5 results on '"Yahaya, Ali Ahmed"'
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2. Sustainable strategies for Ebola virus disease outbreak preparedness in Africa: a case study on lessons learnt in countries neighbouring the Democratic Republic of the Congo
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Caroline S. Ryan, Marie-Roseline D. Belizaire, Miriam Nanyunja, Olushayo Oluseun Olu, Yahaya Ali Ahmed, Anderson Latt, Matthew Tut Kol, Bertrand Bamuleke, Jayne Tusiime, Nadia Nsabimbona, Ishata Conteh, Shamiso Nyashanu, Patrick Otim Ramadan, Solomon Fisseha Woldetsadik, Jean-Pierre Mulunda Nkata, Jim T. Ntwari, Senya D. Nzeyimana, Leopold Ouedraogo, Georges Batona, Vedaste Ndahindwa, Elizabeth A. Mgamb, Magdalene Armah, Joseph Francis Wamala, Argata Guracha Guyo, Alex Yao Sokemawu Freeman, Alexander Chimbaru, Innocent Komakech, Muhau Kuku, Walter M. Firmino, Grace E. Saguti, Faraja Msemwa, Shikanga O-Tipo, Precious C. Kalubula, Ngoy Nsenga, and Ambrose Otau Talisuna
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Infectious Diseases ,Democratic Republic of the Congo ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Humans ,COVID-19 ,General Medicine ,Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola ,Pandemics ,Disease Outbreaks - Abstract
Background From May 2018 to September 2022, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) experienced seven Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreaks within its borders. During the 10th EVD outbreak (2018–2020), the largest experienced in the DRC and the second largest and most prolonged EVD outbreak recorded globally, a WHO risk assessment identified nine countries bordering the DRC as moderate to high risk from cross border importation. These countries implemented varying levels of Ebola virus disease preparedness interventions. This case study highlights the gains and shortfalls with the Ebola virus disease preparedness interventions within the various contexts of these countries against the background of a renewed and growing commitment for global epidemic preparedness highlighted during recent World Health Assembly events. Main text Several positive impacts from preparedness support to countries bordering the affected provinces in the DRC were identified, including development of sustained capacities which were leveraged upon to respond to the subsequent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Shortfalls such as lost opportunities for operationalizing cross-border regional preparedness collaboration and better integration of multidisciplinary perspectives, vertical approaches to response pillars such as surveillance, over dependence on external support and duplication of efforts especially in areas of capacity building were also identified. A recurrent theme that emerged from this case study is the propensity towards implementing short-term interventions during active Ebola virus disease outbreaks for preparedness rather than sustainable investment into strengthening systems for improved health security in alignment with IHR obligations, the Sustainable Development Goals and advocating global policy for addressing the larger structural determinants underscoring these outbreaks. Conclusions Despite several international frameworks established at the global level for emergency preparedness, a shortfall exists between global policy and practice in countries at high risk of cross border transmission from persistent Ebola virus disease outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of Congo. With renewed global health commitment for country emergency preparedness resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and cumulating in a resolution for a pandemic preparedness treaty, the time to review and address these gaps and provide recommendations for more sustainable and integrative approaches to emergency preparedness towards achieving global health security is now.
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- 2022
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3. A shift from reactionary towards more proactive and sustainable approaches is required for effective Ebola virus disease preparedness in Africa: A case study of key lessons learned from the Democratic Republic of Congo
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Caroline S. Ryan, Marie-Roseline D. Belizaire, Miriam Nanyunja, Olushayo Oluseun Olu, Yahaya Ali Ahmed, Anderson Latt, Matthew Tut Kol Yiek, Bertrand Bamuleke, Jayne Tusiime, Nadia Nsabimbona, Ishata Conteh, Shamiso Nyashanu, Patrick Otim Ramadan, Solomon Fisseha Woldetsadik, Jean-Pierre Mulunda Nkata, Jim T. Ntwari, Senya D. Nzeyimana, Leopold Ouedraogo, Georges Batona, Vedaste Ndahindwa, Elizabeth A. Mgamb, Magdalene Armah, Joseph Francis Wamala, Argata Guracha Guyo, Alex Yao Sokemawu Freeman, Alexander Chimbaru, Innocent Komakech, Muhau Kuku, Walter M. Firmino, Grace E. Saguti, Faraja Msemwa, Shikanga O-Tipo, Precious C. Kalubula, Ngoy Nsenga, and Ambrose Talisuna Otau
- Abstract
Background From May 2018 to the end of June 2022, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) experienced six Ebola virus disease outbreaks within its borders. During the 10th EVD outbreak, the largest experienced in the DRC and the second largest and most prolonged EVD outbreak recorded globally, a WHO risk assessment identified nine countries bordering the DRC as moderate to high risk from cross border importation. Burundi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Uganda were classified as priority one countries while Angola, Central African Republic, Congo, Tanzania and Zambia as priority two. These countries implemented varying levels of Ebola virus disease preparedness interventions. This case study highlights the gains and shortfalls with the Ebola virus disease preparedness interventions against the background of a renewed and growing commitment for global epidemic preparedness highlighted during recent World Health Assembly events. Main text Several positive impacts from preparedness support to countries bordering the affected provinces in the DRC were identified, including development of sustained capacities which were leveraged upon to respond to the subsequent COVID-19 pandemic. Shortfalls such as lost opportunities in vertical approaches to response pillars such as surveillance, over dependence on external support and duplication of efforts especially in the areas of capacity building were also identified. A recurrent theme that emerged from this case study is the propensity towards implementing short-term interventions during Ebola virus disease outbreak preparedness and response rather than sustainable investment into strengthening systems for improved health security in alignment with IHR obligations and the Sustainable Development Goals. Conclusions Despite several international frameworks established at the global level for emergency preparedness, a shortfall exists between global policy and practice in countries at high risk of cross border transmission from persistent Ebola virus disease outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of Congo. With renewed global health commitment for country emergency preparedness resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and cumulating in a resolution for a pandemic preparedness treaty, the time to review and address these gaps and provide recommendations for more sustainable approaches to emergency preparedness towards achieving global health security is now.
