Mark PB, Carrero JJ, Matsushita K, Sang Y, Ballew SH, Grams ME, Coresh J, Surapaneni A, Brunskill NJ, Chalmers J, Chan L, Chang AR, Chinnadurai R, Chodick G, Cirillo M, de Zeeuw D, Evans M, Garg AX, Gutierrez OM, Heerspink HJL, Heine GH, Herrington WG, Ishigami J, Kronenberg F, Lee JY, Levin A, Major RW, Marks A, Nadkarni GN, Naimark DMJ, Nowak C, Rahman M, Sabanayagam C, Sarnak M, Sawhney S, Schneider MP, Shalev V, Shin JI, Siddiqui MK, Stempniewicz N, Sumida K, Valdivielso JM, van den Brand J, Yee-Moon Wang A, Wheeler DC, Zhang L, Visseren FLJ, and Stengel B
Aims: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Less is known about how CVD associates with future risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT)., Methods and Results: The study included 25 903 761 individuals from the CKD Prognosis Consortium with known baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and evaluated the impact of prevalent and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) events as time-varying exposures on KFRT outcomes. Mean age was 53 (standard deviation 17) years and mean eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73 m2, 15% had diabetes and 8.4% had urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) available (median 13 mg/g); 9.5% had prevalent CHD, 3.2% prior stroke, 3.3% HF, and 4.4% prior AF. During follow-up, there were 269 142 CHD, 311 021 stroke, 712 556 HF, and 605 596 AF incident events and 101 044 (0.4%) patients experienced KFRT. Both prevalent and incident CVD were associated with subsequent KFRT with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9-3.3], 2.0 (1.9-2.1), 4.5 (4.2-4.9), 2.8 (2.7-3.1) after incident CHD, stroke, HF and AF, respectively. HRs were highest in first 3 months post-CVD incidence declining to baseline after 3 years. Incident HF hospitalizations showed the strongest association with KFRT [HR 46 (95% CI: 43-50) within 3 months] after adjustment for other CVD subtype incidence., Conclusion: Incident CVD events strongly and independently associate with future KFRT risk, most notably after HF, then CHD, stroke, and AF. Optimal strategies for addressing the dramatic risk of KFRT following CVD events are needed., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: P.B.M. reports grants and personal fees from Boehringer Ingelheim; personal fees and non-financial support from Napp, Astrazeneca; personal fees from GSK, Pharmacosmos, and Astellas, outside the submitted work. J.J.C. is a Statistical Editor for the European Heart Journal. K.M. reports grants from NIDDK, during the conduct of the study; grants and personal fees from Kyowa Kirin, personal fees from Akebia, Kowa, and Fukuda Denshi, outside the submitted work. M.E.G. reports grants from National Kidney Foundation and from Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes outside the submitted work. J.C. reports grants from National Institute of Health and National Kidney Foundation during the conduct of the study; consulting at Healthy.io and scientific advisor to SomaLogic outside the submitted work. J.Ch. reports grants from National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia and grants and personal fees from Servier International outside the submitted work. L.C. reports consulting from CSL Vifor, honorarium for giving a talk from Fresenius Medical Care, and grants from NIH-NIDDK outside the submitted work. A.R.C. reports personal fees from Novartis, Amgen, Reata; grants from Novo Nordisk, Bayer, outside the submitted work. D.d.Z. reports personal fees from Merck during the conduct of the study, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Travere outside the submitted work. M.E. reports institutional grants from Astellas pharma, AstraZeneca, and Vifor Pharma; honoraria form Astellas pharma, AstraZeneca, Baxter healthcare, and Fresenius Medical Care; support for attending meetings from Baxter healthcare, participation on a DSMB or Advisory Board for Astellas pharma, AstraZeneca, and Vifor pharma, and a leadership or fiduciary role on the Steering Committee of the Swedish Renal Registry, outside the submitted work. O.M.G. reports personal fees from Akebia, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Reata, Ardelyx, and QED, outside the submitted work. H.J.L.H. reports grants and honoraria for steering committee to his institution from Abbvie; grants and honoraria for steering committee and payments for advisory boards to his institution from AstraZeneca; honoraria for steering committee and payments for advisory boards from Bayer; grants and honoraria for steering committee and payments for advisory boards to his institution from Boehringer Ingelheim; honoraria for steering committee to his institution from CSL Behring, Chinook, Dimerix, Gilead; grants and honoraria for steering committee to his institution from Janssen, honoraria for steering committee to his institution from Eli Lilly, Merck, Mitsubishi Tanabe; grants and honoraria for steering committee to his institution from Novo Nordisk; and honoraria for steering committee to his institution from Travere Pharmaceuticals outside the submitted work. W.G.H. reports SHARP was funded by Merck & Co., Inc., Whitehouse Station, NJ USA, during the conduct of the study; he received grants from Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly; grants and fellowship from MRC UK, and fellowship from Kidney Research UK outside the submitted work. R.W.M. reports grants from NIHR and Kidney Research UK during the conduct of the study. G.N.N. reports personal fees, non-financial support, and other support (Scientific Cofounder, have equity/stock options, royalties and consulting) from Renalytix; personal fees and non-financial support from Pensieve Health; non-financial support and other support (Scientific Cofounder, have equity/stock options) from Nexus I Connect, Sole proprietor of Data2Wisdom LLC; personal fees from Variant Bio, Qiming Capital, Cambridge Consulting, Daiichi Sankyo, and Menarini Health, outside the submitted work. M.R. reports grants from NIH during the conduct of the study. N.S. reports being a current employee of GSK and employed at AMGA at the time of this study. B.S. reports grants from AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline, and Fresenius Medical Care outside the submitted work. D.C.W. reports personal fees from AstraZeneca during the conduct of the study; personal fees from Amgen, Astellas, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Mundipharma, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Tricida, Vifor and Zydus; and personal fees from AstraZeneca outside the submitted work. J.v.d.B. reports being an employee and stakeholder of Binnovate Digital Health BV outside the submitted work. All other co-authors have nothing to disclose. Some of the data reported here have been supplied by the United States Renal Data System. The interpretation and reporting of these data are the responsibility of the authors and in no way should be seen as an official policy or interpretation of the US Government., (© The Author(s) 2023. 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