1. Economic risk linkages between Israel and middle east countries
- Author
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Kirikkaleli Dervis and Yorucu Vedat
- Subjects
Israel ,Middle East ,Economic Risk ,Block Exogeneity-Wald Test ,Generalized Impulse Response Function ,Economic theory. Demography ,HB1-3840 - Abstract
This study analyses the economic risk relationship between seven of the top economies in the Middle East and Israel. Our findings are of great interest and likely to begin a new debate in the Middle East region. The results of a block exogeneity Wald test reveal that economic stability in Israel does Granger-cause economic stability in Lebanon, Oman, Qatar and the UAE. Reverse causality has been validated for Lebanon and Bahrain only. We also find that there is a positive impact on Israel’s economic stability over the stability of Bahrain, Kuwait and the UAE with different seasonal patterns. In the reverse direction, in response to a shock to Israel’s economic stability, the stability of the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Kuwait are also found to be positive and significant with different seasonal frequencies.
- Published
- 2018
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