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Projections of Antarctic Ice Sheet mass loss and therefore global sea level rise are hugely uncertain, partly due to how mass loss of the ice sheet occurs at the grounding line. The Wilkes Subglacial Basin (WSB), a vast region of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet, is thought to be particularly vulnerable to deglaciation under future climate warming scenarios. However, future projections of ice loss, driven by grounding-line migration, are known to be sensitive to the parameterization of ocean-induced basal melt of the floating ice shelves and, specifically, to the adjacent grounding line – termed grounding-line melt parameterizations (GLMPs). This study investigates future ice sheet dynamics in the WSB with respect to four GLMPs under both the upper and lower bounds of climate warming scenarios from the present to 2500, with different model resolutions, ice shelf melt parameterizations (ISMPs) and choices of sliding relationships. The variation in these GLMPs determines the distribution and the amount of melt applied in the finite-element assembly procedure on partially grounded elements (i.e. elements containing the grounding line). Our findings indicate that the GLMPs significantly affect both the trigger timings of tipping points and the overall magnitude of ice mass loss. We conclude that applying full melting to the partially grounded elements, which causes melting on the grounded side of the grounding line, should be avoided under all circumstances due to its poor numerical convergence and substantial overestimation of ice mass loss. We recommend preferring options that depend on the specific model context, by either (1) not applying any melt immediately adjacent to the grounding line or (2) employing a sub-element parameterization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We explore the links between elevation variability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) and large‐scale climate modes. Using multiple linear regression, we quantify the time‐cumulative effects of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on gridded AIS elevations. Cumulative ENSO and SAM explain a median of 29% of the partial variance and up to 85% in some coastal areas. After spatial smoothing, these signals have high spatial correlation with those from GRACE gravimetry (r∼ = 0.65 each). Much of the signal is removed by a firn densification model but inter‐model differences exist especially for ENSO. At the lower parts of the Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers, near their grounding line, we find the Amundsen Sea Low (ASL) explains ∼90% of the observed elevation variability. There, modeled firn effects explain only a small fraction of the variability, suggesting significant height changes could be a response to climatological ice‐dynamics. Plain Language Summary: This study investigates how variations in the height of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) are connected to large‐scale climate patterns. We used a statistical method to measure the effects of two climate phenomena: El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). We found that the cumulative effects of these phenomena account for about 29% of the variations in AIS height on average, and up to 85% in some coastal areas. These patterns match well with independent data from the GRACE satellites over the same period. Applying a model that considers the accumulation of snow and its compaction into ice (firn densification) removes much of this signal, suggesting much, but not all, of the signals are related to snowfall variations. At the fronts of the rapidly changing Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers, the dominant climate phenomenon is the Amundsen Sea Low (ASL), which varies in strength and location. Here, the cumulative effects of the ASL changes explain about 90% of the variations in height of these glaciers, with only a small part explained by firn effects. We suggest the unexplained variability could be partly due to changes in ice flow. Key Points: Cumulative effects of large‐scale climate modes dominate detrended altimeter time series of Antarctic ice elevation 2002–2020These decadal signals have the same spatial pattern in altimeter ice height and GRACE mass time seriesThese decadal signals are largely due to surface mass balance, but ice dynamic changes may play a role in the Amundsen Sea Embayment [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Seismic imaging in 3-D holds great potential for improving our understanding of ice sheet structure and dynamics. Conducting 3-D imaging in remote areas is simplified by using lightweight and logistically straightforward sources. We report results from controlled seismic source tests carried out near the West Antarctic Ice Sheet Divide investigating the characteristics of two types of surface seismic sources, Poulter shots and detonating cord, for use in both 2-D and 3-D seismic surveys on glaciers. Both source types produced strong basal P-wave and S-wave reflections and multiples recorded in three components. The Poulter shots had a higher amplitude for low frequencies (<10 Hz) and comparable amplitude at high frequencies (>50 Hz) relative to the detonating cord. Amplitudes, frequencies, speed of source set-up, and cost all suggested Poulter shots to be the preferred surface source compared to detonating cord for future 2-D and 3-D seismic surveys on glaciers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the physical basis of the crevasse-depth (CD) calving law by analysing relationships between glaciological stresses and calving behaviour at Sermeq Kujalleq (Store Glacier), Greenland. Our observations and model simulations show that the glacier has a stable position defined by a compressive arch between lateral pinning points. Ice advance beyond the arch results in calving back to the stable position; conversely, if melt-undercutting forces the ice front behind the stable position, it readvances because ice velocities exceed subaqueous melt rates. This behaviour is typical of self-organising criticality, in which the stable ice-front