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Novel monitoring architecture approaches are required to detect viticulture diseases early. Existing micro-climate decision support systems can only cope with late detection from empirical and semi-empirical models that provide less accurate results. Such models cannot alleviate precision viticulture planning and pesticide control actions, providing early reconnaissances that may trigger interventions. This paper presents a new plant-level monitoring architecture called thingsAI. The proposed system utilizes low-cost, autonomous, easy-to-install IoT sensors for vine-level monitoring, utilizing the low-power LoRaWAN protocol for sensory measurement acquisition. Facilitated by a distributed cloud architecture and open-source user interfaces, it provides state-of-the-art deep learning inference services and decision support interfaces. This paper also presents a new deep learning detection algorithm based on supervised fuzzy annotation processes, targeting downy mildew disease detection and, therefore, planning early interventions. The authors tested their proposed system and deep learning model on the grape variety of protected designation of origin called debina, cultivated in Zitsa, Greece. From their experimental results, the authors show that their proposed model can detect vine locations and timely breakpoints of mildew occurrences, which farmers can use as input for targeted intervention efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper addresses the challenges of calibrating low-cost electrochemical sensor systems for air quality monitoring. The proliferation of pollutants in the atmosphere necessitates efficient monitoring systems, and low-cost sensors offer a promising solution. However, issues such as drift, cross-sensitivity, and inter-unit consistency have raised concerns about their accuracy and reliability. The study explores the following three calibration methods for converting sensor signals to concentration measurements: utilizing manufacturer-provided equations, incorporating machine learning (ML) algorithms, and directly applying ML to voltage signals. Experiments were performed in three urban sites in Greece. High-end instrumentation provided the reference concentrations for training and evaluation of the model. The results reveal that utilizing voltage signals instead of the manufacturer's calibration equations diminishes variability among identical sensors. Moreover, the latter approach enhances calibration efficiency for CO, NO, NO2, and O3 sensors while incorporating voltage signals from all sensors in the ML algorithm, taking advantage of cross-sensitivity to improve calibration performance. The Random Forest ML algorithm is a promising solution for calibrating similar devices for use in urban areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The growing availability of smart meter data has facilitated the development of energy-saving services like demand response, personalized energy feedback, and non-intrusive-load-monitoring applications, all of which heavily rely on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on energy consumption datasets. To ensure the accuracy and reliability of these services, real-world smart meter data collection is crucial. The Plegma dataset described in this paper addresses this need bfy providing whole- house aggregate loads and appliance-level consumption measurements at 10-second intervals from 13 different households over a period of one year. It also includes environmental data such as humidity and temperature, building characteristics, demographic information, and user practice routines to enable quantitative as well as qualitative analysis. Plegma is the first high-frequency electricity measurements dataset in Greece, capturing the consumption behavior of people in the Mediterranean area who use devices not commonly included in other datasets, such as AC and electric-water boilers. The dataset comprises 218 million readings from 88 installed meters and sensors. The collected data are available in CSV format. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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This paper explores the energy-intensive cement industry, focusing on a plant in Greece and its mill and kiln unit. The data utilized include manipulated, non-manipulated, and uncontrolled variables. The non-manipulated variables are computed based on the machine learning (ML) models and selected by the minimum value of the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) across nine (9) methods. In case the distribution of the data displayed in the user interface changes, the user should trigger the retrain of the AI models to ensure their accuracy and robustness. To form the objective function, the expert user should define the desired weight for each manipulated or non-manipulated variable through the user interface (UI), along with its corresponding constraints or target value. The user selects the variables involved in the objective function based on the optimization strategy, and the evaluation is based on the comparison of the optimized and the active value of the objective function. The differential evolution (DE) method optimizes the objective function that is formed by the linear combination of the selected variables. The results indicate that using DE improves the operation of both the cement mill and kiln, yielding a lower objective function value compared to the current values. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Several cities have been greatly affected by economic crisis, unregulated gentrification, and the pandemic, resulting in increased vacancy rates. Abandoned buildings have various negative implications on their neighborhoods, including an increased chance of fire and crime and a drastic reduction in their monetary value. This paper focuses on the use of satellite data and machine learning to provide insights for businesses and policymakers within Greece and beyond. Our objective is two-fold: to provide a comprehensive literature review on recent results concerning the opportunities offered by satellite images for business intelligence and to design and implement an open-source software system for the detection of abandoned or disused buildings based on nighttime lights and built-up area indices. Our preliminary experimentation provides promising results that can be used for location intelligence and beyond. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent times, the power sector has become a focal point of extensive scientific interest, driven by a convergence of factors, such as mounting global concerns surrounding climate change, the persistent increase in electricity prices within the wholesale energy market, and the surge in investments catalyzed by technological advancements across diverse sectors. These evolving challenges have necessitated the emergence of new imperatives aimed at effectively managing energy resources, ensuring grid stability, bolstering reliability, and making informed decisions. One area that has garnered particular attention is the accurate prediction of end-user electricity load, which has emerged as a critical facet in the pursuit of efficient energy management. To tackle this challenge, machine and deep learning models have emerged as popular and promising approaches, owing to their having remarkable effectiveness in handling complex time series data. In this paper, the development of an algorithmic model that leverages an automated process to provide highly accurate predictions of electricity load, specifically tailored for the island of Thira in Greece, is introduced. Through the implementation of an automated application, an array of deep learning forecasting models were meticulously crafted, encompassing the Multilayer Perceptron, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), One Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (CNN-1D), hybrid CNN–LSTM, Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN), and an innovative hybrid model called the Convolutional LSTM Encoder–Decoder. Through evaluation of prediction accuracy, satisfactory performance across all the models considered was observed, with the proposed hybrid model showcasing the highest level of accuracy. These findings underscore the profound significance of employing deep learning techniques for precise forecasting of electricity demand, thereby offering valuable insights with which to tackle the multifaceted challenges encountered within the power sector. By adopting advanced forecasting methodologies, the electricity sector moves towards greater efficiency, resilience and sustainability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we propose an innovative approach for robust prediction of processing tomato yield using open-source AutoML techniques and statistical analysis. Sentinel-2 satellite imagery was deployed to obtain values of five (5) selected vegetation indices (VIs) during the growing season of 2021 (April to September) at 5-day intervals. Actual recorded yields were collected across 108 fields, corresponding to a total area of 410.10 ha of processing tomato in central Greece, to assess the performance of Vis at different temporal scales. In addition, VIs were connected with the crop phenology to establish the annual dynamics of the crop. The highest Pearson coefficient (r) values occurred during a period of 80 to 90 days, indicating the strong relationship between the VIs and the yield. Specifically, RVI presented the highest correlation values of the growing season at 80 (r = 0.72) and 90 days (r = 0.75), while NDVI performed better at 85 days (r = 0.72). This output was confirmed by the AutoML technique, which also indicated the highest performance of the VIs during the same period, with the values of the adjusted R2 ranging from 0.60 to 0.72. The most precise results were obtained with the combination of ARD regression and SVR, which was the most successful combination for building an ensemble (adj. R2 = 0.67 ± 0.02). