6 results on '"Kunstmann, Harald"'
Search Results
2. Performance evaluation of a high-resolution regional climate model in West Africa: sensitivity to land surface schemes.
- Author
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Achugbu, Ifeanyi Chukwudi, Laux, Patrick, Chen, Liang, Dudhia, Jimy, Balogun, Ifeoluwa Adebowale, Arnault, Joël, Adeyewa, Zachariah Debo, Akintola, Olayiwola Akin, and Kunstmann, Harald
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ATMOSPHERIC models ,DEW point ,LAND-atmosphere interactions ,METEOROLOGICAL research ,WEATHER forecasting ,ATMOSPHERE - Abstract
This research examines the suitability of four land surface schemes (LSSs) in Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model over different West Africa's (WA) climatological zones, namely Guinea, Savanna, and Sahel. The four LSSs include Noah, Noah (Multiparameterization) MP, Noah MP with the groundwater option (Noah GW), and Community Land Model Version 4 (CLM4). A 3-month simulation was carried out with each LSS during July–September 2012. Temperature and dew point temperature (Dpt) were evaluated using the ERA5 dataset, while precipitation was evaluated using the TRMM product. Based on the three variables, CLM4 is most suitable for the Guinea zone; Noah, Noah MP, and CLM4 perform equally well for Savanna; and Noah MP is most suitable for the Sahel zone. In general, and over all zones, Noah MP is most suitable for precipitation simulation, while CLM4 is the best for dew point temperature as Noah MP and Noah GW are equally suitable for 2 m temperature. Noah GW overestimates surface moisture, altering surface fluxes, increasing evaporative fraction, and increasing convective activities (especially in semi-arid areas), which led to a significant bias in temperature and precipitation. Also, over the Savanna and Sahel zone, a strong African Easterly Jet (AEJ) with a weak Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) in Noah led to lower rainfall. In contrast, weak AEJ with strong TEJ in Noah MP and Noah GW caused higher rainfall. Further studies would be to evaluate the sensitivity of each LSS under different initial conditions, and their land-atmosphere interactions strength over the zones. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Quantifying the Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Change on Moisture Recycling With Convection‐Permitting WRF‐Tagging Modeling in the Agro‐Pastoral Ecotone of Northern China.
- Author
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Wang, Xuejin, Zhang, Zhenyu, Zhang, Baoqing, Tian, Lei, Tian, Jie, Arnault, Joël, Kunstmann, Harald, and He, Chansheng
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LAND cover ,LAND use ,WATER bikes ,HUMIDITY ,ECOTONES ,MOISTURE - Abstract
Land use and land cover change (LUCC) can influence the regional atmospheric water budget. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting model embedded with evapotranspiration (ET)‐tagging (WRF‐tagging) is used to investigate the atmospheric pathways of ET as well as where and to what extent ET returns as precipitation (P) in the agro‐pastoral ecotone of northern China (APENC). First, we updated the default land use and vegetation indices in the WRF‐tagging with high‐resolution and real‐time datasets. WRF‐tagging modeling reproduces the spatial distribution of P and ET reasonably after updating surface characteristics. Second, we analyzed and quantified the contribution of ET to atmospheric moisture and regional P in the APENC. The water vapor originating as ET is advected in the atmosphere below 600 hPa to hundreds of kilometers by the prevailing winds. Moisture recycling shows that 5.83% of P comes from local ET during the growing season in the core region of the APENC. Furthermore, to quantify the impact of LUCC on moisture recycling, we designed two different vegetation scenarios (Afforestation and Degradation) by changing land use and vegetation indices in the model. Results show that the precipitation recycling ratio increased to 6.31% in the Afforestation scenario, and decreased to 5.19% in the Degradation scenario, demonstrating the non‐neglectable positive feedback of vegetation on P. An analysis of land surface‐precipitation feedback processes indicates that the LUCC‐induced change in precipitation efficiency dominates P changes. Our findings highlight the importance of LUCC on local and regional moisture recycling in the APENC. Plain Language Summary: Moisture recycling is defined as the contribution of moisture from terrestrial surfaces to local and remote precipitation. Based on a regional climate model embedded with a water vapor tracer, we investigated how vegetation changes affect regional atmospheric moisture cycling in the agro‐pastoral ecotone of northern China. Results indicate evapotranspiration makes non‐negligible contributions to local and regional precipitation. Surface vegetation change affects the thermodynamic processes and the associated atmospheric responses. Our results show that afforestation increases local and downwind recycled P by intensifying regional moisture recycling, while degradation shows the opposite effect. Key Points: Evapotranspiration in the agro‐pastoral ecotone of northern China is traced by the convection‐permitting Weather Research and Forecasting‐tagging modelAfforestation increases local and downwind recycled precipitation (P), with degradation showing the opposite effectsThe change in P efficiency induced by land use and land cover change dominates P change [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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- View/download PDF
4. Potential Impact of the Pan-African Great Green Wall on Sahelian Summer Precipitation: A Global Modeling Approach with MPAS.
