18 results on '"Yu, Zhongbo"'
Search Results
2. Simulation of snowmelt runoff and sensitivity analysis in the Nyang River Basin, southeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China
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Jin, Haoyu, Ju, Qin, Yu, Zhongbo, Hao, Jie, Gu, Huanghe, Gu, Henan, and Li, Wei
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- 2019
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3. Simulation of Runoff through Improved Precipitation: The Case of Yamzho Yumco Lake in the Tibetan Plateau.
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Tang, Handuo, Zhang, Fan, Zeng, Chen, Wang, Li, Zhang, Hongbo, Xiang, Yuxuan, and Yu, Zhongbo
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SNOWMELT ,RUNOFF ,MELTWATER ,HYDROLOGIC models ,RAINFALL ,SNOW cover - Abstract
Alpine lakes on the Tibetan Plateau have significantly changed under a changing climate over past decades. However, the changing patterns of the inflow sources of the lakes, i.e., rainfall and the melt water of snow and glaciers, and their response to climate change remain uncertain because obtaining accurate precipitation and melt water discharge is difficult due to the complex topography, spatial variability, and scarce stations of the alpine area. A distributed hydrological model, J2000, was employed in this study to simulate runoff component variations of the Yamzho Yumco Lake glaciated basin during 1974–2019. Except for observed daily runoff from two tributaries, a High Asia Refined (HAR) high-resolution reanalysis of precipitation data was combined with field precipitation gradient observation and snow cover area validation, all performed simultaneously to reduce the uncertainty of inflow components in the model. Results showed that the average runoff into the lake during 1974–2019 was 5.5 ± 1.4 × 10
8 m3 /10a, whereas rainfall runoff, glacier melt runoff, snowmelt runoff, and baseflow contributed to 54.6%, 10.8%, 1.8%, and 32.7% of total runoff in mean, respectively. Seasonal runoff in spring, summer, autumn, and winter accounted for 6.7%, 60.6%, 23.9% and 8.8% of annual total runoff, respectively. In glacial areas, the reduction in total runoff after removing the precipitation trend was 1.4 times than that of temperature, and in non-glacial areas, the reduction in total runoff after removing the precipitation trend was 1.6 times than the increase in total runoff after removing the temperature trend. The proportion of rainfall runoff increased at a rate of 1.0%/10a, whereas the proportion of melt runoff decreased at a rate of 0.07%/10a during the study period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
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4. How will permafrost carbon respond to future climate change? A new assessment for future thaw trends of permafrost carbon on the Tibetan Plateau.
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Shen, Tongqing, Yu, Zhongbo, Zhang, Dawei, Ju, Qin, Chen, Xuegao, Lin, Hui, Nie, Ting, Wang, Qin, Si, Xinrong, and Jiang, Peng
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PERMAFROST , *CARBON cycle , *CLIMATE change , *THAWING , *RADIATIVE forcing , *TUNDRAS - Abstract
• Quantified future thaw trends of frozen carbon on the TP based on 15 GCMs. • Compared frozen carbon thaw under two schemes with and without permafrost area shrinkage. • Underscored the pivotal role of permafrost area shrinkage in quantifying frozen carbon thaw. • Emphasized the tremendous potential for future carbon emissions from the TP permafrost area. Permafrost degradation on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is anticipated to result in the thaw of permafrost carbon. Existing studies have been conducted to assess the future thaw of frozen carbon on the TP, primarily focusing on the deepening of the active layer while neglecting the impact of permafrost area shrinkage. This oversight may lead to a significant underestimation of the potential thaw of frozen carbon. Our research underscores the pivotal role of permafrost area shrinkage in estimating the future thaw of frozen carbon. Our findings reveal that when the combined effects of permafrost area shrinkage and active layer deepening are considered, the thaw rates of frozen carbon in various radiative forcing scenarios are nearly four times those based on active layer deepening alone. Notably, our results demonstrate substantial thaw of frozen organic carbon in the TP permafrost area under all four future scenarios: In the low radiative forcing scenario SSP1-2.6, it is predicted that 55.4 % of the organic carbon in the permafrost area 0–10 m soils will be in a state of thaw by 2100, and more than 90 % in the high radiative forcing scenario SSP5-8.5. This substantial thaw is poised to diminish the TP's current carbon sink function significantly. Our study emphasizes that as global warming persists, frozen carbon in permafrost areas will play a more active role in global carbon cycle processes in the future. Furthermore, we stress the importance of considering permafrost area shrinkage in understanding the thaw of frozen carbon, providing valuable insights for carbon balance studies on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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5. Evaluating the Water Level Variation of a High-Altitude Lake in Response to Environmental Changes on the Southern Tibetan Plateau.