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hydropower plays an essential role in Europe's energy transition and can serve as an important factor in the stability of the electricity system. This is even more crucial in areas that rely strongly on renewable energy production, for instance, solar and wind power, as for example the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. To safeguard hydropower's contribution to total energy production, an accurate prediction of the annual precipitation is required. Valuable tools to obtain accurate predictions of future observations are firstly a series of sophisticated data preprocessing techniques and secondly the use of advanced machine learning algorithms. In the present paper, a complete procedure is proposed to obtain accurate predictions of meteorological data, such as precipitation. This procedure is applied to the Greek automated weather stations network, operated by the National Observatory of Athens, in the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. The proposed prediction algorithm successfully identified the climatic zones based on their different geographic and climatic characteristics for most meteorological stations, resulting in realistic precipitation predictions. For some stations, the algorithm underestimated the annual total precipitation, a weakness also reported by other research works. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Emergency Departments (EDs) are the most overcrowded places in public hospitals. Machine learning can support decisions on effective ED resource management by accurately forecasting the number of ED visits. In addition, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques can help explain decisions from forecasting models and address challenges like lack of trust in machine learning results. The objective of this paper is to use machine learning and XAI to forecast and explain the ED visits on the next on duty day. Towards this end, a case study is presented that uses the XGBoost algorithm to create a model that forecasts the number of patient visits to the ED of the University Hospital of Ioannina in Greece, based on historical data from patient visits, time-based data, dates of holidays and special events, and weather data. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework is used to explain the model. The evaluation of the forecasting model resulted in an MAE value of 18.37, revealing a more accurate model than the baseline, with an MAE of 29.38. The number of patient visits is mostly affected by the day of the week of the on duty day, the mean number of visits in the previous four on duty days, and the maximum daily temperature. The results of this work can help policy makers in healthcare make more accurate and transparent decisions that increase the trust of people affected by them (e.g., medical staff). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The contribution of the paper is the building of a model to predict the proper employees' allocation in the Greek public sector. To acknowledge the set and weights of criteria upon which our model feeds data, a validated questionnaire was developed and used to conduct a primary quantitative survey amongst HR departments and employees of state organizations in Greece. On the acquired findings, several experiments were administered using linear and machine learning tools, aiming to replace time consuming and subjective procedures, followed by many organizations. Concluding, data classification algorithms are proposed to predict the best matching of employees, giving as inputs personnel qualifications as well as job specifications, leading to a model based on J48, a decision tree algorithm. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vegetation index time-series analysis of multitemporal satellite data is widely used to study vegetation dynamics in the present climate change era. This paper proposes a systematic methodology to predict the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) using time-series data extracted from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). The key idea is to obtain accurate NDVI predictions by combining the merits of two effective computational intelligence techniques; namely, fuzzy clustering and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks under the framework of dynamic time warping (DTW) similarity measure. The study area is the Lesvos Island, located in the Aegean Sea, Greece, which is an insular environment in the Mediterranean coastal region. The algorithmic steps and the main contributions of the current work are described as follows. (1) A data reduction mechanism was applied to obtain a set of representative time series. (2) Since DTW is a similarity measure and not a distance, a multidimensional scaling approach was applied to transform the representative time series into points in a low-dimensional space, thus enabling the use of the Euclidean distance. (3) An efficient optimal fuzzy clustering scheme was implemented to obtain the optimal number of clusters that better described the underline distribution of the low-dimensional points. (4) The center of each cluster was mapped into time series, which were the mean of all representative time series that corresponded to the points belonging to that cluster. (5) Finally, the time series obtained in the last step were further processed in terms of LSTM neural networks. In particular, development and evaluation of the LSTM models was carried out considering a one-year period, i.e., 12 monthly time steps. The results indicate that the method identified unique time-series patterns of NDVI among different CORINE land-use/land-cover (LULC) types. The LSTM networks predicted the NDVI with root mean squared error (RMSE) ranging from 0.017 to 0.079. For the validation year of 2020, the difference between forecasted and actual NDVI was less than 0.1 in most of the study area. This study indicates that the synergy of the optimal fuzzy clustering based on DTW similarity of NDVI time-series data and the use of LSTM networks with clustered data can provide useful results for monitoring vegetation dynamics in fragmented Mediterranean ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of ionospheric total electron content (TEC), a combined intelligent prediction model (MMAdapGA-BP-NN) based on a multi-mutation, multi-cross adaptive genetic algorithm (MMAdapGA) and a back propagation neural network (BP-NN) was proposed. The model combines the international reference ionosphere (IRI), statistical machine learning (SML), BP-NN, and MMAdapGA. Compared with the IRI, SML-based, and other neural network models, MMAdapGA-BP-NN has higher accuracy and a more stable prediction effect. Taking the Athens station in Greece as an example, the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of MMAdapGA-BP-NN in 2015 and 2020 are 2.84TECU and 0.85TECU, respectively, 52.27% and 72.13% lower than the IRI model. Compared with the single neural network model, the MMAdapGA-BP-NN model reduced RMSE by 28.82% and 24.11% in 2015 and 2020, respectively. Furthermore, compared with the neural network optimized by a single mutation genetic algorithm, MMAdapGA-BP-NN has fewer iterations ranging from 10 to 30. The results show that the prediction effect and stability of the proposed model have obvious advantages. As a result, the model could be extended to an alternative prediction scheme for more ionospheric parameters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Pollen analysis and the classification of several pollen species is an important task in melissopalynology. The development of machine learning or deep learning based classification models depends on available datasets of pollen grains from various plant species from around the globe. In this paper, Cretan Pollen Dataset v1 (CPD-1) is presented, which is a novel dataset of grains from 20 pollen species from plants gathered in Crete, Greece. The pollen grains were prepared and stained with fuchsin, in order to be captured by a camera attached to a microscope under a × 400 magnification. In addition, a pollen grain segmentation method is presented, which segments and crops each unique pollen grain and achieved an overall detection accuracy of 92%. The final dataset comprises 4034 segmented pollen grains of 20 different pollen species, as well as the raw data and ground truth, as annotated by an expert. The developed dataset is publicly accessible, which we hope will accelerate research in melissopalynology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This "white paper" is a concise perspective of the potential of machine learning in the process systems engineering (PSE) domain, based on a session during FIPSE 5, held in Crete, Greece, June 27–29, 2022. The session included two invited talks and three short contributed presentations followed by extensive discussions. This paper does not intend to provide a comprehensive review on the subject or a detailed exposition of the discussions; instead its aim is to distill the main points of the discussions and talks, and in doing so, highlight open problems and directions for future research. The general conclusion from the session was that machine learning can have a transformational impact on the PSE domain enabling new discoveries and innovations, but research is needed to develop domain-specific techniques for problems in molecular/material design, data analytics, optimization, and control. • A concise perspective is provided on the potential of machine learning in the process systems engineering (PSE) domain. • Machine learning was thought to have a transformational potential enabling new discoveries and innovations. • The need to further develop domain-specific techniques was pointed out. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The study investigates the efficiency of integrating Machine Learning (ML) in clinical practice for diagnosing solitary pulmonary nodules' (SPN) malignancy. Patient data had been recorded in the Department of Nuclear Medicine, University Hospital of Patras, in Greece. A dataset comprising 456 SPN characteristics extracted from CT scans, the SUVmax score from the PET examination, and the ultimate outcome (benign/malignant), determined by patient follow-up or biopsy, was used to build the ML classifier. Two medical experts provided their malignancy likelihood scores, taking into account the patient's clinical condition and without prior knowledge of the true label of the SPN. Incorporating human assessments into ML model training improved diagnostic efficiency by approximately 3%, highlighting the synergistic role of human judgment alongside ML. Under the latter setup, the ML model had an accuracy score of 95.39% (CI 95%: 95.29–95.49%). While ML exhibited swings in probability scores, human readers excelled in discerning ambiguous cases. ML outperformed the best human reader in challenging instances, particularly in SPNs with ambiguous probability grades, showcasing its utility in diagnostic grey zones. The best human reader reached an accuracy of 80% in the grey zone, whilst ML exhibited 89%. The findings underline the collaborative potential of ML and human expertise in enhancing SPN characterization accuracy and confidence, especially in cases where diagnostic certainty is elusive. This study contributes to understanding how integrating ML and human judgement can optimize SPN diagnostic outcomes, ultimately advancing clinical decision-making in PET/CT screenings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, a set of Feed Forward Neural Networks (FNN) for the estimation of the metal ion concentration of diesel fuels is presented. The dataset vector is obtained through in situ measurements from distillate marine diesel fuel storage tanks all over Greece, in order to reduce the selection bias. It has been demonstrated that the most correlated ions among them are Aluminum (Al), Barium (Ba) and Calcium (Ca). Moreover, the FNN models are the most reliable models to be used for the model construction under discussion. The initial L2 error is relatively small, in the vicinity of 0.3. However, after removing a small dataset that includes 1–2 data points significantly deviating from the model trend, the error is substantially reduced to 0.05, ensuring the reliability and accuracy of the model. If this dataset is cleared, the estimated error is substantially reduced to 0.05, enhancing the reliability and accuracy of the model. The correlation between the sum of the concentrations of the model in relation with the Density and Viscosity are, respectively, 0.15 and 0.29 which are characterized as weak. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spiraling growth of the world's population and unregulated urbanization have resulted in many environmental problems, including poor quality of air, which is associated with a wide range of health issues. Machine learning approaches have been extensively employed to predict air quality, attracting the attention of the scientific community worldwide. Bibliometric studies provide a useful means by which to visualize and analyze published works, helping researchers to make novel scientific contributions by filling existing knowledge gaps in the research. To acquire an in-depth understanding of the topic, this paper presents a bibliometric analysis of all published articles on the use of machine learning networks to predict air quality found in the Web of Science (WoS) search engine from 1992 to 2021. S-curve analysis and social network analysis were used to identify the temporal distribution of articles, productivity by countries/continents, research institutions, and scientific metrics of journal productivity. This study indicated that maximum expansion of the literature witnessed during 2017–2021 (second phase) which represents an expansion or growth stage of machine learning and air quality prediction research. The number of published works increased significantly with 1432 articles accounting for 68.51% of all publications. As a result of the increased interest in machine learning-based prediction tools, the number of articles grew 2.17-fold compared to the 1992–2016 (first phase). In terms of international collaboration impact, Italy emerged as the most successful country (43.44), followed by Greece (31.22) and Spain (23.29). Author keywords analysis was employed to explore and evaluate the emerging research trends on the subject of air quality using machine learning models. Keywords that appear most frequently in this study are 'air pollution', 'air quality', 'machine learning', and 'forecasting'. Citation burst analysis, research productivity analysis, highly influential and highly cited works were also employed to examine various research themes and questions. In this study we also discussed how conventional methods were transformed into machine learning approaches. It is expected that this paper will provide technical guidelines, research priorities, and future opportunities for the precise prediction of air quality and emergency management of air pollution globally. • Interest in air quality prediction through machine learning model is expanding. • China and US were found productive countries in terms of countries collaboration. • Big data, Internet of Things, and Smart city are emerging topic for future research. • Significant difference between citations, funded and non-funded research. • Ensemble modeling is popular in air quality prediction research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The existing digital soil maps are mainly characterized by coarse spatial resolution and are not up to date; thus, they are unable to support the physical process-based models for improved predictions. The overarching objective of this work is oriented toward a data-driven approach and datacube-based tools (Soil Data Cube), leveraging Sentinel-2 imagery data, open access databases, ground truth soil data and Artificial Intelligence (AI) architectures to provide enhanced geospatial layers into the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model, improving both the reliability and the spatial resolution of the final map. The proposed methodology was implemented in the agricultural area of the Imathia Regional Unit (northern Greece), which consists of both mountainous areas and lowlands. Enhanced soil maps of Soil Organic Carbon (SOC) and soil texture were generated at 10 m resolution through a time-series analysis of satellite data and an XGBoost (eXtrene Gradinent Boosting) model. The model was trained by 84 ground truth soil samples (collected from agricultural fields) taking into account also additional environmental covariates (including the digital elevation model and climatic data) and following a Digital Soil Mapping (DSM) approach. The enhanced layers were introduced into the RUSLE's soil erodibility factor (K-factor), producing a soil erosion layer with high spatial resolution. Notable prediction accuracy was achieved by the AI model with R 2 0.61 for SOC and 0.73, 0.67 and 0.63 for clay, sand, and silt, respectively. The average annual soil loss of the unit was found to be 1.76 ton/ha/yr with 6% of the total agricultural area suffering from severe erosion (>11 ton/ha/yr), which was mainly found in the mountainous border regions, showing the strong influence of the mountains in the agricultural fields. The overall methodology could strongly support regional decision making and planning and environmental policies such as the European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the pursuit of enhancing the wine production process through the utilization of new technologies in viticulture, this study presents a novel approach for the rapid assessment of wine grape maturity levels using non-destructive, in situ infrared spectroscopy