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Under the dual influence of climate change and land-use change, different protection policies in Qinling Mountains lead to different hydrological responses. On the basis of land-use and climatic changes in the Qinling Mountains of Shaanxi province, we constructed a response model among land use, climate, and runoff in the Qinling Mountains through the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model was used to predict and simulate land-use types of the Qinling Mountains in 2025 and 2030. On the basis of the current ecological protection policy in China, two scenarios of land use were set up to find the best method for forestland protection. The results show the following. The SWAT model is applicable to the Weihe River and Hanjiang River basins of the Qinling Mountains, the simulation results were verified, and the Nash coefficient was above 0.6. Under future climate change and land-use patterns, runoff in the Qinling Mountains watershed shows an upward trend, and the runoff in the Hanjiang River basin increased by more than that in the Weihe River basin, with change rates of 47.471 and 33.356 m3/10a, respectively. According to the future trend of the two different scenarios, the increase degree of runoff in the natural scenario of Weihe River basin was 16.567 m3/10a higher than that in the woodland scenario, and the increase degree of runoff in the Hanjiang River basin was 17.692 m3/10a higher than that in the woodland scenario. Therefore, blindly increasing the forestland area in Qinling Mountains cannot achieve a better hydrological effect. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is of great significance to study on the shift of temperature zone boundaries for revealing the climate change pattern and its environmental effects. Based on daily average temperature data from 32 standard meteorological stations in the Qinling Mountains from 1964 to 2015, the growing season start and end (GSS and GSE) of the climatic growing season parameters were calculated based on a temperature threshold of 10 °C, and the growing season length (GSL) was obtained by subtracting GSE from GSS. We have analyzed the spatiotemporal variations of these parameters in the Qinling Mountains and the shift rules of the warm temperate zone and northern subtropics zone boundaries in China over the past 52 years. Our research generated three primary results. First, the spatial distribution and changing trends of the GSS, GSE, and GSL were significantly different before and after abrupt changes in temperature. After the abrupt change, the coverages of the three were all gradually expanding to the higher altitude areas. The change rates of the three were faster, the trends were more significant, and the differences between the north and the south were obvious, especially in the northern slope. Second, the boundaries of both the warm temperate zone and the northern subtropical zone in China showed upward position shifts, and the area coverage changed along the northern and southern slopes of the Qinling Mountains, and the change amplitudes were even greater after the abrupt change in temperature. Third, there was a significant north–south difference in the response of China's temperature zones to climate change. The temperature zone on the northern slope was more sensitive to climate warming. It is worth emphasizing that the shifts of the temperature zones did not change the fact that the Qinling Mountains are the boundary between China's subtropical and the warm temperate zones. The north subtropical zone is still located on the southern slope of the Qinling Mountains, and the northern slope is still in the warm temperate zone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Based on daily mean temperature data from 32 meteorological stations in the Qinling Mountains (QMs) of China, we analyzed the characteristics and differences of the spatiotemporal changes in the climatic growing season (CGS) in the QMs from 1964 to 2015. Our results are as follows. First, over the past 52 years, the temperature of the QMs significantly increased at a mean rate of 0.22 °C/decade (P < 0.01) in over 98.04% of the area. Significant north–south spatial differences were observed in temperature changes; also, significant differences in the temperature changing trends were observed before and after the abrupt change in temperature. Second, the spatial distributions of the mean growing season start (GSS), end (GSE), and length (GSL) in the QMs varied based on regional differences in latitude and topography. Notably, the GSS, GSE, and GSL were gradually delayed, advanced, and shortened, respectively, as latitude and elevation increased. After the abrupt change in temperature, whether it is in the NSQM (northern slopes of the QMs) or the SSQM (southern slopes of the QMs), the GSS, GSE, and GSL expanded into high-elevation areas. Third, over the past 52 years, the GSS in the QMs exhibited a significant advancing trend of 2.7 days/decade, the GSE was delayed at a rate of 0.66 days/decade, and the GSL displayed a significant extension of 3.36 days/decade. Before the abrupt change in temperature, the GSS, GSE, and GSL exhibited non-significant changing trends; however, the trends in the GSS, GSE, and GSL were more significant after the abrupt change than before. Fourth, the GSS, GSE, and GSL trends in the QMs were significantly different in the NSQM and SSQM regions. After the abrupt change, the GSS, GSE, and GSL trends along the NSQM were more significant than those along the SSQM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Based on daily mean temperature data from 32 meteorological stations in the study area, this paper discusses the relationship between the changes in the climatic growing season and altitude and the differences in the northern (NSQM) and southern (SSQM) slopes of the Qinling Mountains (QMs) from 1985 to 2015. Our analyses generated three primary results. First, the spatial distribution patterns of the growing season start (GSS), growing season end (GSE), and growing season length (GSL) exhibited an altitudinal gradient and differences between the NSQM and SSQM. The occurrence time of the GSS, GSE, and the GSL of the NSQM was approximately 15 days later, 10 days earlier, and 25 days shorter respectively than that of the SSQM. Second, the three factors exhibited regular changes with an increasing elevation gradient: the GSS, GSE, and GSL were gradually delayed, advanced, and shortened, respectively. In the area below 1800 m above sea level, the GSS, GSE, and GSL of the NSQM was later, earlier, and shorter, respectively, than that of the SSQM; while the changing trends in the three were opposite in the areas above 2700 m; and the three in the areas between 1800 and 2700 m varied little in the NSQM and SSQM. The sensitivities of the GSS, GSE, and GSL of the NSQM and SSQM to elevation also reflected in the trends of inter-annual variability. Third, among the different altitudinal vegetation belts from low-altitude to high-altitude areas, the occurrence time of the GSS and GSE and the duration of the GSL in the alpine meadow areas were all exchanged in the NSQM and SSQM. The GSS, GSE, and GSL of the NSQM were earlier, later, and longer respectively than that of the SSQM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Alpine timberline is a great place for monitoring climate change. The study of alpine and subalpine timberline in Qinling Mountains has led to early warning that reveals the response and adaptation of terrestrial vegetation ecosystem to climate change. Based on the remote sensing image classification method, the typical timberline area in Qinling Mountains was determined. Temperature and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data were extracted from the typical timberline area based on spatial interpolation and NDVI data. The relationship between NDVI and temperature change and the critical temperature value affecting vegetation response in the timberline area in Qinling Mountains were analyzed. Correlation between NDVI and air temperature in the alpine and subalpine timberline areas of Qinling Mountains exhibited an upward trend, which implied that temperature promotes vegetation activity. A strong correlation between temperature and NDVI in typical timberline areas of Qinling Mountains, and a significant correlation between temperature and NDVI in the early growing season. A phenomenon of NDVI lagging behind air temperature was observed. Temperature response showed synchronization and hysteresis. The correlation between cumulative temperature and vegetation was similar between Taibai Mountain and Niubeiliang timberline, and the correlation between NDVI in April and cumulative temperature in the first 12 months was the strongest. Temperature threshold range of Taibai Mountain timberline played a dominant role in vegetation growth. Our results provide insights and basis for future studies of early warning signs of climate change, specifically between 0.34 and 1.34 °C. The threshold ranges of temperature response of different vegetation types vary. Compared with alpine shrub meadow, the threshold ranges of temperature effect of Coniferous forest and Larix chinensis Beissn. are smaller, implying that these vegetation types are more sensitive to temperature change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]