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Chen, Xuegao, Yu, Zhongbo, Huang, Qinghan, Yi, Peng, Shi, Xiaonan, Aldahan, Ala, Xiong, Ling, Wan, Chengwei, and Chen, Peng
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WATER levels ,WATER leakage ,LAKES ,GLACIAL melting ,PLATEAUS ,WATER supply ,GLACIERS - Abstract
Lakes are sensitive to environmental changes, and an example of this change is the decreased water level in the Yamzho Yumco Lake (YYL, in southern Tibetan Plateau), which is opposite of the reported expansion in most other lakes of the Tibetan Plateau. In this study, we report a high-resolution dataset of daily monitored water levels from 1974 to 2010 in the YYL, which was used to elucidate annual and seasonal variations of the lake water level. These data are coupled to the stable isotope signals in the lake water and to a water balance model to provide an overall picture of factors and processes affecting the lake. The data revealed an annual average rate of 0.12 m per year lowering of the lake water level, but there was a relative increase in the summer and autumn seasons. It was found that a large amount of precipitation and low evaporation were primary reasons for increasing periods of the lake water level. The extensive glacier melting process driven by a sharp rise in temperature is another key factor for the increasing period between 1997 and 2004. The annual general water level decline before 1996 is attributed to the slow glacier melting rate and reduced precipitation, while a drastic decline of the water level after 2005 could be related to water leakage at the lake bottom, enhanced by a thawing of the permafrost. This process is driven by increasing soil temperatures and human activity. Finding out the causes of the YYL shrinkage trend provides vital implications for the management of water resources in the Tibetan plateau cold regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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6. Spatial-temporal dynamics of meteorological and soil moisture drought on the Tibetan Plateau: Trend, response, and propagation process.
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Lin, Hui, Yu, Zhongbo, Chen, Xuegao, Gu, Huanghe, Ju, Qin, and Shen, Tongqing
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SOIL moisture , *SOIL dynamics , *DROUGHTS , *PLATEAUS , *WAVELETS (Mathematics) , *HYDROLOGIC cycle , *SHRUBLANDS - Abstract
[Display omitted] • From spatiotemporal dimension to analyze drought propagation of SPEI to SSMI on the TP. • There is a lag time of 2–3 months from SPEI to SSMI and increases from summer to winter. • Climate, vegetation and permafrost type have an impact on drought propagation. • In winter, drought duration decreases in 45% of the TP after drought propagation, and drought severity decreases in 52%, particularly in the Inner TP. • The direction of propagation from SPEI to SSMI is predominantly northwest. Meteorological drought signals trigger different types of droughts by propagating in the water and energy cycle processes. The understanding of the propagation process from meteorological to soil moisture drought is not clear on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). We used the standardized precipitation index (SPEI) and the standardized soil moisture index (SSMI) to represent meteorological and soil moisture drought. By using Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test, wavelet analysis, run theory, Moran's I and drought migration model, we evaluated the trend of SPEI and SSMI on the TP from 1980 to 2018, analyzed the response relationship, explored the temporal (lag time (LT), propagation rate, duration (DD) and severity (DS)) and spatial (spatial autocorrelation, trajectory, direction and distance) properties of drought propagation, and discussed the potential factors. The result indicated that SPEI intensified at winter and annual scales, SSMI mitigated at all time scales. Both of them showed a consistent dry trend in the southeastern TP. In the time dimension, SSMI usually lagged behind SPEI by about 2–3 months, and the LT increased from summer to winter. The LT tended to be shorter in summer in regions characterized by humid and semi-humid climates, meadows and shrublands, and seasonally frozen ground. Propagation rates were greater in the southeast than northwest. After propagation, DD and DS became weaker in winter (45 % and 52 % of regions decreased, respectively) and stronger in summer (80 % and 76 % of regions increased, respectively). In the spatial dimension, the LT of adjacent regions is closely related, dominated by High - High values and Low-Low values. SSMI had shorter migration trajectories and slower migration rates than SPEI. In addition, the direction of drought propagation was predominantly northwest. For the first time, this study has provided insights into the spatial and temporal propagation of meteorological drought to soil moisture drought on the TP and provides a theoretical basis for understanding drought propagation and predicting soil moisture drought. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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7. Hydrological projections of future climate change over the source region of Yellow River and Yangtze River in the Tibetan Plateau: A comprehensive assessment by coupling RegCM4 and VIC model.
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Lu, Wenjun, Wang, Weiguang, Shao, Quanxi, Yu, Zhongbo, Hao, Zhenchun, Xing, Wanqiu, Yong, Bin, and Li, Jinxing
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CLIMATE change ,RUNOFF ,EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ,PERMAFROST ,BIOENERGETICS - Abstract
Understanding climate change impacts on hydrological regime and assessing future water supplies are essential to effective water resources management and planning, which is particularly true for the Tibetan Plateau (TP), one of the most vulnerable areas to climate change. In this study, future climate change in the TP was projected for 2041–2060 by a high‐resolution regional climate model, RegCM4, under 3 representative concentration pathways (RCPs): 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. Response of all key hydrological elements, that is, evapotranspiration, surface run‐off, baseflow, and snowmelt, to future climate in 2 typical catchments, the source regions of Yellow and Yangtze rivers, was further investigated by the variable infiltration capacity microscale hydrological model incorporated with a 2‐layer energy balance snow model and a frozen soil/permafrost algorithm at a 0.25° ×0.25° spatial scale. The results reveal that (a) spatial patterns of precipitation and temperature from RegCM4 agree fairly well with the data from China Meteorological Forcing Dataset, indicating that RegCM4 well reproduces historical climatic information and thus is reliable to support future projection; (b) precipitation increase by 0–70% and temperature rise by 1–4 °C would occur in the TP under 3 RCPs. A clear south‐eastern–north‐western spatial increasing gradient in precipitation would be seen. Besides, under RCP8.5, the peak increase in temperature would approach to 4 °C in spring and autumn in the east of the TP; (c) evapotranspiration would increase by 10–60% in 2 source regions due to the temperature rise, surface run‐off and baseflow in higher elevation region would experience larger increase dominantly due to the precipitation increase, and streamflow would display general increases by more than 3% and 5% in the source regions of Yellow and Yangtze rivers, respectively; (d) snowmelt contributes 11.1% and 16.2% to total run‐off in the source regions of Yellow and Yangtze rivers, respectively, during the baseline period. In the source region of Yangtze River, snowmelt run‐off would become more important with increase of 17.5% and 18.3%, respectively, under RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 but decrease of 15.0% under RCP8.5. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2018
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8. Diagnosing the compound seasonal soil moisture-hydroclimate interaction regime on the Tibetan Plateau using multi-high-resolution reanalysis products and one regional climate model.