position acts as an attractor between unstable super-critical and sub-critical regimes. This perspective provides strong support for a 'position-law' approach to modelling calving at Sermeq Kujalleq, because any calving 'rate' is simply a by-product of how quickly ice is delivered to the critical point. The CD calving law predicts ice-front position from the penetration of surface and basal crevasse fields, and accurately simulates super-critical calving back to the compressive arch and melt-driven calving into the sub-critical zone. The CD calving law reflects the glaciological controls on calving at Sermeq Kujalleq and exhibits considerable skill in simulating its mean position and seasonal fluctuations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) is increasingly recognised as a valuable tool for glaciological seismic applications, although analysing the large data volumes generated in acquisitions poses computational challenges. We show the potential of active-source DAS to image and characterise subglacial sediment beneath a fast-flowing Greenlandic outlet glacier, estimating the thickness of sediment layers to be 20–30 m. However, the lack of subglacial velocity constraint limits the accuracy of this estimate. Constraint could be provided by analysing cryoseismic events in a counterpart 3-day record of passive seismicity through, for example, seismic tomography, but locating them within the 9 TB data volume is computationally inefficient. We describe experiments with data compression using the frequency-wavenumber (f-k) transform ahead of training a convolutional neural network, that provides a ~300-fold improvement in efficiency. In combining active and passive-source and our machine learning framework, the potential of large DAS datasets could be unlocked for a range of future applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Tidewater glaciers are an important and difficult part of the cryosphere to study owing to their complex nature and often inaccessible and physically challenging environments. The interaction of glacier and fjord processes furthermore presents particular observational challenges. Modelling provides a possible solution to these issues, but, at the glacier scale, the processual complexities require a 3-D full-Stokes approach that is computationally expensive. Additionally, the lack of data for model validation or constraints imposes further obstacles. Despite this, progress on modelling such glaciers with explicit inclusion of all relevant processes is being made. The key remaining challenges are including more realistic representations of calving and coupling 3-D glacier modelling with 3-D fjord circulation modelling to allow inclusion of the effect of cross-fjord circulation. We are confident, however, that these issues can be resolved and will be resolved over the next decade. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Subglacial lakes identified beneath the Antarctic Ice Sheet belong to a rare category of unexplored environments on Earth's surface. The key to understanding the origin and longevity of subglacial lakes is likely contained in their sedimentary sequences. Here we explore the nature of a sedimentary succession in a deep tectonic trough identified as a prime candidate for a large subglacial paleolake. The trough is the 100-km-long, 620-m-deep Christie Bay, located in the east arm of the Great Slave Lake, Canada. High-resolution seismic reflection data and short sediment cores collected in the deep trough show a 150-m-thick sequence of fine-grained sedimentary lake fill separating glacial ice-contact deposits from draped Holocene lake sediments. We interpret this sequence to consist of sediments that accumulated in a subglacial lake that covered an area larger than 130 [km.sup.2]. The inferred presence of a subglacial paleolake is supported by results from hydrologic modeling of drainage pathways beneath the Laurentide Ice Sheet during the last glacial maximum. Our data point toward the existence of a dynamic subglacial lake environment where sediments were delivered by discharge of meltwater from a subglacial water system. A core sample of the sedimentary lake fill in Christie Bay may elucidate whether living organisms exist in subglacial lakes. Keywords: subglacial lake, ice sheet, sediment, hydrology, basal water.

Subglacial hydrology modulates basal motion but remains poorly constrained, particularly for soft-bedded Greenlandic outlet glaciers. Here, we report detailed measurements of the response of subglacial water pressure to the connection and drainage of adjacent water-filled boreholes drilled through kilometre-thick ice on Sermeq Kujalleq (Store Glacier). These measurements provide evidence for gap opening at the ice-sediment interface, Darcian flow through the sediment layer, and the forcing of water pressure in hydraulically-isolated cavities by stress transfer. We observed a small pressure drop followed by a large pressure rise in response to the connection of an adjacent borehole, consistent with the propagation of a flexural wave within the ice and underlying deformable sediment. We interpret the delayed pressure rise as evidence of no pre-existing conduit and the progressive decrease in hydraulic transmissivity as the closure of a narrow (< 1.5 mm) gap opened at the ice-sediment interface, and a reversion to Darcian flow through the sediment layer with a hydraulic conductivity of ≤ 10−6 m s−1. We suggest that gap opening at the ice-sediment interface deserves further attention as it will occur naturally in response to the rapid pressurisation of water at the bed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We present the first fully coupled 3D full-Stokes model of a tidewater glacier, incorporating ice flow, subglacial hydrology, plume-induced frontal melting and calving. We apply the model to Store Glacier (Sermeq Kujalleq) in west Greenland to simulate a year of high melt (2012) and one of low melt (2017). In terms of modelled hydrology, we find perennial channels extending 5 km inland from the terminus and up to 41 and 29 km inland in summer 2012 and 2017, respectively. We also report a hydrodynamic feedback that suppresses channel growth under thicker ice inland and allows water to be stored in the distributed system. At the terminus, we find hydrodynamic feedbacks exert a major control on calving through their impact on velocity. We show that 2012 marked a year in which Store Glacier developed a fully channelised drainage system, unlike 2017, where it remained only partially developed. This contrast in modelled behaviour indicates that tidewater glaciers can experience a strong hydrological, as well as oceanic, control, which is consistent with observations showing glaciers switching between types of behaviour. The fully coupled nature of the model allows us to demonstrate the likely lack of any hydrological or ice-dynamic memory at Store Glacier. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The crystal orientation fabric (COF) of ice sheets records the past history of ice sheet deformation and influences present-day ice flow dynamics. Though not widely implemented, coherent ice-penetrating radar is able to detect bulk anisotropic fabric patterns by exploiting the birefringence of ice crystals at radar frequencies, with the assumption that one of the crystallographic axes is aligned in the vertical direction. In this study, we conduct a suite of quad-polarimetric measurements consisting of four orthogonal antenna orientation combinations near the Western Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) Divide ice core site. From these measurements, we are able to quantify the azimuthal fabric asymmetry at this site to a depth of 1400 m at a bulk-averaged resolution of up to 15 m. Our estimates of fabric asymmetry closely match corresponding fabric estimates directly measured from the WAIS Divide ice core. While ice core studies are often unable to determine the absolute fabric orientation due to core rotation during extraction, we are able to identify and conclude that the fabric orientation is depth-invariant to at least 1400 m , equivalent to 6700 years BP (years before 1950) and aligns closely with the modern surface strain direction at WAIS Divide. Our results support the claim that the deformation regime at WAIS Divide has not changed substantially through the majority of the Holocene. Rapid polarimetric determination of bulk fabric asymmetry and orientation compares well with much more laborious sample-based COF measurements from thin ice sections. Because it is the bulk-averaged fabric that ultimately influences ice flow, polarimetric radar methods provide an opportunity for its accurate and widespread mapping and its incorporation into ice flow models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Subglacial hydrological systems require innovative technological solutions to access and observe. Wireless sensor platforms can be used to collect and return data, but their performance in deep and fast-moving ice requires quantification. We report experimental results from Cryoegg: a spherical probe that can be deployed into a borehole or moulin and transit through the subglacial hydrological system. The probe measures temperature, pressure and electrical conductivity in situ and returns all data wirelessly via a radio link. We demonstrate Cryoegg's utility in studying englacial channels and moulins, including in situ salt dilution gauging. Cryoegg uses VHF radio to transmit data to a surface receiving array. We demonstrate transmission through up to 1.3 km of cold ice – a significant improvement on the previous design. The wireless transmission uses Wireless M-Bus on 169 MHz; we present a simple radio link budget model for its performance in cold ice and experimentally confirm its validity. Cryoegg has also been tested successfully in temperate ice. The battery capacity should allow measurements to be made every 2 h for more than a year. Future iterations of the radio system will enable Cryoegg to transmit data through up to 2.5 km of ice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Calving and solid ice discharge into fjords account for approximately half of the annual net ice loss from the Greenland ice sheet, but these processes are rarely observed. To gain insights into the spatiotemporal nature of calving, we use a terrestrial radar interferometer to derive a 3‐week record of 8,026 calving events from Sermeq Kujalleq (Store Glacier, West Greenland), including the transition between a mélange‐filled and ice‐free fjord. We show that calving rates double across this transition and that the interferometer record is in good agreement with volumetric estimates of calving losses from contemporaneous unmanned aerial vehicle surveys. We report significant variations in calving activity over time, which obfuscate any simple power‐law relationship. While there is a statistically significant relationship between surface melt and the number of calving events, no such relationship exists between surface melt and the volume of these events. Similarly, we find a 70% increase in the number of calving events in the presence of visible meltwater plumes but only a 3% increase in calving volumes. While calving losses appear to have no clear single control, we find a bimodal distribution of iceberg sizes due to small blocks breaking off the subaerial part of the glacier front and large capsizing icebergs forming by full‐thickness failure. Whereas previous work has hypothesized that tidewater glaciers can be grouped according to whether they calve predominantly by the former or latter mechanism, our observations indicate that calving here inherently comprises both and that the dominant process can change over relatively short periods. Plain Language Summary: We observe the release of icebergs by calving at a large glacier in Greenland for 3 weeks, during which we find 8,026 calving events across a wide range of environmental conditions. We show that our observation method (radar interferometry) agrees well with an independent method (aerial drone photography). We find that the type of calving varies significantly over time, but there is no single mechanism that controls this variation; instead, it is due to multiple factors. This leads to two kinds of calving events: small blocks falling off the visible