Search

In this paper, we apply finite-mixture-model-based clustering algorithms to cluster post-landfall tracks of tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall over China. Because existing studies find that landfall surfaces or elevations affect post-landfall TC movements, we also take account of elevations in addition to time orders in this model. Our study reveals three clusters, with cluster 1 making landfall in Hainan province and moving across the western coast of Guangdong province. Most of the TC tracks in cluster 1 move over the ocean and make secondary landfalls over Yunnan province of China and Vietnam. Cluster 1 finally dissipates inland and moves westward as a result of the westward-shift subtropical high, westward steering flow, easterly vertical wind shear and strong mountainous blocking. Cluster 2 makes landfall over Guangdong and Fujian provinces. TCs in cluster 2 subsequently move inland and disappear due largely to westward-shift subtropical high, easterly steering flow, easterly vertical wind shear and relatively strong mountainous blocking. Cluster 3 makes landfall along the Fujian and Zhejiang coast and sustains a long period of time, recurving mostly to the mid-latitude region owing to the surrounding eastward-shift subtropical high, westerly vertical wind shear, weak mountainous blocking and westerly steering flow. Because cluster 2 is significantly associated with La Niña events, TCs more likely make landfall over southeastern China coast and move westward or northwestward without recurving. Cluster 3 sustains a longer time than clusters 1 and 2 in spite of its weak horizontal and vertical water vapor supply. TCs in cluster 3 interact actively with westerlies during the post-landfall period. However, we cannot observe any analogous interactions with the mid-latitude westerlies in clusters 1 and 2. TCs of clusters 1 and 2 are influenced by summer monsoon flows. Moreover, summer monsoon exerts a greater influence on cluster 1 than cluster 2. The composite 200 hPa divergence of cluster 3 is stronger than that of clusters 1 and 2. This explains to some degree why cluster 3 sustains longer than clusters 1 and 2 after making landfall. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a quantitative precipitation estimation based on the hydrometeor classification (HCA-QPE) algorithm was proposed for the first operational S band dual-polarization radar upgraded from the CINRAD/SA radar of China. The HCA-QPE algorithm, localized Colorado State University-Hydrometeor Identification of Rainfall (CSUHIDRO) algorithm, the Joint Polarization Experiment (JPOLE) algorithm, and the dynamic Z-R relationships based on variational correction QPE (DRVC-QPE) algorithm were evaluated with the rainfall events from March 1 to October 30, 2017 in Guangdong Province. The results indicated that even though the HCA-QPE algorithm did not use the observed rainfall data for correction, its estimation accuracy was better than that of the DRVC-QPE algorithm when the rainfall rate was greater than 5 mm h-1; and the stronger the rainfall intensity, the greater the QPE improvement. Besides, the HCA-QPE algorithm worked better than the localized CSU-HIDRO and JPOLE algorithms. This study preliminarily evaluated the improved accuracy of QPE by a dual-polarization radar system modified from CINRAD-SA radar. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: Grey relational method (GRM) has emerged in recent years as a new tool to deal with problems of small samples and insufficient information. Inexact data, short sample and incomplete hydrological data in water research are very commonly encountered. Statistical, fuzzy set and rough set theories have been applied to deal with uncertainty problems in hydrology. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for grey relational degree and apply it to water environment quality evaluation of the Han Jiang River, one of the major branches of the Yangtze River in China. Our proposed method possesses some essential and desirable properties which ensure that translational properties of relational degree do not exist and it will give a more precise and finer grading of the overall water quality. Our empirical applications of GRM have demonstrated that GRM is a useful tool for analysis of inexact data, short sample and incomplete hydrological data. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]