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Liu, Di, Yu, Zhongbo, Lü, Haishen, Gu, Huanghe, Yang, Chuanguo, Ju, Qin, Sun, Jiaqian, and Fu, Xiaolei
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ATMOSPHERIC models , *LAND-atmosphere interactions , *SOIL moisture , *PLATEAUS , *GLOBAL warming , *SEASONS ,COLD regions - Abstract
• Seasonal positive SM-P and negative SM-T2m feedback detected at TP. • Positive SM-runoff feedback dominated at TP, especially in summer and autumn. • ET linked in the SM-P-T2m feedback, but the nexus of SM-ET-ROF is complex. • Inner TP, Sources of Yellow-Yangtze-Mekong-Salween river basin as SM-hydroclimate interacting hotspot. • Common compound aggregation method is efficient to recognize hotspot among multi-data. Land-atmosphere energy and moisture exchanges exert great impacts on local and regional climate. However, high uncertainties exist in the recent land–atmosphere interactions due to scarce observations and difficulties in modeling at high elevations and cold regions. This study applied multiple high-resolution reanalysis products (ERA5-land, GLDAS Noah and CLSM products) and one regional climate model, RegCM4, to diagnose the interaction pattern and strength of seasonal soil moisture and hydroclimate on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) using a conditional correlation coefficient method and the global land–atmosphere coupling experimental modeling approach. A compound aggregation method is applied to recognize hot spots with strong soil moisture-hydroclimate interactions among multiple data. As a result, the Changtang Plateau in the inner TP, the sources of the Yellow, Yangtze, Mekong, Salween, and Lancang Rivers and part of the Brahmaputra River basin in the south-southeastern TP are diagnosed with strong land–atmosphere interactions in most seasons. In summer, the coupling strength is stronger, and the covered area is much wider and spatially continuous as the climate turns warm. All applied data indicate a positive dominant soil moisture-precipitation feedback, and a negative soil moisture-temperature feedback at the hot spots. Meanwhile, the soil moisture-runoff feedback is strong and positive at most parts of the TP, especially at the hot spots and in summer. Evapotranspiration acts as a positive linkage in the soil moisture-precipitation-temperature interactions, while the nexus of soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff is complicated. This study contributes to understanding local land-hydroclimate interactions in the high elevation and cold climate of the TP. Additionally, the found the proposed compound aggregation method efficient for compound studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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9. Impact of projected climate change on the hydrology in the headwaters of the Yellow River basin.
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Zhang, Yueguan, Su, Fengge, Hao, Zhenchun, Xu, Chongyu, Yu, Zhongbo, Wang, Lu, and Tong, Kai
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CLIMATE change ,HYDROLOGICAL research ,WATERSHEDS ,ECOLOGICAL succession - Abstract
Located in the northeast of the Tibetan Plateau, the headwaters of the Yellow River basin (HYRB) are very vulnerable to climate change. In this study, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to assess the impact of future climate change on this region's hydrological components for the near future period of 2013-2042 under three emission scenarios A1B, A2 and B1. The uncertainty in this evaluation was considered by employing Bayesian model averaging approach on global climate model (GCM) multimodel ensemble projections. First, we evaluated the capability of the SWAT model for streamflow simulation in this basin. Second, the GCMs' monthly ensemble projections were downscaled to daily climate data using the bias-correction and spatial-disaggregation method and then were utilized as input into the SWAT model. The results indicate the following: (1) The SWAT model exhibits a good performance for both calibration and validation periods after adjusting parameters in snowmelt module and establishing elevation bands in sub-basins. (2) The projected precipitation suggests a general increase under all three scenarios, with a larger extent in both A1B and B1 and a slight variation for A2. With regard to temperature, all scenarios show pronounced warming trends, of which A2 displays the largest amplitude. (3) In the terms of total runoff from the whole basin, there is an increasing trend in the future streamflow at Tangnaihai gauge under A1B and B1, while the A2 scenario is characterized by a declining trend. Spatially, A1B and B1 scenarios demonstrate increasing trends across most of the region. Groundwater and surface runoffs indicate similar trends with total runoff, whereas all three scenarios exhibit an increase in actual evapotranspiration. Generally, both A1B and B1 scenarios suggest a warmer and wetter tendency over the HYRB in the forthcoming decades, while the case for A2 indicates a warmer and drier trend. Findings from this study can provide beneficial reference to water resource and eco-environment management strategies for governmental policymakers. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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10. The Mass and Energy Exchange of a Tibetan Glacier: Distributed Modeling and Climate Sensitivity.