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- 2022
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4. SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant of concern in the Seychelles: Introduction and spread
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John Mwita Morobe, Brigitte Pool, Lina Marie, Dwayne Didon, Arnold W. Lambisia, Timothy Makori, Khadija Said Mohammed, Leonard Ndwiga, Maureen W. Mburu, Edidah Moraa, Nickson Murunga, Mike Mwanga, Jennifer Musyoki, Angela K. Moturi, Joyce Namulondo, Susan Zimba Tembo, Edwin Ogendi, Thierno Balde, Fred Athanasius Dratibi, Yahaya Ali Ahmed, Nicksy Gumede, Rachel A. Achilla, Peter K. Borus, Dorcas W. Wanjohi, Sofonias K. Tessema, Joseph Mwangangi, Philip Bejon, D. James Nokes, Lynette Isabella Ochola-Oyier, George Githinji, Leon Biscornet, and Charles N. Agoti
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Medicine (miscellaneous) ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology - Abstract
Background: The emergence of the Omicron variant of concern in late 2021 led to a resurgence of SARS-CoV-2 infections globally. By September 2022, Seychelles had experienced two major surges of SARS-CoV-2 infections driven by the Omicron variant. Here, we examine the genomic epidemiology of Omicron in the Seychelles between November 2021 and September 2022. Methods: We analysed 618 SARS-CoV-2 Omicron genomes identified in the Seychelles between November 2021 and September 2022 to infer virus introductions and local transmission patterns using phylogenetics and the ancestral state reconstruction approach. We then evaluated the impact of government coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) countermeasures on the estimated number of viral introductions during the study period. Results: The genomes classified into 43 distinct Pango lineages. The first surge in Omicron cases (beginning November 2021 and peaking in January 2022) was predominated by the BA.1.1 lineage (59%) co-circulating with 11 other Omicron lineages. In the second surge (between April and June 2022), four lineages (BA.2, BA.2.10, BA.2.65 and BA.2.9) co-circulated and these were swiftly replaced by BA.5 subvariants in July 2022, which remained predominant through to September 2022. In the latter period, sporadic detections of BA.5 subvariants BQ.1, BE and BF were observed. We estimated 109 independent Omicron importations into Seychelles over the 11-month period, most of which occurred between December 2021 and March 2022 when strict government restrictions (SI>50%) were still in force. The districts Anse Royale, and Baie St. Anne Praslin appeared to be the major dispersal points fuelling local transmission. Conclusions: Our results suggest that the waves of Omicron infections in the Seychelles were driven by multiple lineages and multiple virus introductions. The introductions were followed by substantial local spread and successive lineage displacement that mirrored the global patterns.