part of the front of the glacier and large blocks of the entire thickness of the front (including the area underwater) breaking off. Previous study has assumed that glaciers can be grouped by which of these types of calving is more important, but we show that this is an over‐simplification at large glaciers such as store, as both these mechanisms are observed and both are the more important mechanism at different times. Key Points: We derive a record of 8,026 calving events and sizes at Store Glacier in July 2017 using a terrestrial radar interferometerWe find no single clear control on calving and clear variations in calving behavior over time, producing a bimodal calving event‐size distributionOur findings suggest that grouping glaciers by their dominant calving mechanism is not tenable, as this mechanism can change over time [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) is a new technology in which seismic energy is detected, at high spatial and temporal resolution, using the propagation of laser pulses in a fiber‐optic cable. We show analyses from the first glaciological borehole DAS deployment to measure the englacial and subglacial seismic properties of Store Glacier, a fast‐flowing outlet of the Greenland Ice Sheet. We record compressional and shear waves in 1,043 m‐deep vertical seismic profiles, sampled at 10 m vertical resolution, and detect a transition from isotropic to anisotropic ice at 84% of ice thickness, consistent with the Holocene‐Wisconsin transition. We identify subglacial reflections originating from the base of a 20 m‐thick layer of consolidated sediment and, from attenuation measurements, interpret temperate ice in the lowermost 100 m of the glacier. Our findings highlight the promising potential of DAS technology to constrain the seismic properties of glaciers and ice sheets. Plain Language Summary: Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) is a new technology for seismic surveying in which the transmission of light through fiber‐optic cables is used to record seismic energy, with unprecedented spatial resolution compared to traditional techniques. Our paper presents data from the first borehole‐glaciological deployment of DAS, in which fiber‐optic cable was installed in a 1,043 m‐deep vertical borehole on Store Glacier, a fast‐flowing outlet of the Greenland Ice Sheet. The detailed seismic anatomy of the glacier that our survey provides—an independent measurement of the seismic response every 10 m—gives new insights about its internal flow regime and temperature and even allows us to detect layers of sediment underlying it. We predict that DAS surveying will play an increasingly large role in future glaciological investigations as the recognition of its promising potential grows. Key Points: Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) is a new technology for recording seismic data using laser pulses propagating in a fiber‐optic cableWe present the first borehole‐glaciological application of DAS, installing cable in a 1,043 m‐deep borehole on Greenland's Store GlacierWe evidence, at 10 m vertical resolution, anisotropic and temperate ice beyond ~880 m depth and ~20 m of consolidated subglacial sediment [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the subglacial hydrology of Store Glacier in West Greenland, using the open-source, full-Stokes model Elmer/Ice in a novel 3D application that includes a distributed water sheet, as well as discrete channelised drainage, and a 1D model to simulate submarine plumes at the calving front. At first, we produce a baseline winter scenario with no surface meltwater. We then investigate the hydrological system during summer, focussing specifically on 2012 and 2017, which provide examples of high and low surface-meltwater inputs, respectively. We show that the common assumption of zero winter freshwater flux is invalid, and we find channels over 1 m 2 in area occurring up to 5 km inland in winter. We also find that the production of water from friction and geothermal heat is sufficiently high to drive year-round plume activity, with ice-front melting averaging 0.15 m d -1. When the model is forced with seasonally averaged surface melt from summer, we show a hydrological system with significant distributed sheet activity extending 65 and 45 km inland in 2012 and 2017, respectively; while channels with a cross-sectional area higher than 1 m 2 form as far as 55 and 30 km inland. Using daily values for the surface melt as forcing, we find only a weak relationship between the input of surface meltwater and the intensity of plume melting at the calving front, whereas there is a strong correlation between surface-meltwater peaks and basal water pressures. The former shows that storage of water on multiple timescales within the subglacial drainage system plays an important role in modulating subglacial discharge. The latter shows that high melt inputs can drive high basal water pressures even when the channelised network grows larger. This has implications for the future velocity and mass loss of Store Glacier, and the consequent sea-level rise, in a warming world. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Iceberg calving accounts for between 30 % and 60 % of net mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet, which has intensified and is now the single largest contributor to global sea level rise in the cryosphere. Changes to calving rates and the dynamics of calving glaciers represent a significant uncertainty in projections of future sea level rise. A growing body of observational evidence suggests that calving glaciers respond rapidly to regional environmental change, but predictive capacity is limited by the lack of suitable models capable of simulating calving mechanisms realistically. Here, we use a 3-D full-Stokes calving model to investigate the environmental sensitivity of Store Glacier, a large outlet glacier in West Greenland. We focus on two environmental processes: undercutting by submarine melting and buttressing by ice mélange, and our results indicate that Store Glacier is likely to be able to withstand moderate warming perturbations in which the former is increased by 50 % and the latter reduced by 50 %. However, severe perturbation with a doubling of submarine melt rates or a complete loss of ice mélange destabilises the calving front in our model runs. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that stress and fracture patterns at Store's terminus are complex and varied, primarily due to the influence of basal topography. Calving style and environmental sensitivity vary greatly, with propagation of surface crevasses significantly influencing iceberg production in the northern side, whereas basal crevasses dominate in the south. Any future retreat is likely to be initiated in the southern side by a combination of increased submarine melt rates in summer and reduced mélange strength in winter. The lateral variability, as well as the importance of rotational and bending forces at the terminus, underlines the importance of using the 3-D full-Stokes stress solution when modelling Greenland's calving glaciers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and structure from motion with multi-view stereo (SfM–MVS) photogrammetry are increasingly common tools for geoscience applications, but final product accuracy can be significantly diminished in the absence of a dense and well-distributed network of ground control points (GCPs). This is problematic in inaccessible or hazardous field environments, including highly crevassed glaciers, where implementing suitable GCP networks would be logistically difficult if not impossible. To overcome this challenge, we present an alternative geolocation approach known as GNSS-supported aerial triangulation (GNSS-AT). Here, an on-board carrier-phase GNSS receiver is used to determine the location of photo acquisitions using kinematic differential carrier-phase positioning. The camera positions can be used as the geospatial input to the photogrammetry process. We describe the implementation of this method in a low-cost, custom-built UAV and apply the method in a glaciological setting at Store Glacier in western Greenland. We validate the technique at the calving front, achieving topographic uncertainties of ±0.12 m horizontally (∼1.1× the ground sampling distance) and ±0.14 m vertically (∼1.3× the ground sampling distance), when flying at an altitude of ∼450 m above ground level. This compares favourably with previous GCP-derived uncertainties in glacial environments and allows us to apply the SfM–MVS photogrammetry at an inland study site where ice flows at 2 m day -1 and stable ground control is not available. Here, we were able to produce, without the use of GCPs, the first UAV-derived velocity fields of an ice sheet interior. Given the growing use of UAVs and SfM–MVS in glaciology and the geosciences, GNSS-AT will be of interest to those wishing to use UAV photogrammetry to obtain high-precision measurements of topographic change in contexts where GCP collection is logistically constrained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The phase-sensitive radio-echo sounder (pRES) is a powerful new instrument that can measure the depth of internal layers and the glacier bed to millimetre accuracy. We use a stationary 16-antenna pRES array on Store Glacier in West Greenland to measure the three-dimensional orientation of dipping internal reflectors, extending the capabilities of pRES beyond conventional depth sounding. This novel technique portrays the effectiveness of pRES in deriving the orientation of dipping internal layers that may complement profiles obtained through other geophysical surveying methods. Deriving ice vertical strain rates from changes in layer depth as measured by a sequence of pRES observations assumes that the internal reflections come from vertically beneath the antenna. By revealing the orientation of internal reflectors and the potential deviation from nadir of their associated reflections, the use of an antenna array can correct this assumption. While the array configuration was able to resolve the geometry of englacial layers, the same configuration could not be used to accurately image the glacier bed. Here, we use simulations of the performance of different array geometries to identify configurations that can be tailored to study different types of basal geometry for future deployments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supraglacial lakes on the Greenland Ice Sheet are expanding inland, but the impact on ice flow is equivocal because interior surface conditions may preclude the transfer of surface water to the bed. Here we use a well-constrained 3D model to demonstrate that supraglacial lakes in Greenland drain when tensile-stress perturbations propagate fractures in areas where fractures are normally absent or closed. These melt-induced perturbations escalate when lakes as far as 80 km apart form expansive networks and drain in rapid succession. The result is a tensile shock that establishes new surface-to-bed hydraulic pathways in areas where crevasses transiently open. We show evidence for open crevasses 135 km inland from the ice margin, which is much farther inland than previously considered possible. We hypothesise that inland expansion of lakes will deliver water and heat to isolated regions of the ice sheet's interior where the impact on ice flow is potentially large. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Iceberg calving accounts for around half of all mass loss from both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. The diverse nature of calving and its complex links to both internal dynamics and climate make it challenging to incorporate into models of glaciers and ice sheets. Here we present results from a new open‐source 3‐D full‐Stokes calving model developed in Elmer/Ice. The calving model implements the crevasse depth criterion, which states that calving occurs when surface and basal crevasses penetrate the full thickness of the glacier. The model also implements a new 3‐D rediscretization approach and a time‐evolution scheme which allow the calving front to evolve realistically through time. We test the model in an application to Store Glacier, one of the largest outlet glaciers in West Greenland, and find that it realistically simulates the seasonal advance and retreat when two principal environmental forcings are applied. These forcings are (1) submarine melting in distributed and concentrated forms and (2) ice mélange buttressing. We find that ice mélange buttressing is primarily responsible for Store Glacier's seasonal advance and retreat. Distributed submarine melting prevents the glacier from forming a permanent floating tongue, while concentrated plume melting has a disproportionately large and potentially destabilizing effect on the calving front position. Our results also highlight the importance of basal topography, which exerts a strong control on calving, explaining why Store Glacier has remained stable during a period when neighboring glaciers have undergone prolonged interannual retreat. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid drainage of supraglacial lakes on the Greenland Ice Sheet enables the establishment of surface-to-bed hydrologic connections and subsequent basal water delivery. Estimates of the number and spatial distribution of rapidly draining lakes vary widely, and no study has so far quantified the impact of observation bias due to cloud cover in satellite imagery on reported frequency of rapid lake drainage. To better understand the rapid drainage mechanism, we map and track an average of 515 supraglacial lakes per year in central West Greenland from 2000 to 2015. We test four previously published definitions of rapid lake drainage and find the proportion of rapidly draining lakes to vary from 3% to 38% and to be strongly dependent on observation frequency. We then apply an observation bias correction and test three new drainage criteria, which reveal a bias-corrected rapid drainage probability of 36-45%. When observation bias is addressed, we can also show that lakes above 1,600 m are as likely to drain rapidly as lakes located at lower elevations. We conclude that inconsistent detection methodologies and observation bias have obscured the true frequency of rapidly draining lakes and that the rapid lake drainage mechanism will establish surface-to-bed hydrologic connections at increasing distance from the margin as supraglacial lakes expand inland under climate warming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Intense rainfall events significantly affect Alpine and Alaskan glaciers through enhanced melting, ice-flow acceleration and subglacial sediment erosion, yet their impact on the Greenland ice sheet has not been assessed. Here we present measurements of ice velocity, subglacial water pressure and meteorological variables from the western margin of the Greenland ice sheet during a week of warm, wet cyclonic weather in late August and early September 2011. We find that extreme surface runoff from melt and rainfall led to a widespread acceleration in ice flow that extended 140 km into the ice-sheet interior. We suggest that the late-season timing was critical in promoting rapid runoff across an extensive bare ice surface that overwhelmed a subglacial hydrological system in transition to a less-efficient winter mode. Reanalysis data reveal that similar cyclonic weather conditions prevailed across southern and western Greenland during this time, and we observe a corresponding ice-flow response at all land- and marine-terminating glaciers in these regions for which data are available. Given that the advection of warm, moist air masses and rainfall over Greenland is expected to become more frequent in the coming decades, our findings portend a previously unforeseen vulnerability of the Greenland ice sheet to climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Greenland Ice Sheet is thinning at an accelerating pace and the ice sheet's contribution to sea-level rise has doubled in less than a decade. New data show rapid and widespread changes in the behaviour of the ice sheet, particularly along the coastal margin. These changes coincide with a decade of sustained Arctic warming of up to 3 °C. Decay of the Greenland Ice Sheet in response to global warming will not only be governed by increased surface melting during longer and warmer summers but also by a speed-up of coastal glaciers that drain the interior ice sheet. A precise estimate of sea-level rise in the twenty-first century relies on improved theoretical treatment of these glaciers in computer models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A combination of glaciological theory and geological observations was used to investigate the possibility of till consolidation being driven by basal freeze-on beneath a stagnating, mid-latitude palaeo-ice stream. We focused on the case of the Baltic Ice Stream that advanced into Denmark at c . 15 ka BP and which left behind a characteristic till sequence consisting of a strong and well-consolidated till crust underlain by weak and poorly consolidated till. Our hypothesis is that basal freezing caused the markedly higher consolidation of the uppermost till layer. The freezing may have either triggered or simply just accompanied ice-stream stoppage. To test the feasibility of this hypothesis, we have developed a numerical model that couples ice-stream dynamics to time-dependent changes of till properties. Despite relatively mild palaeo-climatic conditions in this area during Late Pleistocene deglaciation (∼0°C), the ice-stream model is capable of producing basal freezing when the effect of horizontal advection of cold ice is included. Our simulations of till response to basal freezing are based on thermodynamic concepts adapted from permafrost studies. Dewatering of till by basal freeze-on may lead to overconsolidation (OCR>10). Based on the history of effective pressure changes in the till, we can predict postglacial till strength profiles using the SHANSEP method. In a series of numerical experiments we have examined the response of till strength to basal freeze-on induced beneath a decaying ice sheet. We have come reasonably close to reproducing shear strength profiles for till deposited by the Baltic Ice Stream. These observations are most consistent with palaeo-ice-stream stagnation triggered by basal freezing and followed by abrupt retreat (<100 years) due to high surface ablation rates (>10 ma -1 ). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Surface crevassing is common on most of Earth's glaciers and particularly prevalent on fast-moving outlet glaciers characterised by high surface strain rates. As well as having implications for the mechanics of ice deformation and net strength, crevasses represent a means of transferring surface-generated meltwater and associated heat into the interior, and ultimately possibly to the base, of ice masses. Theoretically, surface crevasses are restricted to the uppermost tens of metres of an ice mass, but this can be extended by hydrofracturing where crevasses are water-filled. However, details - such as the locations of hydrofracturing both within a crevasse field and more locally within individual crevasses - are poorly understood such that vertical crevasse extent remains largely unconstrained. This knowledge gap mainly reflects the challenges associated with obtaining measurements of crevasse depth at glaciers, in terms of both obtaining direct access and geophysical imaging, especially of water-filled crevasses.Borehole optical televiewing (OPTV) records a high-resolution, geometrically-accurate image of the complete wall of any logged borehole, revealing the visible ice types and structures intercepted by that borehole. The technique therefore represents one means of investigating deep crevasses at ice masses, noting that such crevasses need to be inclined sufficiently to intersect an approximately vertical borehole. Here, we report evidence from a 325 m-long OPTV log of a borehole drilled ~30 km upglacier of the terminus of Store Glacier, a fast-moving tidewater glacier in west Greenland. While most structural features in the OPTV log are low-angle alternating decimetre-scale layers of clear ice and bubble-rich ice, interpreted as stratification, several high-angle features were also imaged. These were present to a depth of ~275 m and were typically centimetres to decimetres thick and composed of predominantly bubble-free ice. In one case, parallel crystal edges indicative of a directional freezing front were evident. Close inspection of the OPTV log also reveals that most of the high-angle layers enclosed one or more (and exceptionally, 11) structurally concordant millimetre-thick bubbly layers. We interpret the steeply-dipping layers as crevasses containing refrozen meltwater, and the fine bubbly layers as individual episodes of crevasse re-opening, refilling and refreezing – each expelling a new layer of gas as freezing completes. Implications for the transfer of mass and heat from the glacier's surface to its interior are explored by (i) comparing measured borehole temperatures with modelled englacial temperatures, and (ii) a spatial analysis of local surface crevassing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As part of the research project RESPONDER, we performed two combined radar-seismic surveys to identify the bed conditions and suitable drilling locations at Store Glacier, a marine-terminating glacier in West Greenland. The two sites at 30 (Low Site) and 60 km (High Site) upstream of the snout of the glacier are thought to be part of the same subglacial drainage system but have different conditions both at the surface and at the base. As the ice-bed contact in the seismic data was sometimes difficult to identify we used the radar (Ground Penetrating Radar) data for confirmation.At the Low Site in the ablation zone, the surface is icy and crevassed. The five 2 to 3 km long seismic profiles show a large subglacial trench (width 2 km, depth 350 m) orientated in flow direction. The basal conditions vary with patches water, whether or not present in saturated sediments or exclusively at the base, both at the along-flow and across-flow profiles but they appear mainly at the sloping sides of the trench. The NE side of the trench contains a 100 to 150 m thick stratified sequence of softer, less consolidated sediments. At the High Site at equilibrium line, the surface is snowy with two frozen supra-glacial lakes. The two seismic profiles show less topography but have a similar patchy character. Despite thicker ice the ice-bed contact is much clearer visible in the seismic data which we contribute to a better coupled snowstreamer. The 5 km along-flow profile has a flat base consisting of sediments. A clear single englacial reflection following the shape of the base can be seen at 85% depth of the ice column, possibly the Holocene-Wisconsin transition. At the 1.7 km across-flow profile there is a 130 m rise of the bed from S to N. Judging by the strength of the basal reflection the sediments at the northern side are softer then at the southern side. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ice loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet is currently the single largest cryospheric contributor to global sea level rise. The two most significant factors influencing ice loss are the acceleration of fast-flowing, marine-terminating glaciers, and surface run-off, which has increased steadily over the last several decades. Since almost all water from the surface is routed to the bed, hydrological systems at the base of the glacier are inherently conditioned by surface processes. Unpicking the relationships between surface (melt)water input, basal hydrology, and ice velocity is therefore key to understanding the effects of global warming on the contribution of marine-terminating glaciers to global sea level rise.Passive seismology enables the continuous observation of a range of phenomena occurring within and underneath glaciers, such as icequakes, crevassing, and tremors associated with water transport. This technique is therefore ideally suited to studying the effects of variations in surface water input over the duration of a melt season. Over the course of two field campaigns in May and June–July 2018, a network of 12 near-surface and 3 deep borehole geophones was deployed on Store Glacier, a large marine-terminating glacier in West Greenland, as part of the multidisciplinary RESPONDER project. The stations have recorded continuously since early May, capturing a wide range of phenomena including the onset and duration of the surface melting season, regional earthquakes, impulsive microseismic activity, and the drainage of a supraglacial lake. Here, we present findings in the form of spectrograms and the locations of microseismic events recorded by the network. The spectrograms show a clear and sudden transition between relative seismic quiescence and increased mid–high frequency activity on 5 June, corresponding to the onset of significant surface melting. The seismic signatures of meteorological events such as prolonged rainfall are also captured in the spectrograms. This dataset is therefore uniquely suited to investigating links between the input of surface water, microseismicity and basal hydrology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The structure of subglacial hydrological drainage systems beneath large Greenlandic tidewater glaciers influences ice velocity due to its effect on basal traction, and it may also influence calving by its control on melting at the ice-ocean interface. Understanding these systems is critical to being able to accurately predict the evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet and the resulting sea-level rise, as the fifteen largest Greenland outlet glaciers are responsible for 77% of the additional mass loss from the ice sheet due to acceleration since 2000. In this study, we use numerical modelling and observations of Store Glacier in West Greenland to constrain the form of the subglacial drainage system and melt rates from the resulting plumes, both of which are poorly known.We investigate the evolution of Store Glacier's subglacial hydrology using the open-source, full-Stokes model Elmer/Ice in a novel 3D application, the GlaDS hydrological module, which includes a distributed sheet and the ability to form concentrated channels when the sheet locally reaches sufficient thickness to initiate melting in cavities. At first, we produce a baseline winter scenario in which the hydrological system contains only basally derived meltwater produced primarily from friction at the bed. We then investigate the hydrological system during summer, focussing specifically on 2012 and 2017, which provide examples of high and low inputs of surface meltwater, respectively. When the model is forced with constant average runoff from summer (Jun-Aug) 2012, outputs show a hydrological system with significant sheet activity extending 55km inland and channels with a cross-sectional area higher than 1 m2 forming up to 45 km from the margin. However, we also find the hydrological system to be active in winter, when significant sheet flux is evident up to 35 km inland, and channels form as far as 25 km inland. The discharge of meltwater into the fjord produces convective plumes throughout the year, and these drive average submarine ice-front melt rates of up to 0.15 m d-1 in summer and 0.12 m d-1 in winter, rising to 1.6 m d-1 and 1.07 m d-1, respectively, for average temporal maximum melt rates. When the model is forced with daily time-series of summer runoff, we find a higher intensity of plume melting, reaching 0.16 m d-1 on average (rising to 2.21 m d-1 for the average temporal maximum). Our study shows that plume-induced ice-front melting is substantial even in winter, and we hypothesise that the high spatial variability and intensity during summer may drive calving through plume-induced notches cutting into the ice front as well as by undercutting of the terminus as a whole. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Uncertainty associated with ice sheet motion plagues sea level rise predictions. Much of this uncertainty arises from imperfect representations of physical processes including basal slip and internal ice deformation, with ice sheet models largely incapable of reproducing borehole-based observations. Here, we model isolated three-dimensional domains from fast-moving (Sermeq Kujalleq/Store Glacier) and slow-moving (Isunnguata Sermia) ice sheet settings in Greenland. By incorporating realistic geostatistically simulated topography, we show that a spatially highly variable layer of temperate ice (much softer ice at the pressure-melting point) forms naturally in both settings, alongside ice motion patterns which diverge substantially from those obtained using smoothly varying BedMachine topography. Temperate ice is vertically extensive (>100 meters) in deep troughs but thins notably (<5 meters) over bedrock highs, with basal slip rates reaching >90 or <5% of surface velocity dependent on topography and temperate layer thickness. Developing parameterizations of the net effect of this complex motion can improve the realism of predictive ice sheet models.

The land-terminating margin of the Greenland Ice Sheet has slowed down in recent decades, although the causes and implications for future ice flow are unclear. Explained originally by a self-regulating mechanism where basal slip reduces as drainage evolves from low to high efficiency, recent numerical modeling invokes a sedimentary control of ice sheet flow as an alternative hypothesis. Although both hypotheses can explain the recent slowdown, their respective forecasts of a long-term deceleration versus an acceleration of ice flow are contradictory. We present amplitude-versus-angle seismic data as the first observational test of the alternative hypothesis. We document transient modifications of basal sediment strengths by rapid subglacial drainages of supraglacial lakes, the primary current control on summer ice sheet flow according to our numerical model. Our observations agree with simulations of initial postdrainage sediment weakening and ice flow accelerations, and subsequent sediment restrengthening and ice flow decelerations, and thus confirm the alternative hypothesis. Although simulated melt season acceleration of ice flow due to weakening of subglacial sediments does not currently outweigh winter slowdown forced by self-regulation, they could dominate over the longer term. Subglacial sediments beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet must therefore be mapped and characterized, and a sedimentary control of ice flow must be evaluated against competing self-regulation mechanisms.