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Li, Binquan, Acharya, Kumud, Yu, Zhongbo, Liang, Zhongmin, and Su, Fengge
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MASS budget (Geophysics) ,GLACIERS ,RUNOFF ,RAINFALL ,SNOWMELT - Abstract
Most glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau ( TP) are not closely monitored for mass balance (MB) due to their inaccessibility, which makes it difficult to better understand the dynamics of glacial advancement or retreat. Surface energy budget, MB, and the resulting melt runoff were calculated for Zhadang glacier (5,710 m above sea level) of the central TP. Energy balance was calculated on 30-m square grids for the summers of 2007 and 2008. On average, net radiation dominated the total energy source (66%) while the residual was supplied by sensible heat flux. More than 67% of the energy sink was available for melting on the glacier. Thus, less than 33% of the total energy was consumed by latent heat flux. A large and a slightly negative summer MB were calculated for the 2007 and 2008 summers, respectively. The high sensitivity of the glacier to air temperature may indicate that the lower than average seasonal temperature was more important than the increased precipitation for the slightly negative MB in the summer of 2008. Comparisons of glacial melt runoff indicated that rainfall and snowmelt were the dominant contribution to total runoff in the glacierized basin and the ice melting is also very important. Glacial melt calculation provides a basis for quantifying glacial melt-runoff contribution to the river streamflow in the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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11. Carbon budgets of lakes on the Tibetan Plateau: Highlighting non-negligible carbon emissions from small lakes.
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Si, Xinrong, Chen, Xiaobing, Yu, Zhongbo, Yin, Jie, Shen, Tongqing, Lin, Hui, Nie, Ting, and Hu, Wentao
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BODIES of water , *CARBON emissions , *GROUNDWATER recharge , *CLIMATE change , *CARBON cycle , *MELTWATER - Abstract
[Display omitted] • The CO 2 emission fluxes of lakes on the Tibetan Plateau from 2016 to 2021 were estimated. • The relatively higher CO 2 emission fluxes from small lakes compared to their surface area ratios on the Tibetan Plateau were emphasized. • Both the ice-free and ice-covered periods were taken into account in the carbon budgets. • CO 2 emission mechanisms from lakes of different sizes on the Tibetan Plateau during the ice-free and ice-covered periods are discussed. The release of carbon dioxide (CO 2) from lakes is a critical element of carbon (C) emissions from inland waters. Within the realm of climate change, the inquiries surrounding whether lakes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) function as C sources or sinks and the magnitude of CO 2 exchange flux from these lakes have garnered significant attentions. Nevertheless, accurately assessing the lakes' contribution to the C budgets poses challenges due to data scarcity and methodological inaccuracies. By amalgamating data from literature reviews and field measurements for different sizes of lakes during the ice-free (IF) and ice-covered (IC) periods from 2016 to 2021, this study offers a refined estimate of the CO 2 exchange flux and flux rate for lakes on the TP by including lakes ranging in size from 0.01 to 1 km2 (small lakes) in the C budgets. Findings revealed that the annual CO 2 exchange flux of TP lakes amounted to 7.10 Tg C yr–1, with 6.56 Tg C yr–1 and 0.54 Tg C yr–1 during the IF and IC periods, respectively. Notably, small lakes contributed 0.76 Tg C yr–1, representing 10.65 % of the total lake CO 2 emissions on the TP, which indicates the significant role of small lakes in estimating CO 2 emissions from TP lakes. The CO 2 exchange fluxes of small lakes showed significant variability during the IF period, with the origins of lake water replenishment possibly explaining this diversity, where glacial meltwater replenishment is likely a key contributing factor. In contrast, CO 2 emissions from small lakes increased during the IC period. The view of this study is that the groundwater recharge with higher CO 2 concentrations and the shallow nature of small lakes may be the main reasons for the increase in CO 2 emissions from small lakes during this period. The study underscores that the contribution of small lakes to the CO 2 budgets of TP lakes is substantial and warrants attention, particularly in elucidating the mechanisms driving CO 2 emissions from small lakes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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12. Intense Chemical Weathering at Glacial Meltwater-Dominated Hailuogou Basin in the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau.
