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Uncertainty quantification has been extensively used as a means to achieve efficient directed exploration in Reinforcement Learning (RL). However, state-of-the-art methods for continuous actions still suffer from high sample complexity requirements. Indeed, they either completely lack strategies for propagating the epistemic uncertainty throughout the updates, or they mix it with aleatoric uncertainty while learning the full return distribution (e.g., distributional RL). In this paper, we propose Wasserstein Actor-Critic (WAC), an actor-critic architecture inspired by the recent Wasserstein Q-Learning (WQL) \citep{wql}, that employs approximate Q-posteriors to represent the epistemic uncertainty and Wasserstein barycenters for uncertainty propagation across the state-action space. WAC enforces exploration in a principled way by guiding the policy learning process with the optimization of an upper bound of the Q-value estimates. Furthermore, we study some peculiar issues that arise when using function approximation, coupled with the uncertainty estimation, and propose a regularized loss for the uncertainty estimation. Finally, we evaluate our algorithm on standard MujoCo tasks as well as suite of continuous-actions domains, where exploration is crucial, in comparison with state-of-the-art baselines.

Stochastic Rising Bandits (SRBs) model sequential decision-making problems in which the expected rewards of the available options increase every time they are selected. This setting captures a wide range of scenarios in which the available options are learning entities whose performance improves (in expectation) over time. While previous works addressed the regret minimization problem, this paper, focuses on the fixed-budget Best Arm Identification (BAI) problem for SRBs. In this scenario, given a fixed budget of rounds, we are asked to provide a recommendation about the best option at the end of the identification process. We propose two algorithms to tackle the above-mentioned setting, namely R-UCBE, which resorts to a UCB-like approach, and R-SR, which employs a successive reject procedure. Then, we prove that, with a sufficiently large budget, they provide guarantees on the probability of properly identifying the optimal option at the end of the learning process. Furthermore, we derive a lower bound on the error probability, matched by our R-SR (up to logarithmic factors), and illustrate how the need for a sufficiently large budget is unavoidable in the SRB setting. Finally, we numerically validate the proposed algorithms in both synthetic and real-world environments and compare them with the currently available BAI strategies.

Many real-world machine learning applications are characterized by a huge number of features, leading to computational and memory issues, as well as the risk of overfitting. Ideally, only relevant and non-redundant features should be considered to preserve the complete information of the original data and limit the dimensionality. Dimensionality reduction and feature selection are common preprocessing techniques addressing the challenge of efficiently dealing with high-dimensional data. Dimensionality reduction methods control the number of features in the dataset while preserving its structure and minimizing information loss. Feature selection aims to identify the most relevant features for a task, discarding the less informative ones. Previous works have proposed approaches that aggregate features depending on their correlation without discarding any of them and preserving their interpretability through aggregation with the mean. A limitation of methods based on correlation is the assumption of linearity in the relationship between features and target. In this paper, we relax such an assumption in two ways. First, we propose a bias-variance analysis for general models with additive Gaussian noise, leading to a dimensionality reduction algorithm (NonLinCFA) which aggregates non-linear transformations of features with a generic aggregation function. Then, we extend the approach assuming that a generalized linear model regulates the relationship between features and target. A deviance analysis leads to a second dimensionality reduction algorithm (GenLinCFA), applicable to a larger class of regression problems and classification settings. Finally, we test the algorithms on synthetic and real-world datasets, performing regression and classification tasks, showing competitive performances.

In reinforcement learning, the performance of learning agents is highly sensitive to the choice of time discretization. Agents acting at high frequencies have the best control opportunities, along with some drawbacks, such as possible inefficient exploration and vanishing of the action advantages. The repetition of the actions, i.e., action persistence, comes into help, as it allows the agent to visit wider regions of the state space and improve the estimation of the action effects. In this work, we derive a novel All-Persistence Bellman Operator, which allows an effective use of both the low-persistence experience, by decomposition into sub-transition, and the high-persistence experience, thanks to the introduction of a suitable bootstrap procedure. In this way, we employ transitions collected at any time scale to update simultaneously the action values of the considered persistence set. We prove the contraction property of the All-Persistence Bellman Operator and, based on it, we extend classic Q-learning and DQN. After providing a study on the effects of persistence, we experimentally evaluate our approach in both tabular contexts and more challenging frameworks, including some Atari games.

Autoregressive processes naturally arise in a large variety of real-world scenarios, including e.g., stock markets, sell forecasting, weather prediction, advertising, and pricing. When addressing a sequential decision-making problem in such a context, the temporal dependence between consecutive observations should be properly accounted for converge to the optimal decision policy. In this work, we propose a novel online learning setting, named Autoregressive Bandits (ARBs), in which the observed reward follows an autoregressive process of order $k$, whose parameters depend on the action the agent chooses, within a finite set of $n$ actions. Then, we devise an optimistic regret minimization algorithm AutoRegressive Upper Confidence Bounds (AR-UCB) that suffers regret of order $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}} \left( \frac{(k+1)^{3/2}\sqrt{nT}}{(1-\Gamma)^2} \right)$, being $T$ the optimization horizon and $\Gamma < 1$ an index of the stability of the system. Finally, we present a numerical validation in several synthetic and one real-world setting, in comparison with general and specific purpose bandit baselines showing the advantages of the proposed approach.

