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Customer-level rooftop photovoltaic (PV) has been widely integrated into distribution systems. In most cases, PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), and only the net demand is recorded. Therefore, the native demand and PV generation are unknown to utilities. Separating native demand and solar generation from net demand is critical for improving grid-edge observability. In this paper, a novel approach is proposed for disaggregating customer-level BTM PV generation using low-resolution but widely available hourly smart meter data. The proposed approach exploits the strong correlation between monthly nocturnal and diurnal native demands and the high similarity among PV generation profiles. First, a joint probability density function (PDF) of monthly nocturnal and diurnal native demands is constructed for customers without PVs, using Gaussian mixture modeling (GMM). Deviation from the constructed PDF is utilized to probabilistically assess the monthly solar generation of customers with PVs. Then, to identify hourly BTM solar generation for these customers, their estimated monthly solar generation is decomposed into an hourly timescale; to do this, we have proposed a maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)-based technique that utilizes hourly typical solar exemplars. Leveraging the strong monthly native demand correlation and high PV generation similarity enhances our approach's robustness against the volatility of customers’ hourly load and enables highly-accurate disaggregation. The proposed approach has been verified using real native demand and PV generation data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In modern distribution systems, load uncertainty can be fully captured by micro-PMUs, which can record high-resolution data; however, in practice, micro-PMUs are installed at limited locations in distribution networks due to budgetary constraints. In contrast, smart meters are widely deployed but can only measure relatively low-resolution energy consumption, which cannot sufficiently reflect the actual instantaneous load volatility within each sampling interval. In this paper, we have proposed a novel approach for enriching load data for service transformers that only have low-resolution smart meters. The key to our approach is to statistically recover the high-resolution load data, which is masked by the low-resolution data, using trained probabilistic models of service transformers that have both high- and low-resolution data sources, i.e., micro-PMUs and smart meters. The overall framework consists of two steps: first, for the transformers with micro-PMUs, a Gaussian Process is leveraged to capture the relationship between the maximum/minimum load and average load within each low-resolution sampling interval of smart meters; a Markov chain model is employed to characterize the transition probability of known high-resolution load. Next, the trained models are used as teachers for the transformers with only smart meters to decompose known low-resolution load data into targeted high-resolution load data. The enriched data can recover instantaneous load uncertainty and significantly enhance distribution system observability and situational awareness. We have verified the proposed approach using real high- and low-resolution load data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes an asynchronous distributed leader-follower control method to achieve conservation voltage reduction (CVR) in three-phase unbalanced distribution systems by optimally scheduling smart inverters of distributed energy resources (DERs). One feature of the proposed method is to consider integrated primary-secondary distribution networks and voltage dependent loads. To ease the computational complexity introduced by the large number of secondary networks, we partition a system into distributed leader-follower control zones based on the network connectivity. To address the non-convexity from the nonlinear power flow and load models, a feedback-based linear approximation using instantaneous power and voltage measurements is proposed. This enables the online implementation of the proposed method to achieve fast tracking of system variations led by DERs. Another feature of the proposed method is the asynchronous implementations of the leader-follower controllers, which makes it compatible with non-uniform update rates and robust against communication delays and failures. Numerical tests are performed on a real distribution feeder in Midwest U. S. to validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to detect outage events in partially observable distribution systems by capturing the changes in smart meters’ (SMs) data distribution. To achieve this, first, a breadth-first search (BFS)-based mechanism is proposed to decompose the network into a set of zones that maximize outage location information in partially observable systems. Then, using SM data in each zone, a generative adversarial network (GAN) is designed to implicitly extract the temporal-spatial behavior in normal conditions in an unsupervised fashion. After training, an anomaly scoring technique is leveraged to determine if real-time measurements indicate an outage event in the zone. Finally, to infer the location of the outage events in a multi-zone network, a zone coordination process is proposed to take into account the interdependencies of intersecting zones. We have provided analytical guarantees of performance for our algorithm using the concept of entropy, which is leveraged to quantify outage location information in multi-zone grids. The proposed method has been tested and verified on distribution feeder models with real SM data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs), the load composition in distribution grids has significantly changed. This inverter-based device has notably different behavior from traditional static and induction motor loads. To accurately represent the combination of static load, induction motor and the emerging inverter-based devices, the composite load model with distributed generation (CMPLDWG) has been developed by Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC). Due to the large number of parameters and model complexity, the CMPLDWG model brings new challenges to parameter identification, which is critical to power system studies. To address these challenges, in this paper, a cutting-edge approach inspired by the evolutionary deep reinforcement learning (EDRL) with an intelligent exploration mechanism is innovatively proposed to perform parameter identification for CMPLDWG. First, to extract parameters’ contributions to dynamic power, parameter sensitivity analysis is conducted using a data-driven feature-wise kernelized Lasso (FWKL). Then, the EDRL with intelligent exploration, which can handle the natural high nonlinearity and nonconvexity of CMPLDWG, is employed to perform parameter identification. In the parameter identification process, the extracted parameter sensitivity weights are innovatively integrated into the EDRL with intelligent exploration to improve discovery efficiency. Finally, the proposed approach is validated using numerical experiments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) enables utilities to obtain granular energy consumption data, which offers a unique opportunity to design customer segmentation strategies based on their impact on various operational metrics in distribution grids. However, performing utility-scale segmentation for unobservable customers with only monthly billing information, remains a challenging problem. To address this challenge, we propose a new metric, the coincident monthly peak contribution (CMPC), that quantifies the contribution of