- Author
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Smiatek, Gerhard and Kunstmann, Harald
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VERTICAL gardening , *LAND degradation , *LAND-atmosphere interactions , *FORESTS & forestry , *ATMOSPHERIC models , *SUMMER - Abstract
The pan-African Great Green Wall for the Sahara and the Sahel initiative (GGW) is a reforestation program to reverse the degradation of land. We investigate characteristics of mean precipitation due to proposed land-use changes to woody savannah with three hypothetical courses of the GGW, with an area between 0.8 and 1.25 million km2, and between the 100- and 400-mm isohyets. The global Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) was applied for this investigation, employing ensembles with 40 members for the rainy season from June to September and 50 members for August when precipitation is at its peak. In comparison with the observational reference, the results show that a wet bias on the order of 33% in the eastern Sahel and a moderate dry bias of −41% in the western Sahel are present in the MPAS simulations. Our simulations do not provide any significant evidence for GGW-induced changes in the characteristics of the summer precipitation, for positive changes within the Sahel supporting the forestation activities, or for potentially adverse changes in the neighboring regions. Changes are present at the regional scale, but they are not significant at the 5% level. Also, changes simulated for further hydrometeorological variables such as temperature, radiation fluxes, or runoff are comparatively small. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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5. A Joint Soil‐Vegetation‐Atmospheric Modeling Procedure of Water Isotopologues: Implementation and Application to Different Climate Zones With WRF‐Hydro‐Iso.
- Author
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Arnault, Joël, Jung, Gerlinde, Haese, Barbara, Fersch, Benjamin, Rummler, Thomas, Wei, Jianhui, Zhang, Zhenyu, and Kunstmann, Harald
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ISOTOPOLOGUES ,LAND-atmosphere interactions ,ISOTOPIC fractionation ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,HYDROLOGIC cycle - Abstract
Water isotopologues, as natural tracers of the hydrological cycle on Earth, provide a unique way to assess the skill of climate models in representing realistic atmospheric‐terrestrial water pathways. This study presents the newly developed WRF‐Hydro‐iso, which is a version of the coupled atmospheric‐hydrological WRF‐Hydro model enhanced with a joint soil‐vegetation‐atmospheric description of water isotopologue motions. It allows the consideration of isotopic fractionation processes during water phase changes in the atmosphere, the land surface, and the subsurface. For validation, WRF‐Hydro‐iso is applied to two different climate zones, namely Europe and Southern Africa under the present climate conditions. Each case is modeled with a domain employing a 5 km grid‐spacing coupled with a terrestrial subgrid employing a 500 m grid‐spacing in order to represent lateral terrestrial water flow. A 10‐year slice is simulated for 2003–2012, using ERA5 reanalyses as driving data. The boundary condition of isotopic variables is prescribed with mean values from a 10‐year simulation with the Community Earth System Model Version 1. WRF‐Hydro‐iso realistically reproduces the climatological variations of the isotopic concentrations δPO18 and δPH2 from the Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation. In a sensitivity analysis, it is found that land surface evaporation fractionation increases the isotopic concentrations in the rootzone soil moisture and slightly decreases the isotopic concentrations in precipitation. Lateral terrestrial water flow minorly affects these isotopic concentrations through changes in evaporation‐transpiration partitioning. Plain Language Summary: Global climate models are limited by their coarse resolution, which may reduce their meaningfulness. This problem can be circumvented for a specific region with regional climate models, which provide, for example, a detailed description of clouds and land‐atmosphere interactions. But it remains