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Li, Xiangying, Ding, Yongjian, Liu, Qiao, Zhang, Yong, Han, Tianding, Jing, Zhefan, Yu, Zhongbo, Li, Qijiang, and Liu, Sha
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CHEMICAL weathering ,CHEMICAL denudation ,CHEMICAL processes ,WEATHERING ,SUSPENDED sediments ,RIVER sediments - Abstract
Climate warming has caused rapid shrinkage of glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau (TP), but the impact of glacier retreat on the chemical denudation rate remains largely unknown at the temperate glacial basins. The chemical weathering processes were examined at a temperate glacial basin (HLG) in the southeastern TP based on comprehensive data from the supraglacial meltwater, proglacial river water, precipitation and groundwater over two glacier melt seasons in 2008 and 2013. The concentrations of major ions and suspended sediments in river water exhibit a pronounced seasonality and display a close relationship with river discharge, suggesting a strong hydrological control on the chemical and physical weathering processes. Runoff chemistry is dominated by carbonate weathering and sulfide oxidation. HCO
3 − , Ca2+ , and/or SO4 2− are the dominant ions in meltwater, river water, precipitation and groundwater. For river water, HCO3 − and Ca2+ primarily come from calcite weathering, and SO4 2− is mainly derived from pyrite oxidation. Both solute and sediment fluxes are positively related to river discharge (r = 0.69, p < 0.01 for sediments). The solute flux and yields are 18,095–19,435 t·year−1 and 225–241 t·km−2 ·year−1 , and the sediment load and yields are 126,390 t·year−1 and 1570 t·km−2 ·year−1 , respectively. The solute yields, cationic denudation rate (CDR; 2850–3108 Σ*meq+ m−2 ·year−1 ) and chemical weathering intensity (CWI; 616–711 Σ*meq+ m−3 ·year−1 ) at HLG are higher than those at most basins irrespective of the lithology, suggesting more intense weathering in the TP in comparison to other glacial basins worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2019
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13. Climate change driven water budget dynamics of a Tibetan inland lake.
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Li, Binquan, Zhang, Jianyun, Yu, Zhongbo, Liang, Zhongmin, Chen, Li, and Acharya, Kumud
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METEOROLOGICAL precipitation , *CLIMATE change , *HYDROLOGIC cycle , *ATMOSPHERIC models , *REMOTE sensing - Abstract
Understanding the hydrologic processes of inland lake basins in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) could provide insights into the responses of Tibetan lake dynamics to climate change. An efficient approach for this purpose is to represent complex hydrologic behaviors of such Tibetan lake watersheds with plausible hydrologic models. In this study, water level fluctuations of Lake Nam Co, an inland lake in the central TP, were investigated using a lumped lake-watershed model. The degree-day factor method was introduced to improve the model applicability in glacier-covered basins. The model simulated the hydrologic processes as well as the lake water budget. Remote sensing images (Landsat MSS, TM, ETM + and OLI) from 1972 to 2015 were used to identify the glacier and lake boundaries. Multisource climate data (e.g., ground point observation, 0.25 o gridded APHRODITE and TRMM 3B42 v7 precipitation products) were used to drive the hydrologic model at a monthly time step. Results of trend analysis showed that basin-wide annual air temperature increased by the rate 0.04 °C/yr from 1961 to 2015. Mean annual precipitation slowly increased from 1961 to the mid-1990s, and then rapidly increased from the late-1990s to the mid-2000s, and finally obviously decreased after the mid-2000s. As a response to climate change, glaciers decreased by 62.69 km 2 (29%) and lake area increased by 91.83 km 2 (4.7%) from 1972 to 2015. The analysis of lake water budget suggested that, the total basin runoff and on-lake precipitation contributed 1.36 km 3 /yr (66%) and 0.7 km 3 /yr (34%), respectively, to mean annual water gain of the lake. Glacier runoff was 14% of the basin runoff and 10% of the total water gain of the lake. The percentages of lake evaporation, water seepage and water surplus were 65%, 20% and 15%, respectively. Lake level increased with the rate of 0.14 m/yr for the study period 1961–2015. It could be concluded that precipitation was the dominant controlling factor for the different magnitudes of lake level rising rates of 0.10, 0.41 and 0.06 m/yr for the periods of 1961–1998, 1999–2008 and 2009–2015, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2017
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14. An 80-year summer temperature history from the Xiao Dongkemadi ice core in the central Tibetan Plateau and its association with atmospheric circulation.
