1. Backward Bifurcation in a Cholera Model: A Case Study of Outbreak in Zimbabwe and Haiti.
- Author
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Sharma, Sandeep and Kumari, Nitu
- Subjects
DYNAMICAL systems ,BIFURCATION theory ,BASIC reproduction number ,NONLINEAR analysis ,GEOMETRIC modeling ,PUBLIC health - Abstract
In this paper, a nonlinear deterministic model is proposed with a saturated treatment function. The expression of the basic reproduction number for the proposed model was obtained. The global dynamics of the proposed model was studied using the basic reproduction number and theory of dynamical systems. It is observed that proposed model exhibits backward bifurcation as multiple endemic equilibrium points exist when . The existence of backward bifurcation implies that making is not enough for disease eradication. This, in turn, makes it difficult to control the spread of cholera in the community. We also obtain a unique endemic equilibria when . The global stability of unique endemic equilibria is performed using the geometric approach. An extensive numerical study is performed to support our analytical results. Finally, we investigate two major cholera outbreaks, Zimbabwe (2008-09) and Haiti (2010), with the help of the present study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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