and artificial intelligence techniques. Building upon our previous work focused on estimating sugar content ( ∘ Brix) from the visible and near-infrared (VNIR) and short-wave infrared (SWIR) regions, this research expands its scope to encompass pH and titratable acidity, critical parameters determining the grape maturity degree, and in turn, wine quality, offering a more representative estimation pathway. Data were collected from four grape varieties—Chardonnay, Malagouzia, Sauvignon Blanc, and Syrah—during the 2023 harvest and pre-harvest phenological stages in the vineyards of Ktima Gerovassiliou, northern Greece. A comprehensive spectral library was developed, covering the VNIR–SWIR spectrum (350–2500 nm), with measurements performed in situ. Ground truth data for pH, titratable acidity, and sugar content were obtained using conventional laboratory methods: total soluble solids (TSS) ( ∘ Brix) by refractometry, titratable acidity by titration (expressed as mg tartaric acid per liter of must) and pH by a pH meter, analyzed at different maturation stages in the must samples. The maturity indicators were predicted from the point hyperspectral data by employing machine learning algorithms, including Partial Least Squares regression (PLS), Random Forest regression (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), in conjunction with various pre-processing techniques. Multi-output models were also considered to simultaneously predict all three indicators to exploit their intercorrelations. A novel multi-input–multi-output CNN model was also proposed, incorporating a multi-head attention mechanism and enabling the identification of the spectral regions it focuses on, and thus having a higher interpretability degree. Our results indicate high accuracy in the estimation of sugar content, pH, and titratable acidity, with the best models yielding mean R 2 values of 0.84, 0.76, and 0.79, respectively, across all properties. The multi-output models did not improve the prediction results compared to the best single-output models, and the proposed CNN model was on par with the next best model. The interpretability analysis highlighted that the CNN model focused on spectral regions associated with the presence of sugars (i.e., glucose and fructose) and of the carboxylic acid group. This study underscores the potential of portable spectrometry for real-time, non-destructive assessments of wine grape maturity, thereby providing valuable tools for informed decision making in the wine production industry. By integrating pH and titratable acidity into the analysis, our approach offers a holistic view of grape quality, facilitating more comprehensive and efficient viticultural practices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper introduced a new ensemble learning approach, based on evolutionary fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and their hybrid structure (FCM-ANN), for time series prediction. The main aim of time series forecasting is to obtain reasonably accurate forecasts of future data from analyzing records of data. In the paper, we proposed an ensemble-based forecast combination methodology as an alternative approach to forecasting methods for time series prediction. The ensemble learning technique combines various learning algorithms, including SOGA (structure optimization genetic algorithm)-based FCMs, RCGA (real coded genetic algorithm)-based FCMs, efficient and adaptive ANNs architectures, and a hybrid structure of FCM-ANN, recently proposed for time series forecasting. All ensemble algorithms execute according to the one-step prediction regime. The particular forecast combination approach was specifically selected due to the advanced features of each ensemble component, where the findings of this work evinced the effectiveness of this approach, in terms of prediction accuracy, when compared against other well-known, independent forecasting approaches, such as ANNs or FCMs, and the long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm as well. The suggested ensemble learning approach was applied to three distribution points that compose the natural gas grid of a Greek region. For the evaluation of the proposed approach, a real-time series dataset for natural gas prediction was used. We also provided a detailed discussion on the performance of the individual predictors, the ensemble predictors, and their combination through two well-known ensemble methods (the average and the error-based) that are characterized in the literature as particularly accurate and effective. The prediction results showed the efficacy of the proposed ensemble learning approach, and the comparative analysis demonstrated enough evidence that the approach could be used effectively to conduct forecasting based on multivariate time series. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The shift towards distributed generation and microgrids has renewed the interest in forecasting algorithms and methods, which need to take into account the advances in information, metering and control technologies in order to address the challenges of forecasting problems. Technologies such as machine learning have been proven useful for short-term electricity load forecasting, especially for microgrids, as they can also take into account several types of historical data and can adapt to changes often encountered in small-scale systems and on a short time scale. In this paper, we present a flexible and easily customized modular toolbox, called Divinus, for electricity use profiling and forecasting in microgrids. Divinus may support a variety of machine learning algorithms for forecasting and profiling that can be used independently or combined. For demonstration purposes, we have implemented Self-Organizing Maps for profiling and k-Neighbors for forecasting. The testing of the platform was based on electricity consumption data of the Euripus campus of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens in Evia, Greece, from January 2010 till March 2018. The tests that have been carried out so far show that the platform can be easily customized and the algorithms examined yield high accuracy and acceptable mean errors for the case of a university campus energy profile. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

CrossFit has gained recognition and interest among physically active populations being one of the most popular and rapidly growing exercise regimens worldwide. Due to the intense and repetitive nature of CrossFit, concerns have been raised over the potential injury risks that are associated with its training including rhabdomyolysis and musculoskeletal injuries. However, identification of risk factors for predicting injuries in CrossFit athletes has been limited by the absence of relevant big epidemiological studies. The main purpose of this paper is the identification of risk factors and the development of machine learning-based models using ensemble learning that can predict CrossFit injuries. To accomplish the aforementioned targets, a survey-based epidemiological study was conducted in Greece to collect data on musculoskeletal injuries in CrossFit practitioners. A Machine Learning (ML) pipeline was then implemented that involved data pre-processing, feature selection and well-known ML models. The performance of the proposed ML models was assessed using a comprehensive cross validation mechanism whereas a discussion on the nature of the selected features is also provided. An area under the curve (AUC) of 77.93% was achieved by the best ML model using ensemble learning (Adaboost) on the group of six selected risk factors. The effectiveness of the proposed approach was evaluated in a comparative analysis with respect to numerous performance metrics including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, AUC and confusion matrices to confirm its clinical relevance. The results are the basis for the development of reliable tools for the prediction of injuries in CrossFit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study explores the design and capabilities of a Geographic Information System (GIS) incorporated with an expert knowledge system, tailored for tracking and monitoring the spread of dangerous diseases across a collection of fish farms. Specifically targeting the aquacultural regions of Greece, the system captures geographical and climatic data pertinent to these farms. A feature of this system is its ability to calculate disease transmission intervals between individual cages and broader fish farm entities, providing crucial insights into the spread dynamics. These data then act as an entry point to our expert system. To enhance the predictive precision, we employed various machine learning strategies, ultimately focusing on a reinforcement learning (RL) environment. This RL framework, enhanced by the Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) technique, stands out as a powerful mechanism for effectively managing the flow of virus transmissions within farms. Empirical tests highlight the efficiency of the MAB approach, which, in direct comparisons, consistently outperformed other algorithmic options, achieving an impressive accuracy rate of 96%. Looking ahead to future work, we plan to integrate buffer techniques and delve deeper into advanced RL models to enhance our current system. The results set the stage for future research in predictive modeling within aquaculture health management, and we aim to extend our research even further. