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The development of Brain–Computer Interfaces based on Motor Imagery (MI) tasks is a relevant research topic worldwide. The design of accurate and reliable BCI systems remains a challenge, mainly in terms of increasing performance and usability. Classifiers based on Bayesian Neural Networks are proposed in this work by using the variational inference, aiming to analyze the uncertainty during the MI prediction. An adaptive threshold scheme is proposed here for MI classification with a reject option, and its performance on both datasets 2a and 2b from BCI Competition IV is compared with other approaches based on thresholds. The results using subject-specific and non-subject-specific training strategies are encouraging. From the uncertainty analysis, considerations for reducing computational cost are proposed for future work. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Motor Imagery (MI)-based Brain–Computer Interfaces (BCIs) have been widely used as an alternative communication channel to patients with severe motor disabilities, achieving high classification accuracy through machine learning techniques. Recently, deep learning techniques have spotlighted the state-of-the-art of MI-based BCIs. These techniques still lack strategies to quantify predictive uncertainty and may produce overconfident predictions. In this work, methods to enhance the performance of existing MI-based BCIs are proposed in order to obtain a more reliable system for real application scenarios. First, the Monte Carlo dropout (MCD) method is proposed on MI deep neural models to improve classification and provide uncertainty estimation. This approach was implemented using Shallow Convolutional Neural Network (SCNN-MCD) and with an ensemble model (E-SCNN-MCD). As another contribution, to discriminate MI task predictions of high uncertainty, a threshold approach is introduced and tested for both SCNN-MCD and E-SCNN-MCD approaches. The BCI Competition IV Databases 2a and 2b were used to evaluate the proposed methods for both subject-specific and non-subject-specific strategies, obtaining encouraging results for MI recognition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]