individual customers to system peak demand. Furthermore, a novel multi-state machine learning-based segmentation method is developed that estimates CMPC for customers without smart meters (SMs): first, a clustering technique is used to build a databank containing typical daily load patterns in different seasons using the SM data of observable customers. Next, to associate unobservable customers with the discovered typical load profiles, a classification approach is leveraged to compute the likelihood of daily consumption patterns for different unobservable households. In the third stage, a weighted clusterwise regression (WCR) model is utilized to estimate the CMPC of unobservable customers using their monthly billing data and the outcomes of the classification module. The proposed segmentation methodology has been tested and verified using real utility data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is speculated that higher penetration of inverter-based distributed photo-voltaic (PV) power generators can increase the risk of tripping events due to voltage fluctuations. To quantify this risk utilities need to solve the interactive equations of tripping events for networked PVs in real-time. However, these equations are non-differentiable, nonlinear, and exponentially complex, and thus, cannot be used as a tractable basis for solar curtailment prediction and mitigation. Furthermore, load/PV power values might not be available in real-time due to limited grid observability, which further complicates tripping event prediction. To address these challenges, we have employed Chebyshev's inequality to obtain an alternative probabilistic model for quantifying the risk of tripping for networked PVs. The proposed model enables operators to estimate the probability of interdependent inverter tripping events using only PV/load statistics and in a scalable manner. Furthermore, by integrating this probabilistic model into an optimization framework, countermeasures are designed to mitigate massive interdependent tripping events. Since the proposed model is parameterized using only the statistical characteristics of nodal active/reactive powers, it is especially beneficial in practical systems, which have limited real-time observability. Numerical experiments have been performed employing real data and feeder models to verify the performance of the proposed technique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) power generator is a widely used distributed energy resource (DER) in distribution systems. Currently, the majority of PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), where only customers’ net demand is recorded by smart meters. Disaggregating BTM PV generation from net demand is critical to utilities for enhancing grid-edge observability. In this paper, a data-driven approach is proposed for BTM PV generation disaggregation using solar and demand exemplars. First, a data clustering procedure is developed to construct a library of candidate load/solar exemplars. To handle the volatility of BTM resources, a novel game-theoretic learning process is proposed to adaptively generate optimal composite exemplars using the constructed library of candidate exemplars, through repeated evaluation of disaggregation residuals. Finally, the composite native demand and solar exemplars are employed to disaggregate solar generation from net demand using a semi-supervised source separator. The proposed methodology has been verified using real smart meter data and feeder models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cold load pick-up (CLPU) has been a critical concern to utilities. Researchers and industry practitioners have underlined the impact of CLPU on distribution system design and service restoration. The recent large-scale deployment of smart meters has provided the industry with a huge amount of data that are highly granular, both temporally and spatially. In this paper, a data-driven framework is proposed for assessing CLPU demand of residential customers using smart meter data. The proposed framework consists of two interconnected layers: 1) At the feeder level, a nonlinear autoregression model is applied to estimate the diversified demand during the system restoration and calculate the CLPU demand ratio. 2) At the customer level, Gaussian mixture models and probabilistic reasoning are used to quantify the CLPU demand increase. The proposed methodology has been verified using real smart meter data and outage cases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we present an efficient computational framework with the purpose of generating weighted pseudo-measurements to improve the quality of distribution system state estimation (DSSE) and provide observability with advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) against unobservable customers and missing data. The proposed technique is based on a game-theoretic expansion of relevance vector machines (RVMs). This platform is able to estimate the nodal power consumption and quantify its uncertainty while reducing the prohibitive computational burden of model training for large AMI datasets. To achieve this objective, the large training set is decomposed and distributed among multiple parallel learning entities. The resulting estimations from the parallel RVMs are then combined using a game-theoretic model based on the idea of repeated games with vector payoff. It is observed that through this approach and by exploiting the seasonal changes in customers’ behavior the accuracy of pseudo-measurements can be considerably improved, while introducing robustness against bad training data samples. The proposed pseudo-measurement generation model is integrated into a DSSE using a closed-loop information system, which takes advantage of a branch current state estimator (BCSE) to further improve the performance of the designed machine learning framework. This method has been tested on a practical distribution feeder model with smart meter data for verification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a novel data-driven method that determines the daily consumption patterns of customers without smart meters (SMs) to enhance the observability of distribution systems. Using the proposed method, the daily consumption of unobserved customers is extracted from their monthly billing data based on three machine learning models. In the first model, a spectral clustering algorithm is used to infer the typical daily load profiles of customers with SMs. Each typical daily load behavior represents a distinct class of customer behavior. In the second module, a multi-timescale learning model is trained to estimate the hourly consumption using monthly energy data for the customers of each class. The third stage leverages a recursive Bayesian learning method and branch current state estimation residuals to estimate the daily load profiles of unobserved customers without SMs. The proposed data-driven method has been tested and verified using real utility data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a review of the literature on state estimation (SE) in power systems. While covering works related to SE in transmission systems, the main focus of this paper is distribution system SE (DSSE). The critical topics of DSSE, including mathematical problem formulation, application of pseudo-measurements, metering instrument placement, network topology issues, impacts of renewable penetration, and cyber-security are discussed. Both conventional and modern data-driven and probabilistic techniques have been reviewed. This paper can provide researchers and utility engineers with insights into the technical achievements, barriers, and future research directions of DSSE. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]