1. Road conditions analysis and forecasting in Arctic: multi-source machine learning approach
- Author
-
Suutala, J., Malin, M., Tiensuu, H., and Tamminen, S.
- Abstract
Climate change, global warming, and increasing weatherextremes, especially in Sub-Arctic and Arctic regions with unusual freeze-thaw cycles, cancausemore and more challenges to the infrastructure such as road networks.The maintenanceand repairofroadnetwork can be time consuming andexpensive. Better targeted and proactively planned maintenance could have economical benefits and increase the safeness of theroads. To tackle this, artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques with theavailability of digitalised diverse historical and real-time data, can be utilised, on one hand, to betterunderstandthe causes of the thaw damages and frost heave affecting the roads, and on the other hand, to build more advancedforecastingmodels for short- and long-term road conditions and thaw damage risks. In this work, as a first step, for building data-driven ML approaches to Arcticroaddamage forecasting, the possibilitiesof applying different multi-source are analysed.Tothis end, we are applying multi-source data sets of historical weather observations, insitu and mobile measurements of road surface and ground, and response variables of thaw damageand road wearing.As a result, we are showing 1) the benefits of different data sources using explanatory analysis, 2) the importance of different observations explaining the road conditions, and 3) the guideline of building explainable AIandML approaches to combine digitalised information to forecast road conditions such as the thaw damage probability on road network inNorthern Finland., The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF