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Over the last few decades, improved and more individualized treatment has contributed to the increased survival rate of patients with breast cancer. However, certain patients may receive excessive treatment resulting in undesired side effects. In a previous study, it was demonstrated that systemically untreated patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/progesterone receptor (PR)-negative tumors with high Ras-related protein Rab-6C (RAB6C) expression levels (RAB6C(+)) had prolonged distant recurrence-free survival compared with that of patients exhibiting low RAB6C (RAB6C(-))-expressing tumors. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether RAB6C predicts the effectiveness of tamoxifen treatment. The present study used a dataset comprising 486 female patients with ER+ tumors from a randomized study conducted by the Stockholm Breast Cancer Study Group between November 1976 and August 1990. The patients were considered as low-risk if their tumor size was Funding Agencies|Swedish Cancer SocietySwedish Cancer Society [17-0479]; Cancer Research Foundation of Radiumhemmet [181093]; King Gustav V Jubilee Clinical Research Foundation [181093]; Onkologiska klinikerna i Linkopings forskningsfond [2016-06-21]; ALF grants Region Ostergotland [LIO-795201]; County Council of Ostergotland [LIO-625491]; Cancer Society in Stockholm [181093]

PURPOSETo assess the long-term (20-year) endocrine therapy benefit in premenopausal patients with breast cancer.METHODSSecondary analysis of the Stockholm trial (STO-5, 1990-1997) randomly assigning 924 premenopausal patients to 2 years of goserelin (3.6 mg subcutaneously once every 28 days), tamoxifen (40 mg orally once daily), combined goserelin and tamoxifen, or no adjuvant endocrine therapy (control) is performed. Random assignment was stratified by lymph node status; lymph node-positive patients (n = 459) were allocated to standard chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil). Primary tumor immunohistochemistry (n = 731) and gene expression profiling (n = 586) were conducted in 2020. The 70-gene signature identified genomic low-risk and high-risk patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis, multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression, and multivariable time-varying flexible parametric modeling assessed the long-term distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI). Swedish high-quality registries allowed a complete follow-up of 20 years.RESULTSIn estrogen receptor-positive patients (n = 584, median age 47 years), goserelin, tamoxifen, and the combination significantly improved long-term distant recurrence-free interval compared with control (multivariable hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% CI, 0.32 to 0.75, HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.87, and HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.94, respectively). Significant goserelin-tamoxifen interaction was observed (P = .016). Genomic low-risk patients (n = 305) significantly benefitted from tamoxifen (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.60), and genomic high-risk patients (n = 158) from goserelin (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.54). Increased risk from the addition of tamoxifen to goserelin was seen in genomic high-risk patients (HR, 3.36; 95% CI, 1.39 to 8.07). Moreover, long-lasting 20-year tamoxifen benefit was seen in genomic low-risk patients, whereas genomic high-risk patients had early goserelin benefit.CONCLUSIONThis study shows 20-year benefit from 2 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy in estrogen receptor-positive premenopausal patients and suggests differential treatment benefit on the basis of tumor genomic characteristics. Combined goserelin and tamoxifen therapy showed no benefit over single treatment. Long-term follow-up to assess treatment benefit is critical. Funding Agencies|Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet); Swedish Research Council for Health, Working life and Welfare (FORTE) [2020-02466]; ALF medicine [2019-00477]; GostaMilton Donation Fund (Stiftelsen Gosta Miltons donationsfond ) [LS2018-1157]; Swedish Cancer Society (Cancerfonden); Stockholm Cancer Society (Cancerforeningen i Stockholm) [190268, 200802, 190140]; California Breast Cancer Research Program (CBCRP) [181093, 204152, 201212]; National Institutes of Health (NIH) [180B-0065]; Horizon 2020 [U01-CA196406]; [672570]

IMPORTANCE Clinically used breast cancer markers, such as tumor size, tumor grade, progesterone receptor (PR) status, and Ki-67 status, are known to be associated with short-term survival, but the association of these markers with long-term (25-year) survival is unclear. OBJECTIVE To assess the association of clinically used breast cancer markers with long-term survival and treatment benefit among postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative, estrogen receptor [ER]-positive and ERBB2-negative breast cancer who received tamoxifen therapy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This study was a secondary analysis of data from a subset of 565 women with ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer who participated in the Stockholm tamoxifen (STO-3) randomized clinical trial. The STO-3 clinical trial was conducted from 1976 to 1990 and comprised 1780 postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative breast cancer who were randomized to receive adjuvant tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. Complete 25-year follow-up data through December 31, 2016, were obtained from Swedish national registers. Immunohistochemical markers were reannotated in 2014. Data were analyzed from April to December 2020. INTERVENTIONS Patients in the original STO-3 clinical trial were randomized to receive 2 years of tamoxifen therapy vs no endocrine therapy. In 1983, patients who received tamoxifen therapy without cancer recurrence during the 2-year treatment and who consented to continued participation in the STO-3 study were further randomized to receive 3 additional years of tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) by clinically used breast cancer markers was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses adjusted for age, period of primary diagnosis, tumor size (T1a and T1b [T1a/b], T1c, and T2), tumor grade (1-3), PR status (positive vs negative), Ki-67 status (low vs medium to high), and STO-3 clinical trial arm (tamoxifen treatment vs no adjuvant treatment). A recursive partitioning analysis was performed to evaluate which markers were able to best estimate long-term DRFI. RESULTS The study population comprised 565 postmenopausal women (mean [SD] age, 62.0 [5.3] years) with lymph node-negative, ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer. A statistically significant difference in long-term DRFI was observed by tumor size (88% for T1a/b vs 76% for T1c vs 63% for T2 tumors; log-rank P Funding Agencies|Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet)Swedish Research Council [2020-02466]; Swedish Research Council for Health, Working life and Welfare (FORTE) [2019-00477]; Swedish Cancer Society (Cancerfonden)Swedish Cancer Society [180385, 190140Pj01H]; Gosta Milton Donation Fund

