrated as the best kernel trick for this study in comparison with polynomial, linear, multilayer perceptron tricks. Finally, to calibrate the measuring instruments, using the support vector machine with radial basis function can represent an acceptable result for the best input combination. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fruit juices, and especially lime juice, belong to the most targeted food commodities for fraud. Therefore, reliable and cost-effective analytical methodologies need to be developed to guarantee lime juice authenticity and quality. The manifestation of machine learning techniques (MLT) has paved the way for fast and reliable processing and analysis of food and juice data for more effective use of inexpensive, readily available, and easy-to-use equipment such as UV/Vis spectrometers for quality control. The study aimed to investigate UV/Vis spectrometry and MLT to detect at least 10% of water, acid, and sugar added to lime juice. For this purpose, 26 lime samples, including Mexican and Persian lime, were collected from the orchards of four main lime-cultivated areas in Iran to prepare pure lime juice samples (as authentic samples). To investigate adulterated lime juice, four types of treatment were defined by adding acid, sugar, a mix of acid and sugar solution, and water at different volume proportions (10, 20, 30, 40, and 50 % v/v) to pure lime juice samples. Each treatment was repeated eight times. The absorption rate of different adulterated and pure lime juice samples was measured at different wavelengths in the 210-550 nm range. The evaluation results of different MLTs showed that the accuracy of separating samples using absorption data by decision tree (DT), k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), random forest (RF), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and support vector machine (SVM) were 75%, 79%, 80%, 87%, and 92%, respectively. SVM had the highest level of accuracy in separating adulterated lime juice samples. Also, this model's performance criteria (sensitivity and F-score) were higher than other models for identifying adulterated samples using absorption data. This is the first time that the common adulterations in lime juice were identified by rapid and accessible screening methods using UV/Vis spectroscopy and MLT with high accuracy, precision, and sensitivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Groundwater management is key to attaining sustainable development goals, especially in arid and semi-arid countries. Hence, a precise estimate of the aquifer hydrodynamic parameters (hydraulic conductivity, transmissivity, specific yield, and storage coefficient) is required for proper groundwater resource management. The central goal of this research is to utilize machine learning models to estimate transmissivity by pumping test data in unconfined alluvial aquifers. Artificial neural network (ANN), gene expression programming (GEP), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), fuzzy logic (FL), least square support vector machine (LSSVM), and group method of data handling (GMDH) methods were utilized to estimate transmissivity. To achieve this goal, pumping tests and hydrogeological data from 96 pumping wells located in the central plateau of Iran were collected and normalized. Using the existing normalized data, several combinations were utilized as inputs to the models, and then randomly, 70% of the data were used for the training step and 30% for the testing step. Finally, ten combinations that provided a better answer were selected from whole combinations. The mean absolute error, root means square error and correlation coefficient were used to assess the models' precision. The comparison criteria revealed that while all developed methods could provide desirable transmissivity estimations, the GMDH model was the most accurate and precise. The result of the models suggested that the best combination in transmissivity estimating was combination 3 (well discharge, thickness, depth of pumping well, and minimum and maximum time-drawdown data). Therefore, using this method and without graphic methods, it is feasible to estimate the transmissivity with acceptable accuracy in unconfined aquifers with similar hydrogeological and geological characteristics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, a land-subsidence vulnerability map has been prepared using Machine Learning (ML) models fusing, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and a GIS technique in the Hamadan Province, Iran. The information layers used as input of the ML models in "R" software are comprised of elevation, slope, plan and profile curvatures, slope aspect, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), soil texture, distance from rivers, distance from the fault, geology, land use, and groundwater level drawdown. The accuracy of the results obtained stood at 89% in the SVM, and up to 96% in the RF models. The RF model demonstrates a greater efficiency than the SVM model. To determine each parameter's effect on the land-subsidence of the study area, the Partial Least Squares (PLS) model has been used in the R software. The use of the PLS model shows a greater effect of elevation and groundwater level decline compared to the other parameters on the land-subsidence phenomenon. Finally, the raster vulnerability map in the GIS software was divided into four classes in terms of intensity as 'low,' 'medium,' 'high,' and 'very high' utilizing the natural break method. In the optimal RF model 45% of aquifers were assessed as being low, 23% as moderate, 20% as high, and 12% as very high. The study of the groundwater changing process, using GRACE satellite data in Google Earth Engine environment confirmed a decrease in groundwater level, which has led to land-subsidence in the aquifer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Landslides are a dangerous natural hazard that can critically harm road infrastructure in mountainous places, resulting in significant damage and fatalities. The primary purpose of this study was to assess the efficacy of three machine learning algorithms (MLAs) for landslide susceptibility mapping including random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), and support vector machine (SVM). We selected a case study region that is frequently affected by landslides, the important Kamyaran–Sarvabad road in the Kurdistan province of Iran. Altogether, 14 landslide evaluation factors were input into the MLAs including slope, aspect, elevation, river density, distance to river, distance to fault, fault density, distance to road, road density, land use, slope curvature, lithology, stream power index (SPI), and topographic wetness index (TWI). We identified 64 locations of landslides by field survey of which 70% were randomly employed for building and training the three MLAs while the remaining locations were used for validation. The area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUC) reached a value of 0.94 for the decision tree compared to 0.82 for the random forest, and 0.75 for support vector machines model. Thus, the decision tree model was most accurate in identifying the areas at risk for future landslides. The obtained results may inform geoscientists and those in decision-making roles for landslide management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

By determining the hydraulic flow units (HFUs) in the reservoir rock and examining the distribution of porosity and permeability variables, it is possible to identify areas with suitable reservoir quality. In conventional methods, HFUs are determined using core data. This is while considering the non-continuity of the core data along the well, there is a great uncertainty in generalizing their results to the entire depth of the reservoir. Therefore, using related wireline logs as continuous data and using artificial intelligence methods can be an acceptable alternative. In this study, first, the number of HFUs was determined using conventional methods including Winland R35, flow zone index, discrete rock type and k-means. After that, by using petrophysical logs and using machine learning algorithms including support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), LogitBoost (LB), random forest (RF), and logistic regression (LR), HFUs have been determined. The innovation of this article is the use of different intelligent methods in determining the HFUs and comparing these methods with each other in such a way that instead of using only two parameters of porosity and permeability, different data obtained from wireline logging are used. This increases the accuracy and speed of reaching the solution and is the main application of the methodology introduced in this study. Mentioned algorithms are compared with accuracy, and the results show that SVM, ANN, RF, LB, and LR with 90.46%, 88.12%, 91.87%, 94.84%, and 91.56% accuracy classified the HFUs respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An unsolved problem in the digital mapping of categorical soil variables and soil types is the imbalanced number of observations, which leads to reduced accuracy and the loss of the minority class (the class with a significantly lower number of observations compared to other classes) in the final map. So far, synthetic over‐ and under‐sampling techniques have been explored in soil science; however, more efficient approaches that do not have the drawbacks of these techniques and guarantee retention of the minority classes in the produced map are essentially required. Such approaches suggested in the present study for digital mapping of soil classes include machine learning models of ensemble gradient boosting, cost‐sensitive learning and one‐class classification (OCC) of the minority class combined with multi‐class classification. In this regard, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) as an ensemble gradient learner, a cost‐sensitive decision tree (CSDT) within the C5.0 algorithm, and a one‐class support vector machine combined with multi‐class classification (OCCM) were investigated to map eight soil great groups with a naturally imbalanced frequency of observations in northwest Iran. A total of 453 profile data points were used for mapping the soil great groups of the study area. A data split was done manually for each class separately, which resulted in an overall 70% of the data for calibration and 30% for validation. The bootstrapping approach of calibration (with 10 runs) was performed to produce multiple maps for each model. The 10 bootstraps were evaluated against the hold‐out validation dataset. The average values of accuracy measures, including Kappa (K), overall accuracy (OA), producer's accuracy (PA) and user's accuracy (UA), were explored. In addition, the results of this study were compared with a previous study in the same area, in which resampling techniques were used to deal with imbalanced data for digital soil class mapping. The findings show that all three suggested methods can deal well with the imbalanced classification problem, with OCCM showing the highest K (= 0.76) and OA (= 82) in the validation stage. Also, this model can guarantee the retention of the minority classes in the final map. Comparing the present approaches with the previous study approach demonstrates that the three newly suggested methods can remarkably increase both overall and individual class accuracy for mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The irregular and sporadic occurrence of chromite pods in podiform chromite deposits (PCD), especially in mountainous terranes with rough topography, necessitates finding innovative methods for reconnaissance and prospecting. This research combines several remote sensing methods to discriminate the highly serpentinized peridotites hosting chromite pods from the