a question: How realistic is the model representation of water transport through the different compartments of the hydrological cycle, the atmosphere, the land, and the sea? A unique way to assess modeled water transport is the comparison to natural tracers, such as water isotopologues, which requires to include the fate of these water isotopologues in the model. This is what we pursue here with the newly developed WRF‐Hydro‐iso model. A model description and a proof of concept are provided for two climate zones, using the Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation data set as reference. Key Points: A new coupled atmospheric‐hydrological regional modeling system of water isotopologues is presentedLand surface evaporation fractionation increases the isotopic concentrations in the rootzoneLateral terrestrial water flow has a minor effect on isotopic concentrations in the rootzone [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Impact of alternative soil data sources on the uncertainties in simulated land-atmosphere interactions.
- Author
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Zhang, Zhenyu, Laux, Patrick, Baade, Jussi, Arnault, Joël, Wei, Jianhui, Wang, Xuejin, Liu, Yukun, Schmullius, Christiane, and Kunstmann, Harald
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LAND-atmosphere interactions , *ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer , *SOIL texture , *SOIL profiles , *METEOROLOGICAL research , *SOILS , *ATMOSPHERE , *SOIL sampling - Abstract
• Remarkable differences of soil texture in southern Africa are found in global soil data. • Land-atmosphere interactions are investigated by using coupled WRF-Hydro with four global soil data. • Soil texture changes lead to differences in temperature up to 1.7°C and sensible heat flux up to 25 W/m2 during austral summer. • Soil data discrepancies demonstrate physical feedback on atmospheric processes. • Consistent consideration of soil data uncertainties is needed in modeling applications. Numerical weather- and climate prediction models rely on soil data to accurately model land surface processes. However, as soil data are produced using soil profiles and maps with multiple sources of uncertainty, wide discrepancies prevail in global soil datasets. Comparison of four commonly used soil datasets in Earth system climate models, i.e., Food and Agriculture Organization soil data, Harmonized World Soil Database, Global Soil Dataset for Earth System Model, and global gridded soil information system SoilGrids, yields widespread differences in southern Africa. This study investigates the simulated land-atmosphere interactions in southern Africa in the context of the uncertainties from applying different global soil datasets. We conducted ensemble simulations using the fully coupled Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological Modeling system (WRF-Hydro) incorporated with each of the global soil datasets mentioned above. Model simulations were performed at 4-km convection-permitting scale from January 2015 to June 2016. By quantifying model's internal variability and comparing the modeling results, results show that the simulated temperature, soil moisture, and surface energy fluxes are largely impacted by soil texture differences. For instance, changes in soil texture and associated hydrophysical parameters result in large differences in air temperature up to 1.7°C and surface heat flux up to 25 W/m2, and disparities in averaged surface soil moisture differ up to 0.1 m3/m3 in austral summer months. Differences in soil texture characteristics also regulate local climatic conditions differently in the wet and dry seasons as well as in different climatic regions. Furthermore, the thermodynamic differences in surface energy fluxes caused by soil texture demonstrate physical feedback perspective on atmospheric processes, resulting in distinct changes in planetary boundary layer height. This study demonstrates the non-negligible impact of soil data on land surface-atmosphere coupled modeling and highlights the need for consistent consideration of modeling uncertainties from soil data in modeling applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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