Behavioral Cloning (BC) aims at learning a policy that mimics the behavior demonstrated by an expert. The current theoretical understanding of BC is limited to the case of finite actions. In this paper, we study BC with the goal of providing theoretical guarantees on the performance of the imitator policy in the case of continuous actions. We start by deriving a novel bound on the performance gap based on Wasserstein distance, applicable for continuous-action experts, holding under the assumption that the value function is Lipschitz continuous. Since this latter condition is hardy fulfilled in practice, even for Lipschitz Markov Decision Processes and policies, we propose a relaxed setting, proving that value function is always Holder continuous. This result is of independent interest and allows obtaining in BC a general bound for the performance of the imitator policy. Finally, we analyze noise injection, a common practice in which the expert action is executed in the environment after the application of a noise kernel. We show that this practice allows deriving stronger performance guarantees, at the price of a bias due to the noise addition.

According to the main international reports, more pervasive industrial and business-process automation, thanks to machine learning and advanced analytic tools, will unlock more than 14 trillion USD worldwide annually by 2030. In the specific case of pricing problems-which constitute the class of problems we investigate in this paper-, the estimated unlocked value will be about 0.5 trillion USD per year. In particular, this paper focuses on pricing in e-commerce when the objective function is profit maximization and only transaction data are available. This setting is one of the most common in real-world applications. Our work aims to find a pricing strategy that allows defining optimal prices at different volume thresholds to serve different classes of users. Furthermore, we face the major challenge, common in real-world settings, of dealing with limited data available. We design a two-phase online learning algorithm, namely PVD-B, capable of exploiting the data incrementally in an online fashion. The algorithm first estimates the demand curve and retrieves the optimal average price, and subsequently it offers discounts to differentiate the prices for each volume threshold. We ran a real-world 4-month-long A/B testing experiment in collaboration with an Italian e-commerce company, in which our algorithm PVD-B-corresponding to A configuration-has been compared with human pricing specialists-corresponding to B configuration. At the end of the experiment, our algorithm produced a total turnover of about 300 KEuros, outperforming the B configuration performance by about 55%. The Italian company we collaborated with decided to adopt our algorithm for more than 1,200 products since January 2022., Comment: Accepted to IAAI 2023

Policy Optimization (PO) is a widely used approach to address continuous control tasks. In this paper, we introduce the notion of mediator feedback that frames PO as an online learning problem over the policy space. The additional available information, compared to the standard bandit feedback, allows reusing samples generated by one policy to estimate the performance of other policies. Based on this observation, we propose an algorithm, RANDomized-exploration policy Optimization via Multiple Importance Sampling with Truncation (RANDOMIST), for regret minimization in PO, that employs a randomized exploration strategy, differently from the existing optimistic approaches. When the policy space is finite, we show that under certain circumstances, it is possible to achieve constant regret, while always enjoying logarithmic regret. We also derive problem-dependent regret lower bounds. Then, we extend RANDOMIST to compact policy spaces. Finally, we provide numerical simulations on finite and compact policy spaces, in comparison with PO and bandit baselines.

In most of the transfer learning approaches to reinforcement learning (RL) the distribution over the tasks is assumed to be stationary. Therefore, the target and source tasks are i.i.d. samples of the same distribution. In the context of this work, we consider the problem of transferring value functions through a variational method when the distribution that generates the tasks is time-variant, proposing a solution that leverages this temporal structure inherent in the task generating process. Furthermore, by means of a finite-sample analysis, the previously mentioned solution is theoretically compared to its time-invariant version. Finally, we will provide an experimental evaluation of the proposed technique with three distinct temporal dynamics in three different RL environments.

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to automatically determine the batch size in stochastic gradient descent methods. The choice of the batch size induces a trade-off between the accuracy of the gradient estimate and the cost in terms of samples of each update. We propose to determine the batch size by optimizing the ratio between a lower bound to a linear or quadratic Taylor approximation of the expected improvement and the number of samples used to estimate the gradient. The performance of the proposed approach is empirically compared with related methods on popular classification tasks. The work was presented at the NIPS workshop on Optimizing the Optimizers. Barcelona, Spain, 2016., Comment: Presented at the NIPS workshop on Optimizing the Optimizers. Barcelona, Spain, 2016

This document contains supplementary material for the paper "Multi-objective Reinforcement Learning with Continuous Pareto Frontier Approximation", published at the Twenty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-15). The paper is about learning a continuous approximation of the Pareto frontier in Multi-Objective Markov Decision Problems (MOMDPs). We propose a policy-based approach that exploits gradient information to generate solutions close to the Pareto ones. Differently from previous policy-gradient multi-objective algorithms, where n optimization routines are use to have n solutions, our approach performs a single gradient-ascent run that at each step generates an improved continuous approximation of the Pareto frontier. The idea is to exploit a gradient-based approach to optimize the parameters of a function that defines a manifold in the policy parameter space so that the corresponding image in the objective space gets as close as possible to the Pareto frontier. Besides deriving how to compute and estimate such gradient, we will also discuss the non-trivial issue of defining a metric to assess the quality of the candidate Pareto frontiers. Finally, the properties of the proposed approach are empirically evaluated on two interesting MOMDPs., Comment: AAAI-15 Supplement. Updated upon acceptance at the Twenty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-15)