other barren ultramafic and mafic cumulates. The case study is the area of the Sabzevar Ophiolite (NE Iran), which hosts several known chromite and other mineral deposits. The integration of satellite images [e.g., Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) satellite sensor, Landsat series, and Sentinel-2] coupled with change detection, band rationing, and target detection algorithms [including the Spectral Angle Mapper (SAM)] were used to distinguish potential lithological units hosting chromites. Results have been verified by an initial on-field checking and compared with the high-resolution (GSD ~6 cm) orthomosaic images obtained by the processing of photographs taken from an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) at a promising area of 35 km2. The combination of visual interpretation and supervised classification by machine learning methods [Support Vector Machine (SVM)] yielded the production of a geological map, in which the lithological units and structures are outlined, including the crust-mantle transition zone units, mafic cumulates, crosscutting dykes, and mantle sequences. The validation of the results was performed through a second phase, made up of field mapping, sampling, chemical analysis, and microscopic studies, leading to the discovery of new chromite occurrences and mineralized zones. All ultramafic units were classified into four groups based on the degree of serpentinization, represented by the intensity of their average spectral reflectance. Based on their presumed protolith, the highly serpentinized ultramafics and serpentinites were classified into two main categories (dunite or harzburgite). The serpentinite with probable dunitic protolith, discriminated for a peculiar Fe-rich Ni-bearing lateritic crust, is more productive for chromite prospecting. This is particularly true at the contact with mafic dykes, akin to some worldwide chromite deposits. The results of our work highlight the potential of multi-scale satellite and UAV-based remote sensing to find footprints of some chromite mineral deposits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Hyperglycemia is rising globally and its associated complications impose heavy health and economic burden on the countries. Developing effective survey-based screening tools for hyperglycemia using reliable surveillance data, such as the WHO STEPs surveys, would be of great importance in early detection and/or prevention of hyperglycemia, especially in low or middle-income regions. Methods: In this study, data from the nationwide 2016 STEPs study in Iran were used to identify socioeconomic, lifestyle, and metabolic factors associated with hyperglycemia. Furthermore, the ability of five commonly used machine learning algorithms (random forest; gradient boosting; support vector machine; logistic regression; artificial neural network) in the prediction of hyperglycemia on STEPs dataset were compared via tenfold cross validation in terms of specificity, sensitivity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: A total of 17,705 individuals were included in this study, of those 29.624% (n = 5245) had (undiagnosed) hyperglycemia. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that older age (for the elderly group: OR = 5.096; for the middle-aged group: OR = 2.784), high BMI status (morbidly obese: OR = 3.465; obese: OR = 1.992), having hypertension (OR = 1.647), consuming fish more than twice per week (OR = 1.496), and abdominal obesity (OR = 1.464) were the five most important risk factors for hyperglycemia. Furthermore, all the five hyperglycemia prediction models achieved AUC around 0.70, and logistic regression (specificity = 70.22%; sensitivity = 70.2%) and random forest (specificity = 70.75%; sensitivity = 69.78%) had the optimal performance. Conclusions: This study shows that it is possible to develop survey-based screening tools for early detection of hyperglycemia using data from nationwide surveys, such as WHO STEPs surveys, and machine learning techniques, such as random forest and logistic regression, without using blood tests. Such screening tools can potentially improve hyperglycemia control, especially in low or middle-income countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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Slope stability is the most important stage in the stabilization process for different scale slopes, and it is dictated by the factor of safety (FS). The FS is a relationship between the geotechnical characteristics and the slope behavior under various loading conditions. Thus, the application of an accurate procedure to estimate the FS can lead to a fast and precise decision during the stabilization process. In this regard, using computational models that can be operated accurately is strongly needed. The performance of five different machine learning models to predict the slope safety factors was investigated in this study, which included multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector machines (SVM), k-nearest neighbors (k-NN), decision tree (DT), and random forest (RF). The main objective of this article is to evaluate and optimize the various machine learning-based predictive models regarding FS calculations, which play a key role in conducting appropriate stabilization methods and stabilizing the slopes. As input to the predictive models, geo-engineering index parameters, such as slope height (H), total slope angle (β), dry density (γd), cohesion (c), and internal friction angle (φ), which were estimated for 70 slopes in the South Pars region (southwest of Iran), were considered to predict the FS properly. To prepare the training and testing data sets from the main database, the primary set was randomly divided and applied to all predictive models. The predicted FS results were obtained for testing (30% of the primary data set) and training (70% of the primary data set) for all MLP, SVM, k-NN, DT, and RF models. The models were verified by using a confusion matrix and errors table to conclude the accuracy evaluation indexes (i.e., accuracy, precision, recall, and f1-score), mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). According to the results of this study, the MLP model had the highest evaluation with a precision of 0.938 and an accuracy of 0.90. In addition, the estimated error rate for the MLP model was MAE = 0.103367, MSE = 0.102566, and RMSE = 0.098470. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study attempted to predict ground subsidence occurrence using statistical and machine learning models, specifically the evidential belief function (EBF), index of entropy (IoE), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) models in the Rafsanjan Plain in southern Iran to investigate 11 possible causative factors: slope percent, aspect, topographic wetness index (TWI), plan and profile curvatures, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), land use, lithology, distance to river, groundwater drawdown, and elevation. The Boruta algorithm was applied to determine the importance of the possible causative factors. NDVI, groundwater drawdown, land use, and lithology had the strongest relationships with land subsidence. Finally, we generated land subsidence maps using different machine learning and statistical models. The accuracy of these models was assessed using the AUC value and the true skill statistic (TSS) metrics. The SVM model had the highest prediction accuracy (AUC = 0.967, TSS = 0.91), followed by RF (AUC = 0.936, TSS = 0.87), EBF (AUC = 0.907, TSS = 0.83), and IoE (AUC= 0.88, TSS = 0.8). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The data employed in urban gain modeling classes are often imbalanced, negatively affecting the accuracy of traditional and standard data mining and machine learning models. This study presents a new framework on the basis of clustering-based modeling and ensemble models to deal with the class imbalance problem in urban gain modeling. The random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM) models served as the base models for the generation and evaluation of the results within this framework. The changes in urban land-use pattern of Isfahan in Iran in two time intervals of 1994-2004 and 2004-2014 were considered for the modeling. The findings showed that the proposed sampling strategy yields higher Hits and Correct Rejections rates than the strategies applied in previous studies in all three models. In the second part of the proposed framework (ensemble models), there was no substantial difference in the confusion matrix entries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Developing a data-driven knowledge-based system for long term load forecasting. • Applying a machine learning-based decomposition method in the knowledge base. • Representing a reasoning method based on fuzzy logic to consider uncertain evidence. Reliable long-term hourly load forecasting is imperative for electricity utilities and planners' decision-making, especially in generation-transmission expansion planning. This paper develops a data-driven knowledge-based system for regional hourly load forecasting in the long-term horizon with contributions in both knowledge base and inference engine. In this regard, in the knowledge base, two types of driving factors are taken into account to determine the forecasting model: long-term trend-related features such as macro-economic factors and short-term factors such as temperature. The knowledge base is decomposed into three-step-related parts to deal with these groups' substantial differences in frequency. Firstly, the long-term trends are identified by the tendency variables. Then, the short-term variability is considered by temperature-related variables in addition to day type. Machine learning regression methods, support vector machines, random forest, and artificial neural networks are compared to determine the non-linear relationship of variables in these steps. The results of these steps are combined in the third step. Then, in the inference engine, a new reasoning method based on fuzzy logic is represented to forecast the regional long-term hourly load under uncertain evidence of temperature as an effective non-predictable feature in the long run. To evaluate the performance of the proposed system, a comparison against five systems is conducted. The results show the superiority of this system compared to the other systems for a publicly available dataset (ISO New England electricity market) as well as Iran's residential, commercial and agricultural electricity load. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Land use/cover (LU/LC) classification provides proxies of the natural and social processes related to urban development, providing stakeholders with crucial information. Remotely sensed images combined with supervised classification are common to define land use, but high-performance classifiers remain difficult to achieve, due to the presence of model hyperparameters. Conventional approaches rely on manual adjustment, which is time consuming and often unsatisfying. Therefore, the goal of this study has been to optimize the parameters of the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm for the generation of land use/cover maps from Sentinel-2 satellite imagery in selected humid and arid (three study sites each) climatic regions of Iran. For supervised SVM classification, we optimized two important parameters (gamma in kernel function and penalty parameter) of the LU/LC classification. Using the radial basis function (RBF) of the SVM classification method, we examined seven values for both parameters ranging from 0.001 to 1000. For both climate types, the penalty parameters (PP) showed a direct relationship with overall accuracy (OA). Statistical results confirmed that in humid study regions, LU/LC maps produced