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The images of the Sentinel-2 constellation can help the verification process of farmers' declarations, providing, among other things, accurate spatial explicit maps of the agricultural land cover. The aim of the study is to design, develop, and evaluate two deep learning (DL) architectures tailored for agricultural land cover and crop type mapping. The focus is on a detailed class scheme encompassing fifteen distinct classes, utilizing Sentinel-2 imagery acquired on a monthly basis throughout the year. The study's geographical scope covers a diverse rural area in North Greece, situated within southeast Europe. These architectures are a Temporal Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and a combination of a Recurrent and a 2D Convolutional Neural Network (R-CNN), and their accuracy is compared to the well-established Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithm. The comparative approach is not restricted to simply presenting the results given by classification metrics, but it also assesses the uncertainty of the classification results using an entropy measure and the spatial distribution of the classification errors. Furthermore, the issue of sampling strategy for the extraction of the training set is highlighted, targeting the efficient handling of both the imbalance of the dataset and the spectral variability of instances among classes. The two developed deep learning architectures performed equally well, presenting an overall accuracy of 90.13% (Temporal CNN) and 90.18% (R-CNN), higher than the 86.31% overall accuracy of the RF approach. Finally, the Temporal CNN method presented a lower entropy value (6.63%), compared both to R-CNN (7.76%) and RF (28.94%) methods, indicating that both DL approaches should be considered for developing operational EO processing workflows. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Machine learning (ML) algorithms are extensively used with outstanding prediction accuracy. However, in some cases, their overfitting capabilities, along with inadvertent biases, might produce overly optimistic results. Spatial data are a special kind of data that could introduce biases to ML due to their intrinsic spatial autocorrelation. To address this issue, a special resampling method has emerged called spatial cross-validation (SCV). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of SCV compared with conventional random cross-validation (CCV) used in most ML studies. Multiple ML models were created with CCV and SCV to predict groundwater electrical conductivity (EC) with data (A) from Rhodope, Greece, in the summer of 2020; (B) from the same area but at a different time (summer 2019); and (C) from a new area (the Salento peninsula, Italy). The results showed that the SCV provides ML models with superior generalization capabilities and, hence, better prediction results in new unknown data. The SCV seems to be able to capture the spatial patterns in the data while also reducing the over-optimism bias that is often associated with CCV methods. Based on the results, SCV could be applied with ML in studies that use spatial data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aftershocks of earthquakes can destroy many urban infrastructures and exacerbate the damage already inflicted upon weak structures. Therefore, it is important to have a method to forecast the probability of occurrence of stronger earthquakes in order to mitigate their effects. In this work, we applied the NESTORE machine learning approach to Greek seismicity from 1995 to 2022 to forecast the probability of a strong aftershock. Depending on the magnitude difference between the mainshock and the strongest aftershock, NESTORE classifies clusters into two types, Type A and Type B. Type A clusters are the most dangerous clusters, characterized by a smaller difference. The algorithm requires region-dependent training as input and evaluates performance on an independent test set. In our tests, we obtained the best results 6 h after the mainshock, as we correctly forecasted 92% of clusters corresponding to 100% of Type A clusters and more than 90% of Type B clusters. These results were also obtained thanks to an accurate analysis of cluster detection in a large part of Greece. The successful overall results show that the algorithm can be applied in this area. The approach is particularly attractive for seismic risk mitigation due to the short time required for forecasting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The scope of the current study was to monitor if semi-quantitative data of volatile compounds (volatilome) of citrus honey (ch) produced in different countries could potentially lead to a new index of citrus honey authentication using specific ratios of the identified volatile compounds in combination with machine learning algorithms. In this context, the semi-quantitative data of the volatilome of 38 citrus honey samples from Egypt, Morocco, Greece, and Spain (determined by headspace solid phase microextraction coupled to gas chromatography mass spectrometry (HS-SPME/GC–MS)) was subjected to supervised and unsupervised chemometrics. Results showed that honey samples could be classified according to the geographical origin based on specific volatile compounds. Data were further evaluated with additional nectar honey samples introduced in the multivariate statistical analysis model and the classification results were not affected. Specific volatile compounds contributed to the discrimination of citrus honey in different amounts according to geographical origin. These were lilac aldehyde D, dill ether, 2-methylbutanal, heptane, benzaldehyde, α,4-dimethyl-3-cyclohexene-1-acetaldehyde, and herboxide (isomer II). The numerical data of these volatile compounds was summed up and divided by the total semi-quantitative volatile content (Rch, Karabagias–Nayik index) of citrus honey, according to geographical origin. Egyptian citrus honey had a value of Rch = 0.35, Moroccan citrus honey had a value of Rch = 0.29, Greek citrus honey had a value of Rch = 0.04, and Spanish citrus honey had a value of Rch = 0.27, leading to a new hypothesis and a complementary index for the control of citrus honey authentication. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Spectroscopy is a widely used technique that can contribute to food quality assessment in a simple and inexpensive way. Especially in grape production, the visible and near infrared (VNIR) and the short-wave infrared (SWIR) regions are of great interest, and they may be utilized for both fruit monitoring and quality control at all stages of maturity. The aim of this work was the quantitative estimation of the wine grape ripeness, for four different grape varieties, by using a highly accurate contact probe spectrometer that covers the entire VNIR–SWIR spectrum (350–2500 nm). The four varieties under examination were Chardonnay, Malagouzia, Sauvignon-Blanc, and Syrah and all the samples were collected over the 2020 and 2021 harvest and pre-harvest phenological stages (corresponding to stages 81 through 89 of the BBCH scale) from the vineyard of Ktima Gerovassiliou located in Northern Greece. All measurements were performed in situ and a refractometer was used to measure the total soluble solids content (°Brix) of the grapes, providing the ground truth data. After the development of the grape spectra library, four different machine learning algorithms, namely Partial Least Squares regression (PLS), Random Forest regression, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), coupled with several pre-treatment methods were applied for the prediction of the °Brix content from the VNIR–SWIR hyperspectral data. The performance of the different models was evaluated using a cross-validation strategy with three metrics, namely the coefficient of the determination ( R 2 ), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the ratio of performance to interquartile distance (RPIQ). High accuracy was achieved for Malagouzia, Sauvignon-Blanc, and Syrah from the best models developed using the CNN learning algorithm ( R 2 > 0.8 , RPIQ ≥ 4 ), while a good fit was attained for the Chardonnay variety from SVR ( R 2 = 0.63 , RMSE = 2.10 , RPIQ = 2.24 ), proving that by using a portable spectrometer the in situ estimation of the wine grape maturity could be provided. The proposed methodology could be a valuable tool for wine producers making real-time decisions on harvest time and with a non-destructive way. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Industrial automation uses robotics and software to operate equipment and procedures across industries. Many applications integrate IoT, machine learning, and other technologies to provide smart features that improve the user experience. The use of such technology offers businesses and people tremendous assistance in successfully achieving commercial and noncommercial requirements. Organizations are expected to automate industrial processes owing to the significant risk management and inefficiency of conventional processes. Hence, we developed an elaborative stepwise stacked artificial neural network (ESSANN) algorithm to greatly improve automation industries in controlling and monitoring the industrial environment. Initially, an industrial dataset provided by KLEEMANN Greece was used. The collected data were then preprocessed. Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to extract features, and feature selection was based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Subsequently, the ESSANN approach is proposed to improve automation industries. The performance of the proposed algorithm was also examined and compared with that of existing algorithms. The key factors compared with existing technologies are delay, network bandwidth, scalability, computation time, packet loss, operational cost, accuracy, precision, recall, and mean absolute error (MAE). Compared to traditional algorithms for industrial automation, our proposed techniques achieved high results, such as a delay of approximately 52%, network bandwidth accomplished at 97%, scalability attained at 96%, computation time acquired at 59 s, packet loss achieved at a minimum level of approximately 53%, an operational cost of approximately 59%, accuracy of 98%, precision of 98.95%, recall of 95.02%, and MAE of 80%. By analyzing the results, it can be seen that the proposed system was effectively implemented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: In this article we present i-TRIAGE, an intelligent decision support system to triage patients in an emergency department. i-TRIAGE is an intelligent system, which created in line with the guidelines of an international used triage protocol, named Emergency Severity Index. Aim: The aim was to create a user-friendly application to assist triage nurses in the procedure to get fast and correct triage decisions and in addition to suggest the most appropriate specialist doctor for each health problem, as there is no medical specialty or specialization of the emergency physician in the country. Also, it could be an educational triage scenarios tool for medical or nursing students. Methodology: A database of 616 triaged patients from the University Hospital of Patras in Greece, was used to develop and test the system. i-TRIAGE tested in two methods of artificial intelligence (machine learning, fuzzy logic). Results: The evaluation of the system was based on internationally used metrics and proved to have high success rates, especially in the application of fuzzy logic. Discussion: The research team believes that i-TRIAGE may in the future be a useful tool for all nurses in an emergency department, to assist triage decisions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The need for effective crop monitoring in large geographical scales has become increasingly important in recent years and constitutes a technological and scientific challenge for remote sensing applications. In Europe, member states of the European Union collect geospatial data in the framework of the Land Parcel Information System (LPIS) for agricultural management and subsidizing farmers. These data can be exploited as training datasets of machine learning classifiers for crop-type mapping applications. However, the way the LPIS data are being generated, concerning primarily errors in the farmers' declarations in terms of crop-type labels, exact geometries, etc, constrains their direct use in such classification frameworks. In this study, we present and assess a methodology for filtering LPIS data based on geometric and spectral criteria in order to build a trustworthy training dataset for machine learning crop-type classifiers. A new nomenclature was developed, oriented towards the spectral discrimination of crop-type classes and sub-classes in Greece. The filtering methodology was applied at national scale for the agricultural year of 2019 and resulted in the selection of a sub-set of the LPIS parcels that were assessed as the most suitable and reliable to represent the different levels of the nomenclature. The developed filtering procedure was validated against actual crop-type labels derived from field visits, while the resulted filtered data were successfully utilized on various crop-type mapping experiments in Greece. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper looks at the periodic land use/cover (LUC) changes that occurred in Attica, Greece from 1991 to 2016. During this period, land transformations were mostly related to the artificial LUC categories; therefore, the aim was to map LUC with a high thematic resolution aimed at these specific categories, according to their density and continuity. The classification was implemented using the Random Forests (RF) machine learning algorithm and the presented methodological framework involved a high degree of automation. The results revealed that the majority of the expansion of the built-up areas took place at the expense of agricultural land. Moreover, mapping and quantifying the LUC changes revealed three uneven phases of development, which reflect the socioeconomic circumstances of each period. The discontinuous low-density urban fabric started to increase rapidly around 2003, reaching 7% (from 2.5% in 1991), and this trend continued, reaching 12% in 2016. The continuous as well as the discontinuous dense urban fabric, almost doubled throughout the study period. Agricultural areas were dramatically reduced to almost half of what they were in 1991, while forests, scrubs, and other natural areas remained relatively stable, decreasing only by 3% in 25 years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• The system aims to minimize the gas consumption of domestic boilers for heating. • Neural Networks and a Genetic Algorithm are used for the optimal boiler operation. • Target is to find the optimal control instructions to be sent to the boiler. • The model leads mostly to lower boiler modulation, namely lower water temperatures. • Significant gas consumption reduction attained with the operation of the system. This paper presents a novel approach that aims to minimize the natural gas consumption of domestic boilers for heating purposes, while not compromising the user's heating needs. The system utilizes gas consumption data, the conditions both inside and outside the house collected via interconnected commercial thermostats, and the heating needs of the users. The architecture of the presented system is divided in two main coordinated processes: (a) the first one consists of two Neural Networks with Convolutional and Long Short-Term Memory layers, used to predict the indoor temperature and the boiler's modulation (load percentage), whereas (b) the second process includes a Genetic Algorithm used to determine the optimal operation conditions of the boiler, by finding the boiler control instructions that meet the user's heating preferences concerning the target indoor temperature, while minimizing the total gas consumption. One main advantage of the solution is its ability to consider boilers as a black box, since it does not need to be aware of the internal mechanics. In this way, the proposed methodology can be applied to a wide range of domestic gas boilers with minimum adjustments. The overall methodology is applied to four domestic boilers in Greece spanning three cities, to capture different climatic conditions and evaluate the system performance in varying outdoor conditions. The attained results indicate that the proposed system can lead to significant gas consumption reduction through autonomously created optimal control instructions provided to the boiler. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying the provenance of volcanic rocks can be essential for improving geological maps in the field of geology and providing a tool for the geochemical fingerprinting of ancient artifacts like millstones and anchors in the field of geoarchaeology. This study examines a new approach to this problem by using machine learning algorithms (MLAs). In order to discriminate the four active volcanic regions of the Hellenic Volcanic Arc (HVA) in Southern Greece, MLAs were trained with geochemical data of major elements, acquired from the GEOROC database, of the volcanic rocks of the Hellenic Volcanic Arc (HVA). Ten MLAs were trained with six variations of the same dataset of volcanic rock samples originating from the HVA. The experiments revealed that the Extreme Gradient Boost model achieved the best performance, reaching 93.07% accuracy. The model developed in the framework of this research was used to implement a cloud-based application which is publicly accessible at This application can be used to predict the provenance of a volcanic rock sample, within the area of the HVA, based on its geochemical composition, easily obtained by using the X-ray fluorescence (XRF) technique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change is inherently linked to long-term non-stationary changes in the characteristics and frequency of weather patterns. The present study attempts to identify the statistical changes of weather patterns in Athens Greece, from the comparative assessment of 96-h backward trajectories between historic (1980–2009) and future (2020–2049) climatology derived from the IPCC RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Arrival heights at 750 m, 1500 m, and 3000 m above sea level are considered to account for the impact of the planetary boundary layer and the lower free troposphere. The analysis of the historic period yields 7 dominant patterns for all heights determined independently, with similar spatial characteristics but varying frequency of occurrence. The classification of backward trajectories under future climate using the same historic clusters reveals percentage changes from locally short-distance travelling patterns to longer-distance ones with a predominant northbound direction. As a second experiment, backward trajectories are re-clustered independently reaching again the same type of clusters but with observable changes in the cluster origins and trajectory lengths. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Motorway's personnel tasks management and incidents monitoring, and response are critical processes that contribute to the motorway's orderly and smooth operation. Existing management practices utilize SCADA technologies that control motorway actuator systems as well as various means of personnel communications mobile technologies. Nevertheless, contemporary motorways lack a unified incident response solution that tracks resources, sends notification alerts when necessary, and automates incident resolution. This paper presents a new holistic and unified management and response system called Resources Management System (RMS). This system was originally implemented as a generic motorways resources management system for the EGNATIA ODOS motorway that uses it in Greece. The implemented RMS provides real-time resources tracking, personnel utilization algorithms, and data mining capabilities towards incident confrontation. It operates as an incidents' collection and resources central communication interface. It is also capable of incident response and completion time categorization; real-time tunnel exits sensory monitoring, staff mobilization, and tracking system. Furthermore, the RMS includes machine learning methodologies and smart agents (bots) for solving the problem of estimating and evaluating the response and completion time of incidents based on previous successful incidents' confrontations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The classification of olive oils and the authentication of their geographic origin are important issues for public health and for the olive oil market and related industry. The development of fast, easy to use, suitable for on-line, in-situ and remote operation techniques for olive oils classification is of high interest. In the present work, 36 olive oils from different places in Crete, Greece, are studied using a laser-based technique, Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS), assisted by machine learning algorithms, aiming to classify them in terms of their geographical origin. The excellent classification results obtained demonstrate the great potential of LIBS, which is further extended by the use of machine learning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Triantafyllou, G., Second Psychiatric Department, "Attikon" University Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece; g triantafillou@yahoo.gr. Valvi E., Athens Child and Adolescent Mental Health Centre, General Children's Hospital "Pan. We would also like to thank the Hellenic COVID-19 imPact survEy (HOPE) Consortium for their contribution during the data collection process: Lagakou E., First Psychiatric Department, Eginition Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece; elagakou@gmail.com. [Extracted from the article]

With the advent of the first pandemic wave of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), the question arises as to whether the spread of the virus will be controlled by the application of preventive measures or will follow a different course, regardless of the pattern of spread already recorded. These conditions caused by the unprecedented pandemic have highlighted the importance of reliable data from official sources, their complete recording and analysis, and accurate investigation of epidemiological indicators in almost real time. There is an ongoing research demand for reliable and effective modeling of the disease but also the formulation of substantiated views to make optimal decisions for the design of preventive or repressive measures by those responsible for the implementation of policy in favor of the protection of public health. The main objective of the study is to present an innovative data-analysis system of COVID-19 disease progression in Greece and her border countries by real-time statistics about the epidemiological indicators. This system utilizes visualized data produced by an automated information system developed during the study, which is based on the analysis of large pandemic-related datasets, making extensive use of advanced machine learning methods. Finally, the aim is to support with up-to-date technological means optimal decisions in almost real time as well as the development of medium-term forecast of disease progression, thus assisting the competent bodies in taking appropriate measures for the effective management of the available health resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate burned area information is needed to assess the impacts of wildfires on people, communities, and natural ecosystems. Various burned area detection methods have been developed using satellite remote sensing measurements with wide coverage and frequent revisits. Our study aims to expound on the capability of deep learning (DL) models for automatically mapping burned areas from uni-temporal multispectral imagery. Specifically, several semantic segmentation network architectures, i.e., U-Net, HRNet, Fast-SCNN, and DeepLabv3+, and machine learning (ML) algorithms were applied to Sentinel-2 imagery and Landsat-8 imagery in three wildfire sites in two different local climate zones. The validation results show that the DL algorithms outperform the ML methods in two of the three cases with the compact burned scars, while ML methods seem to be more suitable for mapping dispersed burn in boreal forests. Using Sentinel-2 images, U-Net and HRNet exhibit comparatively identical performance with higher kappa (around 0.9) in one heterogeneous Mediterranean fire site in Greece; Fast-SCNN performs better than others with kappa over 0.79 in one compact boreal forest fire with various burn severity in Sweden. Furthermore, directly transferring the trained models to corresponding Landsat-8 data, HRNet dominates in the three test sites among DL models and can preserve the high accuracy. The results demonstrated that DL models can make full use of contextual information and capture spatial details in multiple scales from fire-sensitive spectral bands to map burned areas. Using only a post-fire image, the DL methods not only provide automatic, accurate, and bias-free large-scale mapping option with cross-sensor applicability, but also have potential to be used for onboard processing in the next Earth observation satellites. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Social media services make it possible for an increasing number of people to express their opinion publicly. In this context, large amounts of hateful comments are published daily. The PHARM project aims at monitoring and modeling hate speech against refugees and migrants in Greece, Italy, and Spain. In this direction, a web interface for the creation and the query of a multi-source database containing hate speech-related content is implemented and evaluated. The selected sources include Twitter, YouTube, and Facebook comments and posts, as well as comments and articles from a selected list of websites. The interface allows users to search in the existing database, scrape social media using keywords, annotate records through a dedicated platform and contribute new content to the database. Furthermore, the functionality for hate speech detection and sentiment analysis of texts is provided, making use of novel methods and machine learning models. The interface can be accessed online with a graphical user interface compatible with modern internet browsers. For the evaluation of the interface, a multifactor questionnaire was formulated, targeting to record the users' opinions about the web interface and the corresponding functionality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The main objective of the present study is to introduce a novel predictive model that combines evolutionary algorithms and machine learning (ML) models, so as to construct a landslide susceptibility map. Genetic algorithms (GA) are used as a feature selection method, whereas the particle swarm optimization (PSO) method is used to optimize the structural parameters of two ML models, support vector machines (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN). A well-defined spatial database, which included 335 landslides and twelve landslide-related variables (elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, curvature, plan curvature, profile curvature, topographic wetness index, stream power index, distance to faults, distance to river, lithology, and hydrological cover) are considered for the analysis, in the Achaia Regional Unit located in Northern