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When performing the resilience enhancement for distribution networks, there are two obstacles to reliably model the uncertain contingencies: 1) decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU) due to various line hardening decisions, and 2) distributional ambiguity due to limited outage information during extreme weather events (EWEs). To address these two challenges, this paper develops scenario-wise decision-dependent ambiguity sets (SWDD-ASs), where the DDU and distributional ambiguity inherent in EWE-induced contingencies are simultaneously captured for each possible EWE scenario. Then, a two-stage trilevel decision-dependent distributionally robust resilient enhancement (DD-DRRE) model is formulated, whose outputs include the optimal line hardening, distributed generation (DG) allocation, and proactive network reconfiguration strategy under the worst-case distributions in SWDD-ASs. Subsequently, the DD-DRRE model is equivalently recast to a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP)-based master problem and multiple scenario-wise subproblems, facilitating the adoption of a customized column-and-constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm. Finally, case studies demonstrate a remarkable improvement in the out-of-sample performance of our model, compared to its prevailing stochastic and robust counterparts. Moreover, the potential values of incorporating the ambiguity and distributional information are quantitatively estimated, providing a useful reference for planners with different budgets and risk-aversion levels.

Energy storage is expected to play an increasingly important role in mitigating variations that come along with the growing penetration of renewable energy. In this paper, we study the optimal bidding of an energy storage unit in a semi-centralized market. The energy storage unit offers its available storage capacity and maximum charging/discharging rate to the operator; then the operator clears the real-time market by minimizing the total cost. The energy storage unit is paid/charged at locational marginal price (LMP). The problem casts down to a bilevel optimization problem with a mixed-integer lower-level. An improved surrogate-based method with the combined spatial-temporal entropy term is developed to solve this problem. Numerical examples demonstrate the scalability, efficiency, and accuracy of the proposed method., Comment: 5 pages, 5 figures

Distributed operation of integrated electricity and gas systems (IEGS) receives much attention since it respects data security and privacy between different agencies. This paper proposes an extended convex hull (ECH) based method to address the distributed optimal energy flow (OEF) problem in the IEGS. First, a multi-block IEGS model is obtained by dividing it into N blocks according to physical and regional differences. This multi-block model is then convexified by replacing the nonconvex gas transmission equation with its ECH-based constraints. The Jacobi-Proximal alternating direction method of multipliers (J-ADMM) algorithm is adopted to solve the convexified model and minimize its operation cost. Finally, the feasibility of the optimal solution for the convexified problem is checked, and a sufficient condition is developed. The optimal solution for the original nonconvex problem is recovered from that for the convexified problem if the sufficient condition is satisfied. Test results reveal that this method is tractable and effective in obtaining the feasible optimal solution for radial gas networks., Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures

Because failures in distribution systems caused by extreme weather events directly result in consumers' outages, this paper proposes a state-based decision-making model with the objective of mitigating loss of load to improve the distribution system resilience throughout the unfolding events. The sequentially uncertain system states, e.g., feeder line on/off states, driven by the unfolding events are modeled as Markov states, and the probabilities from one Markov state to another Markov state throughout the unfolding events are determined by the component failure caused by the unfolding events. A recursive optimization model based on Markov decision processes (MDP) is developed to make state-based actions, i.e., system reconfiguration, at each decision time. To overcome the curse of dimensionality caused by enormous states and actions, an approximate dynamic programming (ADP) approach based on post-decision states and iteration is used to solve the proposed MDP-based model. IEEE 33-bus system and IEEE 123-bus system are used to validate the proposed model.

This paper analyzes the performances of the Spearman's rho (SR) and Kendall's tau (KT) with respect to samples drawn from bivariate normal and bivariate contaminated normal populations. The exact analytical formulae of the variance of SR and the covariance between SR and KT are obtained based on the Childs's reduction formula for the quadrivariate normal positive orthant probabilities. Close form expressions with respect to the expectations of SR and KT are established under the bivariate contaminated normal models. The bias, mean square error (MSE) and asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the three estimators based on SR and KT to the Pearson's product moment correlation coefficient (PPMCC) are investigated in both the normal and contaminated normal models. Theoretical and simulation results suggest that, contrary to the opinion of equivalence between SR and KT in some literature, the behaviors of SR and KT are strikingly different in the aspects of bias effect, variance, mean square error, and asymptotic relative efficiency. The new findings revealed in this work provide not only deeper insights into the two most widely used rank based correlation coefficients, but also a guidance for choosing which one to use under the circumstances where the PPMCC fails to apply.