with a penalty parameter >100 were more accurate. However, for regions with arid climates, LU/LC maps with a penalty parameter >0.1 were more accurate. Mapping accuracy for both climate types was sensitive to the penalty parameter. In contrast, variations of the gamma values in the kernel function had no effect on the accuracy of the LU/LC maps in either of the climate zones. These new findings on SVM image classification are directly applicable to LU/LC for planning and environmental and natural resource management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Qualitative analysis of water resources is one of the most widely used topics in water resources research today. Researchers use various analysis methods of water parameters to achieve the desired goals in this field. This research uses artificial intelligence (AI), learning machine (LM), data mining, and mathematical techniques to simulate water behavior and estimate its parametric changes. The proposed model used in this study was a Self-adaptive Extreme learning machine (SAELM) to estimate hydrogeological parameters of the Meghan wetland located in Markazi province in Iran. In addition, SAELM simulation results were compared to Least square support vector machine (LSSVM), Multiple linear regression (MLR), and Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models. The simulated parameters were Electrical Conductivity (EC), Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Groundwater Level (GWL), and salinity. This information was related to sampling for 175 months in the study area. Finally, after simulation operation, four models were introduced as superior models. Mentioned exceptional models were SAELM in GWL modeling, SAELM in modeling the EC, MLR in salinity simulation, and LSSVM in the simulation of TDS parameters. Moreover, by five approaches, the models' performance was evaluated. Suggested strategies were performance evaluation by statistical indicators, Wilson score method uncertainty analysis (WSMUA), response & correlation plots, discrepancy ratio charts, and distribution error diagrams. Based on statistical indicators, the SAELMGWL model was the most accurate model with RMSE, MAPE, and R2 indices equal to 0.1496, 0.0043, and 0.9933, respectively. The ANFIS model had the worst results in simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The present study investigates the prediction accuracy of standalone Reduced Error Pruning Tree model and its integration with Bagging (BA), Dagging (DA), Additive Regression (AR) and Random Committee (RC) for drought forecasting on time scales of 3, 6, 12, 48 months ahead using Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), which is among the most common criteria for testing drought prediction, at Kermanshah synoptic station in western Iran. To this end, monthly data obtained from a 31-year period record including rainfall, maximum and minimum temperatures, and maximum and minimum relative humidity rates were considered as the required input to predict SPI. In addition, different inputs were combined and constructed to determine the most effective parameter. Finally, the obtained results were validated using visual and quantitative criteria. According to the results, the best input combination comprised both meteorological variable and SPI along with lag time. Although hybrid models enhanced the results of standalone models, the accuracy of the best performing models could vary on different SPI time scales. Overall, BA, DA and RC models were much more effective than AR models. Moreover, RMSE value increased from SPI (3) to SPI (48), indicating that performance modeling would become much more challenging and complex on higher time scales. Finally, the performance of the newly developed models was compared with that of conventional and most commonly used Support Vector Machine and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models, regarded as the benchmark. The results revealed that all the newly developed models were characterized by higher prediction power than ANFIS and ANN. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Today, various methods have been developed to extract drinking water resources, which scientists use to simulate the quantitative and qualitative water resources parameters. Due to Iran's geographical and climatic characteristics, this region is located on the drought belt in Asia. In this research, some Artificial Intelligence (AI) and mathematical models have been used for groundwater level prediction. The AI models used for this research are Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model. In this study, simultaneously, these models were used to simulate and estimate groundwater level (GWL). The database used in the simulation is the data related to the Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Electrical Conductivity (EC), Salinity (S), and Time (t) parameters. The results showed that ELM was more accurate than other methods. In Uncertainty Wilson Score Method (UWSM) analysis, ELM had an Underestimation performance and was determined as the more precise model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Data-driven models have been explored in numerous studies for solar radiation ( R s ) prediction. However, the use of different input variable selection (IVS) methods for improving R s prediction accuracy has mostly been neglected. This study explores various IVS methods, including Gamma test (GT), Procrustes analysis (PA) and Edgeworth approximation-based conditional mutual information (EA) and evaluates their ability to improve R s prediction accuracy by coupling them with popular non-linear data-driven models, multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine, extreme learning machine and multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP). The partial correlation input selection method was coupled with multiple linear regression to serve as a