Search

The paper discusses the nutrient-plankton system with effect of time delay in nutrient recycling and toxin-determined function response (TDFR). The designed model system explores the delay-induced system dynamics. We present the local stability analysis of interior equilibrium points in absence as well as in presence of time delay. Further, the direction of Hopf bifurcation is obtained. We perform the numerical computation and observe that time delay in nutrient recycling can generate the periodic solution in a stable nutrient-plankton system. Some other essential parameters, such as input concentration of nutrients and natural removal rate of nutrients, also regulate the dynamical system. The system shows Hopf and double-Hopf bifurcation in the presence of time delay. Our study shows that the delay in the nutrient recycling causes instability transition phenomenon. The delay-induced nutrient recycling and different input concentrations of nutrients can regulate the estuarine system. Finally, the stability switching is observed for delayed system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the current study, we have formulated an S I epidemic model incorporating the influence of Allee effect on the dynamics of the model system in space and time. During the spread of the disease, inhibition among the susceptible and infected individuals is seen, which is measured using the Crowley–Martin type incidence function. Extensive analysis explores the system's stability and different bifurcation scenarios, including Hopf, saddle-node, transcritical, and Bogdanov–Takens. We also examine how these bifurcations react to parameter variations within the proposed model. The temporal model has further been extended to a spatial one to investigate the impact of the Allee effect on the formation of patterns for different values of the cross-diffusion coefficient. The well-posedness of the stationary solution and the global stability of the spatial system are derived. Also, the Turing instability, Hopf, and Turing bifurcation are calculated considering the transmission rate as critical parameter. In a heterogeneous environment, the spatial distribution of the susceptible population shows a complex structure with flat tabular surface and a few almost circular holes in surface plots for both strong and weak Allee effects. To further explore the role of Allee effect on pattern development for various cross-diffusion coefficient values, the temporal model has been spatially extended. Additionally, the transmission rate is taken into account while calculating the Turing instability and Hopf and Turing bifurcations. We ran numerical simulations to validate our analytical results for both spatial and nonspatial models. Our current model system can explain the recent occurrence of respiratory distress syndrome in endangered penguin species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predator–prey interactions do not solely depend on biotic factors: rather, they depend on many other abiotic factors also. One such abiotic factor is wind speed, which can crucially change the predation efficiency of the predator population. In this article, the impact of wind speed along with seasonality on various parameters has been investigated. Here, we present two continuous-time models with specialist and generalist type predators incorporating the effect of wind and the seasonality on the model parameters. It has been observed that wind speed plays a significant role in controlling the system dynamics for both systems. It makes the systems stable for both of the seasonally unperturbed systems. However, it controls the chaotic dynamics that occur in case of no wind for the seasonally perturbed system with the predator as a specialist. On the other hand, for the seasonally perturbed system with a generalist predator, it controls period-four oscillations (which occur considering no wind speed) to simple limit-cycle oscillations. Furthermore, the wind parameter has a huge impact on the survival of predator species. The survival of predator species may be achieved by ensuring a suitable range of wind speeds in the ecosystem. Therefore, we observe that seasonality introduces chaos, but wind reduces it. These results may be very useful for adopting necessary management for the conservation of endangered species that are massively affected by wind speed in an ecosystem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The dynamics of infectious disease transmission depends on social contact patterns and the precautions people take to minimize disease transmission. The social contact pattern varies depending on the community at large age distribution at work, school, and recreation. Consequently, knowing the age-specific prevalence and incidence of infectious diseases is critical for predicting future disease burden and the efficacy of interventions like vaccination. In this study, we use an SEIR age-structured multi-group epidemic model to understand how social contact affects disease control. We construct location-specific social contact matrices to observe that how social mixing affects disease spread. For mathematical analysis, we compute the basic reproduction number (R 0) and exhibit the global behavior of the system in terms of R 0 . We also estimate the transmission rate using the empirical data of COVID-19 for India from 1 September 2020, to 31 December 2020. We simulate the lifting of non-pharmaceutical interventions by allowing people to return to work in phases and investigate its impact. Our findings imply that raising awareness in symptomatic infected individuals aged 20–49 years can help in reducing the number of infected individuals. When some schools are partially open, awareness in symptomatic infected individuals in school-age groups also plays a significant role in reducing disease cases. The simulation results also suggest that limiting contact at school and other gathering places could significantly lower the number of instances. Using the least square approach, we show that the time-dependent transmission rate is more realistic than the constant spread rate for COVID-19 in India. To reduce the COVID-19 burden, we obtain that gradually loosening control measures could flatten and lower other peaks. Our findings may help health policymakers to decide on timely age-based vaccination