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Electricity load exhibits daily and weekly cyclical patterns as well as random characteristics. At present, prevailing deep learning models cannot learn electricity load cyclical and stochastic features adequately. This results in insufficient prediction accuracy and the scalability of current methods. To tackle these difficulties, this paper proposes a framework for electrical load prediction based on an Attention Mechanism Time Series Depthwise Separable Convolutional Neural Network (ELPF-ATDSCN). The framework starts by using the Maximum Information Coefficient for exogenous variable selection. It then incorporates a seasonal decomposition algorithm with manual feature engineering to extract the cyclical and stochastic features of the electrical load. Subsequently, the framework employs the ATDSCN to learn the cyclical and stochastic features of the electrical load. In addition, the Bayesian algorithm optimizes model hyperparameters for optimal model performance. Experimental results of point and interval load prediction on datasets from the US and Nordic power markets reveal that the ATDSCN model proposed in this paper enhances load prediction accuracy compared with other models. It can provide more reliable predictions for power system operation and dispatch. • A new attention mechanism is designed to improve the model memory capability. • The ATDSCN model is proposed for learning periodic and stochastic features of electricity loads. • A framework for electricity load prediction is proposed to improve the accuracy of electricity load forecasting. • The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated on the real world dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Alternating current optimal power flow (OPF) analysis is critical for efficient and reliable operation of power systems. For large systems or repetitive computations, the traditional methods such as the direct and gradient methods, or non-traditional methods, such as the genetic algorithm and simulating annealing, are time-consuming and unsuitable for real-time computing. The work in this paper proposes a novel framework to obtain the optimal solution of power flow in real-time using a combination of convolutional neural networks and a self-attention mechanism. All parameters of the power networks are rearranged in an image-like shape of a multi-channel image where each channel is a two-dimensional matrix. The proposed approach is adaptive with every input size of power systems as well as frequent variations of network topologies without intervention to the framework core. The encompassment of all power system contexts in which all parameters of internal elements, generation costs, and topology information are included, contributes to the higher accuracy of inference compared to other current machine-learning-based OPF-solving methods. Besides, the proposed framework established on ubiquitous platforms is effortlessly integrated into current infrastructures of power systems, and the great efficiency along with the computation speed may serve as a critical point for practical implications, such as enabling faster decision-making during real-time operations, predicting system contingencies, and remedial actions based on an offline pre-trained model. This supervised learning process is applied to the dataset of four case studies of meshed power systems: the IEEE 5-bus system (IEEE-5), the IEEE 30-bus system (IEEE-30), the IEEE 39-bus system (IEEE-39), and the IEEE 57-bus system (IEEE-57) to prove the efficacy of the proposed method. • Developing a novel approach to solve the OPF problems in real-time. • Wrap power system characteristics under a mold of an image-like shape. • Overcome the outburst of trainable parameters when training with large-scale systems. • Do not require looking up a new set of hyperparameters or re-coding a framework. • All time-consuming computations are shifted to the offline training process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the significant increase in photovoltaic (PV) electricity generation, more attention has been given to PV power forecasting. Indeed, accurate forecasting allows power grid operators to better schedule and dispatch their assets, such as energy storage systems and reserve. In this paper, a hybrid deep learning model and a convolutional neural network with memory is proposed, to provide intraday (2 h) solar irradiance forecasts using sequentially-collected images from public webcams. The performance of the proposed model is compared to those of a standard time-series forecast models, a linear regression as well as state-of-the-art neural networks. All models are trained and tested using images collected from two webcams on EPFL's campus for just over a year. The results show that the proposed method outperforms all other models and matches the state-of-the-art methodology while providing simplicity of implementation and efficient computation. • A novel method for estimating global horizontal irradiance is proposed. • The method uses images public webcams instead of all-sky cameras. • The method combines images from different cameras to improve forecasts' accuracy. • The method can be extended to include other types of data (meteorological data). • This simple method matches state-of-the-art methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper is focused on the application of the machine learning for predicting structural response of ring stiffened cylindrical shells subjected to far-field underwater explosion. Three deep neural network (DNN) models are combined to predict the progressive plastic deformation behaviour of stiffened cylindrical shells subjected to the shock wave produced by a TNT charge. In the DNN regression models, the input variables include the charge mass, stand-off distance, detonation depth, cylindrical shell thickness, stiffener web and flange. These three DNN models composed of multi hidden layers are trained based on the data collection originated from a series of simulations performed by the ABAQUS finite element solver. Grid search is introduced to the hyperparameter tuning for deep learning, improving the prediction performance of machine learning methods. The DNN models are compared to the models trained using another three methods: multiple linear regression, decision tree and k-nearest neighbour. An improved Adam optimisation algorithm is used to increase the accuracy of prediction. The challenges encountered during the predictions are discussed to provide a more comprehensive insight into the advantage of the proposed DNN models. The DNN regression models can well predict the permanent plastic deformation and strain of stiffened cylindrical shells. • Improved deep neural network is applied to predict the impact response of stiffened cylindrical shells. • Various regression algorithms in machine learning are compared. • Grid search method is used for the hyperparameter optimisation. • It is achieved the rapid and accurate assessment of plastic deformation and strain. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]