1. Intermediate-term variations in 200 years seismicity at the north of Iran.
- Author
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Nemati, Majid
- Subjects
- *
EARTHQUAKES , *EARTHQUAKE intensity , *SEISMIC wave velocity , *EARTHQUAKE zones , *EARTHQUAKE hazard analysis - Abstract
In this paper, significant variations in rate of moderate-large earthquake occurrence during the last two centuries at the north of Persia (Alborz, Azarbaijan, and Kopeh Dagh seismotectonic provinces) were chronically investigated. Depths of some historical and instrumental earthquakes were reasonably estimated using macroseismic data. Also, empirical relationships were developed between the maximum intensity and magnitude of the earthquakes in the north of Persia. Two centuries of earthquake data (M ≥5.0) reliably demonstrates that quite periods with durations of about a few years to two decades have happened and have been subsequently followed by active periods with durations of about 10 to 70 years. The time variation of seismic hazards (achieved by the macroseismic maximum intensity, I ≥IV) almost displays a similar behavior at the study area. According to both patterns of the time variations of seismicity and the seismic hazards, it may conclude that we are within a low rate of seismic period, and we may expect a higher rate of seismicity at the Alborz in the next decades. Finally, in both the Azarbaijan and Kopeh Dagh areas, we discovered considerable migrations of the seismicity from the east to the west. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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