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Li, Xiangying, Ding, Yongjian, Yu, Zhongbo, Mika, Sillanpää, Liu, Shiyin, Shangguan, Donghui, and Lu, Chengyang
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ATMOSPHERIC temperature , *ICE cores , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *SUMMER , *GLACIERS - Abstract
The climate significance of oxygen isotopes from the central Tibetan Plateau (cTP) ice cores is a debated issue because of large scale atmospheric circulation. A high-resolution δ 18 O record was recovered from the Xiao Dongkemadi (XD) ice core, which expanded the spatial coverage of δ 18 O data in this region. Annual average δ 18 O correlated significantly with nearby MJJAS air temperatures, suggesting the δ 18 O can be used as a proxy to reconstruct regional climate change. The reconstructed temperature anomaly is related to the regional and global warming trends, and the greater warming amplitude since 1970s is related to the elevation dependency of the warming signal. The close relationship of the warming to variations in glacier mass balances and discharge reveal that recent warming has led to obvious glacier shrinkage and runoff increase. Correlation analysis suggests that monsoon and westerly moisture substantially influence the cTP ice core records, along with an increase in their level of contribution to the XD core accumulation in recent decades, and confirms a teleconnection of regional climate of the cTP ice cores with climate parameters in the Indian and North Atlantic Oceans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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15. Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau is degrading: Historical and projected trends.
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Shen, Tongqing, Jiang, Peng, Ju, Qin, Zhao, Jiahui, Chen, Xuegao, Lin, Hui, Yang, Bin, Tan, Changhai, Zhang, Ying, Fu, Xinting, and Yu, Zhongbo
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CLIMATE change models , *PERMAFROST , *MACHINE learning , *WATER security , *HYDROLOGIC cycle - Abstract
• Long-term dynamics of permafrost changes on the TP were assessed. • Changes in permafrost distribution and ALT were considered simultaneously. • 15 representative GCMs were used to project permafrost future changes on the TP. • The permafrost stability and the elevation-dependent change of ALT were analyzed. Permafrost degradation on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) will significantly affect local water cycle processes, downstream water ecology, and water security. In this study, we evaluate the long-term interannual dynamics of permafrost distribution and active layer thickness (ALT) on the TP based on historical data from Climatic Research Unit gridded Time Series (CRU TS) downscaling and projected data under four shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) in Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP 6). To achieve this, we employ a data-driven scheme at 1 km resolution for both historical and future periods (1901–2100) that compares the performance of four machine learning algorithms to select the optimal algorithm for permafrost distribution and ALT simulations. Our results indicate that the permafrost on the TP has been undergoing degradation in both historical and future periods, with a decrease in permafrost area and an increase in ALT. The changing rates of permafrost area and regionally averaged ALT during the historical period (1901–2020) are −1.05 × 104 km2 decade–1 and 0.012 m decade–1, while an accelerated degradation is observed after the 1970 s (with changing rates of permafrost area and regionally average ALT of −3.62 × 104 km2 decade–1 and 0.055 m decade–1). Our results also suggested that permafrost degradation on the TP will continue in the future under the four SSP scenarios. The individual global climate models (GCMs) exhibit a consistent degradation trend but great uncertainty in degradation speed. The ensemble mean of simulations across 15 selected GCMs showed that the degradation percentage of permafrost area on the TP under scenarios SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 was 26.0 ± 6.8 %, 50.4 ± 5.6 %, 79.2 ± 4.5 %, and 89.0 ± 4.0 % by 2100, and the regionally average ALT increased by 0.301 ± 0.112 m, 0.628 ± 0.113 m, 1.204 ± 0.119 m, and 1.486 ± 0.125 m, respectively. We also analyze permafrost stability and elevation-dependent changes of ALT on the TP. The permafrost stability increases with elevation and latitude, and ALT changes more intensely with increasing elevation. This study will provide valuable data for hydrological and ecological studies related to permafrost on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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16. Frozen carbon is gradually thawing: Assessing interannual dynamics of thawed soil organic carbon stocks in the Tibetan Plateau permafrost area from 1901−2020.