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- 2023
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5. Outbreak of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April–May, 2018: an epidemiological study
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Daniel Mukadi-Bamuleka, Emerencienne Kibangou, Vital Mondonge Makuma, Ibrahima Socé Fall, Etienne Yuma, Guylain Kabongo, Oliver Morgan, Franck Mboussou, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, Pierre Nouvellet, Boubacar Diallo, Anne Cori, Guillaume Ngoy, Ousmane Ly, Zabulon Yoti, Augustin Mamba, Roland Ngom, Yokouide Allarangar, Benido Impouma, Neil M. Ferguson, Patricia Ndumbi Ngamala, Richard G. FitzJohn, Jean de Dieu Lukwesa Mwati, Yahaya Ali Ahmed, Maria D. Van Kerkhove, Oly Ilunga Kalenga, Aaron Aruna Abedi, Pierre Formenty, Oscar Mavila, Théophile Bokenge, Natsuko Imai, Alpha Forna, Ahmadou Barry, Yyonne Lay, Tini Garske, Tamayi Mlanda, Anny Mutombo, Anne Fortin, Annika Wendland, Theresa M. Lee, Charles Okot Lukoya, Rodney Towner, Amadou Mouctar Diallo, Ernest Dabire, Sheila Makiala-Mandanda, Michael J. Ryan, Christopher Haskew, Steve Ahuka-Mundeke, Guy Kalambayi Kabamba, Julienne Anoko, Tshewang Choden Dorji, Jean Jaques Muyembe, Emma Kitenge, Celine Gurry, Gaston Tshapenda, Gisele Mbuy, Mamoudou Harouna Djingarey, Emanuele Bruni, Marie Roseline Darnycka Belizaire, Aura Rocio Escobar Corado Waeber, N'Da Konan Michel Yao, Justus Nsio, Patrick Mukadi Kakoni, Reinhilde Van De Weerdt, Esther L Hamblion, Kevin Babila Ousman, Ndjoloko Tambwe Bathé, Sangeeta N. Bhatia, Brett Nicholas Archer, Alhassane Touré, Jayshree Bagaria, Christl A. Donnelly, Placide Mbala-Kingebeni, Emilie Peron, Ilaria Dorigatti, Gervais Leon Folefack Tengomo, Leopold Lubula, Stéphane Hugonnet, Jonathan A. Polonsky, Anastasie Mujinga Mulumba, Medical Research Council (MRC), Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, National Institute for Health Research, National Institutes of Health, and USAID
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Adult ,Diarrhea ,Male ,0301 basic medicine ,Zaire ebolavirus ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,Fever ,Vomiting ,Health Personnel ,Appetite ,Disease ,medicine.disease_cause ,Disease Outbreaks ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,Age Distribution ,0302 clinical medicine ,General & Internal Medicine ,Case fatality rate ,Epidemiology ,Humans ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Sex Distribution ,Child ,Fatigue ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,Ebola virus ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Vaccination ,Outbreak ,Nausea ,General Medicine ,11 Medical And Health Sciences ,Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola ,Middle Aged ,Abdominal Pain ,3. Good health ,Hospitalization ,Early Diagnosis ,030104 developmental biology ,Democratic Republic of the Congo ,Female ,business ,Contact tracing ,Demography - Abstract
Background\ud \ud On May 8, 2018, the Government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo reported an outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Équateur Province in the northwest of the country. The remoteness of most affected communities and the involvement of an urban centre connected to the capital city and neighbouring countries makes this outbreak the most complex and high risk ever experienced by the Democratic Republic of the Congo. We provide early epidemiological information arising from the ongoing investigation of this outbreak.\ud Methods\ud \ud We classified cases as suspected, probable, or confirmed using national case definitions of the Democratic Republic of the Congo Ministère de la Santé Publique. We investigated all cases to obtain demographic characteristics, determine possible exposures, describe signs and symptoms, and identify contacts to be followed up for 21 days. We also estimated the reproduction number and projected number of cases for the 4-week period from May 25, to June 21, 2018.\ud Findings\ud \ud As of May 30, 2018, 50 cases (37 confirmed, 13 probable) of Zaire ebolavirus were reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. 21 (42%) were reported in Bikoro, 25 (50%) in Iboko, and four (8%) in Wangata health zones. Wangata is part of Mbandaka, the urban capital of Équateur Province, which is connected to major national and international transport routes. By May 30, 2018, 25 deaths from Ebola virus disease had been reported, with a case fatality ratio of 56% (95% CI 39–72) after adjustment for censoring. This case fatality ratio is consistent with estimates for the 2014–16 west African Ebola virus disease epidemic (p=0·427). The median age of people with confirmed or probable infection was 40 years (range 8–80) and 30 (60%) were male. The most commonly reported signs and symptoms in people with confirmed or probable Ebola virus disease were fever (40 [95%] of 42 cases), intense general fatigue (37 [90%] of 41 cases), and loss of appetite (37 [90%] of 41 cases). Gastrointestinal symptoms were frequently reported, and 14 (33%) of 43 people reported haemorrhagic signs. Time from illness onset and hospitalisation to sample testing decreased over time. By May 30, 2018, 1458 contacts had been identified, of which 746 (51%) remained under active follow-up. The estimated reproduction number was 1·03 (95% credible interval 0·83–1·37) and the cumulative case incidence for the outbreak by June 21, 2018, is projected to be 78 confirmed cases (37–281), assuming heterogeneous transmissibility.\ud Interpretation\ud \ud The ongoing Ebola virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has similar epidemiological features to previous Ebola virus disease outbreaks. Early detection, rapid patient isolation, contact tracing, and the ongoing vaccination programme should sufficiently control the outbreak. The forecast of the number of cases does not exceed the current capacity to respond if the epidemiological situation does not change. The information presented, although preliminary, has been essential in guiding the ongoing investigation and response to this outbreak.
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- 2018
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