Search

Nighttime light remote sensing has aroused great popularity because of its advantage in estimating socioeconomic indicators and quantifying human activities in response to the changing world. Despite many advances that have been made in method development and implementation of nighttime light remote sensing over the past decades, limited studies have dived into answering the question: Where does nighttime light come from? This hinders our capability of identifying specific sources of nighttime light in urbanized regions. Addressing this shortcoming, here we proposed a parcel-oriented temporal linear unmixing method (POTLUM) to identify specific nighttime light sources with the integration of land use data. Ratio of root mean square error was used as the measure to assess the unmixing accuracy, and parcel purity index and source sufficiency index were proposed to attribute unmixing errors. Using the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) nighttime light dataset from the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite and the newly released Essential Urban Land Use Categories in China (EULUC-China) product, we applied the proposed method and conducted experiments in two China cities with different sizes, Shanghai and Quzhou. Results of the POTLUM showed its relatively robust applicability of detecting specific nighttime light sources, achieving an rRMSE of 3.38% and 1.04% in Shanghai and Quzhou, respectively. The major unmixing errors resulted from using impure land parcels as endmembers (i.e., parcel purity index for Shanghai and Quzhou: 54.48%, 64.09%, respectively), but it also showed that predefined light sources are sufficient (i.e., source sufficiency index for Shanghai and Quzhou: 96.53%, 99.55%, respectively). The method presented in this study makes it possible to identify specific sources of nighttime light and is expected to enrich the estimation of structural socioeconomic indicators, as well as better support various applications in urban planning and management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Modeling the global dynamics of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) like COVID-19 can provide important guidance in the preparation and mitigation of pandemic threats. While age-structured transmission models are widely used to simulate the evolution of EIDs, most of these studies focus on the analysis of specific countries and fail to characterize the spatial spread of EIDs across the world. Here, we developed a global pandemic simulator that integrates age-structured disease transmission models across 3,157 cities and explored its usage under several scenarios. We found that without mitigations, EIDs like COVID-19 are highly likely to cause profound global impacts. For pandemics seeded in most cities, the impacts are equally severe by the end of the first year. The result highlights the urgent need for strengthening global infectious disease monitoring capacity to provide early warnings of future outbreaks. Additionally, we found that the global mitigation efforts could be easily hampered if developed countries or countries near the seed origin take no control. The result indicates that successful pandemic mitigations require collective efforts across countries. The role of developed countries is vitally important as their passive responses may significantly impact other countries., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of National Academy of Sciences.)

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is a key component of the global carbon cycle, yet it is not well-represented in Earth system models to accurately predict global carbon dynamics in response to climate change. This novel study integrated deep learning, data assimilation, 25,444 vertical soil profiles, and the Community Land Model version 5 (CLM5) to optimize the model representation of SOC over the conterminous United States. We firstly constrained parameters in CLM5 using observations of vertical profiles of SOC in both a batch mode (using all individual soil layers in one batch) and at individual sites (site-by-site). The estimated parameter values from the site-by-site data assimilation were then either randomly sampled (random-sampling) to generate continentally homogeneous (constant) parameter values or maximally preserved for their spatially heterogeneous distributions (varying parameter values to match the spatial patterns from the site-by-site data assimilation) so as to optimize spatial representation of SOC in CLM5 through a deep learning technique (neural networking) over the conterminous United States. Comparing modeled spatial distributions of SOC by CLM5 to observations yielded increasing predictive accuracy from default CLM5 settings ( R 2 = 0.32) to randomly sampled (0.36), one-batch estimated (0.43), and deep learning optimized (0.62) parameter values. While CLM5 with parameter values derived from random-sampling and one-batch methods substantially corrected the overestimated SOC storage by that with default model parameters, there were still considerable geographical biases. CLM5 with the spatially heterogeneous parameter values optimized from the neural networking method had the least estimation error and less geographical biases across the conterminous United States. Our study indicated that deep learning in combination with data assimilation can significantly improve the representation of SOC by complex land biogeochemical models., (Copyright © 2020 Tao, Zhou, Huang, Li, Lu, Ma, Huang, Liang, Hugelius, Jiang, Doughty, Ren and Luo.)