The inositol hexakisphosphate kinase (IP6K) 1 and 2 genes are localized at 3p21.31, a highly altered gene-dense chromosomal region in cancer. The IP6Ks convert IP6 to IP7, which inhibits activation of the tumor-promoting PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway. IP6K2 has been suggested to be involved in p53-induced apoptosis, while IP6K1 may stimulate tumor growth and migration. The present study aimed to elucidate the role of the two IP6Ks in predicting outcome in patients with breast cancer. To the best of our knowledge, the role of IP6K was analyzed for the first time in tumors from three cohorts of patients with breast cancer; one Swedish low-risk cohort, one Dutch cohort and the TCGA dataset. Analyses of gene -and protein expression and subcellular localization were included. IP6K2 gene expression was associated with ER positivity and nuclear p-Akt. Improved prognosis was detected with high IP6K2 gene expression compared with low IP6K2 gene expression in systemically untreated patients in the Swedish low-risk and Dutch cohorts. In the TCGA dataset, IP6K2 prognostic value was significant when selecting for tumors with wild-type TP53. A multivariable analysis testing IP6K2 against other cancer-related genes at 3p.21.31, including IP6K1 and clinical biomarkers, revealed that IP6K2 was associated with decreased risk of distant recurrence. IP6K1 was associated with increased risk of distant recurrence in the multivariable test and protein analysis revealed trends of worse prognosis with high IP6K1 in the cytoplasm. The expression levels of IP6K1 and IP6K2 were associated to a high extent; however, a diverging prognostic value of the two genes was observed in breast cancer. The present data suggest that IP6K2 can be a favorable prognostic factor, while IP6K1 may not be. Funding Agencies|Swedish Cancer SocietySwedish Cancer Society [17-0479]; Region of Ostergotland [LIO-795201]; Percy Falk Foundation [2017-02-10]; Oncology Clinic in Linkoping Research Fund [2019-10-29]

The majority of breast cancer tumors are estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) and can be treated with endocrine therapy. However, certain patients may exhibit a good prognosis without systemic treatment. The aim of the present study was to identify novel prognostic factors for patients with ER breast cancer tumors using gene copy data, and to investigate if these factors have prognostic value in subgroups categorized by progesterone receptor status (PR). Public data, including the whole genome gene copy data of 199 systemically untreated patients with ER+ tumors, were utilized in the present study. To assess prognostic value, patients were divided into two groups using the median gene copy number as a cut-off for the SNPs that were the most variable. One SNP was identified, which indicated that the Ras-related protein Rab-6C (RAB6C) gene may exhibit prognostic significance. Therefore, RAB6C protein expression was subsequently investigated in a second independent cohort, consisting of 469 systematically untreated patients (of which 310 were ER+) who received long term follow-up. In the public data set, a distant recurrence risk reduction of 55% was determined for copy numbers above the median value of RAB6C compared with numbers below [multivariable adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 0.45; 95% CI 0.28-0.72; P=0.001)]. It was also more pronounced in the ER+/PR- subgroup (HR, 0.15; 95% CI, 0.05-0.46; P=0.001). In the second cohort, patients of the ER+/PR- subgroup who exhibited high RAB6C expression had a reduced distant recurrence risk (HR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.05-0.60; P=0.006). However, this was not identified among ER+/PR- tumors (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.69-2.48; P=0.41). The results of the present study indicated that RAB6C serves as an independent prognostic factor of distant recurrence risk in systemically untreated patients with an ER+/PR- tumor. Funding Agencies|Swedish Cancer SocietySwedish Cancer Society [17-0479]; Cancer Research Foundations of Radiumhemmet; Cancer Society in Stockholm; King Gustav V Jubilee Clinical Research Foundation [181093]; Onkologiska klinikerna i Linkopings forskningsfond [2016-06-21]; ALF grants Region Ostergotland [LIO-795201]; County Council of Ostergotland [LIO-625491]