distribution strategies and control measures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, an attempt has been made to explore a new delayed epidemiological model assuming that the disease is transmitted among the susceptible population and possessing nonlinear incidence function along with a saturated treatment rate. Due attention is paid to the positivity and boundedness of the solutions and the bifurcation of the dynamical system as well. Basic reproduction number is being calculated, and considering the latent period as a bifurcation parameter, it has been examined that a Hopf-bifurcation occurs near the endemic equilibrium point while the parameter attains critical values. We have also discussed the stability and direction of Hopf-bifurcation near the endemic equilibrium point, the global stability analysis and the optimal control theory. We conclude that the system reveals chaotic dynamics through a specific time-delay value. Numerical simulations are being performed in order to explain the accuracy and effectiveness of the acquired theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The anti-predator element because of fear from predator population in prey–predator models has an excellent significance and it is able to lessen the duplicate of prey population to a positive degree. In this paper, a delayed prey–predator model including fear effect and predator-taxis sensitivity is studied. Local stability and occurrence of Hopf bifurcation are analyzed by fixing the time delay as the bifurcating parameter. Then, a series of sufficient criteria for global stability is established by designing a suitable Lyapunov function. Furthermore, direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation are studied. Lastly, numerical simulation outcomes are performed to confirm our theoretical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, we present a delayed predator–prey model with cannibalism including a prey, a juvenile predator and an adult predator. The adult predator hunts not only the prey but also the juvenile predator. The alternative resource is considered to reduce cannibalism in predator species. The main results are demonstrated by local stability and Hopf bifurcation. Sufficient criteria for local stability of the interior equilibrium point and the exhibition of a Hopf bifurcation are derived. Global stability is analyzed via designing a suitable Lyapunov function. Additionally, stability of the Hopf bifurcation is explored. Finally, numerical simulations are executed to validate the obtained results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simple Summary: This article provides original numerical and mathematical insights about the FHR model and non-homogeneous FitzHugh–Nagumo reaction-diffusion systems. This article focuses on the qualitative analysis of complex dynamics arising in a few mathematical models in neuroscience context. We first discuss the dynamics arising in the three-dimensional FitzHugh–Rinzel (FHR) model and then illustrate those arising in a class of non-homogeneous FitzHugh–Nagumo (Nh-FHN) reaction-diffusion systems. FHR and Nh-FHN models can be used to generate relevant complex dynamics and wave-propagation phenomena in neuroscience context. Such complex dynamics include canards, mixed-mode oscillations (MMOs), Hopf-bifurcations and their spatially extended counterpart. Our article highlights original methods to characterize these complex dynamics and how they emerge in ordinary differential equations and spatially extended models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Synchronization of food chain models is an intensely investigated area in dynamical systems. Two pioneering models in three species food chain systems exhibiting chaotic dynamics are the Hastings and Powell (HP) model and the Upadhyay and Rai (UR) model. These are known to synchronize, even though the top predators in the two models behave differently. In the current manuscript, we show that although the HP and UR models synchronize for certain initial conditions, they do not synchronize for arbitrarily large initial conditions due to the blow-up dynamics present in the UR model. Thus, the synchronization of these model systems is purely a local (in initial data) phenomenon. Interestingly, we find that a similar result holds for the modified UR model as well, which has global in-time solutions for any positive initial condition. Thus, the lack of synchrony could also be attributed to the difference in the top predator's feeding preferences in the model systems. Our results have large-scale applications to population synchrony in tri-trophic food chains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Smoking poses an enormous threat to public health in the globe and continues to be one of the main cause of health problems. In this paper, a delayed smoking model with reversion class is proposed. Local stability of the smoking equilibrium and Hopf bifurcation is analyzed by taking the time delay as the bifurcation parameter. In particular, global exponential stability is proved by using the linear matrix inequality method. The theoretical results obtained are validated numerically and graphically. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article, we report on the generation and propagation of traveling pulses in a homogeneous network of diffusively coupled, excitable, slow-fast dynamical neurons. The spatially extended system is modeled using the nearest neighbor coupling theory, in which the diffusion part measures the spatial distribution of coupling topology. We derive analytically the conditions for traveling wave profiles that allow the construction of the shape of traveling nerve impulses. The analytical and numerical results are used to explore the nature of propagating pulses. The symmetric or asymmetric nature of traveling pulses is characterized, and the wave velocity is derived as a function of system parameters. Moreover, we present our results for an extended excitable medium by considering a slow-fast biophysical model with a homogeneous, diffusive coupling that can exhibit various traveling pulses. The appearance of series of pulses is an interesting phenomenon from biophysical and dynamical perspective. Varying the perturbation and coupling parameters, we observe the propagation of activities with various amplitude modulations and transition phases of different wave profiles that affect the speed of pulses in certain parameter regimes. We observe different types of traveling pulses, such as envelope solitons and multi-bump solutions, and show how system parameters and coupling play a major role in the formation of different traveling pulses. Finally, we obtain the conditions for stable and unstable plane waves. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent field experiments have shown that predators influence the prey population not only by direct consumption but also by stimulating various defensive strategies. The cost of these defensive strategies can include energetic investment in defensive structures, reduced energy income, lower mating success, and emigration which ultimately reduces the reproduction of prey. To explore the effect of these defensive strategies (anti‐predator behaviors), a modified Leslie–Gower predator–prey model with the cost of fear has been considered. Gestation delay is also incorporated in the system for a more realistic formulation. Boundedness, equilibria and stability analysis are performed for the temporal system. By considering gestation delay as a bifurcation parameter, the existence of Hopf‐bifurcation around the interior equilibrium point is discussed together with the direction, stability, and period of bifurcating solutions arising through Hopf‐bifurcation. The spatial extension of the proposed model incorporating density‐dependent cross‐diffusion is also investigated and the conditions for diffusion‐driven instability are obtained. To illustrate the analytical findings, detailed numerical simulations are performed. Biologically realistic Turing patterns such as spots, spots and stripes mixture, and labyrinthine type patterns are identified. It is found that the fear level has a stabilizing impact on delay induced destabilization and both stabilizing and destabilizing effects on Turing instability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, attempt has been made to grasp the idea about the role of fear effect of intermediate specialist predator on prey and the effect of the top predator interference in the spatial framework of a three species food chain model. By introducing a hybrid model and assuming that the interaction between prey and intermediate predator obeys the Volterra scheme, whereas Beddington-DeAngelis (BD) type functional response is taken in between the top predator and its favorite food. The stability properties of each equilibrium point of the temporal model system, blow up in finite time for both temporal and spatial systems corresponding to a large initial data are established. We pay attention to illustrate different types of patterns around the neighbourhood of a critical parameter. Choosing appropriate control parameter from the Turing space and using the existence criteria, stable patterns are obtained. The result of theoretical analysis well agrees with the result exhibited through numerical simulations around the critical parameter. Finally, numerical simulation illustrates the role of diffusion in the spatial domain by formations of different patterns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The recent emergence of COVID-19 has drawn attention to the various methods of disease control. Since no proper treatment is available till date and the vaccination is restricted to certain age groups, also vaccine efficacy is still under progress, the emphasis has been given to the method of isolation and quarantine. This control is induced by tracing the contacts of the infectious individuals, putting them to the quarantine class and based on their symptoms, classifying them either as the susceptible or sick individuals and moving the sick individuals to the isolated class. To track the current pandemic situation of COVID-19 in India, we consider an extended Susceptible-Exposed-Quarantine-Infected-Isolated-Recovered (SEQ1IQ2R) compartmental model along with calculating its control reproductive number Rc. The disease can be kept in control if the value of Rc remains below one. This "threshold" value of Rc is used to optimize the period of quarantine, and isolation and have been calculated in order to eradicate the disease. The sensitivity analysis of Rc with respect to the quarantine and isolation period has also been done. Partial rank correlation coefficient method is applied to identify the most significant parameters involved in Rc. Based on the observed data, 7-days moving average curves are plotted for prelockdown, lockdown and unlock 1 phases. Following the trend of the curves for the infection, a generalized exponential function is used to estimate the data, and corresponding 95% confidence intervals are simulated to estimate the parameters. The effect of control measures such as quarantine and isolation are discussed. Following various mathematical and statistical tools, we systematically explore the impact of lockdown strategy in order to control the recent outbreak of COVID-19 transmission in India. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article, we construct an excitable memristive diffusive neuron model by considering a biophysical slow–fast bursting oscillator and study the effects of electromagnetic induction on the dynamics of the single model as well as the coupled systems. We explore various firing regimes such as tonic spiking, bursting, and mixed-mode oscillations depending on the bifurcation structure with different injected current stimuli, then perform a comparative analysis on the synchronization of the coupled oscillators by setting the model into two different network architectures. First, a diffusively coupled network is considered, and later a global network is constructed. The results suggest that the diffusively connected neurons show complete synchronization at higher couplings for bursting and tonic spiking regimes. Furthermore, we show that the extended spatial system can generate spiral-like patterns in the vicinity of a Hopf bifurcation point and observe the impact of Gaussian white noise to study its effects on pattern formation. These types of patterns are robust in the excitable model. Our results might contribute significantly to the dynamical studies of irregular neural computation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]