Peloponnese, Greece. The outcome of the study illustrates that both ML models have an excellent performance, with the SVM model achieving the highest learning accuracy (0.977 area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value (AUC)), followed by the ANN model (0.969). However, the ANN model shows the highest prediction accuracy (0.800 AUC), followed by the SVM (0.750 AUC) model. Overall, the proposed ML models highlights the necessity of feature selection and tuning procedures via evolutionary optimization algorithms and that such approaches could be successfully used for landslide susceptibility mapping as an alternative investigation tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Leaf area index (LAI) is a crucial biophysical indicator for assessing and monitoring the structure and functions of forest ecosystems. Improvements in remote sensing instrumental characteristics and the availability of more efficient statistical algorithms, elevate the potential for more accurate models of vegetation biophysical properties including LAI. The aim of this study was to assess the spectral information of Sentinel-2 MSI satellite imagery for the retrieval of LAI over a mixed forest ecosystem located in northwest Greece. Forty-eight field plots were visited for the collection of ground LAI measurements using an ACCUPAR LP-80: PAR & LAI Ceptometer. Spectral bands and spectral indices were used for LAI model development using the Gaussian processes regression (GPR) algorithm. A variable selection procedure was applied to improve the model's prediction accuracy, and variable importance was investigated for identifying the most informative variables. The model resulting from spectral indices' variables selection produced the most precise predictions of LAI with a coefficient of determination of 0.854. Shortwave infrared bands and the normalized canopy index (NCI) were identified as the most important features for LAI prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The agricultural sector and natural resources are heavily interdependent, comprising a coherent but complex system. The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) is widely used in assessing these interdependencies for regional watershed management. However, long-term simulations of agricultural watersheds are considered as not realistic since they have often been performed assuming constant land use over time and are based on the coarse resolution of the existing global or national data. This work presents the first insights of the synergy among SWAT model and deep learning classification algorithms to provide annually updated and realistic model's parameterization and simulations. The proposed hybrid modelling approach couples the physical process SWAT model with the versatility of Earth observation data-driven non-linear deep learning algorithms for land use classification (Overall Accuracy (OA) = 79.58% and Kappa = 0.79), giving a strong advantage to decision makers for efficient management planning. A validation case at an agricultural watershed located in Northern Greece is provided to demonstrate their synergistic use to estimate nitrate and sediment concentrations that load in Zazari Lake. The SWAT model has been implemented under two different simulations; one with the use of a static coarse land use map and the other with the use of the annual updated land use maps for three consecutive years (2017–2019). The results indicate that the land use changes affect the final estimations resulting to an enhanced prediction performance of 1% and 2% for sediment and nitrate, respectively, when the annual land use maps are incorporated into SWAT simulations. In this context, a hybrid approach could further contribute to addressing challenges and support a data-centric scheme for informed decision making with regard to environmental and agricultural issues on the river basin scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Land cover type classification still remains an active research topic while new sensors and methods become available. Applications such as environmental monitoring, natural resource management, and change detection require more accurate, detailed, and constantly updated land-cover type mapping. These needs are fulfilled by newer sensors with high spatial and spectral resolution along with modern data processing algorithms. Sentinel-2 sensor provides data with high spatial, spectral, and temporal resolution for the in classification of highly fragmented landscape. This study applies six traditional data classifiers and nine ensemble methods on multitemporal Sentinel-2 image datasets for identifying land cover types in the heterogeneous Mediterranean landscape of Lesvos Island, Greece. Support vector machine, random forest, artificial neural network, decision tree, linear discriminant analysis, and k-nearest neighbor classifiers are applied and compared with nine ensemble classifiers on the basis of different voting methods. kappa statistic, F1-score, and Matthews correlation coefficient metrics were used in the assembly of the voting methods. Support vector machine outperformed the base classifiers with kappa of 0.91. Support vector machine also outperformed the ensemble classifiers in an unseen dataset. Five voting methods performed better than the rest of the classifiers. A diversity study based on four different metrics revealed that an ensemble can be avoided if a base classifier shows an identifiable superiority. Therefore, ensemble approaches should include a careful selection of base-classifiers based on a diversity analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Weather variables are an important driver of power generation from renewable energy sources. However, accurately predicting such variables is a challenging task, which has a significant impact on the accuracy of the power generation forecasts. In this study, we explore the impact of imperfect weather forecasts on two classes of forecasting methods (statistical and machine learning) for the case of wind power generation. We perform a stress test analysis to measure the robustness of different methods on the imperfect weather input, focusing on both the point forecasts and the 95% prediction intervals. The results indicate that different methods should be considered according to the uncertainty characterizing the weather forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hospital-acquired infections, particularly in the critical care setting, have become increasingly common during the last decade, with Gram-negative bacterial infections presenting the highest incidence among them. Multi-drug-resistant (MDR) Gram-negative infections are associated with high morbidity and mortality with significant direct and indirect costs resulting from long hospitalization due to antibiotic failure. Time is critical to identifying bacteria and their resistance to antibiotics due to the critical health status of patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). As common antibiotic resistance tests require more than 24 h after the sample is collected to determine sensitivity in specific antibiotics, we suggest applying machine learning (ML) techniques to assist the clinician in determining whether bacteria are resistant to individual antimicrobials by knowing only a sample's Gram stain, site of infection, and patient demographics. In our single center study, we compared the performance of eight machine learning algorithms to assess antibiotic susceptibility predictions. The demographic characteristics of the patients are considered for this study, as well as data from cultures and susceptibility testing. Applying machine learning algorithms to patient antimicrobial susceptibility data, readily available, solely from the Microbiology Laboratory without any of the patient's clinical data, even in resource-limited hospital settings, can provide informative antibiotic susceptibility predictions to aid clinicians in selecting appropriate empirical antibiotic therapy. These strategies, when used as a decision support tool, have the potential to improve empiric therapy selection and reduce the antimicrobial resistance burden. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Tourism forecasting is a significant tool/attribute in tourist industry in order to provide for careful planning and management of tourism resources. Although accurate tourist volume prediction is a very challenging task, reliable and precise predictions offer the opportunity of gaining major profits. Thus, the development and implementation of more sophisticated and advanced machine learning algorithms can be beneficial for the tourism forecasting industry. In this work, we explore the prediction performance of Weight Constrained Neural Networks (WCNNs) for forecasting tourist arrivals in Greece. WCNNs constitute a new machine learning prediction model that is characterized by the application of box-constraints on the weights of the network. Our experimental results indicate that WCNNs outperform classical neural networks and the state-of-the-art regression models: support vector regression, k-nearest neighbor regression, radial basis function neural network, M5 decision tree and Gaussian processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]