1. Multivariate state and parameter estimation with data assimilation applied to sea-ice models using a Maxwell elasto-brittle rheology.
- Author
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Chen, Yumeng, Smith, Polly, Carrassi, Alberto, Pasmans, Ivo, Bertino, Laurent, Bocquet, Marc, Finn, Tobias Sebastian, Rampal, Pierre, and Dansereau, Véronique
- Subjects
PARAMETER estimation ,KALMAN filtering ,DRAG coefficient ,RHEOLOGY - Abstract
In this study, we investigate the fully multivariate state and parameter estimation through idealised simulations of a dynamics-only model that uses the novel Maxwell elasto-brittle (MEB) sea-ice rheology and in which we estimate not only the sea-ice concentration, thickness and velocity, but also its level of damage, internal stress and cohesion. Specifically, we estimate the air drag coefficient and the so-called damage parameter of the MEB model. Mimicking the realistic observation network with different combinations of observations, we demonstrate that various issues can potentially arise in a complex sea-ice model, especially in instances for which the external forcing dominates the model forecast error growth. Even though further investigation will be needed using an operational (a coupled dynamics–thermodynamics) sea-ice model, we show that, with the current observation network, it is possible to improve both the observed and the unobserved model state forecast and parameter accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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