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Shen, Tongqing, Jiang, Peng, Ju, Qin, Chen, Xuegao, Lin, Hui, Zhao, Jiahui, Zhang, Fan, and Yu, Zhongbo
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SOIL dynamics , *PERMAFROST , *GLOBAL warming , *THAWING , *CARBON in soils , *CARBON cycle , *TUNDRAS - Abstract
• Permafrost extent and ALT changes on the TP were evaluated. • The SOC stocks and storage in TP permafrost areas were estimated. • Thawed and perennially frozen state of SOC in permafrost areas is distinguished. • Dynamics of thawed SOC in TP permafrost areas from 1901−2020 were assessed. Large amounts of frozen carbon stored in the permafrost of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are gradually thawing due to climate warming. The thaw of frozen carbon allows more active soil organic carbon (SOC) on the TP to participate in the global carbon cycle, which has usually been neglected in previous studies of permafrost carbon. This paper assesses the thawed SOC stock and its historical dynamics in TP permafrost areas based on a data-driven scheme. The results show that the current permafrost area of the TP is 1.14 × 106 km2, and the SOC stock in the top 10 m of permafrost areas is 47.36 Pg. The active layer of the TP permafrost has a regional average thickness of 2.37 m during the baseline period (2000−2020), storing 18.19 Pg of SOC, accounting for about 38.4 % of the total SOC stock in the top 10 m, with the remaining more than 60 % perennially frozen in permafrost. The dynamics of thawed SOC are calculated based on baseline period SOC pools. Despite significant fluctuations, there is a general trend of 0.074 Pg SOC thaw per decade over 1901−2020 as the active layer has deepened. Significantly, the thaw trend of frozen SOC after 1976 is more prominent, reaching 0.420 Pg decade−1. Moreover, this paper reconstructs the SOC pool at the beginning of the last century by incorporating historical deep carbon emissions (1 − 10 m) in the current SOC pool. It recalculates the thaw trend of frozen carbon based on this and finds that the general thaw trend of SOC from 1901−2020 is more significant, with a rate of 0.092 Pg decade−1. Additionally, the dynamics of SOC pools in surface soils (0 − 1 m) of TP permafrost areas are also discussed. Our study highlights the importance of permafrost carbon thaw and provides valuable information for TP carbon studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
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17. Changes in permafrost spatial distribution and active layer thickness from 1980 to 2020 on the Tibet Plateau.
- Author
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Shen, Tongqing, Jiang, Peng, Ju, Qin, Yu, Zhongbo, Chen, Xuegao, Lin, Hui, and Zhang, Yueguan
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- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Diurnal dynamics of minor and trace elements in stream water draining Dongkemadi Glacier on the Tibetan Plateau and its environmental implications.
- Author
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Li, Xiangying, He, Xiaobo, Kang, Shichang, Sillanpää, Mika, Ding, Yongjian, Han, Tianding, Wu, Qingbai, Yu, Zhongbo, and Qin, Dahe
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GLACIERS , *TRACE elements , *GLOBAL warming & the environment , *STREAM chemistry , *CIRCADIAN rhythms - Abstract
Global warming has resulted in rapid glacier retreat on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), and the impacts of glacier melting on downstream ecosystems remain largely unknown. Minor and trace elements in stream water draining Dongkemadi Glacier (DG) were examined during the ablation season of 2013. Dominant ions and elements are HCO 3 − , Ca 2+ , Fe and Sr. Water chemistry is controlled by the weathering of calcite, oxidation of pyrite and dissolution of evaporites. Correlations suggests the hydrological (e.g. meltwater generation and routing, water residence time) and physicochemical (e.g. sorption, precipitation, oversaturation) controls on species concentrations. The distribution of metals is featured by the mixture of soluble metal and non-metal ligand complexes and free monovalent and divalent ions. Downstream increased concentrations and/or fluxes of some metals and metalloid (e.g. Cr, Cu and As) suggest potential environmental impacts. Discharge-normalized cation denudation rate (372 Σ ∗ meq + m −3 ) in the DG basin is larger than those from alpine and polar glaciers, suggesting a stronger weathering of carbonate with greater abundance on the TP in comparison to other mountain and polar glacial catchments. The maximum Fe concentration exceeds the USEPA guideline, and Al, Zn and Pb are close to or of the same order of magnitude as liminal values. This implies that the TP may face a challenge of ecosystem health and environmental issue in a warming climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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