1. The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the 'Running Tally' Approach in Latin America
- Author
-
Benjamín Temkin Yedwab and Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas
- Subjects
Thesaurus: Latin America. Authors: Partisan independence ,Partisan identification ,“running tally” ,approach ,Fiorina ,government performance ,institutional trust ,principal-agent model ,International relations ,JZ2-6530 ,Political science (General) ,JA1-92 - Abstract
This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorina’s “running tally” approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the “principal-agent” model.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF