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In this paper, we have proposed and analysed a mathematical model to figure out possible ways to rescue a damaged eco-epidemiological system. Our strategy of rescue is based on the realization of the fact that chaotic dynamics often associated with excursions of system dynamics to extinction-sized densities. Chaotic dynamics of the model is depicted by 2D scans, bifurcation analysis, largest Lyapunov exponent and basin boundary calculations. 2D scan results show that μ, the total death rate of infected prey should be brought down in order to avoid chaotic dynamics. We have carried out linear and nonlinear stability analysis and obtained Hopf-bifurcation and persistence criteria of the proposed model system. The other outcome of this study is a suggestion which involves removal of infected fishes at regular interval of time. The estimation of timing and periodicity of the removal exercises would be decided by the nature of infection more than anything else. If this suggestion is carefully worked out and implemented, it would be most effective in restoring the health of the ecosystem which has immense ecological, economic and aesthetic potential. We discuss the implications of this result to Salton Sea, California, USA. The restoration of the Salton Sea provides a perspective for conservation and management strategy., (Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The anti-predator element because of fear from predator population in prey–predator models has an excellent significance and it is able to lessen the duplicate of prey population to a positive degree. In this paper, a delayed prey–predator model including fear effect and predator-taxis sensitivity is studied. Local stability and occurrence of Hopf bifurcation are analyzed by fixing the time delay as the bifurcating parameter. Then, a series of sufficient criteria for global stability is established by designing a suitable Lyapunov function. Furthermore, direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation are studied. Lastly, numerical simulation outcomes are performed to confirm our theoretical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent field experiments have shown that predators influence the prey population not only by direct consumption but also by stimulating various defensive strategies. The cost of these defensive strategies can include energetic investment in defensive structures, reduced energy income, lower mating success, and emigration which ultimately reduces the reproduction of prey. To explore the effect of these defensive strategies (anti‐predator behaviors), a modified Leslie–Gower predator–prey model with the cost of fear has been considered. Gestation delay is also incorporated in the system for a more realistic formulation. Boundedness, equilibria and stability analysis are performed for the temporal system. By considering gestation delay as a bifurcation parameter, the existence of Hopf‐bifurcation around the interior equilibrium point is discussed together with the direction, stability, and period of bifurcating solutions arising through Hopf‐bifurcation. The spatial extension of the proposed model incorporating density‐dependent cross‐diffusion is also investigated and the conditions for diffusion‐driven instability are obtained. To illustrate the analytical findings, detailed numerical simulations are performed. Biologically realistic Turing patterns such as spots, spots and stripes mixture, and labyrinthine type patterns are identified. It is found that the fear level has a stabilizing impact on delay induced destabilization and both stabilizing and destabilizing effects on Turing instability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, attempt has been made to grasp the idea about the role of fear effect of intermediate specialist predator on prey and the effect of the top predator interference in the spatial framework of a three species food chain model. By introducing a hybrid model and assuming that the interaction between prey and intermediate predator obeys the Volterra scheme, whereas Beddington-DeAngelis (BD) type functional response is taken in between the top predator and its favorite food. The stability properties of each equilibrium point of the temporal model system, blow up in finite time for both temporal and spatial systems corresponding to a large initial data are established. We pay attention to illustrate different types of patterns around the neighbourhood of a critical parameter. Choosing appropriate control parameter from the Turing space and using the existence criteria, stable patterns are obtained. The result of theoretical analysis well agrees with the result exhibited through numerical simulations around the critical parameter. Finally, numerical simulation illustrates the role of diffusion in the spatial domain by formations of different patterns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper is concerned with a delayed tobacco smoking model containing users in the form of snuffing. Its dynamics is studied in terms of local stability and Hopf bifurcation by regarding the time delay as a bifurcation parameter and analyzing the associated characteristic transcendental equation. Specially, specific formulas determining the stability and direction of the Hopf bifurcation are derived with the aid of the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. Using LMI techniques, global exponential stability results for smoking present equilibrium have been presented. Computer simulations are implemented to explain the obtained analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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In this paper, we investigate an SLBRS computer virus model with time delay and impact of antivirus software. The proposed model considers the entering rates of all computers since every computer can enter or leave the Internet easily. It has been observed that there is a stability switch and the system becomes unstable due to the effect of the time delay. Conditions under which the system remains locally stable and Hopf bifurcation occurs are found. Sufficient conditions for global stability of endemic equilibrium are derived by constructing a Lyapunov function. Formulae for the direction, stability, and period of the bifurcating periodic solutions are conducted with the aid of the normal form theory and center manifold theorem. Numerical simulations are carried out to analyze the effect of some of the parameters in the system on the dynamic behavior of the system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we have formulated an e-epidemic energy efficient susceptible-infected--terminally infected-recovered (SITR) model to analyse the attacking behaviour of worms in wireless sensor network (WSN) using cyrtoid type functional response. In this model, once a sensor node has been attacked by the worms, the terminally infected node spreads the worms to its neighbouring nodes using normal communications, which further spread it to their neighbouring nodes and the process continues. To tackle this issue, we proposed an SITR model by considering the sleep mode concept of WSN in which the operational capabilities and power consumption of the motes decreases. Boundedness, existence of equilibrium points, stability and bifurcation analysis are analysed for the proposed model system. Stability and direction of Hopf-bifurcation are also obtained for endemic equilibrium point using center manifold theorem. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out that supports the analytical findings. The impact of the control parameters like transmission rate (β), inter-nodes interference coefficient (θ1) and intrinsic growth rate (r1) on the dynamics of the model system are investigated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the current manuscript, an attempt has been made to understand the dynamics of a time-delayed predator-prey system with modified Leslie-Gower and Beddington-DeAngelis type functional responses for large initial data. In Ref. Upadhyay and Agrawal, 83(2016) 821-837, it was shown that the model possesses globally bounded solutions, for small initial conditions, under certain parametric restrictions. Here, we show that actually solutions to this model system can blow-up in finite time, for large initial condition, even under the parametric restrictions derived in Ref. Upadhyay and Agrawal, 83(2016) 821-837. We prove blow-up in the delayed model, as well as the non-delayed model, providing sufficient conditions on the largeness of data, required for finite time blow-up. Numerical simulations show that actually the initial data does not have to be very large, to induce blowup. The spatially explicit system is seen to possess non-Turing instability. We have also studied Hopf-bifurcation direction in the spatial system, as well as stability of the spatial Hopf-bifurcation using the central manifold theorem and normal form theory. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predator's management requires a detailed understanding of the ecological circumstances associated with predation. Predation by foxes has been a significant contributor to the Australian native animal reduction. This paper mainly focuses on the dissemination of rabbit hemorrhagic disease in the rabbit population and its subsequences on red fox ( Vulpes vulpes ) population, by qualitative and quantitative analyses of a designed eco-epidemiological model with simple law of mass action and sigmoid functional response. Existence of solution has been analyzed and shown to be uniformly bounded. The basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) is obtained and the occurrence of a backward bifurcation at R 0 = 1 is shown to be possible using central manifold theory. Global stability of endemic equilibrium is established by geometric approach. Criteria for diffusion-driven ecological instability caused by local random movements of European rabbits and red fox are obtained. Detailed analyses of Turing patterns formation selected by reaction-diffusion system under zero flux boundary conditions are presented. We found that transmission rate, self and cross-diffusion coefficients have appreciable influence on spatial spread of epidemics. Numerical simulation results confirm the analytical finding and generate patterns which indicate that population of red foxes might be controlled if rabbit hemorrhagic disease (RHD) is introduced into the rabbit population and thus ecological balance can be maintained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, the complex dynamics of a spatial aquatic system in the presence of self- and cross-diffusion are investigated. Criteria for local stability, instability and global stability are obtained. The effect of critical wavelength which can drive a system to instability is investigated. We noticed that cross-diffusion coefficient can be quite significant, even for small values of off-diagonal terms in the diffusion matrix. With the help of numerical simulation, we observed the Turing patterns (spots, strips, spot-strips mixture), regular spiral patterns and irregular patchy structures. The beauty and complexity of the Turing patterns are attributed to a large variety of symmetry properties realized by different values of predator's immunity, rate of fish predation and half saturation constant of predator population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a model with two different frameworks of an attacking class and a targeted class is introduced to study the virus mobility of an attack in a targeted network. Existence and stability of equilibrium points are discussed in equivalence with the basic reproduction number R 0. It is observed that as R 0 crosses unity, transcritical bifurcation arises in the system. The effect of firewall security is also shown graphically which has been taken as a media coverage factor in this work and it is discovered that firewall helps to bring down the virus propagation by reducing the infection peak. Optimal control concept is then introduced to propose one more measure for regulating the virus propagation. Numerical experimentations have been done to rationalize the analytical conclusions. In the end, a sensitivity analysis is executed that provides the information about relevance of parameters in deciding the virus spread in networks. • A new model governing DDoS attacks has been proposed to study the virus mobility in targeted network. • Firewall helps to control virus proliferation to a symbolic level by lowering the infection level. • Optimal control theory has been proposed as one more measure for regulating the virus propagation. • Sensitivity analysis is executed that provides information about the virus spread in networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We propose an e-epidemic time-delay Susceptible-Latent-Breaking out-Susceptible (S L B S ) model to study delay dynamics appearing due to antivirus software, which takes time to clean the viruses from latent and breaking-out computers. We perform nonlinear stability analysis, Hopf bifurcation analysis, and its direction and stability. Numerical simulation results (time series analysis and bifurcation diagram) give useful insights for delay dynamics. We investigate the effect of the control parameters like rate of infection of all the classes and cure rates on the model system. Our results suggest that time delay is responsible for destabilizing the system dynamics. For smooth functionality of a computer system, our results suggest the minimum use of removable storage devices like smart phones, optical discs, memory cards, external hard disk, digital cameras, and so on and use of effective antivirus softwares. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We are concerned with the Hopf bifurcation of an SVEIR computer virus model with time delay and nonlinear incident rate. First of all, by analyzing the associated characteristic equation we obtain sufficient conditions for its local stability and the existence of a Hopf bifurcation. Directly afterward, by means of the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem we derive explicit formulas that determine the direction of the Hopf bifurcation and the stability of the bifurcated periodic solutions. Finally, we carry out numerical simulations to illustrate and verify the theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]