Search

Accurate long-term trajectory prediction in complex scenes, where multiple agents (e.g., pedestrians or vehicles) interact with each other and the environment while attempting to accomplish diverse and often unknown goals, is a challenging stochastic forecasting problem. In this work, we propose MUSE, a new probabilistic modeling framework based on a cascade of Conditional VAEs, which tackles the long-term, uncertain trajectory prediction task using a coarse-to-fine multi-factor forecasting architecture. In its Macro stage, the model learns a joint pixel-space representation of two key factors, the underlying environment and the agent movements, to predict the long and short-term motion goals. Conditioned on them, the Micro stage learns a fine-grained spatio-temporal representation for the prediction of individual agent trajectories. The VAE backbones across the two stages make it possible to naturally account for the joint uncertainty at both levels of granularity. As a result, MUSE offers diverse and simultaneously more accurate predictions compared to the current state-of-the-art. We demonstrate these assertions through a comprehensive set of experiments on nuScenes and SDD benchmarks as well as PFSD, a new synthetic dataset, which challenges the forecasting ability of models on complex agent-environment interaction scenarios.

Learning-based approaches to modeling crowd motion have become increasingly successful but require training and evaluation on large datasets, coupled with complex model selection and parameter tuning. To circumvent this tremendously time-consuming process, we propose a novel scoring method, which characterizes generalization of models trained on source crowd scenarios and applied to target crowd scenarios using a training-free, model-agnostic Interaction + Diversity Quantification score, ISDQ. The Interaction component aims to characterize the difficulty of scenario domains, while the diversity of a scenario domain is captured in the Diversity score. Both scores can be computed in a computation tractable manner. Our experimental results validate the efficacy of the proposed method on several simulated and real-world (source,target) generalization tasks, demonstrating its potential to select optimal domain pairs before training and testing a model.

We study few-shot semantic segmentation that aims to segment a target object from a query image when provided with a few annotated support images of the target class. Several recent methods resort to a feature masking (FM) technique to discard irrelevant feature activations which eventually facilitates the reliable prediction of segmentation mask. A fundamental limitation of FM is the inability to preserve the fine-grained spatial details that affect the accuracy of segmentation mask, especially for small target objects. In this paper, we develop a simple, effective, and efficient approach to enhance feature masking (FM). We dub the enhanced FM as hybrid masking (HM). Specifically, we compensate for the loss of fine-grained spatial details in FM technique by investigating and leveraging a complementary basic input masking method. Experiments have been conducted on three publicly available benchmarks with strong few-shot segmentation (FSS) baselines. We empirically show improved performance against the current state-of-the-art methods by visible margins across different benchmarks. Our code and trained models are available at: https://github.com/moonsh/HM-Hybrid-Masking, Comment: 14 pages

Predicting the behavior of crowds in complex environments is a key requirement in a multitude of application areas, including crowd and disaster management, architectural design, and urban planning. Given a crowd's immediate state, current approaches simulate crowd movement to arrive at a future state. However, most applications require the ability to predict hundreds of possible simulation outcomes (e.g., under different environment and crowd situations) at real-time rates, for which these approaches are prohibitively expensive. In this paper, we propose an approach to instantly predict the long-term flow of crowds in arbitrarily large, realistic environments. Central to our approach is a novel CAGE representation consisting of Capacity, Agent, Goal, and Environment-oriented information, which efficiently encodes and decodes crowd scenarios into compact, fixed-size representations that are environmentally lossless. We present a framework to facilitate the accurate and efficient prediction of crowd flow in never-before-seen crowd scenarios. We conduct a series of experiments to evaluate the efficacy of our approach and showcase positive results.

Bayesian models provide a framework for probabilistic modelling of complex datasets. Many such models are computationally demanding, especially in the presence of large datasets. In sensor network applications, statistical (Bayesian) parameter estimation usually relies on decentralized algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. In this paper we propose a framework for decentralized Bayesian learning using Bregman Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (B-ADMM). We demonstrate the utility of our framework, with Mean Field Variational Bayes (MFVB) as the primitive for distributed affine structure from motion (SfM).

Consensus-based distributed learning is a machine learning technique used to find the general consensus of local learning models to achieve a global objective. It is an important problem with increasing level of interest due to its applications in sensor networks. There are many benefits of distributed learning over traditional centralized learning, such as faster computation and reduced communication cost. In this dissertation, we focus on the merit that distributed learning can be performed in a fully decentralized way, which makes it one step further different from parallel computing approaches. First, we propose a general distributed probabilistic learning framework based on distributed optimization using an Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). We show that it can be applied to computer vision algorithms which have traditionally assumed a centralized computational setting. We demonstrate that our probabilistic interpretation of the decentralized processing is useful in dealing with missing values which are not explicitly handled in prior works. We provide empirical evaluations on a computer vision problem termed distributed affine structure from motion (SfM). Second, we propose two useful extensions of the distributed probabilistic learning framework. We first extend our framework so that it can incrementally update the learned model in an online fashion. To do this, we propose to use a Bayesian inference model based on Bregman ADMM (B-ADMM). Next, we show that the distributed learning tasks can be carried out more rapidly by introducing smart update strategies to the underlying ADMM optimization algorithm. By adaptively balancing primal and dual residuals of ADMM, we demonstrate an improved empirical convergence speed in a fully decentralized setting, without limiting the application range of ADMM-based optimization. Finally, we introduce a potential application of consensus-based distributed optimization on the human trajectory estimation problem. We formulate the trajectory estimation problem as a global optimization issue with constraints encoding various prior conditions that can be either allowed or forbidden in real world situations. We show that our method can effectively estimate the noisy, corrupted trajectories from off-the-shelf human trackers that could assist in human crowd analysis and simulation.