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The subject of the present paper is the flood situation in the German part of the Elbe river. For this, no (international) agreement could be reached till now. Problems occur due to missing, non-plausible or uncertain flow data and due to non-stationary hydrological conditions in the basin caused by climatological variability and human impact (diking and installation of reservoirs). Regarding this complex hydrological situation a systematic procedure consisting of existing hydrological tools was developed. In a harmonised and complementary structure this procedure mainly includes the consistency analysis of flow data, statistical analyses of the flow process, especially flood statistics and their regionalisation, stochastic simulations of the flow process in the basin and flow routing. Therewith a stepwise increasingly reliable, representative, detailed and funded knowledge of the flow process may be achieved. Till now complete longitudinal sections of statistical flood parameters along the German part of the watercourse were determined for a sufficiently long period (1964–1995) best reflecting the present situation. Moreover, approximative flood statistics could be derived for a longer period (1936–1995), which may be regarded as representative for the variable hydrological conditions during the 20th century.In addition to this fundamental study the tools were applied in order to contribute to a decision support with respect to the presently discussed measures of dike shifting. The analyses revealed that a significant impact of these measures—even the impact of all measures together—on flood peaks may be achieved only if control systems at the sites of the retention spaces are used.Finally, the paper considers options of a further utilisation of the hydrological analysis results by the definition of interfaces to other disciplines. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

The decadal variability (>7 years) of annual Elbe River flow in connection with large-scale atmospheric circulation is analysed for the period 1902-2002. The relationship with temperature over land (TT) and global sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric circulation over the Northern Hemisphere is investigated. High anomalies of the river flow are associated with a tripole-like pattern in the North Atlantic and with negative SST anomalies in the central North Pacific and positive anomalies in the eastern and central tropical Pacific. The pattern identified in the sea level pressure (SLP) resembles the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation pattern. Two distinct decadal time components of approximately 12-13 years and 20 years in the time series were identified by using the Singular Spectral Analysis. To isolate the main frequencies identified by the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and to analyse the connection between the decadal components and Elbe River streamflow, we have applied a band pass filter to the SST field, to be able to suppress all the variance outside the prescribed windows. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]