linear benchmark. Meteorological data from eight stations in northern Iran was used for building the R s prediction models. The type and number of variables selected at each station was dissimilar and dependent on the IVS method. The models utilizing EA selected fewer variables compared to the GT method and had higher accuracy, while models using PA selected fewer variables than all methods but were not able to adequately predict R s . It was also found that predictive performance substantially varied when pairing the IVS methods with different model types. For example, MLP, the model with the best average performance, when coupled with EA instead of PA resulted in a ~ 27% improvement (decrease) in the normalized root mean square error (nRMSE). The results also indicated that MGGP produced the least accurate predictions, where the nRMSE increased by up to 40% compared to MLP when the EA method was used for IVS. Finally, IVS hyper-parameter adjustment (which is routinely overlooked in the literature) profoundly affected the results and is recommended as a very important step to consider when developing data-driven models for solar radiation prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: In vitro fertilization (IVF) is a useful assisted reproductive technology to achieve pregnancy in infertile couples. However, it is very important to optimize the success rate after IVF by controlling for its influencing factors. This study aims to classify successful deliveries after IVF according to couples' characteristics and available data on oocytes, sperm, and embryos using several classification methods. Materials and Methods: This historical cohort study was conducted in a referral infertility centre located in Tehran, Iran. The patients' demographic and clinical variables for 6071 cycles during March 21, 2011 to March 20, 2014 were collected. We used six different machine learning approaches including support vector machine (SVM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB), and linear discriminant analysis (LDA) to predict successful delivery. The results of the performed methods were compared using accuracy tools. Results: The rate of successful delivery was 81.2% among 4930 cycles. The total accuracy of the results exposed RF had the best performance among the six approaches (ACC=0.81). Regarding the importance of variables, total number of embryos, number of injected oocytes, cause of infertility, female age, and polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) were the most important factors predicting successful delivery. Conclusion: A successful delivery following IVF in infertile individuals is considerably affected by the number of embryos, number of injected oocytes, cause of infertility, female age, and PCOS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the recent climate changes and their consequences such as flash floods and droughts, there is a need for Land Use Land Cover mapping to monitor environmental changes which have effects on ecology, policy management, health, and disaster management. It should be noticed that recent droughts caused by climate change, and on the other hand, population growth has increased the rate of urbanization in Iran, where people are moving from rural areas to urban areas. In this study, two well-known machine learning classifiers, including Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Complex Tree (CTree), are used for land cover mapping. An advanced supervised algorithm, namely the Derivative-free Multi-layer Perceptron (FDMLP), which is based on the Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP) function, is developed in MATLAB programming language. The FDMLP uses a derivative-free function for the optimization of the MLP function parameters. Three different scenarios using Landsat-8 imagery with spatial resolutions of 30 and 15 m are defined to investigate the effects of data pre-processing on the final predicted Land Use Land Cover (LULC) maps. A Deep Neural Network (DNN) is used for LULC mapping as well. The FDMLP classifier has outperformed the other two well-known algorithms of the SVM and the CTree for the classification of the pixel-based Landsat-8 imagery and the object-based Landsat-8 imagery with a spatial resolution of 15 m in terms of the overall accuracy and index of kappa. Based on the test data, the DNN classifier for the object-based Landsat-8 imagery with a spatial resolution of 15 m with values of 91.28 and 88.57 percent for the OA and Kappa index has outperformed the other supervised classifiers. The worst results of classification are for the DNN algorithm for the pixel-based Landsat-8 imagery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Lithological mapping is a critical aspect of geological mapping that can be useful in studying the mineralization potential of a region and has implications for mineral prospectivity mapping. This is a challenging task if performed manually, particularly in highly remote areas that require a large number of participants and resources. The combination of machine learning (ML) methods and remote sensing data can provide a quick, low-cost, and accurate approach for mapping lithological units. This study used deep learning via convolutional neural networks and conventional ML methods involving support vector machines and multilayer perceptron to map lithological units of a mineral-rich area in the southeast of Iran. Moreover, we used and compared the efficiency of three different types of multispectral remote-sensing data, including Landsat 8 operational land imager (OLI), advanced spaceborne thermal emission and reflection radiometer (ASTER), and Sentinel-2. The results show that CNNs and conventional ML methods effectively use the respective remote-sensing data in generating an accurate lithological map of the study area. However, the combination of CNNs and ASTER data provides the best performance and the highest accuracy and adaptability with field observations and laboratory analysis results so that almost all the test data are predicted correctly. The framework proposed in this study can be helpful for exploration geologists to create accurate lithological maps in other regions by using various remote-sensing data at a low cost. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We mapped landslide susceptibility in Kamyaran city of Kurdistan Province, Iran, using a robust deep-learning (DP) model based on a combination of extreme learning machine (ELM), deep belief network (DBN), back propagation (BP), and genetic algorithm (GA). A total of 118 landslide locations were recorded and divided in the training and testing datasets. We selected 25 conditioning factors, and of these, we specified the most important ones by an information gain ratio (IGR) technique. We assessed the performance of the DP model using statistical measures including sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, F1-measure, and area under-the-receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Three benchmark algorithms, i.e., support vector machine (SVM), REPTree, and NBTree, were used to check the applicability of the proposed model. The results by IGR concluded that of the 25 conditioning factors, only 16 factors were important for our modeling procedure, and of these, distance to road, road density, lithology and land use were the four most significant factors. Results based on the testing dataset revealed that the DP model had the highest accuracy (0.926) of the compared algorithms, followed by NBTree (0.917), REPTree (0.903), and SVM (0.894). The landslide susceptibility maps prepared from the DP model with AUC = 0.870 performed the best. We consider the DP model a suitable tool for landslide susceptibility mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Forest ecosystems play multiple important roles in meeting the habitat needs of different organisms and providing a variety of services to humans. Biodiversity is one of the structural features in dynamic and complex forest ecosystems. One of the most challenging issues in assessing forest ecosystems is understanding the relationship between biodiversity and environmental factors. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of biotic and abiotic factors on tree diversity of Hyrcanian forests in northern Iran. For this purpose, we analyzed tree diversity in 8 forest sites in different locations from east to west of the Caspian Sea. 15,988 trees were measured in 655 circular permanent sample plots (0.1 ha). A combination of machine learning methods was used for modeling and investigating the relationship between tree diversity and biotic and abiotic factors. Machine learning models included generalized additive models (GAMs), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) and K-nearest–neighbor (KNN). To determine the most important factors related to tree diversity we used from variables such as the average diameter at breast height (DBH) in the plot, basal area in largest trees (BAL), basal area (BA), number of trees per hectare, tree species, slope, aspect and elevation. A comparison of RMSEs, relative RMSEs, and the coefficients of determination of the different methods, showed that the random forest (RF) method resulted in the best models among all those tested. Based on the results of the RF method, elevation, BA and BAL were recognized as the most influential factors defining variation of tree diversity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Recent reports of the National Ministry of Health and Treatment of Iran (NMHT) show that Gilan has a higher annual incidence rate of leptospirosis than other provinces across the country. Despite several efforts of the government and NMHT to eradicate leptospirosis, it remains a public health problem in this province. Modelling and Prediction of this disease may play an important role in reduction of the prevalence.Methods: This study aims to model and predict the spatial distribution of leptospirosis utilizing Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Generalized Linear Model (GLM), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as capable approaches. Five environmental parameters of precipitation, temperature, humidity, elevation and vegetation are used for modelling and predicting of the disease. Data of 2009 and 2010 are used for training, and 2011 for testing and evaluating the models.Results: Results indicate that utilized approaches in this study can model and predict leptospirosis with high significance level. To evaluate the efficiency of the approaches, MSE (GWR = 0.050, SVM = 0.137, GLM = 0.118 and ANN = 0.137), MAE (0.012, 0.063, 0.052 and 0.063), MRE (0.011, 0.018, 0.017 and 0.018) and R2 (0.85, 0.80, 0.78 and 0.75) are used.Conclusion: Results indicate the practical usefulness of approaches for spatial modelling and predicting leptospirosis. The efficiency of models is as follow: GWR > SVM > GLM > ANN. In addition, temperature and humidity are investigated as the most influential parameters. Moreover, the suitable habitat of leptospirosis is mostly within the central rural districts of the province. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We prepared a landslide susceptibility map for the Sarkhoon watershed, Chaharmahal-w-bakhtiari, Iran, using novel ensemble artificial intelligence approaches. A classifier of support vector machine (SVM) was employed as a base classifier, and four Meta/ensemble classifiers, including Adaboost (AB), bagging (BA), rotation forest (RF), and random subspace (RS), were used to construct new ensemble models. SVM has been used previously to spatially predict landslides, but not together with its ensembles. We selected 20 conditioning factors and randomly portioned 98 landslide locations into training (70%) and validating (30%) groups. Several statistical metrics, including sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, kappa, root mean square error (RMSE), and area under the receiver operatic characteristic curve (AUC), were used for model comparison and validation. Using the One-R Attribute Evaluation (ORAE) technique, we found that all 20 conditioning factors were significant in identifying landslide locations, but "distance to road" was found to be the most important. The RS (AUC = 0.837) and RF (AUC = 0.834) significantly improved the goodness-of-fit and prediction accuracy of the SVM (AUC = 0.810), whereas the BA (AUC = 0.807) and AB (AUC = 0.779) did not. The random subspace based support vector machine (RSSVM) model is a promising technique for helping to better manage land in landslide-prone areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mountainous areas are highly prone to a variety of nature-triggered disasters, which often cause disabling harm, death, destruction, and damage. In this work, an attempt was made to develop an accurate multi-hazard exposure map for a mountainous area (Asara watershed, Iran), based on state-of-the art machine learning techniques. Hazard modeling for avalanches, rockfalls, and floods was performed using three state-of-the-art models—support vector machine (SVM), boosted regression tree (BRT), and generalized additive model (GAM). Topo-hydrological and geo-environmental factors were used as predictors in the models. A flood dataset (n = 133 flood events) was applied, which had been prepared using Sentinel-1-based processing and ground-based information. In addition, snow avalanche (n = 58) and rockfall (n = 101) data sets were used. The data set of each hazard type was randomly divided to two groups: Training (70%) and validation (30%). Model performance was evaluated by the true skill score (TSS) and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) criteria. Using an exposure map, the multi-hazard map was converted into a multi-hazard exposure map. According to both validation methods, the SVM model showed the highest accuracy for avalanches (AUC = 92.4%, TSS = 0.72) and rockfalls (AUC = 93.7%, TSS = 0.81), while BRT demonstrated the best performance for flood hazards (AUC = 94.2%, TSS = 0.80). Overall, multi-hazard exposure modeling revealed that valleys and areas close to the Chalous Road, one of the most important roads in Iran, were associated with high and very high levels of risk. The proposed multi-hazard exposure framework can be helpful in supporting decision making on mountain social-ecological systems facing multiple hazards. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, we introduced a novel hybrid artificial intelligence approach of rotation forest (RF) as a Meta/ensemble classifier based on alternating decision tree (ADTree) as a base classifier called RF-ADTree in order to spatially predict gully erosion at Klocheh watershed of Kurdistan province, Iran. A total of 915 gully erosion locations along with 22 gully conditioning factors were used to construct a database. Some soft computing benchmark models (SCBM) including the ADTree, the Support Vector Machine by two kernel functions such as Polynomial and Radial Base Function (SVM-Polynomial and SVM-RBF), the Logistic Regression (LR), and the Naïve Bayes Multinomial Updatable (NBMU) models were used for comparison of the designed model. Results indicated that 19 conditioning factors were effective among which distance to river, geomorphology, land use, hydrological group, lithology and slope angle were the most remarkable factors for gully modeling process. Additionally, results of modeling concluded the RF-ADTree ensemble model could significantly improve (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.906) the prediction accuracy of the ADTree model (AUC = 0.882). The new proposed model had also the highest performance (AUC = 0.913) in comparison to the SVM-Polynomial model (AUC = 0.879), the SVM-RBF model (AUC = 0.867), the LR model (AUC = 0.75), the ADTree model (AUC = 0.861) and the NBMU model (AUC = 0.811). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Environmental pollution has mainly been attributed to urbanization and industrial developments across the globe. Air pollution has been marked as one of the major problems of metropolitan areas around the world, especially in Tehran, the capital of Iran, where its administrators and residents have long been struggling with air pollution damage such as the health issues of its citizens. As far as the study area of this research is concerned, a considerable proportion of Tehran air pollution is attributed to PM10 and PM2.5 pollutants. Therefore, the present study was conducted to determine the prediction models to determine air pollutions based on PM10 and PM2.5 pollution concentrations in Tehran. To predict the air-pollution, the data related to day of week, month of year, topography, meteorology, and pollutant rate of two nearest neighbors as the input parameters and machine learning methods were used. These methods include a regression support vector machine, geographically weighted regression, artificial neural network and auto-regressive nonlinear neural network with an external input as the machine learning method for the air pollution prediction. A prediction model was then proposed to improve the afore-mentioned methods, by which the error percentage has been reduced and improved by 57%, 47%, 47% and 94%, respectively. The most reliable algorithm for the prediction of air pollution was autoregressive nonlinear neural network with external input using the proposed prediction model, where its one-day prediction error reached 1.79 µg/m3. Finally, using genetic algorithm, data for day of week, month of year, topography, wind direction, maximum temperature and pollutant rate of the two nearest neighbors were identified as the most effective parameters in the prediction of air pollution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]