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The outdoor field test of the 4-terminal on Si tandem photovoltaic module (specifically, InGaP/GaAs on Si) was investigated and a performance model, considering spectrum change affected by fluctuation of atmospheric parameters, was developed and validated. The 4-terminal on Si tandem photovoltaic module had about 40% advantage in seasonal performance loss compared with standard InGaP/GaAs/InGaAs 2-terminal tandem photovoltaic module. This advantage increases (subarctic zone < temperate zone < subtropical zone). The developed and validated model used an all-climate spectrum model and considered fluctuation of atmospheric parameters. It can be applied every type of on-Si tandem solar cells.

Because semiconductors absorb wavelengths dependent on the light absorption coefficient, photovoltaic (PV) energy output is affected by the solar spectrum. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the solar spectrum for highly accurate PV output estimation. Bird’s model has been used as a general spectral model. However, atmospheric parameters such as aerosol optical depth and precipitable water have a constant value in the model that only applies to clear days. In this study, atmospheric parameters were extracted using the Bird’s spectrum model from the measured global spectrum and the seasonal fluctuation of atmospheric parameters was examined. We propose an overcast spectrum model and calculate the all-weather solar spectrum from clear to overcast sky through linear combination. Three types of PV modules (fixed Si, two-axis tracking Si, and fixed InGaP/GaAs/InGaAs triple-junction solar cells) were installed at the University of Miyazaki. The estimated performance ratio (PR), which takes into account incident angle and spectral variations, was consistent with the measured PR. Finally, the energy yield of various PVs installed across Japan was successfully estimated.

The highest-efficiency solar cell in the efficiency race does not always give the best annual energy yield in real world solar conditions because the spectrum is always changing. The study of radiative coupling of concentrator solar cells implies that efficiency could increase by recycling the radiative recombination generated by the surplus current in the upper junction. Such a configuration is called a super-multi-junction cell. We expand the model in the concentrator solar cell to a non-concentrating installation. It is shown that this super-multi-junction cell configuration is robust and can keep maximum potential efficiency (50% in realistic spectrum fluctuation) for up to 10 junctions. The super-multi-junction cell is also robust in the bandgap engineering of each junction. Therefore, a future multi-junction may not be required for tuning the bandgap to match the standard solar spectrum, as well as relying upon artificial technologies such as epitaxial lift-off (ELO), wafer-bonding, mechanical-stacking, and reverse-growth, but merely uses upright and lattice-matching growth technologies. We present two challenging techniques; one is the optical cap layer that may be the directional photon coupling layer in the application of the photonics technologies, and another is the high-quality epitaxial growth with almost 100% radiative efficiency.